joseph l. welch president and ceo, itc holdings corp. july 16, 2007

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Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Page 1: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

Joseph L. WelchPresident and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp.

July 16, 2007

Joseph L. WelchPresident and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp.

July 16, 2007

Page 2: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Who Is ITC?Who Is ITC?

ITC Holdings Corp. (“ITC”), through two of its operating subsidiaries, ITCTransmission and Michigan Electric Transmission Company, LLC (“METC”), operates fully-regulated, high-voltage transmission systems covering most of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula.

In January 2007 ITC Midwest LLC signed a definitive agreement to acquire the transmission assets of Interstate Power and Light Company, an Alliant Energy Corporation subsidiary, in Iowa, Minnesota, Illinois and Missouri.

ITC Great Plains and ITC Panhandle Transmission were formed in July 2006 and June 2007, respectively.

Rate regulation by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”).

Operational subsidiaries are members of the Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator (“MISO”) and Southwest Power Pool.

Page 3: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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ITC and its subsidiaries are singularly focused on electric transmission.

ITC is committed to investing in the transmission grid to improve reliability, reduce congestion, enable a competitive, wholesale energy market, and lower the overall cost of delivered energy.

Only publicly traded company engaged exclusively in the transmission of electricity in the U.S.

Largest independent transmission company and currently 8th largest transmission company overall in the U.S. in terms of energy sales. (1)

The Independent Transmission CompanyThe Independent Transmission Company

(1) Based on annual electric retail sales in the service territory as found in “Edison Electric Institute Profile: Rankings of Shareholder-Owned Electric Companies”, May 2006.

Page 4: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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ITC is not a market participant; its only business is transmission. — ITC doesn’t care whose electrons travel over its wires.

Transmission is the backbone of the electric system.— A reliable transmission system is critical to the success of any renewable

portfolio standard policy or demand response program.

Pure Focus on TransmissionPure Focus on Transmission

Page 5: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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WIRES is the Working Group for Investment in Reliable and Economic Electric Systems (www.wiresgroup.com).

Serves as the voice of the electric transmission infrastructure industry, created in response to the urgent need for transmission identified by Congress in the Energy Policy Act and the electric industry.

Member companies include: — California Independent System Operator— Great River Energy— ITC Holdings Corp.— Infrasource— Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator, Inc.— National Grid— Oncor— PJM Interconnection— ScottMadden— Trans-Elect— Vinson & Elkins (counsel)— Wesco.

WIRESWIRES

Page 6: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Fact #1: Electric reliability is driven almost solely by the condition of the transmission grid.

Fact #2: Planning individual transmission systems without regard to the region will lead to negative results.

Fact #3: The transmission grid is critical in addressing issues such as “capacity”, reliability, competitive markets, demand response and renewable resources.

The FactsThe Facts

Page 7: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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The U.S. remains the largest consumer of energy, but China is gaining by leaps and bounds.

World Energy ConsumptionWorld Energy Consumption

0.00

500.00

1,000.00

1,500.00

2,000.00

2,500.00

3,000.00

3,500.00

4,000.00

1980 1990 2000 2004

Year

Tota

l Energ

y C

onsum

ption

(Bill

ion k

Wh)

Former U.S.S.R.

Germany, West

United States

China

Japan

Russia

India

Germany

Canada

France

Brazil

United Kingdom

Italy

Source: Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual 2004

Page 8: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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U.S. Regular Conventional Retail Gasoline Prices ($ per Gallon)U.S. Regular Conventional Retail Gasoline Prices ($ per Gallon)

Source: Energy Information Administration (http://www.eia.doe.gov)

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

With the increasing world-wide demand on oil and petroleum, energy prices will only continue to increase for this resource that is becoming increasingly scarce.

The industry said that renewable resources were unable to be justified back when the price of gasoline was $1.00/gallon and later $2.00/gallon; prices have already gone past $3.00/gallon.

Renewable resources are inevitable; we must start today in order to reduce dependency on foreign oil and mitigate environmental impacts of fossil fuels.

Page 9: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Electric CarsElectric Cars

Electric cars are gaining momentum.

For example, Ford and California Edison recently announced a partnership to test rechargeable hybrid cars in order to speed up mass production.

Widespread usage of electric vehicles will lead to an increase in energy consumption and demand on the grid.

Page 10: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Renewable ResourcesRenewable Resources

Renewable resources, such as wind, biomass and solar, make good public policy.

However, many impediments still exist:— Cost— Location – not located at or near load

centers— Lack of robust transmission

infrastructure— Size and scale

Current transmission interconnection standards do not facilitate the development of renewable resources; high barrier to entry.— Barrier to entry puts wind energy at a

competitive disadvantage to incumbent generation.

Transmission is the enabler for delivering wind energy to load.

Page 11: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Abundance of Wind in Central/Western U.S.Abundance of Wind in Central/Western U.S.

Source: U.S. Dept. of Energy

U.S. Annual Wind Power Resource and Wind Power Classes

U.S. Annual Wind Power Resource and Wind Power Classes

Page 12: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Aside from Chicago (“the Windy City”), wind typically occurs in abundance in areas with low electric demand.

Many states have implemented Renewable Portfolio Standards (“RPS”) within their state.— For example, Michigan has called for 25% RPS by

2025. Peak load for Michigan’s Lower Peninsula is more

than 22,000MW, therefore a 25% RPS represents 5,500MW.

Only 600-1,000MW of optimal wind sites in Michigan.

— Other states have more wind potential than the total load in the state.

— States will be dependent on the transmission grid to support renewable resources.

— Some will need to export while others will need to import renewable resources.

Similar limitations exist for biomass.

Limitations of Wind / RPSLimitations of Wind / RPS

Page 13: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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U.S. Utilities by Peak LoadU.S. Utilities by Peak Load

Source: Edison Electric Institute research, FERC Form 1

The large majority of U.S. utilities have peak loads of less than 8,000 MW.— These utilities typically do not have the resources or may choose not to invest in

renewables but rather depend on the grid to import renewable resource-based energy.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Peak Load (MW)

Nu

mb

er

of

Uti

litie

s

Page 14: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Biomass CapacityBiomass Capacity

Source: U.S. Dept. of the Interior

Page 15: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Transmission is the enabler for demand response programs.

For example, at a specific point in time (hour, day, etc.), assume that Chicago has reduced load due demand side management but that Detroit requires additional energy to support demand.

The grid must be able to reliably accommodate the resultant change in energy flow.— The grid must be able to

withstand variations across the region.

Demand Response ProgramsDemand Response Programs

Page 16: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Given the lack of investment in the grid over the last 30 years coupled with the doubling of demand over the same period, now is opportune time.

As an industry, we must be focused not only on improving reliability within our own respective service territories, but we must also plan the grid:— With a regional view; — In consideration of future

demands; and— To facilitate the

development of renewables and demand response.

System in Dire Need of InvestmentSystem in Dire Need of Investment

Page 17: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Policy changes are necessary to bring the benefits of renewables and demand response programs to consumers. — Interconnection standards— Cost allocation policies— Long-term focus and policies— Plan as a region

SummarySummary

Page 18: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

Additional SlidesAdditional Slides

Page 19: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Rate Base Rate BaseBeginning Balance 550$ 600$ 650$ 700$ 750$ Beginning Balance 550$ 600$ 608$ 615$ 623$ 630$ Additions to Rate Base 50 50 50 50 50 Additions to Rate Base 50 8 8 8 8 8 Depreciation (100) (115) (131) (148) (166) Depreciation (100) (115) (130) (144) (157) (170) Ending Balance 500 535 569 602 634 Ending Balance 500 493 486 479 473 468

Return on Rate Base (@ 10.5%) 53 56 60 63 67 Return on Rate Base (@ 10.5%) 53 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Expenses 30 30 30 30 30 Expenses 30 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/aDepreciation 15 16 17 18 19 Depreciation 15 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/aIncome Taxes 22 24 26 27 28 Income Taxes 22 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Total Revenue Requirement 120$ 126$ 132$ 138$ 144$ Total Revenue Requirement 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$

Revenue 120$ 126$ 132$ 138$ 144$ Revenue 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$

Current Year Total Revenues 120 126 132 138 144 Current Year Total Revenues 120 120 120 120 120 120

Operating Expenses (30) (30) (30) (30) (30) Operating Expenses (30) (25) (26) (26) (27) (27) Depreciation (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) Depreciation (15) (15) (14) (14) (13) (13) Interest Expense (11) (12) (12) (13) (14) Interest Expense (11) (11) (11) (10) (10) (10) Income Taxes (22) (24) (26) (27) (28) Income Taxes (22) (24) (24) (25) (25) (25)

Net Income 42$ 45$ 47$ 50$ 53$ Net Income 42$ 45$ 45$ 46$ 46$ 46$

Net Cash Flow 1$ 5$ 8$ 12$ 15$ Net Cash Flow 1$ 47$ 47$ 47$ 47$ 46$

Return on Equity 13.88% 13.88% 13.88% 13.88% 13.88% Return on Equity 13.88% 15.34% 15.59% 15.83% 16.06% 16.27%

Depreciation > $15 million for all five years

Illustrative Example:Independent Transmission Company (13.88% ROE)Illustrative Example:Independent Transmission Company (13.88% ROE)

Additions to rate base = $50 million per year — Greater than

depreciation

ROE = 13.88%— Remains steady

Page 20: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Frozen Rate Test

Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Rate Base Rate BaseBeginning Balance 550$ 600$ 650$ 700$ 750$ Beginning Balance 550$ 600$ 608$ 615$ 623$ 630$ Additions to Rate Base 50 50 50 50 50 Additions to Rate Base 50 8 8 8 8 8 Depreciation (100) (115) (131) (148) (166) Depreciation (100) (115) (130) (144) (157) (170) Ending Balance 500 535 569 602 634 Ending Balance 500 493 486 479 473 468

Return on Rate Base (@ 10.5%) 53 56 60 63 67 Return on Rate Base (@ 10.5%) 53 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Expenses 30 30 30 30 30 Expenses 30 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/aDepreciation 15 16 17 18 19 Depreciation 15 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/aIncome Taxes 22 24 26 27 28 Income Taxes 22 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Total Revenue Requirement 120$ 126$ 132$ 138$ 144$ Total Revenue Requirement 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$

Revenue 120$ 126$ 132$ 138$ 144$ Revenue 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$ 120$

Current Year Total Revenues 120 126 132 138 144 Current Year Total Revenues 120 120 120 120 120 120

Operating Expenses (30) (30) (30) (30) (30) Operating Expenses (30) (25) (26) (26) (27) (27) Depreciation (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) Depreciation (15) (15) (14) (14) (13) (13) Interest Expense (11) (12) (12) (13) (14) Interest Expense (11) (11) (11) (10) (10) (10) Income Taxes (22) (24) (26) (27) (28) Income Taxes (22) (24) (24) (25) (25) (25)

Net Income 42$ 45$ 47$ 50$ 53$ Net Income 42$ 45$ 45$ 46$ 46$ 46$

Net Cash Flow 1$ 5$ 8$ 12$ 15$ Net Cash Flow 1$ 47$ 47$ 47$ 47$ 46$

Return on Equity 13.88% 13.88% 13.88% 13.88% 13.88% Return on Equity 13.88% 15.34% 15.59% 15.83% 16.06% 16.27%

Depreciation = $13-15 million

Illustrative Example:Vertically Integrated Utility Under Frozen RateIllustrative Example:Vertically Integrated Utility Under Frozen Rate

Additions to rate base = $8 million per year — Less than

depreciation

ROE continues to grow due to lack of investment in system

Rate base steadily declining

Page 21: Joseph L. Welch President and CEO, ITC Holdings Corp. July 16, 2007

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Result of Underinvestment Over TimeResult of Underinvestment Over Time