low-temperature geothermal resources for district heating
DESCRIPTION
Low-Temperature Geothermal Resources for District Heating An Economic Analysis of Geothermal District Heating System by Using ArcGIS. Xiaoning He 1 , Brian J. Anderson 1 Department of Chemical Engineering, West Virginia University Morgantown, WV, 26506, USA Email: [email protected]. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Department of Chemical Engineering
Low-Temperature Geothermal Resources for
District HeatingAn Economic Analysis of Geothermal
District Heating System by Using ArcGIS
Xiaoning He1, Brian J. Anderson1 Department of Chemical Engineering, West Virginia UniversityMorgantown, WV, 26506, USAEmail: [email protected]
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• Introduction• Modeling Approach• Result and Discussion• Acknowledgements
Outline
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• Geothermal energy: stable, environmentally-friendly, renewable, baseload energy supply.
• 20% of total energy is used for such low temperature end-use– geothermal energy can
satisfy this end-use.
Introduction70% of
whcih for heating and AC
30% of which for heating
Figure 1: US Energy consumption scenario[EIA, 2011]“Energy consumption estimates by sector, 1949-2010,” U.S. EIA, 2011
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• Geothermal District Heating System (GDHS) Basics– Injection well and
production well– Surface heat exchanger
system– Distribution network
Introduction
DistributionPipeline
Buildings
Figure 2: Two-well Geothermal System Schematic “The Future of Geothermal Energy”, MIT, 2006
Figure 3: Distribution Network Schematic [NREL, 2004]“H2A Scenarios for Delivering Hydrogen ,” NREL, 2004
Figure 4: Heat Exchanger Schematic
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• Levelized cost of geothermal energy
• Geothermal gradient factor– Drilling cost may contribute 60% of the initial
capital cost.
• Population density factor– A high energy demand will reduce the
levelized cost as well.
Modeling ApproachInclude wells’ drilling, surface equipment investment, pipeline network cost, O&Mcost, etc.
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• Data AnalysisGeothermal Gradient Factor
Original Data with depth, temperature, longitude,
latitude
Add into ArcMapCreate temperature maps at
each depth
Data interpolation by IDW to create temperature surface
Get mean temperature at each census tract by zonal
statistics as tables
Calculate gradient for each census tract
for each map
Figure 5: Data Analysis Procedure
for each map
[°C/km]T3~T8 is temperature at depth at 3.5km~8.5km
Pyt
hon
Cod
ing
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• Data Analysis ResultsGeothermal Gradient Factor
Figure 6: Geothermal Temperature at Depth at 3.5 km to 8.5 kmFigure 7: Geothermal Gradient Map
Gradient
13.5 - 16.0
16.0 - 18.0
18.0 - 20.0
20.0 - 22.0
22.0 - 25.0
°C
°C/km
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• Preliminary Work: WVU Case Study– Location: WVU Evansdale campus– Geothermal gradient: 26.44°C/km – Population: 30,000 students– Heating in winter and cooling in summer– Distribution network: current steam pipeline– Levelized cost of geothermal energy: $5.30/MMBtu
• Geothermal Gradient Influence–
Geothermal Gradient Factor
By changing the gradient of the case study, and keeping all the other factors constant, get and plot the levelized cost vs. gradient.
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Population Density Factor
Levelized
Cost
Distribution Network
Cost
Energy Consumpti
on Estimation
Surface Plant Cost
Q=mCpΔT
$𝑀𝑀𝐵𝑡𝑢
Q=mCpΔT
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Population Density FactorE
nerg
y C
on
sum
pti
on
E
stim
ati
on
Average Household Usage: 220MMBtu/year
Average Household Size:
2.5 people
Low-temperature End-use fraction:
0.68
Household Number: base on WV census tract D
istr
ibu
tion
Netw
ork
E
stim
ati
on
Pipe length: 1.5ADN1.04[1]
AD=
Electricity cost for pumping: $0.08/kWh
Pipe sizing: base on mass flow
rate
[1]: C. Yang, J.Ogden, “Determining the lowest-cost hydrogen delivery mode”, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, 2006
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• Other functions and assumption used:– Drilling cost(Million $): 1.0910-7D2+8.8310-4D+0.23 [1]
– Pressure Drop: – dP/dL=2fρv2/ID– Discount rate: 5%– One engineer salary: $70k/year– Operation and Maintenance Cost: $0.0047/kWh [2]
– Project’s lifetime: 30 years
• Population Density Influence– By changing the household number, therefore changing the
population density, and keeping all the other factors constant, get and plot the levelized cost vs. population density
Population Density Factor
[1]: C. Augustine, “Hydrothermal spallation drilling and advanced energy conversion technology for engineered geothermal systems,” Department of Chemical Engineering, Massachusetts Institution of Technology, 2003[2]: S.K. Sanyal, “Cost of geothermal power and factors that affect it,” Stanford Geothermal Workshop, 2004
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Result and Discussion
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 2812.0
12.4
12.8
13.2 f(x) = 0.00308684014451 x² − 0.18254226053931 x + 15.128356287477
Levelized Cost Function of Geothermal Gradient at Pop-
density of 2100ppl/km2
Geothermal Gradient
Leveli
zed C
ost
(°C/km)0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
f(x) = 486.196411031401 x^-0.494643509370829
Levelized Cost Function of Population Density at Geo-gradient of 25.71 °C/km
(ppl/km2)
($/M
MB
tu)
Population Density
Leve
lize
d C
ost
• With the constant geothermal gradient, levelized cost decreases with the increase of population density.
• With the constant population density, the levelized cost decreases with the increase of geothermal gradient.
($/M
MB
tu)
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Result and Discussion
• Gradient Factor (): LC= 0.0031-0.1825+15.128, at P=2100ppl/km2
• Population Density Factor (P): LC=486.2P-0.498, at =25.71 °C/km
• LC Function: LC=486.2P-0.498 + 0.0031-0.1825+8.3
Figure 8: 3D levelized cost function
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Levelized Cost
<12.0
12.0 - 21.6
21.6- 25.5
25.5 - 35.0
>35.0
Figure 9: Levelized Cost Map of West Virginia
WVU Case
Coal Plant
Natural Gas
Solar
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• To be improved:– Distribution network: estimation of pipeline length is rough. Want
to check if ArcMap can be used to develop a distribution network model.
– The geothermal gradient is based on the average temperature of each census tract. This makes the geothermal gradient smaller than reality.
– Try to find other maps with only middle or big cities, rather than the census tract map. This will save time when doing this model nationwide.
Result and Discussion
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• Project partners: – Mr. M. G. Bedre and Mr. J. Peluchette
• G & G department:– Dr. J. Conley, Dr. G. Elmes and Dr. K. Kuhn
• Lab workers:– Ms. N. Garapati, Mr. M. Gaddipati, Mr. S.
Velaga • Department of Energy’s Geothermal
Technologies Program, Project EE0002745 for funding
Acknowledgements