kevin kato fischer swot analysis

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  • 7/28/2019 Kevin Kato Fischer Swot Analysis

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    Purpose

    : Ana lyze

    Tevas

    st ra tegy & pro f i t g rowth

    potent ia l

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    Systemic erosion of generic drug prices in U.S. due to entry of low-cost drug manufacturers fromIndia and China

    Future of generics industry is uncertain due to fractured industry and volume of generic firms

    Generics entry rates into a new market largely driven by the structure of the market (Physiciandriven vs. Pharmacy driven) government regulation and perception of inferiority

    More global consolidation predicted among large generic companies due to low price strategy

    adopted by smaller players

    High competition among generic manufacturers; after the 180-day exclusivity period ended, 18competitors were poised to enter with their version

    Aging population and rising health care costs bodes well for Pharmaceutical industry in general andgenerics industry in particular

    Generics business is currently profitable as more innovative drugs lose patent protection

    The Innovative drug market was expected to slow to 5-8% while Generic Industry predicted to growworldwide at around 16% and to double to $100 billion in sales by 2010

    External Analysis- General EnvironmentLeast

    Beneficial

    to Teva

    Most Beneficial

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    Operating Environment

    Customers

    Customers: National pharmacy chains, hospitals and medical professionals

    Requirements: broad scope of products, inventory management, volume based

    discounts and pricing bundles

    Value: Low prices

    Competitors

    Competitors: Ranbaxy, Sandoz, Watson, Barr, Mylan, Dr. Reddys Competitor Strengths:

    Barr R & D and patent litigation,

    SandozR&D & European focus,

    Ranbaxy and Dr. Reddys: low labor costs.

    Competitor Weakness:

    Lack of rigorous execution in Filing ANDA applications

    Lack of economies of scale and

    Lack of broad generic portfolio.

    Competitive strategy: higher R&D investment, Patent litigation, authorized

    generics and low labor costs

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    Opportunities and Threats Opportunities:

    Aging populations

    Rising health care costs

    Expiration of patent protection for many innovative drugs

    Physician-driven markets are slowly trending towards becomingpharmacy-driven markets

    Fragmented global generic drug market is ripe for consolidation

    Niche and Biosimilar medications

    Threats:

    Entry of Low cost firms from India reduced prices of generics by 15-30%in three years.

    180 day exclusivity period Increasingly Innovative companies release their own authorized generic

    version

    High R&D investment & marketing outlays for innovative drugs

    Greatest

    Least

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    Present Situation Internal Analysis Strategy

    Produce Innovative Drugs by

    partnering w/ research institutions Israel / Jewish roots and community

    resources

    Produce R&D intensive generics Direct correlation of profit and R&D

    expense

    Achieve 180 day exclusivity for filingpatent of generics

    Easily Imitable

    Advantages ofTevas size

    Acquire other generic producers Prop up prices by eliminating competition

    Expand into other areas

    Compete on price using economies ofscale

    Products General Generic production

    Drug component production

    R&D Intensive Generics

    Innovative Drug Production

    Attempting to Increase certainty of profit margins

    Developed 2 innovative drugs recently

    Working to gain 180 day exclusivity

    Erecting barriers to entry due to scale

    Build competitive advantages Scale

    University Partnership

    R&D capabilities / facilities

    quality

    Reduce competition Price out through scale

    Acquisitions

    Produce own drug raw materials

    Expand Market Share Acquisitions

    Building relationships in Israeli way

    Provide volume and steady supply

    Assure Distribution supply Spread out manufacturing

    Secure alternate routes during conflict

    Avoid conflict zones for key research,manufacturing and distributioncenters

    More

    Profit

    More

    Market

    Share

    Most

    Resources

    Devoted

    Leastresources

    devoted

    Most

    Important

    Sub-bullet

    Mostsuccessful

    Least

    Important

    Sub-bullet

    Least

    successful

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    Financial Resources Internal Analysis Condition

    Operating Income 4 times competitors Greater $ for R&D and overall

    production

    Greater ability to research and producenew drugs

    Gross profit margin 42% Slightly lower than industry

    Generics have narrow margin

    ROE 18.8% Equity is making the shareholders

    money, perhaps to much given back toholders

    ROA 8.2% Assets working better than average

    competition, but not utilized to thefullest potential

    Only 47% profit put into R&D Low % for innovative industry

    Average for generics

    Ability to meet demands Strong Operations Support

    Operating budget and scale

    Difficult to imitate scale Can meet any capacity demand with

    just one plant compared to acompetitor

    Small portfolio of Innovative Drugs Unsure profit margins, no competitive

    advantage

    Imitable drugs Easy substitutes

    Low Margins On Generics Difficult to make money with many

    players

    Future Growth Capital availability for expansion

    Can acquire new generic producers toimprove share and market price

    Good return attractive to investors Can raise capital for expansion and

    research

    R&D Pipeline Utilizes 180 exclusivity

    Strong research means first to market

    Advantages

    forinnovation

    Advantages

    for generic

    production

    Competitive

    Advantages

    Potential

    Weaknesses

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    Strengths Weaknesses

    Size of production facilities Low cost strategy

    Price skimming

    180 day exclusivity advantage

    Understanding supply chain Raw material sourcing

    Reorganize after every large acquisition

    Disaster planning

    Emphasis on acquisitions Supplement capabilities to improve

    profitability (HGH)

    Consolidate fragmented market

    Gain market share while raising prices byeliminating competition

    Sell drug components to other companies

    Drug portfolio Diverse medicines = diverse risk

    New innovative drug every year by 2010

    Improve profit potential in all situations Generic, innovative, niche

    Attracts large investment from Israel

    Corporate Culture Billion Dollar Theory

    Willing to take risk

    Relation w/ Israeli Research

    Strategy Imitability No patents on generics

    Compete on price = low profit margin Limited innovative drugs

    Capacity pushes towards more genericproduction

    Limited Research Budget Thin profit margins reduce R&D

    Greater risk with innovation

    Longer lead time on new products Heavy Investment in US market

    Changing health standards could cripplemarket

    Concentrated risk

    Missing opportunities for global share

    Avoids physician driven markets

    Shift of core focus Lack of marketing experience for new

    drugs Lack of direct access or direct to

    consumer ads

    Low budget for advertising

    Move to innovation increases risk Most investment is in pension funds

    Risking yearly profit risks dividends forpensioners

    Strongest

    Weakest

    Weaker

    LessWeak

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    Analysis of Environmental Trends

    Competitor introduces innovative

    drug

    International exchange fluctuations

    Focus on innovative drugs

    higher margins, higher risk

    Patents and other legal

    regulations

    Complacency failure to

    acknowledge competitiveness of

    industry

    Maintain current structure

    Consolidate US generics

    markets through acquisitions

    Invest growth into R & D for

    innovative drugs

    Lo Hi

    Hi

    Lo

    Probability of Growth

    Impact

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    Customer Focus Fulfill demand for low-cost

    alternatives

    Effort to win over physician-driven

    markets

    Aging population requires more

    medicines

    Market Focus Advanced pipeline for bringing

    generic drugs to market

    Expanding to new territories

    Governments demand less expensive

    alternatives

    Work with universities to gain newideas for undiscovered drugs

    Internal Focus

    Redesign supply chain as needed

    Billion Dollar Theory

    Strong reorganization and integration

    efforts after an acquisition

    Competitor Focus

    Realize need for market

    consolidation

    Production facilities are larger than

    competitorsStrong department for ADA filings

    Focus on Consumers and Competitors

    Teva Pharmaceuticals is in the Market Focus category

    LOW HIGH

    Focus On Competitors

    LOW

    HIGH

    FocusOnCustomers

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    Teva

    Watson Labs

    Mylan

    Pfizer

    Glaxosmithkline

    Barr

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

    Numbero

    fDrugsProduced/Company

    Prescriptions Filled (in thousands)

    Customer Value Analysis

    Major Competitors

    Teva currently fills more prescriptions than its competitors and provides a wider range of product offerings

    Teva also applies its scale and to keep prices low and offer the benefit of its cost savings to the customer

    Teva also provides capacity to customers to ensure product availability

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    Key Decisions

    What are the problems and opportunities? Problems:

    Big Pharma has increased presence in generics and has implemented aggressive tactics Pursuing own generics

    Licensing 180 day exclusivity period

    Big Pharma has more aggressively fought patents

    Companies have begun emulating TEVAs strategies and the competitive gap is closing

    Entrance of new types of competitors

    Pricing has declined 15-30% over the last 3 years in some markets

    TEVAs stock price has plunged 30%, which has erased billions in market capitalization

    Opportunities: Increases in overall health costs has led to greater demand for generics

    Large potential markets (Latin America and Asia)

    Growing and profitable biosimilar market

    Major drugs are coming off patents in coming years

    Insurance companies are pushing generic alternatives

    Countries opening up to generics (Germany, France, Japan)

    What should be the focus of the recommendations? Maintain annual growth rate of 33% for last 5 years

    Raise stock price

    Most Significant

    Least Significant

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    Alternatives

    Maintain Focus on U.S. Generics Market Pros:

    TEVA is a leader in ANDA filings

    TEVA very effective at acquiring and integrating existing companies

    Cons: More companies vying for exclusivities

    Systemic erosion of prices

    Focus on Global Generics Market Pros:

    Generic penetration high (U.K., Netherlands)

    Generic market large (Germany, France)

    Rapidly growing market (Latin America, Eastern Europe, Russia, India, China)

    The growth of the global market is expected to speed up

    TEVA purchased Ivax which has strong presence in Latin America and Eastern Europe

    Cons: Market heavily regulated (Germany, France, Japan, Latin America, Eastern Europe, Russia, India, China)

    Generic penetration low (Japan)

    Other companies already expanding into Europe

    The structure of Europe is not the structure in which TEVA excels

    Most Significant

    Least Significant

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    Alternatives (continued)

    Move Up Value Chain from Low Cost Generics Into More SpecializedProducts (biosimilars or innovative) Pros:

    Cost to develop innovative drugs much lower than competitors

    Biosimilars expected to be high growth

    Theoretically, TEVA can produce one new innovative drug per year

    Cons: Innovative market growth expected to slow

    United States bogged down in regulatory impasse

    Some Combination of the Three Pros:

    Diversify risk among a number of markets

    Maintain leadership in generics while expanding into highly profitable innovative market Take advantage of economies of scale and supply chain expertise in other markets

    Cons: Difficult allocating funds between generic and innovative projects

    Hard to manage generic company when you are rich

    Most Significant

    Least Significant

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    Recommendations

    I will not ever take a risk so big that it will jeopardize the company. I will risk quarterlyprofits, but never the company -Eli Hurvitz

    TEVA should pursue a mix of the three alternatives: TEVA should maintain focus on U.S. generics market by attempting to consolidate the U.S.

    market by strategically acquiring competitors

    TEVA should focus on those global markets that have a structure for which it has previously

    been successful TEVA should pursue the biosimilar market as well as modestly increase research and

    development in innovative drugs

    Support for Recommendation A mix of these three strategies will allow TEVA to diversify its risk so as not to jeopardize the

    company

    By pursuing all three alternatives, TEVA will be able to pursue those portions of the market inwhich it will be the most successful

    For example, if TEVA were to ONLY pursue the global generics market, to reach the market growthdesired by management, TEVA would probably have to pursue nearly all global generic markets

    On the other hand, if TEVA is pursuing market growth in all three alternatives, it can pick and chosethose global generic markets that have the structure in which TEVA has previously been successful

    Many experts in the industry believe it is difficult to allocate funds between generic andinnovative drugs, but TEVA has successfully released two innovative drugs and has thus farbeen able to allocate funds profitably

    Most Significant

    Least Significant

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    Corporate Strategy U.S. Generics Market

    Maintain existing relationships TEVA is currently very successful in the U.S. market and should not risk thismarket share due to expansion in other areas

    Acquire smaller competitors to consolidate market the U.S. market is extremely fragmented; aconsolidation of the market would result in increased market share and higher profit margins

    Continue to improve supply chain and manufacturing efficiencies TEVA is a market leader in supply chainand production efficiencies and it should maintain this area of leadership

    Global Generics Market Pursue markets that have structure in which TEVA has been successful TEVA has been successful in

    markets where generic penetration is high and there is low regulation; TEVA should not enter dissimilar

    markets because of the risk of pursing an unknown strategy Maximize market potential of Ivax markets (Latin America and Eastern Europe) Latin America and Eastern

    are rapidly growing markets; Ivax already has a market presence in these areas and this advantage shouldbe maximized

    Continue to acquire companies that have access and expertise in rapidly growing markets TEVA is verygood at acquiring and integrating companies; acquisition would be an effective way of entering unknownbut potentially profitable markets

    Specialized Products Use profits from generic market to modestly increase research and development for innovative drugs TEVA

    should modestly increase research and development expenditures to gain profits from the lucrativeinnovative drug market, but should not aggressively pursue this market because of high risk and because it isnot an area of expertise for TEVA

    Continue to use existing strategy for developing innovative drugs TEVA should continue to use localscientists to develop innovative drugs because this reduces the cost of drug development significantly

    Use profits from generic market to pursue the biosimilar market the biosimilar market is a rapidlyexpanding market that TEVA should use be able to utilize its expertise in generics to obtain substantialprofits

    Most Significant

    Least Significant

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