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Challenges and opportunities for shrub restoration in the Great Basin Matt Germino US Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Boise, Idaho

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Page 1: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Challenges and opportunities for shrub restoration in the Great Basin

Matt GerminoUS Geological Survey,

Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Boise, Idaho

Page 2: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The Challenge:Fire, invasives, and possibly climate shifts threaten dominant shrubs of the Great Basin

from Schlaepfer et al. 2012

Climate suitability for big sagebrushCURRENT 2040-2069

Page 3: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The Challenge:Fire, invasives, and possibly climate shifts threaten dominant shrubs of the Great Basin

Climate suitability for Wyoming Big Sagebrush, (Lighter color = less suitable)

CURRENT 2050

from Still and Richardson, 2014

Page 4: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The Challenge:Fire, invasives, and possibly climate shifts threaten dominant shrubs of the Great Basin

Fire regime departure forecast for 2060, in big sagebrush habitat, Central Basin and Range

(warmer colors = more departure, more fire)

Crist/Comer et al. 2013, Central Basin & Range REA

Page 5: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The Challenge:Fire, invasives, and possibly climate shifts threaten dominant shrubs of the Great Basin

Page 6: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The Challenge:Outplanting success rates are mixed; how can we assess success and improve it?

From Knutson et al. 2014

Page 7: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

opportunities

Seeds vs. seedlings

Page 8: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:What can be learned from sagebrush seeding on reclamation sites?

r2= 0.22; p , 0.05; From Avirmed et al. 2015

87 years to sagebrush recovery on unseeded, 30 to 90-year old oil/gas pads in Wyoming

Page 9: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Rinella et al. 2015

Meeting the Opportunity:What can be learned from sagebrush seeding on reclamation sites?

Although establishment can be low on mining sites, much can be learned from their successes,

e.g. co-seeding herbs has large impacts!

Page 10: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Our LCC-supported research at USGS:

2 landscape and 2 ecoregional scale studies in Great Basin

Funding from NW- CSC, LCC, and USGS

Many collaborators:M Brabec, B Davidson, A Halford, D Shinneman, D Pilliod, volunteers, etc

Page 11: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:Insights from LCC co-funded study on sagebrush in large landscape treatments

Challenges of Establishing Big Sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata) in Rangeland Restoration: Effects of Herbicide, Mowing, Whole-Community Seeding, and Sagebrush Seed Sources, Brabec et al. 2015, in Rangeland Ecology & Mgmt

Page 12: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:Insights from LCC co-funded study on sagebrush in large landscape treatments

Low survival of sagebrush mini-outplants, although local seed source endured longer

Also: mowing herbs increased survival, herb seeding decreased it.

Page 13: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:Insights from LCC co-funded study on sagebrush in large landscape treatments

Testing effects of landscape, vegetation, and artificial shelter on sagebrush outplant survival in flat, early seral grasslands (unpublished)

Page 14: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting)

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Meeting the Opportunity:Insights from LCC co-funded study on sagebrush in large landscape treatments

Leveraging topography to establish islands of sagebrush

Page 15: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:Insights from LCC co-funded study on sagebrush in large landscape treatments

Survival (fraction)

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Surprise! High densities of large nursery seedlings in shelter treatments passed initial survival only to succumb to herbivory

Page 16: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:Boise Pilot Study corroborates importance of climate matching of seed sources

In 24 large sagebrush seedings done from 1987-2010: seeds were transported from a mean ~300 miles away and ~2000 ft higher in elevation

• Seeding success greater where sagebrush existed before fire• Drill seeding increased aerial sagebrush success• Seeded sagebrush usually different from native type

Page 17: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity:Boise Pilot Study corroborates importance of climate matching of seed sources

Surveyed in winter 2013/2014.

Matching minimum temperature of seed source and seeding site is key.

Climate experiments and physiology studies also point to minimum temperatures.

Weather was also important: more success in colder, wetting conditions, 3-4 years after fire and seeding!

Sagebrush recovery category

Page 18: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Meeting the Opportunity: USGS/BLM SageSuccess project

Objectives:

1. Assess where and why seeding practices successfully establish big

sagebrush over the last 25 years across the Great Basin

2. Determine where and why treatments contribute to the quality of sage-

grouse habitat

Evaluating treatment and reference sites, selected:

• Randomly

• or by BLM as successful

• or in Worldview2 imagery and mapping

• patches of recovery

Page 19: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

19

Patch/worldviewhigh-resolutionARTR cover imagery

WorldView2 scenecontaining treatments

Page 20: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The Opportunity: Right seed at the right time at the right place!

Develop seed sources and plant materialsCommon gardens to understand adaptation, seed zonesVerification of seed sourceSeed increase and provisioning

Overcome uncertainty in seedbed conditionsAllow seeding efforts to be multi-year programs; beyond one-off projectsIntegrate seeding with information on soil stabilityWeather prediction and planning

Test seedling propagation and planting techniques (see GBNursery conditions: hardened or bigger?Field conditions: leverage landscape and artificial shelter Planting designCoordinating treatments of herb layer

Allow for adaptive learning and managementSeeding the Great Basin is one of the US’s grand conservation experimentsContinued monitoring is essential, beyond 3 yr post-fireRecord seed sources and seeding or planting documentation, assess success!

Page 21: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

Establishing Big Sagebrush and Other Shrubs from Planting Stock

2015

Shaw, Halford, McAdoo

Page 22: Matt Germino - Microsoft · Time (days since Nov'13 outplanting) 0 100 200 300 400 n) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Drainage Slope Control Meeting the Opportunity: Insights from LCC co-funded

The [email protected]