louise lloydreductioninfatals
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Presented by Name HereJob Title - Date
A reduction in fatal casualties Who, why and what does this mean?
Louise Lloyd
Page 2
Agenda
Who: Which road user groups?
Why: Vehicle safety influences
Why: Temporal and economic influences
What does this mean?
1
2
3
4
5
Introduction
Aim
Page 3
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
Aim
Page 4
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cas
ual
tie
s in
de
xed
to
20
00
figu
re
Killed Seriously injured
Aim
Page 5
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
Fatalities:
A – 7,305
B – 1,901
C – 3,409
Aim
Page 6
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cas
ual
tie
s in
de
xed
to
20
00
figu
re
Killed Seriously injured
Hypotheses
Page 7
Changes in:
Hypotheses
Page 8
Changes in:
Financial
stability
Vehicle
safety
Weather
Traffic
Page 9
Agenda
Who: Which road user groups?
Why: Vehicle safety influences
Why: Temporal and economic influences
What does this mean?
1
2
3
4
5
Introduction
Page 10
Casualty trends by road user type
Killed casualty trend by casualty class
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Fata
l ca
sula
tie
s in
de
xed
to
20
00
fig
ure
vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian
Page 11
Casualty trends by road user type
Killed casualty trend by casualty class
Vehicle occupants:
A – 50%
B – 70%
C – 90%
Page 12
Casualty trends by road user type
Killed casualty trend by casualty class
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Fata
l ca
sula
tie
s in
de
xed
to
20
00
fig
ure
vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian
Fatal casualties by age group
Page 13
Young driver licence holders
Page 14
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f p
op
ula
tio
n
Male, 17-20
Male, all 17+
Female, 17-20
Female, all 17+
Page 15
Agenda
Who: Which road user groups?
Why: Vehicle safety influences
Why: Temporal and economic influences
What does this mean?
1
2
3
4
5
Introduction
Page 16
Exposure data by car class
Traffic (billion kilometres) by vehicle type
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Traf
fic
(bil
lio
n k
ilo
me
tre
s)
Minis and superminis Small saloons Medium saloons
Large saloons Sports cars 4x4, people carriers
Fatality rate by car type
Page 17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Kill
ed
cas
ual
ty r
ate
Mini & superminis Small saloon Medium saloon
large/luxury saloon Sports 4X4, people carriers
Page 18
Exposure data by car age
Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Traf
fic
(bil
lio
n k
ilo
me
tre
s)
0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years
Page 19
Exposure data by car age
Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car
Severity rate for new and old cars:
A – 6% v. 4%
B – 6% v. 8%
C – 6% v. 12%
Car registration year
Page 20
Year of accident
0-2 years
3-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16+ years
2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13%
2010 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%
Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants
Car registration year
Page 21
Year of accident
0-2 years
3-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16+ years
2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13%
2010 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%
Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants
Car registration year
Page 22
Year of accident
0-2 years
3-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16+ years
2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13%
2010 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%
Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants
Page 23
Car secondary safety – drivers
Page 24
Car secondary safety – driver fatalities
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
pre
-197
6
1978
-79
1982
-83
1986
-87
1990
-91
1994
-95
1998
-99
2002
-03
2006
-07
2010
-11
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f al
l car
dri
ver
casu
alti
es k
illed
Car drivers
Page 25
Car secondary safety – drivers seriously injured
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
pre
-1976
1978-7
9
1982-8
3
1986-8
7
1990-9
1
1994-9
5
1998-9
9
2002-0
3
2006-0
7
2010-1
1
Pro
porti
on
of
car d
riv
er c
asu
alt
ies s
erio
usly
in
jured
Car driver SI
Page 26
Car secondary safety – drivers
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
pre
-197
6
1978
-79
1982
-83
1986
-87
1990
-91
1994
-95
1998
-99
2002
-03
2006
-07
2010
-11
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f al
l car
dri
ver
casu
alti
es k
illed
Car drivers
Page 27
Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
pre
-19
76
19
78
-79
19
82
-83
19
86
-87
19
90
-91
19
94
-95
19
98
-99
20
02
-03
20
06
-07
20
10
-11P
rop
ort
ion
of
all
pe
de
stri
an
ca
sua
ltie
s k
ille
d
Pedestrians
Page 28
Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
pre
-19
76
19
78
-79
19
82
-83
19
86
-87
19
90
-91
19
94
-95
19
98
-99
20
02
-03
20
06
-07
20
10
-11P
rop
ort
ion
of
all
pe
de
stri
an
ca
sua
ltie
s k
ille
d
Pedestrians
Page 29
Agenda
Who: Which road user groups?
Why: Vehicle safety influences
Why: Temporal and economic influences
What does this mean?
1
2
3
4
5
Introduction
Quarterly fatality numbers
Page 30
Quarterly fatality numbers
Page 31
Minimum quarterly temperature
Page 32
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Min
um
um
ave
rage
tem
per
atu
re (
cels
ius)
Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec
Minimum quarterly temperature
Page 33
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Min
um
um
ave
rage
tem
per
atu
re (
cels
ius)
Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec
Page 34
Agenda
Who: Which road user groups?
Why: Vehicle safety influences
Why: Temporal and economic influences
What does this mean?
1
2
3
4
5
Introduction
Conclusions
Page 35
Financial
stability
Vehicle
safety
Weather
Traffic
Conclusions
Page 36
Traffic
General reduction in traffic
Reduction in young male drivers
Drink driving accidents reduced
Small reduction in speeding
Conclusions
Page 37
Financial
stability
Traffic
General reduction in traffic
Reduction in young male drivers
Drink driving accidents reduced
Small reduction in speeding
Conclusions
Page 38
Vehicle
safety
No change to trend in improvements due to
secondary safety
Conclusions
Page 39
Weather
Progressively colder winters
What does this mean in Surrey?
Page 40
and 2011 and 2012?
