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Page 1: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

1 1

Metals and Mining

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

MARCH

2013

Page 2: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

2 2

Contents

Advantage India

Market overview and trends

Growth drivers

Success stories: CIL, SAIL

Opportunities

Useful information

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

Page 3: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

3 3

Metals and Mining

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org ADVANTAGE INDIA

Advantage India

Advantage India

• Rise in infrastructure development and automotive production driving growth in the sector

• Power and cement industries also aiding growth in the metals and mining sector

• There is significant scope for new mining capacities in iron ore, bauxite, and coal

• Untapped metal reserves in India are to the tune of 82 billion tonnes

• India holds a fair advantage in cost of production and conversion costs in steel and alumina

• It’s strategic location enables convenient exports to developed as well as the fast-developing Asian markets

• 100 per cent FDI allowed in the mining sector under the Automatic Route

• Mining lease granted for a long duration of minimum 20 years and up to 30 years

• Approval of MMDR Bill (2011) to provide better legislative environment for investment and technology

Industry value:

USD305.5 billion

2015F

Industry value:

USD141.9 billion

2011

Source: Datamonitor, Aranca Research Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, MMDR Bill - Mines and Mineral (Development and Regulation) Bill

Demand growth Attractive opportunities

Competitive advantage Policy support

MARCH

2013

Page 4: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

4 4

Contents

Advantage India

Market overview and trends

Growth drivers

Success stories: CIL, SAIL

Opportunities

Useful information

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

Page 5: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

5 5 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Evolution of the Indian metals and mining sector

• Mining sector received a boost post independence under the impact of successive Five Year Plans

• Central Government promulgated Industrial Policy Resolution

• The exploration of minerals was intensified and the Geological Survey of India was strengthened

• Indian Bureau of Mines was established to look after the scientific development of mineral resources

• Mineral Exploration Corporation established to conduct exploration with focus on coal, iron ore, limestone, dolomite and manganese ore

• India is the largest producer of sheet mica, the third largest producer of iron ore and the fifth largest producer of bauxite in the world

• Crude steel production in India expanded at a CAGR of 6.8 per cent over 1980-2011

• India accounted for 7.3 per cent of the metals and mining industry in the Asia-Pacific region in 2011

1947

1956

1972

Present

Metals and Mining

Source: DataMonitor, Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate

MARCH

2013

Page 6: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

6 6 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Source: Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

Metals and Mining

Iron and steel

Coal

Aluminium

Base metals

Precious metals

and minerals

Iron and steel segment offers a product mix which includes hot rolled parallel flange beams and columns rails, plates, coils, wire

rods, and continuously cast products such as billets, blooms, beam, blank, rounds and slab, and metallics and ferro alloy

Coal market consists of primary coal (anthracite, bituminous and lignite)

Aluminium segment includes alumina chemicals, primary aluminium, aluminium extrusions, aluminium rolled products

Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin

Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium, diamond

MARCH

2013

Segments of metals and mining industry

Page 7: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

7 7 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ India’s metals and mining industry recorded a strong 19.8 per cent expansion in 2011 to touch USD141.9 billion

→ Much of the above growth in the industry’s value can be attributed to higher prices given that production volume growth was relatively lower at 3.2 per cent (total production stood at 716.3 million metric tonnes)

→ Production volumes have been growing steadily over the years - over 2007-11, it registered a CAGR of 5.2 per cent; with prices also rising during this period, the sector’s value rose by around 17.7 per cent (CAGR)

Value of India’s metals and mining industry (USD billion)

Source: Datamonitor, Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate

Metals and Mining

74.0

105.4 89.7

118.4

141.9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MARCH

2013

Strong growth in India’s metals and mining sector over the years

Page 8: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

8 8

72.4%

7.3%

7.0%

4.2% 9.2% China

Japan

India

South Korea

Rest of Asia-Pacific

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ Iron and steel is the largest segment of the Indian metals and mining industry, accounting for 68.5 per cent of the overall industry value (2011); coal is the other major sub-segment with a 26.5 per cent share

→ India accounted for 7.3 per cent of the metals and mining industry in the Asia-Pacific region in 2011

Shares in India’s metals and mining industry (2011)

Source: Datamonitor, Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

India’s share in the metals and mining industry in Asia-Pacific (2011)

68.5%

26.5%

3.2% 1.6%

0.2%

Iron & Steel

Coal

Aluminium

Base Metals

Precious metals& minerals

MARCH

2013

Iron and steel accounts for a major share in India’s metals and mining sector

Page 9: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

9 9 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Iron ore: Production remains strong

→ India is the world’s fourth largest iron ore producer (global share of 11 per cent)

→ Iron ore production is estimated to have grown at a CAGR of 2.6 per cent between FY07 to FY11; total production in FY11 stood at almost 208 million tonnes

→ In FY11, the share of the private sector in total iron ore production in India was 72 per cent

→ Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Goa and Jharkhand accounted for 97 per cent of India’s total iron ore production in FY11

Iron ore production (million tonnes)

Source: Ministry of Mines (Annual Report 2011-12), Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

187.7 213.3

233.8 218.6 208.0

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

MARCH

2013

Page 10: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

10 10 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ Given that iron ore is a key ingredient in steel production, the expansion in iron ore production in India can be linked to the country’s fast-expanding steel sector

→ Crude steel production expanded at a CAGR of 8.0 per cent over 2005-11 to touch 72.2 million metric tonnes

→ India is the fourth largest producer of crude steel in the world (2011) with a global share of 4.8 per cent

Source: World Steel Association, Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

Shares in global crude steel production (2011)

45.9%

7.2%

5.8%

4.8% 4.6% China

Japan

United States

India

Russia

Crude steel production (million metric tonnes)

45.8 49.5 53.1

57.8 62.8

66.8 72.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MARCH

2013

Rising steel demand driving growth in iron ore production

Page 11: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

11 11 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ India is the world’s third largest exporter of iron ore

→ With rising domestic demand-supply gap and to make domestic supplies more attractive, the government on March 2011 hiked freight charges and taxes on iron ore exports

India’s exports of iron and steel (USD billion)

Source: Reserve Bank of India , Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

5.2 5.4

5.8

3.6

5.1

6.5

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

MARCH

2013

Rising domestic demand puts pressure on supply of iron and steel … (1/2)

Page 12: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

12 12 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ India has turned into a net importer of iron and steel due to strong growth in the manufacturing sector and rising infrastructure projects

→ India’s transition into a net importer of steel despite the strong growth in domestic steel production shows the demand potential of the sector

→ The impact of strong growth in domestic steel production has been most felt in the iron ore sector; with steel firms’ ever rising demand for the raw material, India’s imports of iron ore has been growing steadily (for example, iron and steel imports increased at a CAGR of 13.3 per cent over FY07-12)

India’s imports of iron and steel (USD billion)

Source: Reserve Bank of India, Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

6.4

8.7 9.5

8.2

10.4

12.0

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

MARCH

2013

Rising domestic demand puts pressure on supply of iron and steel … (2/2)

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13 13 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ Coal production recorded a CAGR of 8 per cent over FY08-10

→ In the coming years, coal production in the country is likely to receive a boost as the government plans to replace the country’s captive mining policy in coal and iron ore with an open bidding one

Coal production (million tonnes)

Source: Government of India (GOI), Ministry of Coal, Aranca Research Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate

RE - Revised Estimate, BE - Budget Estimate

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

457.0 492.8 533.0 544.9

575.0

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11RE FY12BE

MARCH

2013

Coal production growing at a steady pace

Page 14: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

14 14 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

India’s role in global coal production

→ India is the world’s fourth-largest producer of coal, with the world’s fourth-largest reserves

→ Coal India Ltd (CIL), a Government of India enterprise, is the world’s largest coal company based on raw coal production and coal reserves

Shares in global coal production (2010)

Source: BP - Statistical Review of World Energy 2011, Aranca Research

MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Metals and Mining

14.8%

6.3%

48.3%

5.8%

5.0%

19.8% US

Australia

China

India

Indonesia

Rest of the World

MARCH

2013

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15

Source: Geological Survey of India, Indian Bureau of Mines, Aranca Research

Coal deposits in million tonnes (mt) Iron ore deposits in million tonnes (mt)

States with major coal deposits

• Jharkhand (76,963 mt)

• Odisha (66,307 mt)

• Chhattisgarh (46,682 mt)

• West Bengal (29,853 mt)

• Andhra Pradesh (22,016 mt)

• Madhya Pradesh (21,988 mt)

• Maharashtra (10,308 mt)

States with lower coal deposits

• Uttar Pradesh (1062 mt)

• Meghalaya (577 mt)

• Assam (387 mt)

• Nagaland (316 mt)

• Bihar (160 mt)

• Sikkim(101 mt)

• Arunachal Pradesh (90 mt)

States with iron ore deposits

• Odisha (44.8 mt)

• Karnataka (34.3 mt)

• Goa (3.7 mt)

• Chhattisgarh (3.4 mt)

• Jharkhand (3.2 mt)

• Andhra Pradesh (0.8 mt)

• Madhya Pradesh (0.3 mt)

• Maharashtra (0.1 mt)

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

Key geological coal and iron ore deposits in India

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Page 16: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

16 16 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Segment Major Player Market Share Other players

Iron and Steel NA Sesa Goa, SAIL, Orissa Minerals

Coal 80% Bharat Coking Coal, Reliance Natural Resources, Northern Coalfields

Aluminium 60% National Aluminium Company (NALCO), Bharat Aluminium Company (BALCO)

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

Major metals and mining players in the country

Page 17: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

17 17 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

Captive mining for coal

• In captive mining for coal, companies are permitted to set up coal washeries and for specified end uses, including the setting up of power plants, fertilisers and steel units

• Under the captive route, the government has allocated 198 coal blocks with geological reserves of about 42 billion tonnes to various public and private sector companies

Focus on domestic market

• The demand for metal and metal products is rising in the domestic market with India being a net importer in the metals segment

• In March 2011, freight charges and taxes on iron ore exports were increased to boost domestic supplies

Overseas ventures

• In search of greater mineral opportunities, an increasing number of Indian mining companies are venturing overseas in a bid to secure stable, long-term supplies of minerals especially in the areas of coal and iron ore

• Coal India plans to export 10 MT of coal from Mozambique to India in the next 10 years; the company is seeking more licence blocks in Mozambique

Metals and Mining

Notes: MT - Metric Tonnes

MARCH

2013

Notable trends in the metals and mining sector

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18 18

Contents

Advantage India

Market overview and trends

Growth drivers

Success stories: CIL, SAIL

Opportunities

Useful information

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

Page 19: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

19 19 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

Strong fundamentals and policy support aiding growth

Metals and Mining

Policy support

Relaxed FDI norms

Reduced customs duty

Increasing investments

Value of M&A deals in metals

and mining rose at a CAGR of 138

per cent over 2008-11

Increasing FDI

Sustained growth in India’s

automotive sector

Rising production of cement increasing

demand for coal

Growing infrastructure investments

Inviting Resulting in

Higher demand for metals

Notes: M&A - Mergers and Acquisitions, FDI - Foreign Direct Investment

MARCH

2013

Aluminium and coal benefiting

from rising power production

Allowing private ownership

Page 20: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

20 20 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Power and automotive production fuelling demand … (1/2)

→ Sustained growth in India’s automotive sector has been driving demand for steel and aluminium

→ Automotives production increased at a CAGR of 13.2 per cent over FY05-12

→ Passenger vehicles was the fastest growing segment during this period with a CAGR of 14.5 per cent

→ India is expected to become the world’s seventh-largest automobile market by 2016 and the third largest by 2030

Source : SIAM, Aranca Research Notes: FY - Indian Financial Year (April - March)

GROWTH DRIVERS

Total production of automobiles in India (million units)

Metals and Mining

1.2

1.3

1.3

1.6

1.8

2.4

3.0

3.1

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.4

0.6

0.8

0.8

0.4

0.4

0.6

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.8

0.8

6.5

7.6

8.5

8

8.4

10

.5

13

.4 15

.5

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

Passenger Vehicle Commercial Vehicle

Three Wheelers Two Wheelers

MARCH

2013

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21 21

617.5 662.5

704.5 723.8 771.6

811.1 876.4

0

200

400

600

800

1000

FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12p

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Power and automotive production fuelling demand … (2/2)

→ The power sector accounts for a large share of the consumption of aluminium and coal in the country

→ Power generation in India increased at a CAGR of 6.0 per cent during FY06-12

→ In the Eleventh Plan, India is estimated to have added around 60,000 MW of generation capacity at an investment of USD11.5 billion

→ To meet growing power demand, the Power Ministry has targeted capacity addition of 85,000 MW in the Twelfth Plan (2012-17) period

Source : Central Electricity Authority (CEA), Aranca Research Notes: TWh - Terawatt-hour, p - provisional

GROWTH DRIVERS

Power generation in India (in TWh)

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

Page 22: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

22 22 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

A fast-expanding construction sector has aided growth in metals demand … (1/2)

→ Infrastructure projects continue to provide lucrative business opportunities for steel, zinc and aluminium producers

→ India’s infrastructure sector expanded at a CAGR of 15.8 per cent over FY08-11

GROWTH DRIVERS

India’s expanding infrastructure industry (USD billion)

Metals and Mining

Source : Business Monitor International ‘s (BMI) report on infrastructure industry in India Q4 2012, Aranca Research

Note: F - forecasts (by BMI)

37.0 48.3 48.1

57.5 65.5 65

80.9 97.3

115.4

136.4

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13F FY14F FY15F FY16F FY17F

MARCH

2013

Page 23: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

23 23 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ India’s residential and non-residential building industry expanded at a CAGR of 10.7 per cent over FY08-11

→ Growth in the sector is set to increase in the next few years; forecasts put the CAGR for FY12-17 at 14.5 per cent

→ Iron and steel being a core component of the real

estate sector, demand for these metals is set to continue given strong growth expectations for the residential and commercial building industry

GROWTH DRIVERS

Residential and non-residential building industry (USD billion)

Metals and Mining

Source : Business Monitor International’s (BMI) report on infrastructure industry in India, Aranca Research

Note: F - forecasts (by BMI)

A fast-expanding construction sector has aided growth in metals demand … (2/2)

57.3 55.3

70.2

80.1 78.7 95.8

113.4

134.0

158.0

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12F FY13F FY14F FY15F FY16F FY17F

MARCH

2013

Page 24: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

24 24 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Rising cement production - contributor to growing coal demand

→ India is the world’s second-largest producer of cement; the sector’s strong expansion over the past decade has been a key contributor to rising coal demand

→ By FY13, the cement sector is expected to add additional capacity of 92.3 million tonnes

GROWTH DRIVERS

Cement production in India (million tonnes)

Source: CMA, Edelweiss research, Ministry of External Affairs (Govt. of India), Department of Industrial Production, Aranca Research

Note: e - Estimates

Metals and Mining

168

182 207

228 247

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12e

MARCH

2013

Page 25: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

25 25 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

Source: Aranca Research

Metals and Mining

Higher cement production

Increasing number of houses

Large infrastructure projects

Expanding road construction

Government support

MARCH

2013

Factors behind rising cement production in India

Page 26: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

26 26 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ Within the Asia-Pacific region, India is ahead of South Korea and Philippines in the mining sector; at the same time it is in competition with Australia, Malaysia, China, Indonesia and Japan

Source : India mining report by BMI-Q2 2012, Aranca Research Note: Description of each headline given in the Appendix

GROWTH DRIVERS

Metals and Mining

Limits of potential returns Risks to realisation of returns

Mining Industry

Country structure

Limits Market risks

Country risk

Risks Mining rating

India 25.0 52.8 34.7 68.5 53.2 60.8 42.6

South Korea 10.0 66.2 29.7 77.7 57.5 67.6 41.0

Japan 12.5 70.8 32.9 86.4 77.9 82.1 47.7

Philippines 17.5 56.2 31.1 60.4 41.5 51.0 37.0

MARCH

2013

India has a distinct competitive advantage over its peers

Page 27: Metals and Mining 2013 MARCH - IBEF · Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium, rhodium,

27 27 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment

GROWTH DRIVERS

Metals and Mining

Allowing private ownership

• Government of India is encouraging private ownership for steel operations and other high priority industry

Reduced custom duty • Government of India significantly reduced the duty payable on finished steel products and has streamlined the associated approval process

Relaxed FDI norms

• FDI up to 100 per cent is permitted under the Automatic Route to explore and exploit all non-fuel and non-atomic minerals and process all metals as well as for metallurgy

• FDI caps for coal and lignite has been increased to 100 per cent under the automatic route

Approved NMP • In a positive move for the sector, in 2008, the Indian Cabinet approved the

National Mineral Policy (NMP) 2008, to boost FDI in mining

MARCH

2013

Strong policy support gives metal and mining sector a boost

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28 28 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

MMDR bill

GROWTH DRIVERS

Metals and Mining

Overview of the MMDR bill

• GOI approved the new mining bill - the Mines and Minerals Development Bill (MMDR) - on 30th Sep 2011; the bill calls for mining firms to share either profits or amounts equivalent to royalties with local communities

• The proposed bill is expected to make it easier to win local approval and smoothen the land acquisition process

General restrictions and mineral concessions

Process of revenue collection and usage

• Central government to establish National Mineral Fund; respective state governments to establish State Mineral Fund(s)

• District Mineral Foundation will be set up by the state government which will work for the interest and benefit of persons or families affected by mining related operation in the district and will be managed by a governing council

• The mining tax collected will be spent within the district

• Reservation of areas for PSUs removed

• State governments to set up special courts to expedite prosecution in illegal mining

• Statutory Coordination cum Empowered Committee at central and state levels to decide upon stringent penalties for offences

Notes: GOI - Government of India, PSUs - Public Sector Undertakings

MARCH

2013

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29 29 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ Cumulative FDI inflows over Apr 2000 - Sep 2012 into the metals and mining sector stood at USD8.2 billion

→ The sector accounted for 4.8 per cent of total cumulative FDI inflows during the period

GROWTH DRIVERS

Metals and Mining

FDI inflows into metals and mining over Apr 2000 - Sep 2012 (USD million)

Source : Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion, Aranca Research

Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment

6,726.0

1,071.1

361.9 24.8

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

MetallurgicalIndustry

Mining Diamond,Gold

Ornaments

CoalProduction

MARCH

2013

Foreign investments flowing in; rise in planned expenditure … (1/2)

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30 30 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

→ Total M&A deal value in metals and mining increased at a CAGR of 138 per cent during 2008-11

→ In 2011, M&A deal value in the mining sector stood at USD11.2 billion, 292 per cent higher than the corresponding figure for 2010 (USD2.9 billion)

GROWTH DRIVERS

Metals and Mining

Source: Thomson Banker, Deal tracker, Aranca Research

M&A activities (as of Sep 2012)

Acquirer Target Acquisition Price

(USD million)

Vedanta Resources PLC Cairn India Ltd (30.4% stake in December 2011) 4,541.9

Sesa Goa Ltd Sterlite Industries 3,911.0

Vedanta Resources PLC Cairn India Ltd (10.1% stake in July 2011) 1,513.2

GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd Hancock Coal-Queensland Coal 1,260.0

Sesa Goa Ltd Cairn India Ltd 1,175.9

JFE Steel Corp JSW Steel Ltd 1,029.1

Lanco Resources Australia Griffin Coal Mining Co Pty Ltd 722.7

MARCH

2013

Foreign investments flowing in; rise in planned expenditure … (2/2)

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31 31

Contents

Advantage India

Market overview and trends

Growth drivers

Success stories: CIL, SAIL

Opportunities

Useful information

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

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32 32 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Coal India Limited (CIL): Leader in mining industry in India … (1/2)

Notes: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate, MoU - Memorandum of Understanding, FY - Indian financial year (April - March)

Revenues (USD billion)

SUCCESS STORIES:CIL, SAIL

Metals and Mining

→ CIL signed an MoU with Ministry of Coal in 2011, wherein CIL targets to produce 461.5 million tonnes of coal

→ CIL also signed an MoU with Shipping Corporation of India in 2010 to create comprehensive end-to-end logistic solutions

Source: Bloomberg, Aranca Research

• Set up in 1967, Coal India Limited (CIL) is the largest coal mining company in India

• Coal India contributes around 85 per cent of total coal production in India

6.5

8.1 8.5 9.4

11.5

14.6

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

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33 33 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Coal India Limited (CIL): Leader in mining industry in India … (2/2)

Coal production (in million tonnes)

SUCCESS STORIES:CIL, SAIL

Metals and Mining

→ The company's strategic overseas ventures with Colombia and US enabled it to meet India's rising energy demand

→ CIL plans to invest about USD6.25 billion to increase capacity, acquire new mining projects, machineries and equipment

→ Government has recently allocated 116 coal blocks to CIL for expansion

Source: Company Website, Aranca Research

336.6

353.3

377.2

395.1

390.0

397.5

24.3

26.2

26.5

36.1

41.4

38.4

0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

Non Coking Coal Coking Coal

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34 34 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL): A story of steel … (1/2)

Revenues (USD billion)

SUCCESS STORIES:CIL, SAIL

Metals and Mining

→ SAIL has entered into a Joint Venture with POSCO, Korea; Kobe Steel Limited, Japan; Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd; Larsen & Toubro Ltd; National Mineral Development Corporation; Hindustan Prefab Ltd; and IRCON International Limited, Turkey

→ SAIL employees bagged the maximum number of Viswakarma Awards declared in Aug 2009

→ SAIL's expansion plan worth USD15 billion will increase its production capacity from 14 million tonnes per year (current) to 24 million tonnes by 2013

Source: Company website, Aranca Research

• Incorporated in 1954, Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) is India's second largest producer of iron ore

CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate Notes: Viswakarma Award is for outstanding achievement or good

performance on the part of workers in increasing productivity, quality, safety, working conditions, import substitution etc

7.1

8.2 9.0

8.4 8.9

9.6

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

MARCH

2013

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35 35 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Total saleable steel production (million tonnes)

SUCCESS STORIES:CIL, SAIL

Metals and Mining

→ It won the Gold Trophy of “SCOPE Meritorious Award for R&D, Technology Development & Innovation” for 2007-08

→ It was also awarded the “Corporate Social Responsibility & Responsiveness“ by the President of India in FY09

Source: Company website, Aranca Research

Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL): A story of steel … (2/2)

12.6 13.0 12.5 12.6 12.9 12.4

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

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2013

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36 36

Contents

Advantage India

Market overview and trends

Growth drivers

Success stories: CIL, SAIL

Opportunities

Useful information

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

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37 37 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Opportunities

OPPORTUNITIES

Metals and Mining

Untapped market with strong growth potential

• India’s per capita steel consumption was 55 kg in mid 2011 compared to the global average of 225 kg

• Rural per capita steel consumption is likely to double from its present consumption of 9.7 kg by 2015

• By FY12, a shortfall is expected in domestic supply of steel worth 3-8 million tonnes

Scope for new mining capacities in iron ore, bauxite

and coal

• India has the world’s fifth-largest reserve base of bauxite and fourth-largest base of iron ore respectively, and accounts for about 7 per cent and 10 per cent respectively, of total world production

• India also has the fourth-largest global reserve base of coal, and accounts for 7.5 per cent of the total world production

Rapid growth of user-industries to drive demand for metals

and minerals

• Strong long-term demand from the steel industry is expected to further boost the iron ore industry

• Increasing power production is likely to catapult demand for coal

• Booming construction, automobiles, and packaging industries are expected to lend substantial support to the metals and mining sector

Note: kg - kilograms

MARCH

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38 38

Contents

Advantage India

Market overview and trends

Growth drivers

Success stories: CIL, SAIL

Opportunities

Useful information

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

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39 39 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org USEFUL INFORMATION

Industry Associations

Aluminium Association of India 118, 1st Floor, Ramanashree Arcade 18, M. G. Road Bengaluru, Karnataka - 560 001 Phone: 91- 80-25582197, 25582757 Fax: 91-80-25594535 E-mail: [email protected] Federation of Indian Mineral Industries FIMI House, B-311, Okhla Industrial Area Phase - I , New Delhi -110 020 Phone: 91-11- 26814596 Fax: 91-11- 26814593 E-mail: [email protected] Indian Stainless Steel Development Association L -22/4, DLF Phase - II Gurgaon, Haryana -122 002 Phone: 91-124 - 4375501 Fax: 91-124 - 4375509 E-mail: [email protected]

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

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40 40 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Appendix

BMI’s Mining Business Environment Ratings

• Market structure: it takes into consideration mining output in USD billion, sector value growth, % y-o-y r, mining sector, % of GDP

• Country structure: it takes into consideration labour market infrastructure, physical infrastructure r, tax, and scope of state

• Market risks: it considers metals prices, 5-year, forecast average, metals price forecast, average 5-year growth, regulatory framework, legal framework

• Country risk: it considers, long-term external risk, corruption, bureaucracy , long-term policy continuity

• Mining ratings: it shows the overall scores of the above indicators

USEFUL INFORMATION

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

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41 41 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Glossary

→ CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

→ FDI: Foreign Direct Investment

→ FY: Indian Financial Year (April to March)

→ So FY10 implies April 2009 to March 2010

→ GOI: Government of India

→ IBM : The Indian Bureau of Mines

→ MoU: Memorandum of Understanding

→ PPP: It could denote two things (mentioned in the presentation accordingly) -

→ Purchasing Power Parity (used in calculating per-capita GDP)

→ Public Private Partnership (a type of joint venture between the public and private sectors)

→ PE: Private Equity

→ USD: US Dollar

→ Conversion rate used: USD1= INR48

→ Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number

USEFUL INFORMATION

Metals and Mining MARCH

2013

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42

India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by Aranca in consultation with IBEF. All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this

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