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    | rontiers in nance June 2009

    rontiers in fnanceFINANCIAL SERVICES

    or decision makers in nancial servicesJune 2009

    The long roadto recoveryMaking it a reality

    Major changes ahead

    Making sense o regulation

    Clarity and reality

    The role o the auditorin nancial services

    Jump start

    Reviving the US nancial system

    Confdence must return

    An investment management perspective

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    orewordrontiers in nance

    June 2009

    Brendan Nelson

    Vice Chairman, KPMG in the UK

    Global Chairman, Financial Services

    The long road to recovery

    The nancial services

    sector like the global

    economy as a whole

    aces a long and

    potentially bumpy road

    to recovery. One o the

    oundations or long term stability

    should be regulatory reorm. While

    regulation cannot eliminate all riskrom nancial markets, the old regime

    was in need o some redevelopment.

    Regulators in many jurisdictions are

    struggling to ormulate new rameworks

    which will prove robust and eective.

    As yet, it is not clear that there is

    agreement on basic principles.

    Furthermore, solutions are likely

    to dier between the banking,

    investment management and insurance

    sectors. I believe the audit proession

    has much to contribute and hasty and

    ill-considered action should be avoided.At the same time, the speed at which

    new regulations may be brought in

    means that rms do not have the luxury

    o waiting until the dust has settled.

    Some preparatory work has to start

    now. In this issue we highlight this

    rom a range o perspectives.

    The US remains the engine o the

    global economy, and so the success

    o the Financial Stability Plan will be

    crucial or us all. We look at some o

    its key eatures and implications.

    More generally, we recognize

    recovery requires that trust in the

    nancial services industry be rebuilt.

    This is equally true in investment

    management where there are

    exciting opportunities ahead as

    is the case in banking and insurance.

    Also in this issue, we ocus on two

    contrasting economies: Canada, where

    the nancial services environment hasremained largely intact; and India, which

    despite suering a battering rom the

    crisis, is still on course or enviable

    growth this year.

    At KPMG, our member rms

    work with leading nancial services

    institutions across the world, providing

    an opportunity to explore in detail how

    companies are coping with these

    turbulent times. A number o recent

    KPMG surveys in investment

    management, insurance and payments

    also assist in oering valuable insights.On this journey to recovery, the

    nancial services sector is going to

    need all the insight and advice that is

    available. I hope this issue o rontiers

    in fnancegoes some way to meeting

    that need.

    Brendan Nelson

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Contents | rontiers in fnance June 2009

    In this issue

    For your inormation

    yi 2

    Topics

    Major changes ahead: Making sense

    o regulation 4

    Perspectives on regulation in banking,

    investment management and insurance 8

    Clarity and reality: The role o the

    auditor in fnancial services 2

    Jump start Reviving the US fnancial

    system: The Financial Stability Plan 4

    Economic turmoil: The US commercial

    real estate perspective 7

    Confdence must return: An investment

    management perspective 8

    Renewing the promise: Time to mend

    relationships in investment

    management 2

    Act now: The implications o

    Basel II revisions 22

    Quietly prospering: Canadian

    fnancial services 24

    A glimmer o hope 28

    Show me the money: Insights into

    global payments 30

    Addressing the trust gap:

    Renewing confdence in the fnancial

    services industry 34

    Separating value: Getting the most

    rom your disposals 38

    Changing or the better 42

    Getting ahead UCITS IV: Putting thepotential into action 44

    Order returns An economic overview 46

    Series

    Emerging markets: India: A brighter

    uture? 48

    Insights

    Updates rom KPMG member frms,

    thought leadership & contacts 52

    12

    Topics: Clarity and reality: The role

    o the auditor in fnancial services

    18

    Topics: Confdence must return:

    Investment management

    24

    Topics: Quietly prospering: Canadian

    fnancial services

    48

    Series: Emerging markets:

    India: A brighter uture?

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member frms o the KPMG network o independent frms are afliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member frm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member frm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member frm. All rights reserved.

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | For your inormation

    yi...At your fnger tips

    rontiers in fnanceonlineWith our audiencegrowing rapidly, we wantedto make rontiers in fnancemore accessible to you,our readers. The rontiersin fnanceteam is pleasedto bring you KPMGs rstonline magazine. Thisexciting new versionmeans you will be ableto read the latest editiono the magazine at the

    click o a button! But not only will you be able to viewthe entire magazine, you will also be able to downloadindividual articles, share them with your colleagues, viewvideos and podcasts on various topics and keep up to

    w section, rontiers

    d regularly to addressnancial servicesgazine now ate.

    here is no clear leader or levels ro

    date with hot issues through our nesupplements. These will be updatespecic aspects o interest in the industry arena. Go to our online mawww.kpmg.com/rontiersinfnanc

    Insights in Nigerian Banking

    Tpreerred bank or SMEs(Small to Medium Enterprises).According to the 2009 edition o

    KPMGs Nigerian Banking Industry

    Customer Satisaction Survey, it is

    evident that the SME market may

    not be receiving the attention it

    deserves rom banks in Nigeria.

    This insightul report also

    highlighted a progressive rate o

    diminishing customer satisaction

    m the larger corporate

    respondents. Futhermore it goes

    on to highlight opportunities or banks

    in Nigeria to improve customer

    satisaction and in turn, increase

    customer retention and loyalty, a

    hot topic we are seeing or nancial

    services globally.

    For more inormation go to

    www.ng.kpmg.com

    Focus on next practices,not best practices

    Proessor C.K. Prahalad1,

    one o the worlds most

    infuential experts in corporate

    strategy visited KPMG in Finlands

    top executive seminar on strategy

    in May in Helsinki. Prahalad revealed

    that the key to creating value and

    the uture growth o every business

    depends on accessing a global

    network o resources to co-create

    unique experiences with customers,

    one at a time.

    He argued that the nature

    o strategy has changed and the

    management ocus has to be on

    anticipating new business

    opportunities and on creating

    next practices, not best practices.

    According to Prahalad, the

    competitive arena is shiting rom a

    product-centric view o value creation

    to a personalized experience-centric

    view o value creation and innovation.

    Prahalad believes that competitive

    advantage will depend on a rms

    approach to business processes, that

    can seamlessly connect customers

    and resources and manage

    simultaneously the needs or

    eciency and fexibility. It will be a

    race to provide a unique customer

    experience at the lowest cost.

    For more inormation contact:

    KPMG in Finland www.kpmg.f/en

    1. For urther reading: The New Age o Innovation Driving Co-Created Value through Global Networks,C.K. Prahalad, M.S. Krishnan, McGraw-Hill 2008.

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

    2

    http://www.kpmg.com/frontiersinfinancehttp://www.kpmg.com/frontiersinfinancehttp://www.kpmg.com/frontiersinfinancehttp://www.ng.kpmg.com/http://www.kpmg.fi/enhttp://www.kpmg.fi/enhttp://www.ng.kpmg.com/http://www.kpmg.com/frontiersinfinance
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    For your inormation | rontiers in nance June 2009

    Global Financial Forum

    Taking stock andlooking aheadIn New York recently,The Foreign PolicyAssociation, ChathamHouse, and BritishAmerican Business,supported by KPMGInternational, organizedthe Global FinancialForum.

    World economic leaders

    gathered to discuss the

    state o nancial services

    and what is needed to move

    orward. Christine Lagarde, The

    French Minister or the Economy,

    Finance and Employment pointed

    out that what is unprecedented today

    is not so much the consensus on a

    need or stimulus, but rather the

    consensus on a need or nancial

    services regulation.

    Lord Turner, Chairman Financial

    Services Authority (the UK regulator),

    highlighted three areas o regulatory

    reorm needed; a macro-prudential

    approach, capital reorm and a

    mechanism to reverse the unding

    o long term obligations by short

    term risk.

    President o the European Central

    Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, noted

    the over-arching need to restore

    condence in nancial services.

    Some o these key themes are

    discussed later in this edition.

    For more discussion on regulation,

    see page 4.

    2009 frontiers in taxRestructuring, consolidationand government intervention

    The 2009 issue o rontiers in tax,our sister title, looks at the impactsand consequences o the nancialcrisis and identies some othe longer term tax risks andopportunities.

    T

    hrough the global network

    o KPMG member rms,

    our colleagues take a orward-

    looking view o the tax consequences

    o major developments in the industry

    such as the drat UCITS IV directive.

    This is a major development in the

    establishment o a single market in

    mutual unds within the EU which

    has wide-reaching eects.

    Our colleagues look into recent

    reorms and tax changes in the

    Chinese insurance market which

    give rise to interesting opportunities

    or oreign investors. In addition a

    recent trend in South East Asia sees

    authorities taking a stricter line on

    oreign investors using treaty networks

    or cross-boarder transactions.

    Finally, this issue discusses

    proposed changes to indirect tax

    or nancial services that could have

    some unoreseen consequences or

    the industry.

    For urther inormation visit

    www.kpmg.com/tax

    Governance, riskand reportingDrat EC Directive orAlternative InvestmentFund Managers

    I

    n late April the European

    Commission published new

    legislation or the regulation o

    Alternative Investment Fund Managers.

    This ollows global calls or reorm to

    risks taken by nancial institutions,

    which have been linked to the credit

    crisis1. The proposals would require

    the alternative und managers, not the

    unds, to register and seek government

    authorization which would include

    elements o reporting, governance

    and risk management standards2.

    Tom Brown, partner KPMG in

    the UK noted while we can welcome

    the directive rom the perspective o

    supporting the industrys own

    agenda o building good practice,

    and while the better run hedge

    unds will likely nd little change

    rom many o the measures being

    introduced, the real challenge is one

    o implementation. Politicians need

    to ensure that the political agenda

    doesnt end up destroying the

    European hedge und industry by

    imposing sweeping changes that

    are unworkable or unnecessary.

    1. Hedge und managers warn on EU plans, www.t.com,April 29, 2009.

    2. Hedge und managers warn EU rules will cripple their industry,www.t.com, April 30, 2009.

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | Topics

    Brendan Nelson

    MajorchangesaheadMaking sense o regulation

    In some respects, the likely shape o the nancialservices industry ater the crisis may remain unclear.But one thing seems certain: the nature, scope andpurpose o regulation will change substantially.Politicians, regulators and treasury ocials acrossthe developed world are setting out proposals ora more robust and eective regulatory regime toimprove protection against uture crashes.

    The ailure o the authorities

    Responsibility or the crisis may

    reasonably be shared among a

    number o interests. Central bankers

    declined to assume responsibility or

    the growth o unsustainable asset

    bubbles; governments ailed to tighten

    policy when public nances allowed

    and regulation ailed in its key task o

    maintaining stability and condence

    in markets and the nancial system.

    The dangers o systemic risk

    were ignored, and the need or

    macro-prudential oversight orgotten.

    As a consequence banks, especially,

    are now coming under huge pressure

    rom regulators to signicantly

    improve their capital and liquidity

    positions and demonstrate sound

    and prudent management. A major

    drive or regulatory reorm is already

    under way. 2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Topics | rontiers in nance June 2009

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | Topics

    Regulatory reorm

    In the US, Treasury Secretary Tim

    Geithner is calling or comprehensive

    regulatory reorm: not modest repairs

    at the margin, but new rules o the

    game. The European Commissions de

    Larosire report suggests the creationo a European Systemic Risk Council

    to oversee a new system o regulation

    and supervision. In the UK, the Turner

    Review calls or higher minimum capital

    requirements, counter-cyclical capital

    buers and limits on gross leverage.

    What is still unclear is how all o the

    proposals currently being ormulated

    and discussed can be integrated into an

    eective global ramework which also

    refects individual national priorities. The

    dangers o conusion, incoherence and

    promotion o regulatory arbitrage are real.At the G20 London Summit in April,

    world leaders pledged action to build

    a stronger, more globally consistent

    supervisory and regulatory ramework

    or the uture nancial sector:

    Strengthened regulation and

    supervision must promote

    propriety, integrity and

    transparency; guard against

    risk across the nancial system;

    dampen rather than ampliy the

    nancial and economic cycle;reduce reliance on inappropriately

    risky sources o nancing; and

    discourage excessive risk-taking.

    G20 Final Communique, April 2009

    They announced that regulation

    and oversight would be extended

    to all systemically important nancial

    institutions, instruments and markets,

    including hedge unds.

    While the principles o the G20

    declaration are to be applauded, a great

    deal o detailed discussion and drating

    will be needed to ensure that an

    eective and unambiguous system

    emerges. The criterion o systemic

    importance, while intuitively clear, is

    merely the most high-prole concept

    over which erce debate is inevitable.

    There is also a risk that the realprogress made over the last 20 years

    towards harmonization o global

    standards will be undermined or

    thrown o course.

    Capital adequacy

    The G20 proposals or a counter-cyclical

    capital adequacy regime are likely to

    be among the least contentious in

    principle, since they are consistent

    with current thinking rom a number o

    sources. But they are likely to result in

    a more ormulaic regime, which couldconstrain scope or fexibility at the

    same time as imposing more stringent

    overall capital requirements. It remains

    to be seen whether any new system

    will be truly balanced, or will simply

    be used to impose higher limits during

    the good times. Nor is it clear that it

    will be easy in practice to track the

    economic cycle with sucient

    precision. The rate and extent to which

    capital requirements are tightened as

    we emerge rom recession will be a

    particularly sensitive decision.One o the more challenging

    commitments o the G20 Communiqu

    is that all G20 countries should

    progressively adopt the Basel II

    ramework. However, no timetable or

    this has been agreed. One o the

    obvious major stumbling blocks is that

    the US has, to date, ailed to make any

    commitment to Basel II at all. In

    addition, it is not obvious that imposing

    Basel II on all banks, whatever their size

    and degree o cross-border exposure,

    will turn out to be realistic.

    A great deal of detaileddiscussion and drafting willbe needed to ensure that an

    effective and unambiguoussystem emerges.

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    | rontiers in nance June 2009

    7

    Topics

    Hedge unds

    Political considerations and public

    anger are giving extra orce to demands

    or tighter regulation. Although hedge

    unds have had only a minor role in

    causing the crisis, they are widely

    criticized and misunderstood and

    are going to be drawn more tightly

    into the new regulatory ramework.Funds and their managers can expect

    to be registered and subject to new

    disclosure requirements. The adequacy

    o risk management systems will likely

    be probed. Institutions which have

    hedge unds as their counter-parties

    will likely need to develop mechanisms

    to monitor the unds leverage and set

    limits or single counter-party exposures.

    Once again, though, the detail will be

    critical. There is not yet even an agreed

    denition o what is, or is not, a hedge

    und, let alone which criteria wouldidentiy one as systemically signicant.

    In the UK, Lord Turner notes that hedge

    unds in general are not like banks; the

    implication is that they should not be

    regulated in the same way as banks.

    The UKs Hedge Fund Standards Board,

    while operating a voluntary ramework,

    has established a sound oundation

    which global regulators could protably

    build on.

    Remuneration

    There is also widespread publicconcern and anger at the

    remuneration o those bankers

    perceived to have caused the crisis;

    some extension o regulation to include

    salaries and bonus arrangements is

    politically inevitable. The argument

    seems even more compelling in relation

    to those institutions which have been

    bailed out or taken into public ownership.

    The argument that compensation

    arrangements should properly refect

    risk and, in particular, match the time

    horizon o risks so that payments

    should not be nalized over short

    periods where risks are managed over

    long periods is surely sound. Similarly,

    recent high-prole controversies have

    accentuated the need or non-executive

    directors and shareholders to be more

    ully involved in and appraised o

    remuneration arrangements beore

    irrevocable awards are made.However, it will be important

    that decisions in this area are air,

    reasonable and proportionate, and

    do not succumb to bash the bankers

    prejudice. The G20s proposal that

    supervisors should, where necessary

    intervene in compensation policies

    (with responses including increased

    capital requirements) could be seen

    as a veiled threat. The Turner Review

    concluded that remuneration structures

    played a less important role in

    contributing to the nancial crisis thaninadequate approaches to capital,

    accounting and liquidity.

    Overall

    Nobody can argue that the current

    systems o regulation are sustainable.

    They have very dramatically ailed to

    prevent one o the worst nancial crises

    in many decades. Financial services

    institutions have to brace themselves

    or a much more muscular and

    interventionist regime in uture. But

    what that regime ultimately looks likewill depend on a great deal o argument

    and compromise, which is a process

    only just beginning. Moreover it is

    essential that it avoids giving the

    impression that all risk can be

    eliminated rom nancial markets.

    For more inormation please contact:

    Brendan Nelson

    Vice Chairman, KPMG in the UK

    Global Chairman, Financial Services

    Tel: +44 20 7311 6157

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    Political considerationsand public anger are givingextra force to demands fortighter regulation.

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | Topics

    regulation in banking,investment management

    and insurance

    Perspectives on:

    David Sayer Dave Seymour Frank Ellenbrger

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Topics | rontiers in nance June 2009

    From let to right:

    David Sayer,

    Dave Seymour and

    Frank Ellenbrger.

    Many authorities across the world are seeking to ormulate new regulatoryrameworks in the wake o the crash. But the nal shape o any new systemremains quite unclear; and it is unlikely to remain ree o political distortionand intererence. David Sayer, Global Sector Leader, Retail Banking,

    Dave Seymour, Global Sector Leader, Investment Management (IM)and Frank Ellenbrger, Global Sector Leader, Insurance, met recentlyto compare and contrast their dierent perspectives.

    David Sayer (Banking) Looking at

    whats happening at the moment, it

    seems to me important that this crisis

    is seen to have been caused by the

    banks. So the diagnosis is ocused on

    bank ailures and the need to stop this

    happening again, oten to the exclusion

    o other potential causes o the crisisincluding: trade surpluses, scal

    decits, regulatory policies and so on.

    Dave Seymour (IM) I agree.

    Just ollowing up on the political

    dimension or a moment, there is a

    great deal o debate over the extent

    to which US executive and legislative

    policies during the mid 1990s, such

    as the modications made to regulate

    and strengthen the CommunityReinvestment Act anti-redlining

    procedures, as well as other legislative

    actions, may have impacted the crisis.

    Policy makers are now trying to x it,

    but given the complexities, it is dicult

    to know what, or how much to regulate.

    Frank Ellenbrger (Insurance)

    O course by contrast with the huge

    stress and uncertainty in the economy

    caused by the banks, insurance and

    the insurance markets have continued

    to operate normally, without any major

    disruption. The same is true or

    reinsurance markets. The impact othe crisis on insurers has mainly been

    on the lie side, with the value o

    investments tumbling. Those that have

    been most aected deviated rom their

    core operations into nancial products

    developed without understanding the

    risk that underpinned them. But the

    business model o insurers and the

    largely uncorrelated relationship

    between insurance risk and market

    risk have so ar been stabilizing actors;

    hence insurance is much lower on

    the political and risk radar. 2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | Topics

    There is always a political dimension tonancial markets. The world has discoverednot only how dangerous nancial marketscan be, but how valuable functioning

    nancial markets are to economies.Dave Seymour

    SayerIn the case o the banks,

    though, there is huge pressure now

    or taxpayers to provide guarantees

    and bailouts. These include liquidity

    support through guarantees and

    protection o savers and borrowers,

    asset purchases, orced recapitalization,

    bad bank schemes and so on. But the

    big questions that I think should still

    be answered are to do with how to

    reduce systemic risk in the banking

    system. This involves a range o issues:the nature o nancial regulation;

    strengthening regulators; reducing

    the impact o ailure o nancial rms;

    protecting and supporting customers;

    improving competition.

    SeymourAnd this raises the key issue

    o whether we can recreate a duciary

    society with a common ramework

    and set o rules, or whether we are

    inevitably aced with a much more rigid,

    strict set o rules. Do we really need

    more regulation?

    EllenbrgerBeore any action is

    taken, it should be well thought through

    and balanced, taking into account the

    macro-economic considerations.

    Intervention should not create an

    uneven playing eld between dierent

    sectors o the nancial services

    industry. Although banking has been

    the crux o the crisis, a new ramework

    or set o rules should look beyond this

    sector; introducing a one-size-ts-all

    response will only lead to uturecomplications. Each industry will

    require separate revisions.

    SayerIn the banking sector, some

    trends are clear. The quantity o capital

    required will be high, and counter-

    cyclical requirements will be imposed

    to make banks hold more capital in

    the good times (unlike the Basel II

    ramework, which is pro-cyclical).

    But it is yet unclear how this is going

    to work in practice, and in dierent

    economies. The other problem withimposing counter-cyclicality is that

    cyclicality will always be there.

    Someone has got to turn the lights

    out just as everyone else is enjoying

    the party. And thats really dicult.

    Looking back, its hard to see how

    macro-prudential regulation would

    have been accepted in say 2005 or

    1987 when the last booms were

    getting going.

    EllenbrgerIt will be interesting to see

    how the banks adapt to the anticipated

    counter-cyclical requirements requiring

    them to signicantly shore-up their

    capital holding. Intrinsically insurers

    have always had to calculate their capital

    adequacy because o their exposures

    to risk when underwriting. But with the

    2012 EU-wide implementation deadline

    o Solvency II, Europes insurers will

    have to undamentally review their

    capital requirements and riskmanagement standards. Whether other

    key global insurance markets look to

    replicate this ramework locally remains

    to be seen, and undoubtedly regulators

    will be heavily involved.

    SeymourAnd that makes it even

    more dicult to see how greater

    regulation can eectively be extended

    to investment management. The G20

    couldnt agree on regulating hedge

    unds. The European countries are

    pushing or regulation, while the US islooking or registration. The European

    Commissions drat directive on the

    issue is itsel proving highly contentious

    among member states. Investment

    unds are products, not companies,

    and this makes providing saeguards

    or investors a dierent matter than in

    the banking sector. There is as yet no

    clear idea o how to tie investment

    unds into the systemic risk argument,

    especially in view o the easy fow

    o unds into and out o dierent

    economies and jurisdictions. 2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    | rontiers in nance June 2009Topics

    Although banking hasbeen the crux of the crisis,a new framework or set ofrules should look beyond

    this sector.Frank Ellenbrger

    EllenbrgerNevertheless, the

    systemic risks resulting rom an overtly

    complicated banking system with an

    inadequately developed regulatory

    ramework have been one o the

    causes o the current crisis, and these

    need to be addressed. The precondition

    or creating an anti-cyclical regulatory

    environment is to obtain transparency

    and a holistic view o the global nancial

    system, without leaving large parts

    unregulated.

    Sayer The debate over whether or

    not a global regulator is necessary,

    or possible, will inevitably go on. But

    however global the ramework, its a

    act that global institutions come home

    to die. In the end, ailing banks are the

    responsibility o their home regulators.

    In my view, the global role should be

    about ensuring consistency between

    national rameworks and limiting the

    scope or regulatory arbitrage.

    Regulation itsel needs to remain local.In Europe, though, there is a particular

    problem caused by the single market.

    Since the single market requires ree

    and open movement o capital, the case

    or a single European regulator may be

    stronger. Its not going to be politically

    easy to achieve, but the potential

    accession o Iceland to EU membership

    may be a trigger.

    EllenbrgerInternational groups

    may benet rom diversication eects

    but also be exposed to accumulation

    or contagion risks. Those need to

    be mirrored by supervision on a

    cross-border basis.

    SeymourAny regulatory reorm must

    look to prevent the next crisis, not the

    last one.

    SayerIts also important that regulationavoids the moral hazard problem, and

    avoids giving investors and customers

    the impression that all risk has been

    removed rom nancial markets.

    SeymourI guess one thing that we

    have certainly learned is that there is

    always a political dimension to nancial

    markets. The world has discovered not

    only how dangerous nancial markets

    can be, but how valuable unctioning

    nancial markets are to economies.

    SayerIts going to take time to work

    out solutions in the banking sector.

    What has happened by way o

    emergency action was what needed to

    happen, but the rest, a new approach

    to regulation, will take time. And thats

    a good thing. We need to take the time

    to get this right.

    In my view, the global roleshould be about ensuringconsistency betweennational frameworks andlimiting the scope forregulatory arbitrage.David Sayer

    For more inormation please contact:

    David Sayer

    Partner

    Global Sector Leader, Retail Banking

    KPMG in the UK

    Tel: +44 20 7311 5404

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    Wm. David SeymourPartner

    Global Sector Leader,

    Investment Management

    KPMG in the US

    Tel: +1 212 872 5988

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    Frank Ellenbrger

    Partner

    Global Sector Leader, Insurance

    KPMG in Germany

    Tel: +49 89 9282 1867

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Brendan Nelson Scott Marcello

    Brendan NelsonandScott Marcelloexplore the possible need to expand theuture role o the auditor in nancial services.

    The role o the auditor in fnancial services:Is reorm desirable?

    Clarityand reality

    Financial Reporting today

    is clearly complex and oten

    not well understood. Why

    is this the case? One key

    reason is that we oten lose

    sight o what should be

    the overriding objectives. Too oten, we

    succumb to treatments and positions

    that we believe to be conceptually pure

    or technically superior but that are

    potentially less than relevant and all

    too oten not understandable.

    In the extreme, what good isserved i each and every accounting

    pronouncement is perectly consistent,

    globally harmonized, and aligned with

    well developed conceptual

    underpinnings, i users nd that

    inormation wholly irrelevant and

    incomprehensible? Adding to this, the

    objectives or underlying concepts used

    to develop accounting standards are not

    really agreed; this is particularly true

    when you consider issues rom a global

    perspective. This was evident in the

    recent debate in the US regarding air

    value accounting or investments.

    Some people strongly support the use

    o air value, others hate it. Probably a

    majority believe it is a valid principle,

    but have signicant concerns about

    when it should be viewed as the most

    relevant attribute or measurement in

    nancial statements. Vast amounts o

    energy have been invested in this issue

    but conusion remains.

    Another issue is, rankly, who reads

    all o this inormation anyway? Annual

    reports today have grown to hundredso pages, including inormation o

    widely varying importance and

    relevance. How many people read and

    really understand all o this inormation?

    Is it more than a handul o people?

    And how many is that when you

    exclude the auditors, certain members

    o management and certain regulators?

    The role and involvement o the

    auditor with respect to inormation also

    may oten be poorly understood. Most

    people recognize the technical content

    an auditor provides: their opinion on the

    air presentation o a companys

    nancial statements and, in some

    cases, the internal controls relevant

    or nancial reporting. But there is a

    vast amount o inormation included

    in companies lings that is not

    subject to audit work. Users o nancial

    statements may be quite surprised to

    learn that many pieces o inormation

    that they view as being very signicant

    to their analysis are not covered by the

    audit liquidity or example.

    So how can the auditing proessioncontribute to improving the global

    paradigms or regulation and nancial

    reporting? Accountants, when you think

    about it, can help in leading the debate.

    When it comes to accounting rules and

    nancial statement reporting, they can

    help keep the real goals in sight and

    in proper perspective. Apart rom the

    regulators, accountants are one o

    the ew groups uniquely qualied to

    understand complex nancial institutions

    and provide genuine insight about their

    business, their operations and their 2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Apart from the regulators, accountants are one of thefew groups uniquely qualied to understand complexnancial institutions and provide genuine insight abouttheir business, their operations and their reportedinformation. They can bring a varied and globalperspective, and professionalism and objectivityto important and challenging debates.

    reported inormation. They can bringa varied and global perspective, and

    proessionalism and objectivity to

    important and challenging debates.

    Progressing that thought, together,

    management, regulators and auditors

    have to move toward providing insight

    and important perspective rather than

    expanses o accurate, but possibly

    less relevant inormation:

    more relevant and important

    inormation has to be prioritized

    and unimportant, obvious, or

    redundant inormation has tobe eliminated rom the equation

    second guessing should be

    minimized while still respecting

    the need to protect stakeholders

    it needs to be recognized that the

    role o nancial reporting is to

    provide relevant and reasonably

    reliable inormation, not to predict

    the uture with certainty

    and its important to recognize

    the judgment and intellectual capital

    that can be added by management,

    regulators and auditors

    On this last point, a critical question

    is whether this intellectual capital will

    fow reely and to its ull extent i it is

    hampered by the potential or signicant

    legal liabilities. The potential liability

    issues that prevail, particularly in

    America, may now need to be

    nally and ully addressed.

    Now you could argue we would

    say this wouldnt we? But we genuinely

    believe that reorm isdesirable and that

    the auditing proession can and should

    make a signicant contribution.

    For more inormation please contact:

    Brendan Nelson

    Vice Chairman, KPMG in the UK

    Global Chairman, Financial Services

    Tel: +44 20 7311 6157

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    Scott Marcello

    Joint Regional Coordinating Partner,

    Financial Services, Americas region

    Tel: +1 614 249 2366

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    JumpstartReviving the US fnancial system:

    The Financial Stability Plan 2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Howard Margolin

    Calls to action in combating the ongoing economiccrisis are coming rom all parts o the globe. Inparticular, governments are aced with ar-reachingpolicy decisions to try to stem the tide o oreclosures,job losses, and disappearing savings. With the USnancial system taking much heat or its role in therecent economic turmoil, many acknowledge that astrong US nancial system is also one o the keysto recovery. Howard Margolinexplains.

    O

    n February 17, 2009,

    President Barack

    Obama signed into

    law the Financial

    Stability Plan (FSP) to

    help stabilize the US

    nancial system and restore condencein the markets. The FSP is a multi-

    pronged oensive designed to boost

    the nations economy by eliminating

    the uncertainty surrounding nancial

    institution assets and stimulating lending

    while imposing new measures around

    nancial service industry accountability,

    oversight, and transparency.

    The FSP includes the ollowing

    components:

    Capital Assistance ProgramAs a means o reducing uncertainty

    over whether certain nancial

    institutions have sucient capital to

    weather the nancial storm, the Capital

    Assistance Program (CAP) requires US

    banking organizations with assets o

    US$100 billion or more to undergo a

    more thorough regulatory review. This

    includes a comprehensive stress test

    designed to asses the balance sheet

    exposures o these institutions, should

    there be a greater than expected

    decline in the economic environment.

    Should the results indicate that

    capital is inadequate, such institutions

    will have six months to raise the

    necessary capital buer via private

    unds. Lacking such private unds, they

    may access capital through CAP in the

    orm o convertible preerred stock.

    Capital shortfalls for thelargest banks totaledapproximately US$75 billion.Many banks have issued, orplan to issue, common stockto meet the shortfalls.

    The stress test results werereleased on May 7, 2009, indicating

    that the largest banks had adequate

    capital to meet adverse (not worst

    case) economic conditions. Capital

    shortalls or the largest banks totaled

    approximately US$75 billion. Many

    banks have issued, or plan to issue,

    common stock to meet the shortalls.

    Others plan to convert preerred

    stock to common stock or sell assets.

    A limited number o more capital-

    constrained banks may be orced to sell

    operations or curtail certain activities.

    Public-Private Investment Program

    The Public-Private Investment Program

    (PPIP) has been created to address the

    challenge o cleansing balance sheets

    o legacy assets. PPIP seeks to lure

    new private capital into the market byproviding government equity co-

    investment and attractive private

    nancing to reduce the risks inherent

    in investing in these legacy loans and

    securities. Equity co-investment is

    intended to protect US taxpayers rom

    overpaying or assets through a market-

    based valuation approach as opposed

    to prices being set by the public sector

    and taxpayers stand to benet by

    sharing in any prots derived rom

    these assets.

    Both potential sellers and buyersare still seeking clarication on many

    ronts, such as pricing mechanisms, the

    accounting impact o such transactions

    on capital levels, and other sale terms.

    The impact that recent changes by the

    Financial Accounting Standards Board

    relating to the recognition and

    measurement o credit impairment

    losses on debt securities has on the

    demand or this program remains to be

    seen. Additionally, the impact o the

    stress test results on PPIP participation

    has yet to be determined.

    5

    Topics | rontiers in nance June 2009

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Term Asset-Backed Securities

    Lending Facility

    This joint initiative o the Federal Reserve

    and the Treasury Department seeks to

    encourage consumer and business

    lending through the renewed issuance

    o certain asset-backed securities (e.g.

    those supported by auto, credit card

    and student loans, mortgages, andother assets) at reduced interest rate

    spreads. Already in existence, unding

    or the Term Asset-Backed Securities

    Lending Facility (TALF) has been greatly

    expanded under the FSP.

    Those receiving FSP fundswill be required to engagein mortgage foreclosure

    mitigation efforts; whetherother lenders may berequired or otherwiseencouraged to participatein these efforts remainsto be seen.

    Mortgage Loan Modifcation

    Program

    The FSP includes a proposal to reduce

    mortgage rates through FederalReserve and Treasury Department

    purchases o up to US$600 billion o

    Government-Sponsored Enterprise

    mortgage-backed securities and debt.

    Additionally, the FSP calls or issuance

    o ormal loan modication guidelines

    and standards applicable to government

    and private programs. Those receiving

    FSP unds will be required to engage in

    mortgage oreclosure mitigation eorts;

    whether other lenders may be required

    or otherwise encouraged to participate

    in these eorts remains to be seen.

    Small Business and Community

    Bank Lending Initiative

    In light o the increased capital

    pressures on lending institutions and

    the lack o demand or Small Business

    Association (SBA) loans in the

    secondary markets, the FSP addresses

    the precipitous decline in SBA lending.

    A joint Treasury Department and SBAinitiative will seek to increase such

    lending by nancing the purchase o

    AAA-rated SBA loans and pursuing

    eorts to increase the Federal guarantee

    up to 90 percent or eligible loans.

    Transparency and Accountability

    Agenda

    The Treasury Department will

    require all FSP und recipients to

    conorm to intensied requirements

    or transparency, accountability,reporting, and monitoring.

    Reporting requirements include a

    one-time plan discussing the recipients

    intended use o government unds to

    preserve and strengthen lending

    capacity. Further, there will be monthly

    reporting on new lending activities and

    tracking o CAP unds separate rom

    other assets.

    Additional FSP conditions include

    restrictions on dividends on stock

    repurchases and acquisitions, limitations

    on executive compensation, andrestrictions on lobbying.

    Each FSP component willhave unique accounting, tax,and nancial considerationsdepending on a companysparticular circumstances.

    Implications

    These ar-ranging initiatives have

    broad consequences or both nancial

    institutions and government agencies.

    Each FSP component will have unique

    accounting, tax, and nancial

    considerations depending on a

    companys particular circumstances.

    Management should consider these

    implications as strategic decisions aresurrounding participation in the FSP.

    Similarly, assessments o modeling

    techniques, expanded data and

    disclosure requirements, systems

    capabilities, and stang will be

    essential to plans or moving orward.

    The sheer magnitude o changes and

    level o regulatory scrutiny will present

    sizable implementation challenges, and

    companies may nd the need or

    project management teams to try to

    keep all initiatives on track.

    The private sector now has multipleronts through which to cleanse its

    balance sheets and reinvigorate lending

    activities. At the same time, these

    initiatives signicantly expand the role

    and power o government, necessitate

    changes to current processes and

    controls, and place additional

    requirements on both nancial institutions

    and government related to reporting,

    monitoring, and compliance activities.

    Over the coming months, additional

    details will emerge regarding these

    programs, and institutions should remainvigilant to the strategic opportunities

    that could result, while maintaining

    appropriate discipline and controls to

    satisy the attendant increased

    reporting and compliance activities.

    For more inormation please contact:

    Howard Margolin

    Partner

    Financial Services

    KPMG in the US

    Tel: +1 212 954 7863

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    The US commercial real estate perspective

    Ray Milnes

    Economicturmoil

    As numerous US

    public and private

    enterprises work to

    jump-start the national

    economy much

    attention has been

    paid to restoring the health o the

    residential real estate market andthe banking system. Yet, as the

    global recession has deepened,

    the commercial real estate market

    also aces distinct hardships.

    A core challenge has been the lack

    o available liquidity or transactions.

    For instance, securitizing commercial

    loans, especially via Commercial

    Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)

    has been a signicant source o

    liquidity, ueling the prior growth in

    commercial real estate transactions.

    However, the reezing o the CMBSmarketplace (issuances decreased rom

    US$237 billion in 2007 to US$12 billion

    in the rst hal o 2008 with virtually

    nothing since then, according

    to JPMorgan Chase & Co. data) has

    caused transactions to grind to a halt.

    This lack o transactions urther

    complicates the ability to properly value

    property in the current marketplace.

    Real estate values have plummeted,

    and investors are waiting to see how

    low they will go. There is a ear among

    industry specialists that this investor

    inertia may cause a continuing

    downward spiral in prices, or, at a

    minimum, prolong the lack o activity.

    Stimulating Credit Markets

    One potential solution or this bleak

    situation is the inclusion o CMBS

    nancing in the US-government-sponsored Term Asset-Backed

    Securities Loan Facility (TALF).

    Designed to stimulate the credit

    markets and restore stability by

    providing nancing to purchase

    asset-backed securities, TALF was

    expanded by the Treasury Department

    to earmark US$100 billion to leverage

    US$1 trillion o lending. While TALFs

    inclusion o CMBS should stimulate

    the market, debate remains over

    how vigorously the various players

    will embrace the program.

    Purchasing Legacy Assets

    The US Governments Public-Private

    Investment Program (PPIP) provides

    public-sector equity and debt nancing

    to private-sector investors to achieve

    two critical goals: attracting idle assets

    back into the market by tackling the

    inertia o private investors, while also

    reeing up embedded capital rom the

    balance sheets o institutions. This

    mechanism will hopeully achieve

    the goal o creating a market or

    these real-estate-related assets,

    enabling institutions to unnel unds

    into new credit ormation.

    It is hoped that restoring liquidity

    or new transactions including those

    involving commercial real estate

    will ultimately stimulate the economy.

    Additionally, greater clarity about assetvalues gleaned rom the resulting

    transactions should boost investor

    condence, increasing the amount

    o investment in the market or

    urther transactions.

    While investors and asset holders

    are still waiting or greater clarity on

    these programs to help determine the

    extent o their participation, the US

    Government has taken an activist

    stance to help resolve some o the core

    issues that initiated the global economic

    crisis. With nancial leaders worldwidewatching and evaluating what happens

    in the US economy, it remains to be

    seen whether the depth and breadth

    o this situation can be signicantly

    aected by the actions o government.

    For more inormation please contact:

    Ray Milnes

    Partner

    Building Construction & Real Estate

    KPMG in the US

    Tel: +1 312 665 5023

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Everybody has been hurt by current market conditions. For example,hedge unds, traditionally ocused on absolute rather than relative returns,have inevitably been hit hard, although a number o unds are continuingto do well in attracting new investment. Dave Seymour argues thatinvestment management is likely to emerge changed but probablystronger rom the crisis. There are exciting opportunities ahead.

    But success will depend critically on rebuilding trust and condence.

    Topics

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    | rontiers in nance June 2009

    Dave Seymour

    Confdence

    must returnAn investment management perspective

    The simplest way o

    summarizing the current

    state o the investment

    management industry is

    to say it is conused. A

    large part o the industry

    is still sitting on the sidelines. Funds

    with private capital reserves still haveinvestable resources. But they cant be

    sure the market has bottomed out, and

    are wary o investing into assets which

    may lose urther value. Overall, there

    is a lot o uncertainty over where the

    market is going and how to respond.

    Historically, the mostsuccessful investment

    management rms havebeen those which focusclearly on their customers.This is going to be evenmore important in the future.

    Getting in shape

    One sensible and eective strategy is

    to concentrate on getting into shape or

    the upturn, when it comes. Here, one

    o the most important challenges is to

    rebuild trust and condence by strong

    customer relationship management.

    Historically, the most successul

    investment management rms have

    been those which ocus clearly on their

    customers. This is going to be even

    more important in the uture. Whether

    they are private capital investors or retail

    investors, customers are increasingly

    going to demand better, more requentand more transparent communication.

    The crash, exacerbated by high-prole

    rauds has made investors very

    nervous. Risk management processes

    have been called into serious question.

    Perceptions o risk have changed. The

    investor community is rattled, and

    condence will not return easily.

    The rms which come through

    the crisis best are likely to be those

    which are currently investing in creating

    or growing meaningul customer

    relationships.Successul rms are taking the

    opportunity to improve the organization,

    build new skills and capabilities, and

    perhaps acquire complementary

    expertise or capacity through corporate

    restructuring. Those who have been

    badly burned by the crisis need to

    rebuild and re-organize their operations

    or the new risk environment. As ever,

    its the simple things which can count

    or most. Ater a period o irrational

    exuberance, ocusing on execution

    will be the key to achieving returns.

    Many rms are already beginning to

    restructure themselves, their products,

    teams and capabilities. In an industry

    where many players dont have deep

    in-house inrastructures, instead relying

    on networks o third party vendors or

    many operational activities, ocusing on

    execution also means ensuring that thetotal risk prole is eectively managed.

    The uture o regulation

    The chorus o calls or tighter regulation

    should be met with care. Many o the

    participants at the G20 London meeting

    are seeking to build new regulatory

    rameworks, to curb what they see as

    the excesses o Anglo-Saxon capital

    markets. There is a tendency to

    characterize hedge unds, in particular,

    as opportunist players who damage

    rather than support local economies.Tighter regulation is an understandable

    and instinctive response.

    A risk with stand alone or knee-jerk

    regulatory changes is that they can

    open up arbitrage opportunities

    between dierent markets and

    stimulate rms to nd alternative ways

    o investing capital in situations which

    match their risk appetite. Financial

    markets are very creative, and will seek

    to invent new structures, products and

    techniques in the pursuit o a return

    on investment.

    Topics

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Smaller, nimbler rms willincreasingly dominate themarket in the years to come.And customers will nd iteasier to relate to andunderstand simpler, morefocused rms as well.

    Furthermore, traditional regulatory

    rameworks, rom the Securities

    Exchange Commission (SEC), Financial

    Services Authority (FSA), the G10sBasel Committee and the like, are

    ocused on corporate entities. But

    investment unds are not companies,

    and are not like companies. They are

    products. Any move to greater

    regulation may be more appropriate

    i it ollows the model o consumer

    product saety regulation in order to

    satisy the objective o protecting

    investors. The authorities need to move

    careully i they are to avoid rustrating

    the markets natural recovery and

    readjustment ater the crisis.They should also seek to guard

    against appearing to guarantee investor

    protection, since this could lead to

    distorted consumer behavior. In the

    particular case o hedge unds, there

    is a risk that i these are more tightly

    regulated it could give investors the

    alse illusion that this type o

    investment has the same risk prole

    as a traditional und or example.

    People could then misunderstand the

    risk o hedge und investing mistaking

    higher regulation or lower risk.

    A return to boutiques

    One area where the market already

    seems to be in tune with regulators

    concerns is in the increasing move

    back to smaller boutique operations.

    The last 15 years or so have seen agreat deal o consolidation in the

    industry, with asset managers being

    acquired by large institutions, nancial

    conglomerates expanding into third

    party business and so on. Financial

    institutions have become complex and

    opaque, and the potential or localized

    risk management ailure to contaminate

    entire corporate balance sheets has

    become painully apparent. Regulators

    and politicians have begun to call or

    smaller, simpler and more transparent

    institutions.The market already appears to

    be responding. Among the major

    global institutions, one has exited

    rom retail asset management; another

    is divesting a high-growth business

    to a private equity rm; continued

    pressure to deleverage and bolster

    balance sheets will inevitably lead to

    more de-consolidation over the next

    ew years. Conversely, traditional und

    management rms are looking to make

    acquisitions to develop complementary

    capabilities or increase capacity.Talented individuals are already

    moving in the same direction. Since

    the major investment houses became

    mainstream banks, a steady stream

    o start-ups and boutiques has been

    orming. The dierence today is that

    the inrastructure o third-party vendors

    which has developed over the

    intervening period provides a ready

    made, mature support environment or

    these new boutiques. Smaller, nimbler

    rms will increasingly dominate the

    market in the years to come. Andcustomers will nd it easier to relate

    to and understand simpler, more

    ocused rms as well.

    The uture is ull o opportunities

    The recession and its atermath will

    provide great opportunities or the

    investment management industry,

    magnied by demographic and

    geo-political trends which have been

    under way or some years. We expect

    private capital to play a critical role in

    deleveraging the nancial system.

    Many economists argue that we

    are seeing not simply the bursting o

    another bubble like that o the dot-com

    crash, but a more undamental

    realignment to a higher-saving world

    much like the Asian markets. Theconsumer spending boom will

    give way to more restrained behavior

    as individuals and amilies respond

    to uncertainty and the ear o

    unemployment and repossession.

    History suggests that undamental

    changes in attitude persist or many

    years ater a major nancial crisis.

    I savings ratios rise to consistently

    higher levels, more assets will be

    under management and the demand

    or investments o all types will grow.

    Against this, however, are some keydemographic trends, especially the

    great transition in developed western

    economies as the baby-boomers move

    into retirement and begin drawing down,

    rather than building up, their savings.

    In addition, the long-term transers o

    wealth rom the developed world to

    the oil-rich nations and the developing

    world will be o crucial signicance.

    Middle-Eastern and other sovereign

    wealth unds are already major players

    in the investment community.

    In the 1980s, the US was the worldslargest creditor nation. Today that role

    has been taken by China, overtaking

    Japan to hold some US$1 trillion o

    US debt. The US itsel has become

    the worlds biggest debtor nation.

    How these unsustainable imbalances

    are sorted will prove o vital importance

    or 21st century geopolitics.

    While the immediate outlook remains

    uncertain, the medium- and long-term

    opportunities are tremendous, and

    tremendously exciting. Those investment

    unds which keep their nerve,concentrate on improving transparency

    and communication with customers,

    and get themselves in shape or the

    new nancial world order stand to enjoy

    an exciting and protable uture.

    For more inormation please contact:

    Wm. David Seymour

    Partner, Global Sector Leader,

    Investment Management

    KPMG in the US

    Tel: +1 212 872 5988

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    James Suglia Tom Brown

    A recent KPMG report provides insight into thenew world acing investment managers ater thecrisis. Reviewing its key conclusions, James Suglia,and Tom Brownargue that the key to recoverylies in mending relationships.

    Time to mend relationships in investment management

    Renewing the promise

    T

    he credit crisis is

    undamentally reshaping

    investment management.

    A new report, drawing

    on the ndings o a globalsurvey o 288 investment

    managers, investors and senior

    executives working in the industry,

    provides valuable pointers to how

    the industry will develop as a result1.

    I rms are to grasp the potential o

    these changes, mending relationships

    with investors, regulators and other

    stakeholders will be key.

    Corporate governance and risk

    management

    Many investment managers couldbenet rom liting their game in this

    area. Investors believe that independent

    assurance and adherence to a best

    practice code o conduct need

    improvement, despite investment

    managers believing that they are

    perorming well in these areas. This

    is a disconnect that managers really

    need to address to avoid alienating their

    investors. Managers who have strong

    programs need to be more transparent

    (i.e. better at communicating them)

    while other managers must rst workon strengthening their practices.

    Investment managers need to

    clearly articulate their risk appetite and

    transparently communicate this. When

    risk appetite is properly understood and

    clearly dened, it becomes a powerul

    tool or enhancing overall business

    perormance. A clear and eective risk

    management and governance structure

    gives both the investment manager and

    investors condence that investments

    can be competently managed in a

    controlled way.

    Rebuilding trust

    The trustworthiness o nancial

    intermediaries has been hard hit by

    the crisis. This is on top o a string o

    scandals in recent years, rom markettiming abuse to Ponzi schemes, which

    had already damaged this trust.

    Investment products can be complex

    and dicult to understand or most

    members o the general public, while

    ailure is easy to see and measure.

    Investment managers need to help

    intermediaries, who sit with clients, to

    explain the risks and benets, the costs

    and the small print. This should deliver

    the message to their investors in all o

    these areas. Unortunately, the research

    indicates that there is still a wide gul tobridge between investment managers

    and intermediaries.

    Regulation

    There are widespread concerns about

    the impact o potential new regulations,

    especially in the areas o leverage,

    disclosure to clients and the external

    assurance. The great majority o

    respondents elt that regulators clamping

    down will seriously increase costs or

    investment managers. In many cases,

    managers will be unable to pass onthese associated costs to their clients.

    Likely regulation in areas like shorting

    and leverage will damage many

    business models. Many hedge unds

    could nd lie very hard. Greater

    transparency may also mean that

    investors begin to question the ees

    they are being asked to pay or hedge

    and other alternative unds. In response

    some alternative und managers will

    entrench but many will diversiy and

    seek to migrate into more traditional

    activities.

    Dierentiation

    For many years, investment managers

    did not have to try very hard to be

    successul in the industry. Today, the key

    to success has become dierentiation.The study highlights the importance

    o personal relationships and service

    quality as well as delivering on clients

    expectations. Achieving dierentiation

    is really about getting back-to-basics:

    determining what clients need, getting

    the value proposition ocussed and

    communicating it clearly.

    For more inormation please contact:

    James Suglia

    Partner

    KPMG in the US

    Tel: +1 617 988 5607

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    Tom Brown

    Partner

    KPMG in the UK

    Tel: +44 20 7694 2011

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    1. Renewing the promise: Time to mend relationships in investmentmanagement, KPMG International, June 2009; in partnershipwith Datamonitor.

    About the report

    The ull report,

    Renewing the

    promise:

    Time to mend

    relationships in

    investment

    managementwill

    be available in

    June, please visit

    www.kpmg.com

    or copies.

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    | rontiers in nance June 2009Topics

    Thilo Kasprowicz Klaus Ott

    Current proposals

    In January 2009, the Basel Committee

    published three discussion documents

    addressing critical areas where they

    believe the current ramework needs

    to be strengthened:

    Enhancements to the overall

    ramework: these are aimed at

    strengthening risk capture in Pillar 1

    (minimum capital requirements);

    improving corporate governance

    and risk management and their

    supervisory oversight (Pillar 2); and

    improving disclosure o nancial

    exposures to enhance market

    discipline and allow third parties to

    develop better understanding o a

    banks overall risk prole (Pillar 3)

    Revisions to the market riskramework: the current ramework

    ails to capture some key aspects

    o market risk and will be extended;

    in addition, stressed value-at-risk

    requirements will be imposed

    Incremental risk in the trading book:

    since the crisis began, a number o

    banks have suered large losses

    rom trading exposures, and the

    committee now proposes a

    supplementary incremental risk

    capital charge, based on estimates

    o potential losses

    Consultation on these proposals has

    now ended, and there are clear target

    dates or complete implementation o

    the nal conclusions: December 2009

    or the overall ramework enhancements,

    December 2010 or the market risk and

    incremental trading risk proposals.

    Since the revised Accord can only take

    legal eect when it is implemented into

    individual national jurisdictions, it is clear

    that these implementation timetables

    are extremely challenging.

    Similarly, many banks should wake

    up to the potential implications now. In

    view o the high political pressure to act

    on the lessons learned rom the crisis,

    the European Union and others are

    already anticipating expected changes.

    They are issuing detailed directives and

    drat regulations to strengthen bankingsupervision and improve risk and capital

    management o banks even beore

    December 2009 or 2010. The luxury

    o waiting until proposals are nalized

    and regulations drated in detail beore

    planning how to comply is simply not

    available. Most aspects o the revised

    ramework are already clear in principle.

    Banks should be urgently working out

    how to respond.

    Strategies, methodology

    A number o the new proposals willinvolve banks in reconsidering strategic

    decisions. For example, certain trading

    book products will attract higher capital

    charges, and some banks may need

    to review whether or not to continue

    in a particular securitization markets,

    whether as originator or investor.

    Changes to capital denitions will

    mean banks will have to review the

    issuance o some capital instruments,

    or example hybrids. Proposals on

    concentration risk will mean that credit

    portolios will need to be scrutinizedcritically. Credit risk management

    teams should re-think their approach

    to active portolio management.

    Basel II will also involve changes

    to methodologies and valuations.

    Stress testing will almost certainly be

    imposed more widely, and potentially

    even applied to integrated underlying

    portolios o securitizations. Liquidity

    regulations will involve the thorough

    identication o cash-fow positions or

    a wide range o products and the need

    or adequate processes or liquidity riskmanagement. Furthermore, the

    calculation o risk-weighted assets or

    some products will change. Changes

    to disclosure, in particular or

    securitizations, trading book activities

    and the use o special purpose vehicles,

    are likely to accelerate the move to

    bring internal management reporting,

    external statutory and nancial reporting

    according to IFRS into closer alignment:

    banks should be looking at consistent

    disclosure strategies, capital market

    communications and reporting policies.

    Organization and IT

    These proposals will have implications

    or many aspects o a banks systems,

    processes and inrastructure. Some

    risk management and disclosure

    processes will need to be redesigned.

    Management inormation systems

    may have to be recongured to supportnew reporting procedures and acilitate

    enhanced communication with

    supervisory authorities. Banks should

    prepare or a much closer interaction

    with regulators, who will increasingly

    use their intervention to monitor

    business and risk strategies.

    Underpinning process changes will

    be requirements to recongure and

    enhance IT architectures and system

    unctionality. Databases supporting cash

    fow inormation, portolio composition,

    disclosure and risk management willalmost certainly need to be upgraded.

    Issues o skills, resources, stang and

    cooperation across departments are

    likely to arise, both as banks undertake

    the necessary change programs, and

    as they comply with the new regime

    on a continuing basis.

    Basel II has been a signicant

    challenge or many banks to date.

    Even beore the current ramework

    has been ully implemented, new

    challenges are now apparent. It may

    be tempting to think that the proposedrevisions to the ramework are simply

    slight enhancements or variations.

    But the changes will impact even

    on banks using the less demanding

    Basel II standardized approaches.

    There is a lot to do and, as we have

    seen, the timetable is tight. Given the

    present political momentum or change,

    it is more likely that deadlines will be

    brought orward rather than be delayed.

    Analyzing the strategic impact o

    the new regulations and planning

    or implementation should not bedelayed or urther clarication.

    For more inormation please contact:

    Thilo Kasprowicz

    Partner

    KPMG in Germany

    Tel: +49 69 9587 3198

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    Klaus Ott

    Partner

    KPMG in Germany

    Tel: +49 69 9587 2684

    e-Mail: [email protected]

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | Topics

    Quietlyprospering

    Canadian fnancial services

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    Ann Davis

    Largely away romthe gaze o internationalcommentators, nancialservices in Canada remainin robust health, and incertain cases are positivelybooming. A number oactors are responsible,

    including a generallyconservative culture oexcessive risk-avoidance,strong regulation, and awelcoming businessenvironment.Ann Davisexplains.

    A

    cross the developed

    world, the nancial

    crisis has seen banks

    collapsing, being bailed

    out by governments or

    being taken into public

    ownership. More than a trillion USdollars o value has been wiped out

    rom bank balance sheets. However,

    many Canadian banks have proved

    much more resilient than those o any

    other major economy. Last November,

    Time magazine called Canada the new

    gold standard in banking1. The 2009

    Global Competitiveness Report rom

    the World Economic Forum ranked

    Canada No 1 or soundness o banks2.

    By any measure, Canadas banking

    sector is one o the strongest i not

    the strongest in the world. How so? 2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

    Topics

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    rontiers in nance June 2009 | Topics

    Ten years ago, the Financial Times top-50 ranking ofthe worlds biggest banks was dominated by US and UKbanks. No Canadian banks made the list. Today, all ofthe Big 5 Canadian banks are now in the top 505.

    Five major banks dominate

    Canadas banking sector (see box),

    which in total embraces 21 domesticbanks, 55 oreign-owned subsidiaries

    and branches and 47 Trust companies.

    The nancial services sector as a whole

    has shown remarkably steady growth

    o about 3.5 percent per year over the

    last ten years, to reach a total turnover

    o C$80 billion3. Over the same period,

    the Big 5 has collectively doubled their

    market capitalization4. Ten years ago,

    the Financial Times top-50 ranking o

    the worlds biggest banks was

    dominated by US and UK banks. No

    Canadian banks made the list. Today,all o the Big 5 are now in the top 505.

    Royal Bank o Canada and Toronto-

    Dominion are among only seven

    global nancial institutions to hold a

    triple-A credit rating rom Moodys.

    Regulation is part o the reason or

    the solid success o Canadian banking.

    Cultural attitudes are also crucial. In

    both o these respects, Canada has

    maintained a distinctive tradition, the

    roots o which extend deep into the

    early hal o the last century. That

    regulatory ramework, coupled witha conservative attitude to risk-taking,

    has helped to ensure a consistently

    prudent approach and a greater

    degree o openness and transparency

    than in many other systems.

    Another key eature is that mergers

    and acquisitions in the banking sector

    are constrained among the Big 5,

    which has limited the size o individual

    banks and avoided concentration o risk.

    Government policy encourages the

    establishment o new banks to promote

    competition. Large banks those with

    more than C$5 billion equity must

    remain widely held. Bank mergers

    have been proposed as a route togreater international competitiveness,

    but have been vetoed at the political

    level. Limits on oreign ownership have

    been imposed and mergers between

    banks and insurance companies are not

    allowed. A urther signicant actor is

    that during the 1980s, the big banks

    bought most o the large independent

    investment dealers, thereby integrating

    them into the more prudential banking

    structure.

    These strengths have been

    consistently recognized by theInternational Monetary Fund. In its

    regular Financial System Stability

    Assessment in 2008, the IMF

    concluded6:

    The Canadian nancial sector is

    among the worlds most highly

    developed

    The ve large banking groups that

    orm the core o the system are

    conservatively managed and highly

    protable

    Stress tests suggest that the largeCanadian banks are able to withstand

    a broad range o shocks

    O course Canadas banks have

    not been unaected by the global crisis.

    Nevertheless, none have collapsed,

    none have needed government bailout

    and there has been no need or

    injections o government capital. There

    may have been an air o condence in

    the comments by the governor o

    the Bank o Canada, Mark Carney,

    when he claimed in April 2009 that

    Canadas bankingsector embraces:

    21domestic banks.

    55oreign-ownedsubsidiaries andbranches.

    47Trust companies.

    2009 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member rms o the KPMG network o independent rms are aliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services.No member rm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member rm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member rm. All rights reserved.

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    | rontiers in nance June 2009

    Canadas Big 5 Banks9

    Market Capitalization (Q3 2008)

    Royal Bank oC