mackay area property watch 2013 q1
DESCRIPTION
Mackay Area Property Watch 2013 Q1TRANSCRIPT
www.prdresearch.com.au Your home of property knowledge
First Quarter │2013
MACKAY AREA Property Watch®
MARKET INDICATORS
Change from Last Year Half Year
HOUSE SALES
HOUSE MEDIAN
HOUSE RENTS
LAND SALES
LAND MEDIAN
UNIT RENTS
Indicators are based on the year ending 31 October 2012,
except for rental indicators which are based on quarterly data
ending 31 December 2012.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Sales levels dropped off 14 per cent
over the six months, however still
enjoyed a nine per cent increase of the
October 2011 period. This strong
showing has been consistent over the
past ten years, with the Area riding on
the back resource sector.
Nearly all land sales in the Mackay
Area have come from newer housing
estates in suburbs located within 15km
of the Mackay CBD such as
Beaconsfield, Blacks Beach, Eimeo,
Ooralea, Rural View and Walkerston.
MACKAY AREA MARKET OVERVIEW
The following Property Watch report is the result of an investigation into the
historic and current residential real estate market trends of the Mackay Area. For
the purpose of this report, the Mackay Area will look at the Local Government
Area of the Mackay region.
In the six month period ending October 2012, the Mackay Area continued its
strong run of form, recording a median house price of $436,050, an increase of
one per cent on the previous six month period and an increase of five per cent
over twelve months. Sales levels dropped off 14 per cent over the six months,
however still enjoyed a nine per cent increase of the October 2011 period. This
strong showing has been consistent over the past ten years, with the Area riding
on the back resource sector. Since the Global Financial Crisis the Area has gone
from strength to strength through consecutive periods of price growth and
unrelenting demand. As Mackay is so central to a hub of mining activity and
continued economic interest driving further infrastructure projects, the Area will
continue to attract strong levels of demand.
MACKAY AREA HOUSE SALES CYCLE
Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS
Observing the House Price Points chart, in 2012 there has been a shift to the
higher end of the housing market, with houses priced above $500,000 receiving a
six per cent boost compared to the six month period ending October 2011. At the
same time, the $300,000 to $349,999 price bracket fell by five per cent to account
for 11 per cent of transactions. This upwards movement in price reflects the
rising median family income of the Mackay LGA, which according to the 2011
Australian Bureau of Statistics Census, sits approximately 11 per cent above the
median family income for Australia as a whole. Combined with increased
investment in infrastructure to support the Area’s growing population, it is likely
this price range will remain popular in the short to medium term.
$436,050
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
200
2 O
CT
200
3 A
PR
200
3 O
CT
200
4 A
PR
200
4 O
CT
200
5 A
PR
200
5 O
CT
200
6 A
PR
200
6 O
CT
200
7 A
PR
200
7 O
CT
200
8 A
PR
200
8 O
CT
200
9 A
PR
200
9 O
CT
201
0 A
PR
201
0 O
CT
201
1 A
PR
201
1 O
CT
201
2 A
PR
201
2 O
CT
Med
ian
sale
pri
ce
Nu
mb
er
of
sale
s
Half year period
Number of sales
Median
Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Sources: PDS, Residential Tenancy Authority. PRDnationwide does not give any warranty in relation to the accuracy of the information contained in this report. If you intend to rely upon the information contained herein, you must take note that the information, figures and projections have been provided by various sources and have not been verified by us. We have no belief one way or the other in relation to the accuracy of such information, figures and projections. PRDnationwide will not be liable for any loss or damage resulting from any statement, figure, calculation or any other information that you rely upon that is contained in the material. Prepared by PRDnationwide Research © All medians and volumes are calculated by PRDnationwide Research. Use with written permission only. All other responsibilities disclaimed. © 2013
Research Analyst │Matt Ballam P (07) 3026 3356 F (07) 3166 0456 E [email protected] PRDnationwide Mackay │ P (07) 4951 2588 F (07) 4951 1351 W [email protected]
Your home of property knowledge www.prdresearch.com.au
The Unit market for the Mackay Area has historically been a more volatile market
when compared to the housing and land markets. However, in more recent times
this market has plateaued, seeing minimal changes to median price and demand
remaining relatively consistent. For the October 2012 period the Area recorded a
median price of $325,000, seeing no change from the previous April 2012 period.
Demand for the six month period ending October 2012 fell 14 per cent, with 190
transactions recorded, however was up nine per cent over the twelve months.
The most popular price point for the Unit market remains the $250,000 to
$299,999 bracket, which accounted for 21 per cent of sales (up four per cent from
the previous six month period).
In the October 2011 and April 2012 six month periods, the Mackay Area land
market demonstrated astonishing growth, experiencing unprecedented growth in
sales combined with significant median price increases. In the period ending 31st
October 2012, the median price has continued its surge, increasing a further five
per cent on the previous six month period. Conversely to this, the number of
sales decreased a dramatic amount, falling 61 per cent from 858 recorded
transactions in the April 2012 six month period down to 336 recorded
transactions in the most recent October 2012 six month period. Nearly all land
sales in the Mackay Area have come from newer housing estates in suburbs
located within 15kms of the Mackay CBD such as Beaconsfield, Blacks Beach,
Eimeo, Ooralea, Rural View and Walkerston. With the resource sector already
beginning to flatten out, sales levels will remain steady at more sustainable levels
compared to the huge spike seen in the April 2012 period. Observing the move
to these housing estates, there has been an increase in demand for smaller block
sizes, as blocks 400sqm and under accounted for 15 per cent of transactions for
the October 2012 period, an increase of six per cent on the previous period.
MACKAY AREA LAND SALES CYCLE
Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS
Since December 2010, median rents for the Mackay LGA have risen across all
dwelling types, with many experiencing consecutive years of growth (although the
exception of two and three bedroom townhouses). Unsurprisingly, this rental
growth has hinged largely on the success of the Australian resource sector, with
workers for the mines in high demand, and companies having to look outside the
immediate township to satisfy their employment needs. As such, the influx of
temporary workers has led to high demand for rental accommodation, thus
pushing rental prices higher. The biggest jump in median rental price was seen
in three bedroom townhouses, which in one year from December 2011 to
December 2012 grew $95 to $500 per week, representing growth of almost a
quarter (23 per cent) in a single year.
HOUSE PRICE POINTS
Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS
LAND PRICE POINTS
Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: PDS
MEDIAN RENTS – MACKAY LGA
Prepared by PRDnationwide Research. Source: RTA
$204,500
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
200
2 O
CT
200
3 A
PR
200
3 O
CT
200
4 A
PR
200
4 O
CT
200
5 A
PR
200
5 O
CT
200
6 A
PR
200
6 O
CT
200
7 A
PR
200
7 O
CT
200
8 A
PR
200
8 O
CT
200
9 A
PR
200
9 O
CT
201
0 A
PR
201
0 O
CT
201
1 A
PR
201
1 O
CT
201
2 A
PR
201
2 O
CT
Med
ian
sale
pri
ce
Nu
mb
er
of
sale
s
Half year period
Number of sales
Median
3%
7%
14%
22%
19%
11%
8%
16%
5%
4%
14%
21%
19%
13%
8%
16%
3%
4%
16%
21%
18%
17%
8%
13%
3%
3%
11%
20%
19%
17%
10%
17%
3%
4%
11%
19%
17%
17%
10%
19%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Less than$250,000
$250,000 to$299,999
$300,000 to$349,999
$350,000 to$399,999
$400,000 to$449,999
$450,000 to$499,999
$500,000 to$549,999
At least$550,000
Proportion of total sales
Pri
ce
po
ints
2010 OCT 2011 APR 2011 OCT 2012 APR 2012 OCT
13%
45%
21%
8%
3%
3%
1%
6%
9%
58%
19%
3%
2%
2%
1%
6%
16%
60%
15%
3%
2%
1%
3%
11%
49%
32%
4%
1%
1%
1%
7%
40%
31%
10%
4%
2%
1%
5%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Less than$150,000
$150,000 to$199,999
$200,000 to$249,999
$250,000 to$299,999
$300,000 to$349,999
$350,000 to$399,999
$400,000 to$449,999
At least$450,000
Proportion of total sales
Pri
ce
po
int
2010 OCT 2011 APR 2011 OCT 2012 APR 2012 OCT
250
295
420
320
410
310
390
470
260
330
460
450
405
360
450
530
280
360
475
400
500
380
460
550
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Flat 1 Bed
Flat 2 Bed
Flat 3 Bed
Townhouse 2 Bed
Townhouse 3 Bed
House 2 Bed
House 3 Bed
House 4 Bed
Median weekly rent
Dw
ellin
g t
yp
e
2010 DEC 2011 DEC 2012 DEC