minimum variance portfolio example
TRANSCRIPT
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8/2/2019 Minimum Variance Portfolio Example
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Determining the Minimum Variance Portfolio
Consider the two risky securities listed below.
ExpectedReturn StandardDeviation
Stocks (S) 15.0% 21.0%
Bonds (B) 6.0% 11.0%
Stock/Bond Portfolios
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
Standard Deviation
Expec
ted
Return
1) If the correlation between these two securities is 0.15, what are the portfolio weightsfor the minimum variance portfolio created by combining these two securities?
The general formula for the portfolio weight that gives the minimum variance
portfolio is given by (see attached appendix for the derivation of this formula):
=+
=
BSBS
BSBMVP
S
Cov
Covw
,
22
,
2
2
Here the covariance equals SB = 0.15(0.21)(0.11) = 0.003465, so the formula
gives:
%47.828247.01753.011
%53.171753.0)003465.0(2)11.0()21.0(
003465.0)11.0(
22
2
====
==+
=
MVP
S
MVP
B
MVP
S
ww
w
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Stock/Bond Portfolios
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2) If the correlation between these two securities is 0.0, what are the portfolio weightsfor the minimum variance portfolio created by combining these two securities?
With a correlation of zero, the formula for the portfolio weights in the minimum
variance portfolio simplifies to:
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
Standard Deviation
Expected
Return
%47.787847.02153.011
%53.210121.00441.0
0121.0
)11.0()21.0(
)11.0(22
2
22
2
====
=+
=+
=+
=
MVP
S
MVP
B
BS
BMVP
S
ww
w
3) If the correlation between these two securities is -1.0, what are the portfolio weightsfor the minimum variance portfolio created by combining these two securities?
With a correlation of -1.0, the formula for the portfolio weights in the minimumvariance portfolio simplifies to:
%62.656562.03438.011
%38.343438.011.021.0
11.0
====
==
+
=
+
=
MVP
S
MVP
B
BS
BMVP
S
ww
w
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Stock/Bond Portfolios
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
Standard Deviation
Expected
Return
Note that this represents a perfect hedge portfolio. If you plug these weights into
Rule 2*, you will find that the resulting standard deviation is zero.
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Appendix: Minimizing the Variance Function
According to Rule 2*, the variance of a portfolio of two risky securities is given by:
12
2
1121
2
2
2
1
2
21
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
1211
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
222
)1(2)1(
COVwCOVwwww
or
COVwwww
+++=
++=
To minimize this function, take the first derivative with respect to w1 and set equal to
zero, or:
12
2
2
2
1
1222
1
12
2
212
2
2
2
11
12112
2
21
2
2
2
11
1
2
2
22]422[0
:givesgrearrangin
422220
COV
COVw
or
COVCOVw
COVwCOVwww
+
=
++=
++==