leadnow strategic voting poll: september, 2015 riding · leadnow strategic voting poll: september,...

LeadNow Strategic Voting Poll: September, 2015

Riding

CURRENT FEDERAL VOTE 2011 FEDERAL VOTE GENDER AGE EDUCATION ====== ================================== =================================== ============= =========================== ==================== Unde NDP/ CPC/ Lib/ Green/ Did Not Univer Colle HS/ TOTAL NDP CPC Lib. Green cided Layton Harper Ignat. May Vote Male Female 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ sity ge Less ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T)

Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349

Unweighted Total 18758 3831 6204 5453 1008 1272 3505 7261 4305 791 1259 7777 10364 1306 4185 4194 8445 7947 5388 4673

NET: Ontario 53% 45% 56% 58% 45% 50% 41% 54% 65% 49% 47% 53% 53% 53% 53% 53% 53% 55% 50% 52%------------ BEF BEF B GJK GHJK G G ST

Brantford—Brant 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 5% D D G R R

Bruce--Grey--Owen 5% 4% 7% 5% 7% 5% 4% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 7% 7% Sound BD BD G G GHIK G R R

Cambridge 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% B B B G R R

Eglinton - Lawrence 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% E E E GHJK ST

Etobicoke - Lakeshore 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% BE BE GHJK ST

Guelph 3% 2% 2% 4% 6% 2% 2% 2% 6% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% BCF BCF G GHK GHK S

Kanata - Carleton 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% BEF B G G G G ST

Kitchener Centre 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% C R

London North Centre 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% HIJK

Nepean 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% BF B GK G T T

Niagara Falls 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% D D GJK K R R

Orleans 3% 1% 3% 5% 1% 2% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% BEF BCEF GK GHJK ST

Ottawa West—Nepean 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% B BE GK GK ST

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJK/LM/NOPQ/RSTT-Test for Means, Z-Test for PercentagesUppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level. Sep. 22, 2015 / Environics Research

(Continued) LeadNow Strategic Voting Poll: September, 2015

Riding


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349

Sault Ste. Marie 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% C C HIJ J J J R R

Waterloo 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% E E CE E GHJ ST

Willowdale 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% B BCE GJ GHJ GJ ST

Central Nova 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% BCE BC R

Comberland-Colchester 3% 1% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 5% B BCE B B GHIJ R RS

Fredericton 3% 2% 3% 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% B BC B J

Saint John—Rothesay 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% E BDE J J IJ R R

Winnipeg South Centre 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% C GHK ST

Elmwood—Transcona 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% CDE DE DE HIJ I HIJ R R

Saskatoon University 5% 7% 5% 3% 3% 3% 7% 5% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% CDEF DEF HIJK IJ IJ T

Calgary Center 3% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% BEF BEF GI GI G ST

Kootenay Columbia 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 2% 4% 3% 1% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% CDF DF DF HI I HIK I R R

North Island-Powell 3% 5% 2% 2% 6% 3% 5% 3% 1% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3%River CDF D CDF HI I I I RT R

Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge 3% 5% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% CDE D D HIJK IJ I R R



Riding


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349

Port Moody - Coquitlam 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% CDEF D D HIJK I I

Nanaimo—Ladysmith 4% 5% 3% 2% 13% 4% 6% 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% CD BCDF D HIK I I I RT

Vancouver Granville 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% CD H H ST

Yukon 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 7% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% CE CE E GH GHIK GH



Riding

ONTARIO RIDINGS ======= =============================================================================================================================== Bruce- Brant Grey- London Ottawa Sault ford— Owen Camb Eglin.- Etobi.- Kanata- Kitch. North Niagara West— Ste. Water Willow Total Brant Sound ridge Lawren. Lakesh. Guelph Carlet. Centre Centre Nepean Falls Orleans Nepean Marie loo dale ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q)

Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

NET: Ontario 53% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%------------

Brantford—Brant 3% 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Bruce--Grey--Owen 5% - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Sound

Cambridge 3% - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Eglinton - Lawrence 3% - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - -

Etobicoke - Lakeshore 3% - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - -

Guelph 3% - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - -

Kanata - Carleton 3% - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - -

Kitchener Centre 4% - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - -

London North Centre 3% - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - -

Nepean 3% - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - -

Niagara Falls 3% - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - -

Orleans 3% - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - -

Ottawa West—Nepean 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - -

Sault Ste. Marie 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - -

Waterloo 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100% -

Willowdale 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100%

Central Nova 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comberland-Colchester 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQT-Test for Means, Z-Test for PercentagesUppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level. Sep. 22, 2015 / Environics Research


Riding


Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

Fredericton 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Saint John—Rothesay 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Winnipeg South Centre 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Elmwood—Transcona 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Saskatoon University 5% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Calgary Center 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Kootenay Columbia 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

North Island-Powell 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -River

Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Port Moody - Coquitlam 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Nanaimo—Ladysmith 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Vancouver Granville 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Yukon 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -



Riding

OTHER RIDINGS ======== ====================================================================================================================================== Saint North Pitt Port Comber.- John— Winnip. Island- Meadows Moody- Nanaimo- Central Colche Frede Roth- South Elmwood- Saskat. Calgary Kooten. Powell Maple Coquit Lady Vanco. Total Nova ster ricton esay Centre Transc. Univ. Center Columb. River Ridge lam smith Granv. Yukon -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P)

Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

NET: Ontario 53% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -------------

Brantford—Brant 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Bruce--Grey--Owen 5% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Sound

Cambridge 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Eglinton - Lawrence 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Etobicoke - Lakeshore 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Guelph 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Kanata - Carleton 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Kitchener Centre 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

London North Centre 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Nepean 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Niagara Falls 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orleans 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Ottawa West—Nepean 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sault Ste. Marie 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Waterloo 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Willowdale 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Central Nova 3% 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comberland-Colchester 3% - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEFGHIJKLMNOPT-Test for Means, Z-Test for PercentagesUppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level. Sep. 22, 2015 / Environics Research


Riding


Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

Fredericton 3% - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - - -

Saint John—Rothesay 3% - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - - -

Winnipeg South Centre 3% - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - - -

Elmwood—Transcona 3% - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - - -

Saskatoon University 5% - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - - -

Calgary Center 3% - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - - -

Kootenay Columbia 3% - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - - -

North Island-Powell 3% - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - - -River

Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge 3% - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - - -

Port Moody - Coquitlam 3% - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - - -

Nanaimo—Ladysmith 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - 100% - -

Vancouver Granville 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100% -

Yukon 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100%



Q1. The first question is, are you over 18 years of age, a Canadian Citizen, and resident of Canada for the last 6 months?


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


Yes 98% 99% 98% 99% 98% 98% 98% 98% 99% 98% 98% 98% 98% 97% 99% 99% 98% 98% 98% 97% C C L NQ NQ N T T

DK/NA 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% BD M OPQ OP RS





Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

Yes 96% 94% 97% 95% 97% 96% 98% 98% 97% 97% 98% 94% 97% 97% 95% 97% 98% BDLO BDLO BDFLO BDLO BL BL BDFLO BDLO BDLO BL BDLO

DK/NA 4% 6% 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 6% 3% 3% 5% 3% 2% IJKMNPQ EGHKMNQ GK IJKMNPQ EGHKMNQ CEGH C CEGH C





Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

Yes 96% 95% 96% 94% 96% 95% 93% 95% 97% 96% 95% 95% 96% 97% 95% 95% G G DG G G G

DK/NA 4% 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 7% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5% 5% I CEIJMN



Q2. If the Federal election were held tomorrow, which party’s candidate would you vote for here in the riding of ...?


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


Conservative candidate 30% - 95% - - - 5% 68% 6% 5% 15% 32% 28% 25% 27% 29% 38% 26% 34% 33% GIJK GIJ M N NOP R R

Liberal candidate 28% - - 93% - - 19% 12% 66% 25% 22% 28% 28% 26% 29% 29% 26% 33% 24% 22% H GHJK GH GH NQ NQ ST

NDP candidate 21% 92% - - - - 58% 7% 15% 22% 15% 21% 21% 25% 22% 21% 16% 23% 20% 19% HIJK H HIK H OPQ Q Q ST

Green Party candidate 6% - - - 89% - 6% 3% 3% 33% 7% 5% 6% 8% 6% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% HI GHIK HI OPQ Q Q T

Undecided 13% 8% 5% 7% 11% 100% 10% 9% 9% 14% 30% 11% 15% 12% 13% 13% 13% 11% 13% 17% C C BCD BCDE GHI GHIJ L R RS

Would not vote 2% - - - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 9% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% GHIJ OPQ RS

DK/NA 2% - - - - - 1% *% *% *% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% OQ





Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

Conservative candidate 31% 36% 40% 36% 31% 32% 26% 40% 29% 33% 38% 37% 33% 35% 29% 28% 31% GIOP IJMNOPQ GIOP G GIJMOPQ G EGIOPQ EGIOPQ G GIOP EFG EF

Liberal candidate 27% 20% 25% 26% 34% 34% 37% 30% 28% 29% 30% 23% 46% 32% 28% 33% 37% B B BCDILO BCDILO HIJKLNO BCL BL BL BL JKLNOPQ BCDL B BCDILO DHIJKLO BCD CDEFGHI BC B

NDP candidate 19% 18% 13% 12% 18% 15% 14% 10% 22% 16% 14% 17% 8% 14% 21% 19% 11% DGHKMNQ M M CDHMQ HM M HJKLMNQ CHMQ M CDHMQ HM FGHKMNQ DGHKMNQ C CDEFG CD C

Green Party candidate 5% 4% 5% 5% 2% 2% 9% 3% 5% 4% 5% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% M EFMOP EFM KLMNOPQ EFMOP M EFMOP M M CDEFHIJ B

Undecided 13% 13% 12% 15% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 8% 13% 15% 14% 14% M M M M M M M FGM M M

Would not vote 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% IJKMNOP FHK HK EFGH

DK/NA 4% 6% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2% 5% 3% 4% 1% 6% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% GIKMNPQ EGKM EGKM EGKM EGKM K KM GIKMNPQ EGKM CE E





Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

Conservative candidate 31% 20% 26% 28% 32% 28% 31% 32% 46% 32% 23% 30% 31% 25% 25% 24% B B BCKNOP BK BKNOP BCKNOP HJKLMNOP BCKNOP BKP BKNOP B B BCDEFG

Liberal candidate 27% 34% 44% 28% 24% 32% 14% 18% 34% 12% 14% 14% 13% 14% 24% 31% GHJKLMNO IJKLMNOP GHJKLMN GHJKLMN GHJKLMNO JMN GHJKLMNO GHJKLMN GHJKLMNO DE BDEFGH E DE E

NDP candidate 19% 15% 5% 13% 18% 16% 30% 30% 7% 32% 36% 31% 37% 28% 28% 21% CI CI CDI CI BCDEFIP BCDEFIP BCDEFIP FGHILNOP BCDEFIP FGHILNOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIP BCDFI BCDE BCDE

Green Party candidate 5% 5% 4% 8% 3% 6% 3% 3% 3% 7% 8% 3% 4% 19% 6% 3% EGHIP CEGHILMP EGHIP CEGHILMP CEGHILMP HIJKLMOP EGHIP BCDEFG

Undecided 13% 19% 15% 14% 18% 13% 14% 11% 8% 11% 14% 15% 11% 11% 13% 15% GHIJKMNO IJM IJ FHIJKMNO I I I I HIJMN I HIJMN CDF

Would not vote 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% *% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% *% 1% IKMO IKMO IMO IKMO IO FIJKMO

DK/NA 4% 5% 4% 7% 2% 4% 7% 5% 2% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 4% 6% EIN N EFIKLMNO N EFIKLMNO EIN EIN N N N N EIN C C



Q3. Even though you are undecided, is there a party’s candidate that you are leaning towards?


Total 2394 320 300 387 124 1244 394 618 377 127 513 967 1415 450 823 492 617 944 692 723


Liberal candidate 16% - - 100% - - 19% 12% 33% 21% 9% 17% 16% 17% 18% 15% 14% 19% 17% 12% HK GHJK K Q T T

NDP candidate 13% 100% - - - - 30% 10% 15% 16% 10% 14% 13% 18% 12% 12% 13% 16% 13% 11% HIJK H T

Conservative candidate 13% - 100% - - - 5% 31% 6% 8% 8% 13% 12% 13% 10% 12% 16% 11% 12% 15% GIJK OP

Green Party candidate 5% - - - 100% - 8% 4% 3% 14% 4% 6% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 6% 4% 5% HIK HIK

Completely undecided 52% - - - - 100% 38% 43% 41% 41% 69% 50% 53% 46% 54% 54% 52% 47% 52% 57% GHIJ R

DK/NA 1% - - - - - *% *% *% *% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% *% *%





Total 2419 83 121 81 70 60 67 66 80 64 68 68 48 94 96 89 75

Liberal candidate 15% 16% 12% 17% 13% 15% 30% 20% 15% 14% 21% 13% 21% 21% 13% 16% 25% EFIJLOP CO BC

Conservative candidate 14% 13% 13% 16% 14% 13% 9% 26% 15% 13% 18% 7% 21% 13% 19% 15% 16% CGLN L L

NDP candidate 13% 16% 14% 9% 14% 15% 10% 3% 11% 17% 10% 12% 8% 3% 11% 13% 11% HN HN HN HN HN HN HN HN HN

Green Party candidate 5% 2% 7% 4% 1% 10% 7% 3% 6% 2% 7% 6% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4% EJ

Completely undecided 53% 52% 55% 54% 56% 47% 42% 47% 53% 53% 44% 62% 46% 61% 54% 51% 44% GKQ GKQ

DK/NA 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 2% - 2% - - - - - 3% -





Total 2419 111 91 84 112 75 78 97 43 56 76 83 57 78 72 76

Liberal candidate 15% 16% 15% 15% 18% 23% 10% 7% 12% 5% 11% 14% 11% 8% 13% 16% HJ J J HJN GHJKN J

Conservative candidate 14% 18% 13% 12% 14% 15% 10% 20% 14% 9% 11% 16% 4% 5% 13% 7% MNP M MN MN MNP MN

NDP candidate 13% 8% 5% 13% 7% 15% 12% 23% 12% 23% 20% 16% 19% 18% 15% 14% BCEG BCE BCE C CE CE C

Green Party candidate 5% 4% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 7% - 18% 11% 2% 4% 14% 6% 8% CDEFGLMO DFGL BCDEFGLM B

Completely undecided 53% 52% 60% 57% 56% 45% 65% 42% 63% 45% 49% 49% 61% 54% 51% 55% FH H H FHJKL H H

DK/NA 1% 2% 2% - 1% - - 1% - - - 2% 2% 1% 3% -



Q2/Q3. If the Federal election were held tomorrow, which party’s candidate would you vote for here in the riding of ...?


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


Conservative candidate 31% - 100% - - - 5% 71% 6% 6% 18% 33% 30% 26% 29% 31% 40% 27% 36% 36% GIJK GIJ M NO NOP R R

Liberal candidate 30% - - 100% - - 21% 13% 69% 28% 25% 30% 30% 28% 32% 31% 28% 35% 26% 24% H GHJK GH GH NQ NQ ST

NDP candidate 23% 100% - - - - 61% 7% 16% 24% 19% 23% 23% 27% 24% 23% 18% 24% 22% 21% HIJK H HIK H OPQ Q Q ST

Green Party candidate 6% - - - 100% - 7% 3% 4% 35% 8% 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% HI GHIK HI OPQ Q Q

Undecided 7% - - - - 100% 4% 4% 4% 6% 21% 5% 8% 5% 7% 7% 7% 5% 7% 10% GHIJ L N N N R RS

Would not vote 2% - - - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 9% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% GHIJ OPQ RS

DK/NA 2% - - - - - 1% *% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% OQ





Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

Conservative candidate 33% 38% 42% 38% 32% 34% 27% 43% 31% 34% 40% 38% 35% 36% 32% 30% 33% GIOP IJMNOPQ EGIOP G G IJMNOPQ G EFGIOPQ GIOP G GIP G EFG EFG

Liberal candidate 29% 22% 27% 29% 35% 36% 41% 32% 30% 31% 32% 25% 48% 34% 30% 36% 40% B B BCDILO BCDILO HIJKLNO BCL BL BL BCL JKLNOPQ BCDL B BCDILO HIJKLNO BCD CDEFGHI BCD B

NDP candidate 20% 20% 14% 14% 19% 16% 15% 10% 23% 18% 15% 19% 9% 14% 22% 20% 12% DGHKMNQ HM M CDHMNQ HM HM HJKLMNQ CDHMNQ HM CDHMNQ HM FGHKMNQ DGHKMNQ C CDFG CD C

Green Party candidate 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 4% 10% 4% 6% 5% 6% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% M EMNOP EM KLMNOPQ EMNOP M EMOP M M CDEFHIJ B

Undecided 7% 7% 6% 8% 7% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 8% 4% 8% 8% 7% 6% M M GM M GM GM FGKM M

Would not vote 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% IJKMNOP FHK HK EFGH

DK/NA 4% 6% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2% 5% 3% 4% 1% 6% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% GIKMNPQ KM KM EGKM EGKM K KM GIKMNPQ KM K CE E





Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

Conservative candidate 33% 23% 28% 29% 35% 30% 32% 34% 47% 33% 25% 32% 31% 26% 27% 25% B B BCDKNOP BKP BKNOP BCKNOP HJKLMNOP BKNOP BKNOP BKNP BCDEFG

Liberal candidate 29% 37% 46% 30% 27% 35% 16% 19% 35% 13% 16% 16% 15% 15% 26% 33% GHJKLMNO IJKLMNOP GHJKLMN GHJKLMN GHJKLMNO JMN GHJKLMNO GHJKLMN GHJKLMNO DE BDEFGH E E E

NDP candidate 20% 16% 6% 15% 19% 17% 31% 32% 8% 35% 39% 33% 39% 30% 30% 23% CI CI CDI CI BCDEFIP BCDEFIP BCDEFIP FGHILNOP BCDEFIP FGHILNOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIP BCDFI BCDE BCDE

Green Party candidate 5% 6% 4% 8% 4% 6% 3% 3% 3% 9% 9% 4% 4% 20% 6% 4% EGHI CEGHILMP EGHI CEGHILMP CEGHILMP HIJKLMOP EGHI BCDEFG

Undecided 7% 10% 9% 8% 10% 6% 9% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 7% 6% 7% 8% FHIJKMNO FHIJN HIJ FHIJKMNO FHIJN H HIJ

Would not vote 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% *% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% *% 1% IKMO IKMO IMO IKMO IO FIJKMO

DK/NA 4% 5% 5% 7% 3% 4% 7% 5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 4% 2% 4% 6% EIN N CEFIKMNO EFIKMN EIN EIN N N N N EIN





Total 16820 4231 5843 5578 1169 - 3652 6466 4039 843 1170 8160 8601 3495 5541 3518 4213 8040 4862 3750

Unweighted Total 16496 3831 6204 5453 1008 - 3312 6894 4090 730 833 7120 9268 1172 3781 3787 7647 7337 4894 4053

Conservative candidate 35% - 100% - - - 6% 75% 6% 6% 25% 36% 33% 29% 32% 34% 44% 29% 40% 41% GIJK GIJ M NO NOP R R

Liberal candidate 33% - - 100% - - 22% 14% 73% 30% 36% 32% 34% 31% 35% 35% 31% 38% 29% 28% H GHJK GH GHJ L NQ NQ ST

NDP candidate 25% 100% - - - - 65% 8% 17% 26% 27% 25% 26% 30% 26% 25% 20% 26% 24% 24% HIJK H HI HI OPQ Q Q T

Green Party candidate 7% - - - 100% - 8% 3% 4% 38% 11% 7% 7% 9% 7% 6% 5% 7% 7% 7% HI GHIK GHI OPQ Q Q





Total 16496 524 900 475 507 481 555 501 603 478 528 475 530 659 548 587 480

Conservative candidate 38% 45% 47% 45% 36% 38% 29% 48% 34% 39% 43% 44% 37% 41% 36% 34% 37% FGIMOPQ IJMNOPQ FGIMOPQ G G IJMNOPQ G EGIMOPQ EGIMOPQ G GIP G G E EFG E EFG

Liberal candidate 33% 26% 30% 33% 39% 40% 44% 36% 33% 35% 34% 29% 51% 39% 34% 40% 45% B BCIL BCDILO DHIJKLO BCL B BL B JKLNOPQ BCIL B BCDILO HIJKLNO BC CDEFGHI BCD B

NDP candidate 23% 24% 16% 16% 21% 18% 16% 12% 26% 21% 16% 22% 10% 16% 26% 23% 14% FGHKMNQ HM M DGHKMNQ HM HM GHJKMNQ CDHMNQ HM DGHKMNQ HM FGHKMNQ DGHKMNQ M CD C CDF C CD C

Green Party candidate 6% 5% 6% 6% 3% 4% 11% 4% 6% 5% 6% 5% 2% 4% 4% 3% 5% M EMNOP EMP KLMNOPQ EMNOP M EMOP M M CDEFHIJ B





Total 16496 474 521 479 531 533 453 756 489 474 491 463 469 634 478 420

Conservative candidate 38% 28% 34% 36% 41% 34% 39% 38% 51% 37% 28% 38% 35% 29% 30% 29% BK BKNP BCFKNOP BKN BKNOP BKNOP HJKLMNOP BKNOP BKNOP BKNP BCDEFG

Liberal candidate 33% 45% 55% 37% 32% 40% 19% 21% 38% 14% 18% 19% 16% 16% 29% 40% HIJKLMNO IJKLMNOP GHJKLMNO GHJKLMN GHJKLMNO JMN GHJKLMNO J GHJKLMN GHJKLMNO DEG BDEFGH E E

NDP candidate 23% 20% 7% 18% 23% 20% 38% 37% 8% 39% 44% 39% 44% 33% 34% 27% CI CI CI CI BCDEFIP BCDEFIP BCDEFIP DEFHINOP BCDEFIP DEFHINOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIP BCDFI BC BC

Green Party candidate 6% 7% 5% 10% 4% 7% 4% 4% 3% 10% 10% 5% 4% 22% 7% 5% EGHI CEGHILMP EGHI CEGHILMP CEGHILMP HIJKLMOP EGHI BCDEFG



Q4. If local polling showed that another candidate had the best chance of defeating the Conservative candidate in your riding, would you be willing to change your vote in order to defeat the Conservative, or would you stick with your current vote regardless?


Total 10978 4231 - 5578 1169 - 3442 1625 3778 792 873 5191 5746 2469 3790 2329 2354 5710 2939 2204

Unweighted Total 10292 3831 - 5453 1008 - 3144 1553 3852 694 605 4335 5877 832 2588 2517 4280 5164 2813 2172

Willing to change your 60% 61% - 61% 49% - 63% 48% 62% 66% 56% 61% 59% 61% 61% 61% 56% 64% 57% 53%vote to defeat the E E HK HK HK H M Q Q Q ST T Conservative candidate

Would not change your 39% 38% - 38% 50% - 36% 52% 37% 33% 43% 38% 40% 39% 38% 38% 43% 35% 42% 46%vote based on local BD GIJK GIJ NOP R RSpolling

DK/NA 1% 1% - 1% 2% - 1% *% *% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% L





Total 10292 290 473 263 324 299 394 262 397 292 300 266 333 388 348 388 304

Willing to change your 59% 57% 67% 61% 56% 61% 63% 61% 52% 53% 69% 63% 63% 59% 51% 61% 60%vote to defeat the BEIJNO IO IO IJO IO FIJNOPQ IJO IJO IO IJO IOConservative candidate BE

Would not change your 40% 43% 32% 38% 41% 38% 36% 38% 46% 46% 31% 37% 36% 40% 48% 38% 39%vote based on local CK CK GHKLMPQ CFGKLM CK HKLMNPQ K Kpolling CDF CDFG

DK/NA 1% *% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% *% *% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% BKL BKL





Total 10292 342 346 308 313 352 276 465 239 298 354 289 304 453 334 298

Willing to change your 59% 58% 59% 56% 62% 61% 49% 59% 57% 64% 59% 59% 48% 54% 60% 60%vote to defeat the GM GM M GMN GMN GM M GMN GM GM GM GMConservative candidate

Would not change your 40% 41% 40% 43% 36% 38% 50% 39% 42% 35% 41% 40% 51% 45% 40% 39%vote based on local EFHJKLOP FHIJKLOP EFJ polling BC BCDE

DK/NA 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% KO



Q5. The last federal election was held in May of 2011. Which party’s candidate did you vote for in that election?


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


The Conservatives under 36% 12% 83% 16% 18% 21% - 100% - - - 40% 33% 28% 34% 38% 46% 31% 42% 40%Stephen Harper BDEF B B BD M N NO NOP R R

The Liberals under 23% 16% 4% 53% 13% 13% - - 100% - - 22% 24% 19% 23% 24% 24% 29% 18% 16%Michael Ignatieff CEF BCEF C C L N N N ST T

The NDP under Jack 21% 56% 4% 14% 24% 12% 100% - - - - 19% 22% 23% 22% 22% 16% 22% 21% 19%Layton CDEF CF CDF C L Q Q Q T

The Green Party led by 5% 5% 1% 5% 27% 4% - - - 100% - 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 3% 6% 5% 3%Elizabeth May C C BCDF C Q PQ Q ST T

Did not vote in the 2011 9% 7% 5% 8% 11% 28% - - - - 100% 9% 9% 18% 8% 6% 5% 7% 8% 15%federal election C C BCD BCDE OPQ PQ R RS

DK/NA 7% 4% 3% 4% 6% 22% - - - - - 5% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% C BCD BCDE L Q





Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

The Conservatives under 39% 39% 46% 43% 38% 35% 30% 50% 35% 37% 46% 41% 42% 45% 36% 34% 36%Stephen Harper G GIJLOPQ FGIOPQ G IJLMOPQ G FGIJOPQ GIP FGIOPQ FGIJOPQ G BEF BDEFG BE BE

The Liberals under 23% 25% 22% 22% 32% 36% 42% 26% 27% 23% 25% 23% 36% 27% 23% 33% 36%Michael Ignatieff HIJKLNO HIJKLNO KLMNOPQ C HIJKLNO C HIJKLNO HIJKLNO BCD BCD CDEFHIJ BCD BCD BCD B

The NDP under Jack 19% 15% 11% 14% 15% 13% 10% 7% 19% 23% 13% 16% 9% 11% 25% 15% 11%Layton CGHMNQ H GHM CGHMNQ HM H FGHKMNQ HKLMNPQ HM CGHMNQ H IKLMNPQ CGHMNQ H CD BCDEFG BCDEFGH

The Green Party led by 4% 3% 7% 4% 2% 3% 7% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 1% 3% 2%Elizabeth May O KLMNOPQ OQ JLMNOPQ EOQ OQ EOQ O OQ OQ BDEFHIJ BDEFI

Did not vote in the 2011 7% 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 4% 5% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 7% 6%federal election GMN G EGMN GM

DK/NA 9% 10% 7% 10% 8% 8% 6% 8% 8% 8% 6% 11% 7% 9% 9% 7% 9% GKM GKM CGKMP K





Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

The Conservatives under 39% 36% 37% 36% 42% 36% 33% 40% 54% 39% 35% 42% 39% 34% 30% 27%Stephen Harper OP OP OP CDFGKNOP OP GNOP HJKLMNOP GOP P BDFGKNOP GOP P B BCDEFG

The Liberals under 23% 21% 23% 24% 19% 32% 9% 10% 17% 8% 10% 10% 9% 12% 24% 29%Michael Ignatieff GHJKLMN GHIJKLMN GHIJKLMN GHJKLMN HIJKLMNO GHJKLMN J GHIJKLMN GHIJKLMN E BCDEG E BCE

The NDP under Jack 19% 19% 14% 17% 16% 16% 33% 33% 11% 30% 34% 29% 32% 34% 26% 12%Layton CIP IP IP I BCDEFIOP BCDEFIOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIOP CDEFILOP BCDEFIP B

The Green Party led by 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 5% 8% 6% 3% 4% 6% 6% 11%Elizabeth May H H EH DEH CDEFGHLM DEGHL EH DEGHL DEGHL HIJKLMNO B BCDEFG

Did not vote in the 2011 7% 8% 11% 8% 10% 5% 12% 6% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 5% 7% 8%federal election F FHKLMNO FN FHLN FHIKLMNO F FN FN BD

DK/NA 9% 13% 12% 12% 10% 7% 11% 9% 6% 7% 8% 10% 8% 9% 7% 12% FHIJKMNO FIJO FIJKMNO FI FIJO I I FIJMO





Total 15803 3760 5363 4916 961 622 3855 6794 4245 907 - 7638 8119 2933 5261 3418 4163 7635 4620 3437

Unweighted Total 15862 3483 5783 4906 854 664 3505 7261 4305 791 - 6824 8964 981 3585 3671 7561 7082 4730 3909

The Conservatives under 43% 13% 90% 18% 22% 43% - 100% - - - 47% 40% 37% 40% 43% 51% 36% 49% 51%Stephen Harper BDEF B B BDE M NO NOP R R

The Liberals under 27% 18% 5% 60% 16% 25% - - 100% - - 26% 28% 25% 27% 27% 27% 33% 22% 21%Michael Ignatieff C BCEF C BCE L ST

The NDP under Jack 24% 63% 4% 16% 29% 24% 100% - - - - 22% 26% 31% 26% 25% 18% 25% 24% 24%Layton CDEF C CD CD L OPQ Q Q

The Green Party led by 6% 6% 1% 5% 33% 8% - - - 100% - 5% 6% 7% 7% 5% 4% 7% 5% 4%Elizabeth May C C BCDF CD PQ PQ Q ST





Total 15862 516 881 460 495 469 538 491 567 462 505 468 505 647 535 564 454

The Conservatives under 46% 47% 54% 52% 43% 41% 34% 57% 42% 44% 52% 49% 47% 52% 42% 40% 42%Stephen Harper FGP GIJMOPQ FGIJOPQ G G IJLMOPQ G G FGIJOPQ FGIOPQ FGP FGIJOPQ G G G BEF E BEFG E E

The Liberals under 27% 31% 26% 27% 37% 41% 47% 30% 32% 26% 29% 28% 40% 31% 27% 38% 43%Michael Ignatieff C DHJKLNO HIJKLNO JKLMNOP C HIJKLNO C HIJKLNO HIJKLNO BC BCD BCDEFHI BCD BCD BCDE

The NDP under Jack 22% 18% 12% 16% 18% 15% 11% 8% 22% 26% 14% 19% 10% 13% 29% 18% 13%Layton CGHMNQ H GHM CGHMNQ HM FGHKMNQ HKLMNPQ HM CGHKMNQ H IKLMNPQ CGHMNQ H CD BCDEFG BCDEFGH

The Green Party led by 5% 4% 8% 5% 3% 3% 8% 5% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2%Elizabeth May O KLMNOPQ OQ JLMNOPQ EOQ OQ OQ O OQ OQ BDEFHIJ BEFI





Total 15862 456 481 461 498 529 423 719 458 445 469 455 449 603 464 395

The Conservatives under 46% 45% 47% 45% 53% 40% 43% 47% 62% 46% 41% 50% 46% 40% 35% 34%Stephen Harper OP FNOP OP GHJKMNOP OP FKNOP HJKLMNOP OP OP FGKNOP OP BDF BCDEFG

The Liberals under 27% 26% 30% 30% 24% 36% 11% 12% 20% 9% 12% 12% 11% 14% 28% 36%Michael Ignatieff GHIJKLMN GHIJKLMN GHIJKLMN GHJKLMN HIJKLMNO GHJKLMN J GHIJKLMN HIJKLMNO E E BCDEG BEG

The NDP under Jack 22% 24% 18% 22% 20% 18% 43% 39% 12% 36% 40% 34% 38% 40% 30% 15%Layton CFIP I IP IP I DEFIJLOP BCDEFIOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIOP BCDEFIP BCDEFIOP BCDEFIOP BCDEFIP BC

The Green Party led by 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% 2% 6% 9% 7% 4% 5% 7% 7% 14%Elizabeth May H H EH EH CDEFGHLM DEGHL H DEGHL DEGHL HIJKLMNO B BCDEFG



Q6. In this election, would you say you are voting to re-elect Stephen Harper and the Conservatives, or are you voting to defeat the Harper Conservatives and elect a different government?


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


Voting to re-elect 32% 5% 90% 3% 9% 9% 8% 72% 7% 7% 20% 35% 29% 29% 28% 31% 40% 27% 36% 37%Stephen Harper D BDEF BD BD GIJK GIJ M O NOP R R

Voting to defeat Stephen 58% 90% 6% 91% 78% 41% 89% 23% 89% 86% 61% 56% 60% 59% 62% 60% 50% 64% 55% 50%Harper CEF CEF CF C HJK HK HK H L Q Q Q ST T

DK/NA 11% 5% 5% 5% 13% 50% 4% 6% 4% 7% 19% 9% 11% 12% 9% 9% 10% 8% 10% 13% BCD BCDE GI GI GHIJ L OP R RS





Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

Voting to re-elect 33% 39% 38% 37% 34% 31% 26% 44% 30% 35% 41% 36% 34% 38% 33% 30% 33%Stephen Harper FGIOPQ FGIOP FGIP G JLMNOPQ GIP GIJMOPQ GIP G FGIP G G CDEFGI EF

Voting to defeat Stephen 55% 47% 50% 49% 54% 57% 65% 47% 58% 54% 52% 49% 56% 51% 55% 59% 57%Harper BH BCDHLN KLMNOPQ BCDHKLN BH BCDHLN BCDHL BCDHKLN BCDHLN CDEFHIJ B

DK/NA 12% 14% 13% 14% 12% 12% 9% 9% 12% 10% 7% 16% 9% 11% 12% 11% 10% GHKM GHKM GHJKMQ K K K IJKMNPQ K K K EGH





Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

Voting to re-elect 33% 23% 26% 28% 33% 31% 32% 36% 49% 35% 26% 33% 33% 27% 28% 26%Stephen Harper BCKNP BC BC BCDKNOP HJKLMNOP BCDKNOP BCKNP BCKNP BCDEFG

Voting to defeat Stephen 55% 60% 59% 54% 52% 59% 53% 53% 43% 55% 61% 52% 56% 60% 61% 58%Harper DEGHIL EGHIL I I EGHIL I I I DEGHIJL I I DEGHIJL DEGHIJL EI

DK/NA 12% 17% 15% 18% 16% 10% 16% 11% 9% 10% 13% 15% 11% 12% 11% 16% FHIJMNO FHIJMO FHIJKMNO FHIJMO FHIJMO I FIJ I FHIJMO



Q7. Gender


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


Male 47% 48% 51% 47% 46% 39% 45% 52% 46% 46% 48% 100% - 55% 48% 46% 43% 50% 47% 46% F BDEF F F GIJK OPQ Q Q ST

Female 51% 52% 49% 53% 53% 61% 55% 47% 54% 54% 52% - 100% 44% 52% 54% 57% 50% 53% 54% C C BCDE H H H H N N NOP R R

DK/NA 1% *% *% *% 1% 1% *% *% *% *% *% - - 1% *% *% *% *% *% *% PQ S



Q7. Gender


Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

Male 41% 42% 43% 42% 40% 44% 41% 43% 39% 40% 44% 36% 45% 40% 38% 44% 41% L LO LO L LO ILNO LO

Female 55% 52% 55% 54% 59% 53% 57% 54% 58% 57% 54% 59% 53% 58% 59% 53% 56% BFMP BMP BMP B BFMP

DK/NA 3% 6% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% IKMNOPQ EG E E EGIKMNQ E CEFGH C



Q7. Gender


Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

Male 41% 39% 39% 45% 41% 40% 37% 40% 45% 43% 40% 41% 47% 43% 40% 43% CG CG G BCFGHKO G G

Female 55% 58% 58% 49% 57% 56% 57% 56% 53% 52% 56% 56% 50% 54% 56% 53% DM DM DM DM DM DM D D DM

DK/NA 3% 3% 3% 6% 2% 3% 6% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% EFILMNOP EFILMNOP E E E BC BC



Q8. Age


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


18-34 21% 25% 18% 19% 28% 17% 24% 16% 18% 22% 42% 24% 18% 100% - - - 22% 15% 26% CDF CF BCDF HI H HI GHIJ M S RS

35-54 33% 34% 30% 35% 34% 36% 35% 31% 34% 42% 31% 33% 33% - 100% - - 38% 36% 20% C C C C HK H GHIK T T

55-64 21% 21% 20% 22% 20% 21% 22% 22% 22% 19% 13% 20% 22% - - 100% - 20% 23% 20% K K K K L RT

65+ 25% 20% 32% 23% 18% 26% 19% 32% 27% 16% 14% 23% 27% - - - 100% 20% 25% 35% BDEF BE BE K GIJK GJK L R RS

DK/NA 1% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% - - - - *% *% *% T



Q8. Age


Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

18-34 7% 6% 5% 7% 8% 7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 5% 8% 5% 6% 8% 7% CL C CL CLN CLN

35-54 22% 19% 16% 24% 23% 23% 24% 27% 24% 21% 32% 17% 27% 20% 17% 28% 23% BCLO CLO CLO BCLO BCJLNO BCLO C IJLMNOQ BCJLNO C BCEJLNO CLO BCDEFG

55-64 22% 22% 25% 20% 22% 24% 21% 22% 22% 20% 21% 18% 28% 21% 25% 21% 24% DGJLNP L HIJKLNP DL L BDEG

65+ 45% 47% 52% 45% 46% 42% 47% 41% 43% 48% 38% 55% 36% 51% 50% 41% 44% HKMP FHIKMPQ KM KM M KMP KM HKMP HIJKMPQ FHIKMPQ FHIKMPQ KM DE BDEFG D

DK/NA 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% HKMNOPQ E E E E CEGKMNQ E E E CDEG



Q8. Age


Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

18-34 7% 7% 7% 11% 9% 7% 11% 10% 9% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% CFJKLMNO JKLMN CFJKLMNO CFJKLMNO JKLMN B B

35-54 22% 14% 16% 24% 25% 20% 21% 23% 23% 21% 19% 22% 26% 18% 26% 33% BCN BCKN BC BC BCN BCN BC B BC BCFKN BCFGJKN HIJKLMNO BCDEFG

55-64 22% 26% 22% 18% 22% 18% 21% 22% 22% 23% 24% 24% 23% 23% 21% 28% DEFGO F DF DF DF DF DF CDEFGHIO

65+ 45% 49% 53% 41% 42% 51% 41% 40% 44% 46% 48% 45% 41% 50% 43% 28% DEGHMOP GHIJLMOP P P EGHILMOP P P P HP DGHMP P P DEGHIMOP P DE D

DK/NA 3% 3% 3% 6% 2% 4% 6% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% BCEIKLNP BCEIN E E E



Q9. What is the highest level of education you’ve completed?


Total 18758 4231 5843 5578 1169 1244 3855 6794 4245 907 1690 8910 9660 3892 6143 3892 4643 8687 5381 4349


University Degree 46% 50% 40% 54% 48% 36% 50% 40% 59% 55% 35% 48% 45% 49% 53% 45% 37% 100% - - CF F BCEF CF HK K GHK GHK M PQ NPQ Q

College Degree or Trades 29% 28% 33% 25% 29% 29% 29% 33% 23% 27% 26% 28% 30% 21% 32% 32% 29% - 100% -Certificate D BDF D D I GIJK NQ NQ N

High School 19% 18% 22% 16% 14% 25% 17% 22% 14% 12% 29% 18% 20% 21% 12% 19% 26% - - 81% E BDE BCDE IJ GIJ GHIJ L O O NOP

Less than High School 4% 4% 4% 3% 7% 8% 4% 4% 3% 5% 9% 5% 4% 8% 2% 3% 6% - - 19% D BCD BCD I GHIJ OP O OP

DK/NA 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - BC





Total 18758 622 1022 552 565 537 601 562 672 540 569 557 567 747 632 658 535

University Degree 42% 25% 27% 31% 59% 56% 49% 50% 36% 45% 54% 34% 52% 51% 31% 56% 65% B HIJLMNO CDGIJLO BCDILO BCDILO BCDO BCDILO BCDIJLO BC BCDIJLO BCDIJLO B CDGIJLO JKLMNOP BCDG B B BCDFGHI

College Degree or Trades 29% 35% 35% 32% 21% 24% 27% 26% 28% 28% 30% 29% 27% 24% 30% 22% 18%Certificate IJLMNPQ KLMNOPQ FGHMNPQ Q EPQ EQ EPQ EPQ EFNPQ EFNPQ EPQ Q EFNPQ EFGH EFGHIJ E

High School 20% 26% 25% 26% 13% 12% 18% 18% 26% 19% 14% 25% 17% 19% 28% 16% 13% HJKMNPQ HJKMNPQ HJKMNPQ EFKQ EFQ HJKMNPQ EFKQ HJKMNPQ F EFKQ HJKMNPQ EFG EFG EFG EFG EFG EFG

Less than High School 5% 8% 9% 7% 5% 4% 4% 2% 6% 4% 1% 7% 1% 3% 7% 3% 1% HJKMNPQ IJKMNPQ HJKMNPQ HKMQ HKMQ KMQ K HKMNPQ HKMQ GHKMNPQ K HJKMNPQ KMQ EFG EFGH G EFG

DK/NA 4% 7% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% JKMNOPQ K GK GK CEGKQ GK CDEFGI





Total 18758 573 617 580 623 597 552 853 531 529 556 543 529 699 541 497

University Degree 42% 32% 27% 41% 31% 56% 29% 46% 60% 31% 31% 28% 48% 40% 63% 43% BCEGJKL GHJKLMNP BCEGJKLN GHJKLMNP CDEGJKLN BCEGJKL GHJKLMNP BCEGJKL BCDE BCDE B BCDEF

College Degree or Trades 29% 29% 31% 29% 34% 22% 30% 28% 20% 36% 40% 38% 28% 34% 19% 33%Certificate FIO FIO FIO FHIMO FIO FIO CDFGHIMO FGHIMNOP CDFGHIMO FIO FHIMO FHIMO B BCDE B

High School 20% 27% 31% 19% 26% 14% 31% 17% 14% 22% 20% 26% 17% 18% 12% 16% FHIKMNOP HIJKMNOP FIO FHIKMNOP HIJKMNOP O FHIOP FIO FHIKMNOP O O D DF D DF D

Less than High School 5% 7% 8% 3% 7% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4% IJKLMNOP IJKLMNOP FGHIKMOP O O DFGH DFGH D

DK/NA 4% 4% 4% 7% 3% 5% 7% 6% 3% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% CEILNO CEINO CEINO EIN


leadnow strategic voting poll: september, 2015 riding · leadnow strategic voting poll: september,...

Documents