jonathan f.p. rose
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TBLICONFERENCE Europe 2011TRANSCRIPT
Green Building Retrofits: Smart Investing, Sustainable Solutions
Jonathan F.P. RoseNovember 11, 2011
SMART INVESTING. SMART GROWTH. VALUE CREATION
Jonathan Rose Companies Overview
Jonathan Rose Companies Overview
Today’s world is …
Volatile
Uncertain
Complex
Ambiguous
Jonathan Rose Companies Megacities
Jonathan Rose Companies Top 600 Cities
Top 600 Global Cities
Population
GDP
Middle Class
1.5 Billion
$30 Trillion
450 Million
2 Billion
$64 Trillion
750 Million
2007 2025
Jonathan Rose Companies Top 600 Cities
The Global 600 Cities Will Change
Developed World
USA
% World’s GDP fromDeveloped World andMega Cities
380
190
73%
250
125
34%
2007 2025
Jonathan Rose Companies Top 600 Cities
Most of these are Cities you may never heard of:
Brazil: Forteleza, Manaus, Reclife
Africa: Huambo, Casablanca
Middle East: Sharjah
China: Chengdu, Foshan Xi’an
India: Nagpur, Vadodara, Visakhapatnam
Jonathan Rose Companies Overview
We are seeking investment opportunities that respond to VUCA conditions
Volatile
Stable
Uncertain Safe
Complex
Simple
Ambiguous
Supple
Jonathan Rose Companies Overview
The 4 S’s of a Real Estate Investment Strategy
Stable
Safe
Simple
Supple
• Strong, connected cities• Controlled supply, deep market demand
• Focus on cash flow• Appropriate leverage
• Clear value proposition• Few dependent factors
• Responds to volatile markets• Adapts to changing energy and climate conditions
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Thesis
Two Investment Strategies
Affordable Housing Strategy
• Core-like risk/return
• 8-12% net IRR / 11-15% gross IRR
Office Retrofit Strategy
• Moderate risk, value-add return
• 12-15% net IRR / 15-18% gross IRR
High cost-of-living, high barrier-to-entry cities:
Jonathan Rose Companies Target Markets
Seattle
Portland
San Francisco
Los Angeles
Denver
Chicago
Washington, DC
New York City
Boston
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Thesis
Strong cash flow and low-risk returns through green affordable housing.
• Affordable housing in the right cities = strong and reliable income
• Plentiful supply of low-cost, long-term, non-recourse debt
• Green strategies and hands-on asset management reduce/control expenses & lead to strong capital appreciation
• Passive resilience provides a hedge against volatile energy prices availability of resources
• Target IRR: 8-12% net / 11-15% gross
• 4-6% annual cash-on-cash return
• Supply / Demand Imbalance
° High cost-of-living in major urban markets creates affordability burden
° 95%-100% occupancy rates and long tenant waiting lists
° National average vacancy rate in project-based Section 8 < 5%
• Steady income stream access to low-cost, long-term financing
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Thesis
Opportunity for strong cash flow and significant capital appreciation through acquisition of high-demand product.
Jonathan Rose Companies Opportunity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
35% 31% 29% 32% 29% 28% 32% 29% 25% 26%32%
27% 28%23%
27%30% 32% 28% 30% 31% 27% 29% 33% 31%
24%29% 27%
32%
% Income Spent on Housing % Income Spent on Transportation
* Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology
The Transportation + Housing Affordability Burden
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Strategy: Target Product
Project Types:
• Federally subsidized rent contracts (project-based Section 8)
• Tax credits leveraging private capital (Low-Income Housing Tax Credit)
• Mixed-Income (50/30/20 and 80/20 programs)
• Rent Stabilized / Rent Controlled
Acquire well-located affordable housing with in-place cash flow
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Strategy: Tailored Capital Improvements
• High-leverage, low-cost technologies
• Grants / incentives that defray costs
• Reduced energy costs, reduced R&M costs, reduced environmental impact
• Retrofits can yield 25-40% efficiency gains with modest investment*
Implement practical green capital improvements that yield paybacks
* Source: Government Accountability Office
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Strategy: Active Asset Management
• Energy Benchmarking
• “Living Green” Guides
• Smart-Plug Technologies
• Tenant Meetings
Encouraging tenant behavior that reinforces green capital investments and creates sense of community.
Jonathan Rose Companies Case Study: 107-145 West 135th Street
Public Library
HarlemHospital
PublicSchool
HarlemYMCA
Jonathan Rose Companies Case Study: 107-145 West 135th Street
Jonathan Rose Companies Case Study: 107-145 West 135th Street
AfterBefore
Jonathan Rose Companies Case Study: 107-145 West 135th Street
Project Summary
Jonathan Rose Companies Case Study: 107-145 West 135th Street
Acquisition Date:
Purchase Price:
Appraised Value:
Occupancy:
NOI Increase
12/22/2008
$26.5 million
$39.4 million
98%
84%
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Thesis
Class B Office Retrofits = Prime Value-Add Investment
• Assets can be acquired at below replacement cost
• Potential for high-multiple returns through well-executed capital and leasing programs
• Diverse multi-tenant rent rolls that spread risk & preserve cash flow
• Hedge against volatile energy prices
• Target IRR: 12-15% net / 15-18% gross
Jonathan Rose Companies Opportunity
* Source: Cushman & Wakefield
Urban markets outperform suburban markets
Q108 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q2110.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
U.S. Office Vacancy Rates
CBD Vacancy
Jonathan Rose Companies Opportunity
* Source: CBRE
Value-add opportunity
Market Class A Stabilized Cap Rate Class B Value-Add Cap Rate
Boston 6.50% - 7.00% 8.00% - 9.00%
Chicago 6.25% - 6.75% 7.75% - 8.25%
Denver 6.25% - 7.25% 8.50% - 9.50%
Los Angeles 5.50% - 6.50% 7.00% - 8.00%
New York City 5.50% - 6.00% 6.50% - 7.50%
Philadelphia 6.50% - 7.50% 9.00% - 10.00%
Portland 7.50% - 8.50% 9.00% - 10.00%
San Francisco 6.00% - 7.00% 7.00% - 7.75%
Seattle 6.25% - 7.00% 8.25% - 8.75%
Washington, DC 5.50% - 6.25% 7.00% - 8.00%
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Strategy: Target Locations
• Enable businesses to attract top talent
• Class A locations for companies seeking downtown amenities at Class B rents
• More resilient markets with steadier occupancy
Smart Growth = Smart Investing
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Strategy: Target Product
• Centrally located Class B buildings
• Underperforming assets that offer opportunity for repositioning & rebranding
• Frequently with historic elements that can be leveraged to enhance tenant appeal
• $15-50 million range
Acquire well-located, underperforming office assets
Jonathan Rose Companies Investment Strategy: Repositioning
• Strategic building upgrades to enhance appeal
° Competitive leasing advantage
• Green retrofit to control operating expenses
° Up to 35% reduction in energy use
° $.50 p.s.f. in cost savings
• Green, hands-on asset management
° Reduce turnover
° Drive NOI (growth as high as 76%)
Perform Value-add Repositioning and Rebranding
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
VSeattle’s Prem
ier Retail C
orridor
Benaroya Hall
Pike Place Market
Four
Season
s
Source: ARUP
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Source: Effective Design Studio | Francis Zera
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
Jonathan Rose Companies Vance & Sterling Buildings, Seattle, WA
AIA SEATTLEWHAT MAKES IT GREEN?2009 REGIONAL TOP 10
AWARDS
Project Summary
Jonathan Rose Companies Case Study: 107-145 West 135th Street
Acquisition Date:
Purchase Price:
Improvement Cost:
Appraised Values:
Occupancy:
NOI Increase:
4/12/2006
$23.1 million
$3.5 million
$25.2 MM, 3/10$34.5 MM, 1/08
90%
36%
Green Building Retrofits: Smart Investing, Sustainable Solutions
Jonathan F.P. RoseNovember 11, 2011
SMART INVESTING. SMART GROWTH. VALUE CREATION