march 7, 2017 bioheat applications residential to large

39
Bioheat Applications – From Residential to Large Emitters Jamie Stephen, PhD Managing Director, TorchLight Bioresources QIEEP Fellow, Queen’s University Warren Mabee, PhD Canada Research Chair, Renewable Energy Development & Implementation Associate Professor & Department Head, Queen’s University Senior Consultant, TorchLight Bioresources March 7, 2017 Supporting Biomass Heat in Ontario Bio-Heat Community of Practice Workshop 1

Upload: others

Post on 02-Oct-2021

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Bioheat Applications – From Residential to Large Emitters

Jamie Stephen, PhD Managing Director, TorchLight Bioresources QIEEP Fellow, Queen’s University

Warren Mabee, PhD Canada Research Chair, Renewable Energy Development & Implementation Associate Professor & Department Head, Queen’s University Senior Consultant, TorchLight Bioresources

March 7, 2017 Supporting Biomass Heat in Ontario Bio-Heat Community of Practice Workshop

1

Page 2: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

2

Key Messages Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands RNG

1. Bioheat sector is growing, but small

2. Government plays a key role in success

3. Unique bioheat opportunities should be explored

4. Policies generally downplay the role of bio

5. Bioenergy must be viewed as an adaptation strategy

Page 3: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Overview

• The Canadian Bioheat Database

• Novel Bioheat Examples:

Residential BioHeat in Remote Communities for Diesel-fired Electricity Reduction

Process Heat in Oil Sands Operations for Transportation Fuels

Biosteam in Chemical Production

Renewable Natural Gas (RNG/Biomethane)

3

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 4: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Updating & Validation

• Canadian Bioheat Database was created in 2013/2014 by TorchLight under contract with NRCan (CanmetENERGY – Ottawa)

• 150 kW to 5 MW; major characteristics of project

• 230 in database in March, 2014; 275 in March, 2016

• Interviews vs. internet and reports

• Validate existing data

• Collaborative data gathering between TorchLight and NRCan

• Opportunities for filling data gaps – time limited 4

Page 5: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Location

• QC and BC lead; NWT & PEI greatest growth

5

Page 6: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Scale

• >60% less than 1 MW; larger projects are greenhouses & industry

6

Page 7: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Scale • Larger projects regionally concentrated

7

Page 8: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Sector

• Institutions (schools, hospitals) most active market

• Growth in district energy (economies-of-scale)

8

Page 9: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Sector • Small industrial concentrated; institutional disbursed

9

Page 10: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Installation Date

• CAGR of >17%; one successful project leads to others

10

Page 11: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Feedstocks • High quality predominant at this scale

• Feeding systems, ash handling, logistics, etc. limit low quality fuels

11

Page 12: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Greenhouse Gas Impact

• Combustion emissions only

• Avoided fuel known vs. unknown

• BC-ON = NG; QC-NL, Territories = Heating oil

• Efficiencies: NG=90%; Propane=85%; Oil=80%; Coal=70%

• Full load equivalent hours: 2200 (2400 for Territories)

• 230,000 t CO2 eq/yr for 275 projects

12

Page 13: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Update for 2017

• New projects

• Validate data

• Expand to include 50-150 kW commercial/institutional

• High volume suppliers

• Wood chip quality control; emissions monitoring

13

Page 14: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Conclusions • Industry growth concentrated in PE, NT, QC, BC

• QC & BC have greatest number of projects

• QC appears to be most competitive jurisdiction

• Unrestrictive policy & dependence upon heating oil more important than feedstock availability

• Majority of projects <1 MW

• Institutional market is strongest at present

• A few developers and manufacturers = most new projects

• High quality feedstocks preferred

• Avoided fuel known vs. unknown

• BC-ON = NG; QC-NL, Territories = Heating oil

• Efficiencies: NG=90%; Propane=85%; Oil=80%; Coal=70%

• Full load equivalent hours: 2200 (2400 for Territories)

• 230,000 t CO2 eq/yr for 275 projects

14

Page 15: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Background Remote Communities in Canada

• Not connected to North American electrical grid ~200 communities Population of ~ 200,000 Energy cost up to 10x average in Canada Many First Nations (aboriginal) communities

• Micro-grid generation Diesel dominates Small hydro common Several have integrated wind and/or solar

• Firewood heating common • Electric hot water

15

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 16: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Case Study Bella Coola, British Columbia

• Bella Coola Valley

Traditional territory of the Nuxalk First Nation

450 km on gravel road to nearest urban centre

1900 people in the valley; 850 on-reserve

Average family income <$30,000 (Reserve)

Reserve estimates of unemployed: 70-80%

16

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 17: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

17

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 18: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Energy on the Nuxalk Reserve, BC

18

Heating Oil

Propane Electricity Firewood

Consumption 435,000 L 110,000 L 4,484,000 kWh 900 cords

Cost of Heat ($/MWh)

163 141 130 (410*) 46

• 275 residences, 30 commercial/institutional buildings Typical residence: firewood, heating oil, and electric

hot water Commercial buildings usually propane

• Yearly consumption of ~12,000 MWh (41,000 MMBTU) Average cost of heat = $100/MWh

• Comparison of DES vs. Decentralized Single energy centre vs. boiler in each building Local (chip) vs. imported (pellet) fuel

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 19: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

19

Bella Coola Village

Page 20: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

20

Four Mile

Page 21: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Economics & Risks Summary Results

District Energy System Four scenarios (2.1-5.2 MW) $128-154/MWh

Decentralized Boilers $110-127/MWh Still dependent upon fuel imports

Low cost firewood Pellet boilers/DES higher cost Firewood boilers may be best option

Electricity is subsidized Residents pay $0.13/kWh; diesel cost is $0.40/kWh BC Hydro has incentive to reduce electrical space and

hot water heating: 5-7 year payback

21

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 22: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Background on Canada’s Oil Sands

22

• Canada has the world’s 3rd largest oil reserves: 173 B bbl

• Ultimate potential is 315 B bbl (larger than Saudi reserves)

• Oil sands are 97% of Canada’s proven reserves

• Production: 2.3 M bpd in 2014 to 4 M bpd in 2024 World = 94 M bpd

• CDN Economic impact 2010 to 2035 forecast: $2.1 trillion

• Contribute >$750 B to government revenue (2010-2035)

• 2014: 0.5 EJ/yr of natural gas

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community

Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 23: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Background on Canada’s Oil Sands

23

• Surface mining & In situ recovery options

• SAGD is most common In situ method

• Surface mining = more water challenges; lower GHGs

• Only 20% of oil sands recoverable using surface mining

• ~50% of recovery is In situ and main source of growth

• ~55% of bitumen upgraded to synthetic crude oil in Alberta but forecast to drop to 20% by 2026

• Bitumen must be blended with a diluent (e.g., natural gas condensate) to pipeline

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community

Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 24: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large
Page 25: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large
Page 26: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Well-To-Refinery GHG Emissions

Page 27: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

27

Alternative Approach to Liquid Biofuels

Cellulosic Ethanol Thermal Bioenergy & Biohydrogen in Oil Sands

300 L EtOH/bdt (200 L gasoline) 1450 L SCO/bdt (gasoline cut = 650 L)

CHP for internal demand CHP for In situ recovery

33% energy yield to ethanol 80% (or more) thermal efficiency

Electricity exports? Displace coal vs. gas?

80% GHG ↓ from CDN baseline 90% GHG ↓ Well-to-Refinery

↓ ~0.5 t CO2e/bdt Thermal: ↓ ~1.0 t CO2e/bdt

• Low carbon fuel standard: reduce life cycle GHG emissions by 20% from 100 g CO2e/MJ fuel baseline from 1 BL

• Cellulosic ethanol: 1.1 M bdt

• Thermal bioenergy: 500 k bdt

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community

Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 28: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

28

Biosteam for Manufacturing?

• Eneco to provide ‘biosteam’ for Delfzijl Chemie Park in the Netherlands (via CHP generation)

• AkzoNobel Specialty Chemicals is main tenant

• Retrofit to existing biomass power plant

• Site accounts for 10% of Dutch chemical production

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands

Biosteam RNG

Page 29: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

29

Renewable Natural Gas (Biomethane)

• Most likely bioheat for detached homes in cities with natural gas

• Agriculture and municipal feedstocks will dominate

• Greatest potential volume is forest feedstocks

• $12-15/GJ for ag/municipal; double that for forest

• In Ontario, much lower cost than electric heat

• Competitor is electricity, NOT natural gas

• Europe = government-led approach

• Canada = utility-led approach

• Biggest hurdle at present is regulatory situation

• Regulated utilities limited by the OEB

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam

RNG

Page 30: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

30

Fort McMurray Wildfires 2016

• $9.5B in costs

• 590,000 ha burned (>2x size of Luxembourg)

Mitgation AND Adaptation

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 31: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Conclusion

31

1. Bioheat sector is growing, but small

2. Government plays a key role in success

3. Unique bioheat opportunities should be explored

4. Policies generally downplay the role of bio

5. Bioenergy must be viewed as an adaptation strategy

Bioheat Applications Overview Bioheat Database Remote Community Oil Sands Biosteam RNG

Page 32: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

32

Jamie Stephen, PhD [email protected] www.torchlightbioresources.com

Warren Mabee, PhD [email protected] www.queensu.ca

March 7, 2017 Supporting Biomass Heat in Ontario Bio-Heat Community of Practice Workshop

Thank you

Bioheat Applications – From Residential to Large Emitters

Page 33: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Alberta in 2013

Page 34: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Net Electricity Supply

Ontario Demand Decreased by 13% Since 2005

Alberta Demand Increased by 42% Since 2000

Page 35: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

2014

• Capacity = 6258 MW

• Generation = 44.4 TWh

• Capacity Factor = 81%

• Coal consumption (@ 32% net efficiency) = 500 PJ of fuel (500 M GJ)

Post 2029 Federal Regulations

• Capacity = 2619 MW

• Generation = 18.6 TWh

• Coal consumption (@ 32% net efficiency) = 210 PJ of fuel (210 M GJ)

• Need ~12.5 M bdt biomass to satisfy demand

Gamut of Bioenergy Overview Energy in Canada Biomass Resources Bioheat

Coal Displacement Oil Sands Conclusion

Page 36: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Roundwood Harvest – Canada

Page 37: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Pulp Production – Canada

Page 38: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Facilitator

Alberta Electricity Pool Price

Absender | Titel | TT.MM.JJJJ | Seite 38

Page 39: March 7, 2017 Bioheat Applications Residential to Large

Facilitator

Alberta Wholesale Gas Price

Absender | Titel | TT.MM.JJJJ | Seite 39