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    Summary for Global Winds of Change: The Development of the Wind Energy Industry

    Key Factors Leading to Wind Energy

    Development in Spain

    Carlos Rymer

    MPA-Environmental Science and Policy

    School of International and Public Affairs

    Columbia University

    December 10, 2008

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    Contents

    Introduction ............................................................................................................ 2

    Electricity Market Evolution ............................................................................... 3

    Research Goals ....................................................................................................... 6

    Methodology .......................................................................................................... 7

    Findings ................................................................................................................... 8

    Conclusions .......................................................................................................... 10

    References.11

    Appendix ............................................................................................................... 11

    DISCLAIMER

    This summary contains the results of a semester-long research study conducted for

    Professor Bogdan Vasi of the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia

    University. The study was the result of independent research and was intended to

    contribute to a book to be published in 2009 titled Global Winds of Change: The

    Development of the Wind Energy Industry.

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    Introduction

    The Kingdom of Spain (Spain) is

    located in Western Europe, east of

    Portugal and southwest of France. Itstotal land surface is approximately

    504,782 square kilometers, which is

    roughly twice the size of the state of

    Oregon in the northwestern United

    States. Its climate is temperate and its

    land surface largely flat with scattered

    rugged hills and the Pyrenees range to

    the north. The population as of mid-

    2008 was roughly 40.5 million, with apopulation growth rate of 0.096% (CIA,

    2008). The country lacks a reliable

    supply of fossil fuels and is subject to

    regular intense droughts that reduce its

    ability to produce hydropower. In the

    past two decades, this has led Spain to

    begin developing a renewable energy

    sector to eliminate fossil fuel

    dependence. The purpose of this

    research was to find how the wind

    energy industry was influenced by

    socioeconomic factors over time.

    Spain is considered one of

    Europes largest developed economies

    with its gross domestic product (GDP)

    in 2007 at nearly $1.4 trillion, placing

    per capita GDP at roughly $33,600.Investment represented roughly 31.1%

    of GDP. In the last few years, it has also

    posted annual GDP growth of roughly

    3-4%, with a slowdown this year due to

    the global financial crisis. Historically,

    the Spanish economy has seen boom

    and bust periods over its growth. From

    1986 to 1990, it experienced an average5% annual GDP growth, but that

    declined substantially in the early 1990s

    as Europe entered a recession. Growth

    picked up again in 1994, with a bit of a

    slowdown in the early 2000s. As of 2007,

    the labor force was roughly 22.2 million

    and unemployment was at 8.3% (CIA,

    2008).

    Fiscally, the government has been

    experiencing budget surpluses in the

    last few years, with 2007 posting a $32

    billion surplus. In 2007, total public debt

    was at 36.2% of GDP and the inflation

    rate was a mere 2.8%. The leading

    economic sectors in Spain are tourism,

    textiles, metals, food and beverages,

    chemicals, and automakers (CIA, 2008).Recently, the renewable energy

    sector in Spain has been growing

    rapidly, becoming a significant

    economic sector. Wind energy alone

    now provides roughly 45,000 jobs,

    comparatively greater than jobs

    provided by conventional energies, and

    companies like Iberdrola, Gamesa, and

    Acciona are expanding their business

    globally (IEA, 2008). This summary

    provides an overview of how the wind

    energy industry in Spain has developed

    over time and the factors that influenced

    its development.

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    Electricity Market Evolution

    Overview

    Spains electricity market has

    been marked with an increasing reliance

    on imported oil due to its lack of reliable

    fossil fuels, the absence of sufficient

    interconnection with neighboring

    countries, and low levels of electricity

    trade. Spains coal industry suffers

    greatly from quality and production

    cost problems, making the import of

    foreign coal more favorable. In the lastfew years, Spain has made significant

    efforts to increase the use of natural gas.

    However, barriers to market entry by

    natural gas producers and insufficient

    infrastructure have not allowed even

    faster growth in the use of natural gas to

    produce electricity. On the other hand,

    renewable energy has grownsubstantially under the governments

    1999-2010 Renewables Promotion Plan,

    which sets a target of 29.4% of electricity

    generation coming from renewable

    sources of energy (IEA, 2005).

    As part of the European internal

    market directives, Spain liberalized its

    electricity sector in 1998 with the 1997

    Electric Power Act, which translated a

    1996 EU market directive into Spanish

    law. It was the period in which all the

    regulatory and market institutions were

    set up to supervise the electricity sector.

    The Ministry of Industry, Tourism, and

    Trade, as well as the National Energy

    Commission and the autonomousentities in the country, were given

    regulatory and rule-making power over

    the electricity market. This liberalization

    has allowed the private sector play a

    crucial role in the electricity sector,

    allowing not only diversification, but

    increased efficiency in the entire grid

    (IEA, 2005).

    In 1995, total electricity

    consumption was sourced from the

    following mix: 41% from coal, 33% for

    nuclear, 14% for hydro, 9% for oil, 2%

    for natural gas, and 1% for renewable

    energies (including wind) (IEA, 2005).

    By 2007, this had changed to 25% for

    coal, 24% for oil, 20% for nuclear, 10%for wind energy, 9% for hydro, and 11%

    for other sources (EIA, 2008; see pie

    charts in Appendix). During the same

    period, energy consumption grew at an

    average of just over 5% annually, going

    from roughly 175TWh1 in 1995 to

    261TWh in 2007 (IEA, 2005; 2008).

    Figure 3 in the appendix shows thegrowth in electricity demand by source

    over the last three decades.

    1 One TWh is one trillion watt-hours of energy.

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    FIGURE 1. Energy Institutions

    Source: IEA, 2005

    Wind Energy Growth

    Since 1998, Spain has been

    strongly supporting wind energy

    development with financial incentives.

    As part of the liberalization of the

    electricity sector, Spain created a

    Special Regime under which certain

    sources of energy, largely renewable

    sources of energy, would receive fiscal

    incentives through a feed-in tariff

    scheme. This regime includes wind

    energy, which receives

    a fixed tariff for every

    kilowatt-hour of

    electricity produced

    and sent to the grid.

    This scheme is similar

    to the feed-in tariff inplace in other countries

    like Germany and

    Denmark. As a result,

    the wind energy

    industry began to grow

    Key Institutions

    OECC: The Spanish OfficClimate Change is under

    General Secretary

    Pollution Prevention

    Climate Change. It acts a

    coordinating body with o

    ministries and public

    private entities in the are

    climate change.

    Ministry of Indus

    Tourism, and Trade: T

    ministry is the main autho

    for all energy matters in Spand with its Secretary

    Energy arm. It works w

    other ministries in crea

    plans, rules, and regula

    for mining, nuclear ener

    fossil fuels, and all o

    sources and activities rela

    to energy production

    consumption.

    ational Ene

    Commission: Attached to Ministry of Industry, Touri

    and Trade, it is respons

    with providing substan

    advice to the ministry in

    oil, gas, and electric sect

    particularly relate

    regulation.

    CIEMAT: The Center

    Energy, Environmental,

    Technological Research

    responsible for research development of n

    technologies, includ

    cooperation with internatio

    programs. Its areas of f

    are combustible renewab

    nuclear technology, and

    solar power.

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    rapidly in Spain, leading to the creation

    of large wind energy developers and

    manufacturers like Iberdrola, Gamesa,

    and Acciona, as well as roughly 45,000

    new jobs (IEA, 2008).

    In 1998, wind supplied about 1%

    of total electricity consumption, with

    less than 2,000MW of installed capacity.

    By the end of 2007, wind supplied 10%

    of all electricity consumption with

    15,145MW installed capacity, reflecting

    the strong growth in the wind energy

    sector in spite of the annual 4-5%

    demand growth in that same period. In

    2007 alone, 3,522MW of wind capacity

    was added to the national grid, making

    a record and confirming that the

    Spanish wind energy industry is

    growing exponentially. In addition, this

    domestic growth accounts for only 50%

    of Spanish wind energy activity, as

    roughly 50% of production is dedicated

    for export (IEA, 2008). The figure below

    shows the strong growth in installed

    capacity and the Spanish governments

    objectives to 2010.

    FIGURE 2. Growth of Wind Energy Capacity

    Source: EIA, 2008

    Policy Framework

    The key policy that is driving

    strong growth in the wind energy

    industry is the feed-in tariff, instituted

    through the 1998 Royal Decree on

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    Special Regime (RD 2818) and the 1997

    Electric Power Act (Law 54). Under the

    feed-in tariff, producers are guaranteed

    a premium above their market price for

    every unit of electricity produced. This

    scheme creates an attractive investment

    climate by providing a monetary

    incentive to grow rapidly. The feed-in

    tariff levels have been set by royal

    decrees since their institution, being

    modified in 2004 to allow for variability

    depending on project size (Del Rio and

    Gaul, 2007).

    Under the Plan for Renewable

    Energies (PER), which covers the period

    2005-2010, 12% of all electricity must

    come from wind energy by 2010. This

    means that by 2010, there must be

    20,155MW of installed capacity. With

    the growth rate from 2007, this level will

    be reached by 2009. As a result of local

    plans to create more jobs and spur

    development, 39,000MW will have to be

    installed between 2010 and 2020,

    holding great prospects for wind energy

    growth in Spain. The private sector itself

    has set a goal of 40,000MW by 2020.

    Currently, total installed capacity is

    92GW, and it grew 10% in 2007 alone(IEA, 2008). With the feed-in tariff in

    place for the next decade and increasing

    confidence in wind energy, these goals

    are attainable.

    Research Goals

    This research study was intendedto contribute to the book Global Winds

    of Change: The Development of the

    Wind Energy Industry, by Professor

    Bogdan Vasi at the School of

    International and Public Affairs atColumbia University. The book

    discusses the various factors that have

    led to the growth of the global wind

    energy industry, from climate change

    concerns to demands by non-

    governmental organizations to

    innovation and entrepreneurship. The

    book is an in-depth look at what is

    fueling the industrys growth and what

    are the key lessons learned from nations

    leading in wind energy.

    In this context, this study focused

    on one piece of the global picture: Spain.

    Goals

    1.

    Analyze the business and politicalenvironment of the Spanish wind energy

    industry.

    2. Determine what factors played animportant role in the growth of the

    Spanish wind energy industry.

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    The goals of the study were to analyze

    the Spanish wind energy industry and

    gather new information regarding what

    has contributed to its growth. Spain was

    selected because of its leadership status

    globally in wind energy development.

    The new information gathered

    regarding the growth of the wind

    energy industry in Spain was intended

    to relate to socioeconomic factors,

    including the significance of pressure

    groups, the demand for jobs in Spain,

    and the requirements by the European

    Commission to meet certain goals for

    renewable energies.

    Methodology

    As mentioned above, the studys

    goals were to analyze the Spanish windenergy industry and identify factors that

    determined its growth over the last

    decade. To achieve this, two methods

    were used:

    1) Secondary research2) Interviews

    Secondary Research

    The first part of the study

    involved secondary research, which is

    the collection and synthesis of primary

    research. The main source of primary

    documents was Lexus-Nexus , an online

    database of articles. In addition, Web of

    Science, a database for academic articles,

    was used to find scholarly informationregarding the wind energy industry in

    Spain. Finally, reports from non-

    governmental organizations were used

    as well to gather information about the

    industry.

    In total, hundreds of articles were

    collected and compiled to identify keycontacts in the Spanish wind energy

    industry and find useful information

    regarding social actions in favor of wind

    energy and developments in the private

    sector. In addition, several scholarly

    articles and reports were found, which

    contribute to this summary and will

    provide useful statistics for the book.

    Interviews

    The second part of the study

    involved interviews. The contacts

    identified for interviews were found

    through personal contacts in Spain and

    actual secondary documents.

    Interviewees were mostly from the non-

    governmental sector, but some were in

    the public sector and private sectors. All

    interviews were transcribed and focused

    on what factors were significant in

    helping the Spanish wind energy

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    industry develop to its current state.

    Table 1 below shows the names and

    affiliations of those interviewed.

    TABLE 1. Interviewees

    Name Affiliation

    Jose Garcia Greenpeace-Spain

    Miguel Mendonca World Future Council

    Begona UrielNavarre Department of Innovation,

    Enterprise, and Employment

    Findings

    The study revealed mixed results

    from what was expected. In general, the

    research team assumed that social

    factors would play a very large role in

    creating the political and

    entrepreneurial climate needed to

    advance the Spanish wind energy

    industry to its present state. However,

    there were other factors that played key

    roles as well. Most of the key findings

    relevant to the studys goals were

    actually found through interviews.

    Secondary research was helpful in

    finding key data and information

    regarding the existing policy

    framework.

    Secondary Research

    In summary, the Lexus-Nexus

    articles, dating from 1989 to 2008,

    provided information regarding actions

    by unions and environmental groups, as

    well as actions by private actors. The

    actions covered by the articles involved

    anti-nuclear, anti-coal, and climate-

    related groups. These included labor

    unions and large environmental

    organizations like Greenpeace. They all

    had a strong stance against nuclear

    energy and fossil fuels, and also wanted

    Key Actors

    Acciona Asociacion Empresarial Eolica Association of Producers of Renewable

    Energy (APPA)

    Centro acional de Energias Renovables Ecologistas en Accion Ecotecnica Ecyr Enel Union Fenosa Renovables Gamesa General Electric Greenpeace Iberdrola Siemens Vestas World Wildlife Fund

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    strong government action on climate

    change. However, no single action was

    dedicated to promoting wind energy.

    Some articles were related to local

    opposition to wind farms, while some

    focused on record wind energy

    production during very windy days.

    In terms of business climate, the

    Lexus-Nexus articles focused on the

    expansion of Spanish wind energy

    manufacturers and developers globally.

    In particular, there was strong mention

    of Iberdrola, Gamesa, and Acciona.

    Gamesa was mentioned as a leading

    global manufacturer of wind turbines,

    selling their high-quality turbines all

    around the world. On the other hand,

    Iberdrola and Acciona were mentioned

    as leading wind energy developers, not

    only developing new projects in Spain

    and abroad, but also buying up already

    existing wind farms. In particular,

    Iberdrola was given greater coverage

    because of its entrance into the United

    States market, where it is buying up

    wind farms and planning large new

    wind farms.

    Interviews

    The interviews revealed factorsthat played a significant role in the

    development of policy. The key factors

    that led to strong policy regarding wind

    energy development were, in order of

    relative importance, the following:

    1. Reliance on fossil fuels and the economic impact of higher oil prices and a costly coalindustry.

    2. The need for job creation and economic development in regions with high rates ofunemployment.

    3. Educational and strategic campaigns organized by non-governmental organizations insupport of renewable energy and climate change action.

    4. Increasing concerns related to climate change at the European Community level,signaled by the adoption of the Kyoto Protocol.

    5. Lobby efforts by non-governmental organizations and the private sector in support ofpolicy frameworks favorable to renewable energies.

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    Conclusions

    The study revealed that Spains

    wind energy industry is very dynamic

    as a result of a political framework thatnot only created a favorable business

    climate, but also supports research and

    development, education, and exports.

    The wind energy industry is growing

    rapidly and will continue to lead the

    world in years to come. In addition,

    Spains wind energy manufacturers and

    developers are poised to continuespreading around the world, exporting

    technology and business knowledge key

    to global wind energy development.

    With a robust wind energy industry,

    Spain is positioned to compete with

    other wind energy leaders and

    capitalize on emerging technologies like

    offshore wind.

    In terms of key factors

    influencing the Spanish wind energy

    industrys growth, the study found that

    socioeconomic factors, such as job

    creation and energy independence, are

    significant and can match the influence

    of lobby efforts and environmental

    groups. In addition, being part of aregion that is behind renewable energies

    in general also influences policy

    outcome in support of wind energy. In

    Spain, opposition to coal and nuclear

    energy, as well as increasing reliance on

    imported oil, greatly contributed to

    regional and national policies that

    promote wind energy. Lobby efforts byprivate companies and environmental

    groups also influenced specific policy

    outcomes, and the need for jobs in

    regions suffering from unemployment

    made wind energy a popular choice for

    economic development.

    In conclusion, the study suggests

    that countries with little fossil fuel

    resources, heavy reliance on imported

    energy, available labor force, and

    enough financial resources to promote

    new energy technologies may be

    capable of developing wind energy

    industries like Spains. In order for such

    countries to successfully create wind

    energy manufacturing and developmentcapacity, there must be strong popular

    support, interested business actors, and

    a politically sound government that can

    work to design policies that will enable

    the creation and growth of a wind

    energy industry. Actors in nations with

    similar characteristics as Spains can

    play their part to lead to policyoutcomes that incentivize wind energy

    production, provide training for new

    jobs, and support research and

    development.

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    References

    Central Intelligence Agency. (2008). Spain. Retrieved November 30, 2008.

    https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/sp.html.

    Del Rio, Pablo and Gual, Miguel A. (2007). An integrated assessment of the feed-in tariff

    system in Spain. Energy Policy, 35: 994-1012.

    Executive Committee for the Implementing Agreement for Co-operation in the

    Research, Development, and Deployment of Wind Energy Systems. (2008). IEA Wind

    Energy Annual Report 2007. International Energy Agency.

    International Energy Agency. (2005). Energy Policies of EIA Countries: Spain 2005 Review.

    Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

    Ragwitz, Mario and Huber, Claus. (2005). Feed-In Systems in Germany and Spain and acomparison. Energy Economics Group.

    Appendix

    FIGURE 3. Map of Wind Installation Distribution

    Source: EIA, 2008

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    FIGURE 4

    FIGURE 5. Electricity Mix for 1995 and 2007

    Source: EIA, 2005; 2008

    41%

    33%

    14%

    9%

    2% 1%

    1995

    Coal

    Nuclear

    Hydro

    Oil

    Natural Gas

    Wind

    Others

    25%

    20%

    9%

    24%

    1%

    10%

    11%

    2007

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    FIGURE 6. Tariff Levels for Wind Energy

    Sources:Country Submission