john peters, ph.d.: why are we (still) fat?

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    Why are we (still) fat?John C. Peters, Ph.D.

    Chief Strategy Officer Anschutz Health and Wellness Center

    Professor of Medicine

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    82 Putative Causes(From the Downey Obesity Report, February 28th, 2013)

    1. agricultural policies2. air conditioning3. air pollution4. antibiotic usage at early age5. arcea nut chewing6. assortative mating7. being a single mother8. birth by C-section9. built environment10. chemical toxins

    11. child maltreatment12. competitive food sales in schools13. consumption of pastries and chocolate (inBurkina Faso)14. decline in occupational physical activity15. delayed prenatal care16. delayed satiety17. depression18. driving children to school19. eating away from home

    20. economic development21. endocrine disruptors22. entering into a romantic relationship23. epigenetic factors24. family conflict25. first-born in family26. food addiction27. food deserts28. food insecurity

    29. food marketing to children30. food overproduction31. friends32. genetics33. gestational diabetes34. global food system35. grilled foods36. gut microbioata37. having children, for women38. heavy alcohol consumption

    39. home labor saving devices40. hunger-response to food cues41. international trade policies (globalization)42. high fructose corn syrup43. lack of family meals44. lack of nutritional education45. lack of self-control46. large portion sizes47. living in the suburbs48. living in crime-prone areas

    49. low levels of physical activity50. low socioeconomic status51. market economy52. marrying in later life53. maternal employment54. maternal obesity55. maternal over-nutrition during pregnancy56. maternal smoking57. meat consumption

    58. menopause59. mental disabilities60. no or short term breastfeeding61. non-parental childcare62. overeating63. participation in Supplemental NutritionAssistance Program (formerly Food StampProgram)64. perception of neighborhood safety65. physical disabilities

    66. prenatal maternal exposure to naturaldisasters67. poor emotional coping68. sleep deficits69. skipping breakfast70. snacking71. smoking cessation72. stair design73. stress74. sugar-sweetened beverages

    75. trans fats76. transportation policies77. television set in bedrooms78. television viewing79. thyroid dysfunction80. vending machines81. virus82. weight gain inducing drugs

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    Multi-factoral causesPortion sizeHigh energy densityHigh glycemic indexSoft drinks/

    junkfoodIn schoolsAdded sugarEasy food accessLow costVarietyConvenienceGreat tasteAds/marketing

    SedentaryworkplacesSedentary schoolsActivity unfriendly

    community design

    AutomobilesDrive-throughconveniencesElevators/escalatorsRemote controls

    SedentaryentertainmentLabor saving devicesTelevision/computer

    WEIGHT

    GAIN

    Energy intake

    Energy expenditure

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    Obesity: Evolutionary Biology, theEnvironment, Society and You

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    The Evolutionary Biology: Why

    we are the way we are? Humans are hard wired to like sugar, fat and salt

    Humans evolved under conditions in whichphysical activity pulls appetite

    Humans are energy misers

    The biology is not brokenit is doing exactlywhat it was designed to do

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    Put this biology into the currentenvironment:

    Energy dense, high calorie food is everywhereand, it is

    inexpensive

    We no longer need to be physically active to survive

    Cultural values and practices developed in a differentsurvival contextthey now contribute to the problem

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    Godzilla Meets Bambi

    Sugar

    Fat

    Salt

    RestEnjoy

    Market more fresh produce

    Sidewalks, brighter stairwells

    Restrictions on bad food

    Reduced health premiums

    T-shirts, water bottles

    AND?

    BIOLOGY

    U n

    h e a l t h y P r e

    f e r e n c e s

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    Humans are biased toward action, notthought (thought is expensive)

    http://customerinnovations.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/brain-a-b-c1.png
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    The Biology of Choicewe choosefor the moment

    NOW

    20 Years

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    The marketplace plays to the biology

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    The Evolutionary Biology: Whywe are the way we are?

    Humans are hard wired to like sugar, fat and salt

    Humans evolved under conditions in whichphysical activity pulls appetite

    Humans are energy misers

    The biology is not brokenit is doing exactlywhat it was designed to do

    We built the environment toserve the biology

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    Eat too much

    Our biology applies constantpressure to:

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    13 13

    ____________________________________ ______

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    14 14

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    And, move too little

    Leisure time physical activity has not declined

    Physical activity at work has declined

    Physical activity at home has declined

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    Body Weight

    EnergyIntake

    Our biology works best at high level ofphysical activity (energy flux)

    Physical ActivityThreshold forOptimal WeightRegulation

    Unregulated

    Zone Regulated

    Zone

    Adapted from Mayer et. al., 1956

    Increase in physical activity

    Adapted from Mayer et al, AJCN, 1956

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    USA Amishtoday

    -603 kcalday

    -436 kcalday

    Amish Men Amish Women US Men US Women

    From Bassett et.al., Med. And Sci. in Sports and Exer., 2004

    9%0% 32% 35%Obesity rate

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    20

    The Evolving Work Force

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.050.0

    60.0

    70.0

    80.0

    90.0

    1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

    Year

    %

    Service Jobs

    Goods ProducingJobs

    AgriculturalJobs

    Church TS et al. PLoS 2011

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    21

    1,150

    1,250

    1,350

    1,450

    1,550

    1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

    Year

    O c c u p a t i o n

    R e

    l a t e d D a

    i l y

    E n e r g y

    E x p e n

    d i t u r e

    ( c a

    l o r i e s

    )

    Men

    Women

    Daily Occupational Caloric Expenditure

    Church TS, et al. (2011) PLoS One 6: e19657.

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    22

    Trends in Housework EnergyExpenditure (1965-2005)

    Archer et al. 45-year Trends in Household Management. In Press. PLOS One

    4653

    35533324

    2769 2877 2806

    1013

    14521923 1977 2086 2034

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2010

    K c a

    l s / w e

    e k

    Women

    Men

    PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 7 February 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 2 | e56620

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    Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews ( 2012). Modernization, Time Use

    and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe.

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

    A v e r a g e

    h o u r s p e r w e e k

    b e i n g S e

    d e n t a r y

    A v e r a g e M E T - h

    o u r s p e r w e e

    k

    Year

    Active Leisure PA

    Travel PA

    Domestic PA

    Occupational PA

    Sedentary Time (hrs/wk)

    1965: 235

    MET-hr/wk

    2009: 160MET-hr/wk

    by 2020: 142MET-hr/wk

    by 2030: 126MET-hr/wk

    US Adults Met-hours Per Week of All Physical Activity, and Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 1965-2009 and Forecasted for 2010-2030

    Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.

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    Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization, Time

    Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe .

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

    A v e r a g e

    h o u r s p e r w e e k

    b e i n g S e

    d e n t a r y

    A v e r a g e M E T - h

    o u r s p e r w e e

    k

    Year

    Active Leisure PA

    Travel PA

    Domestic PA

    Occupational PASedentary Time (hrs/wk)

    by 2030: 140MET-hr/week2005: 173

    MET-hr/week

    by 2020: 153MET-hr/week

    1961: 216

    MET-hr/week

    UK Adults Met-hours per Week of Physical Activity and Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 1961-2005 and Forecasted for 2006-2030

    Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.

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    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030

    A v e r a g e

    h o u r s p e r w e e

    k b r i n g s e

    d e n t a r y

    A v e r a g e M E T - h o

    u r s p e r w e e

    k

    Year

    Active Leisure PA

    Travel PA

    Domestic PA

    Occupational PA

    Sedentary Time (hrs/week)

    by 2030: 188MET-hr/week

    2009: 213 MET-hr/week

    by 2020: 200MET-hr/week

    1991: 399MET-hr/week

    Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization, Time

    Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe .

    Chinese Adults Met-hours per Week of Physical Activity & Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 1991-2009 and Forecasted for 2010-2030

    Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.

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    Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization , Time

    Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe .

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 2030

    A v e r a g e

    h o u r s p e r w e e k

    b e i n g S e

    d e n t a r y

    A v e r a g e M E T - h

    o u r s p e r w e e

    k

    Year

    Active leisure

    Travel

    Domestic

    Occupational

    Sedentary time

    by 2030: 151MET-hr/week

    2008: 214MET-hr/week

    by 2020: 180

    MET-hr/week

    Brazilian Adults Met-hours per Week Of Physical Activity & Hours/Week Of TimeIn Sedentary Behavior: Measured For 2002-2008 And Forecasted For 2009-2030

    Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.

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    18

    19

    20

    21

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

    A v e r a g e

    h o u r s p e r w e e k

    b e i n g S e

    d e n t a r y

    A v e r a g e M E T - h

    o u r s p e r w e e

    k

    Year

    Active Leisure PA

    Travel PA

    Domestic PA

    Occupational PASedentary Time (hrs/week)

    by 2030: 212MET-hr/week

    2005: 239

    MET-hr/week by 2020: 225MET-hr/week

    Indian Adults Met-hours per Week of Physical Activity & Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 2000-2005 and Forecasted for 2006-2030

    Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization , Time

    Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe . Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.

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    We sit too muchand, its lethal Over a lifetime, the unhealthful effects of sitting add up.

    Alpa Patel, an epidemiologist at the American CancerSociety, tracked the health of 123,000 Americansbetween 1992 and 2006. The m en in the study whospent six hours or more per day of their leisure timesitting had an overall death rate that w as abo ut 20percent h igher than the men who sat for three hours orless. The death rate for w o m e n who sat for more than

    six hours a day was about 40 percent h igher . Patelestimates that on average, people who sit too muchshave a few years off of their lives.

    New York Times, April 14, 2011

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    Source: Lee, et.al., Lancet, 380: 2012

    Inactivity and life expectancy

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    So What?What does all of this suggest about

    ways we might approach the problemdifferently?

    Secondary leverage pointsl

    The Environment and YOU

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    Framework for determinants of physical activity andeating behavior

    entertainmentindustry

    health careindustry

    transportationsystem

    knowledge

    cost

    time

    convenience

    safety

    accessibility

    situation or context

    physical and social

    social trends

    seasonality

    homefood stores

    health care providers

    workplace

    restaurants

    religious, communityand non-governmentorganizations

    vehicle of transport

    neighborhood

    health club

    parks, recreation centers, senior centers

    community activity providers

    shopping malls

    familyfood stores

    local government

    developers property owners

    employer

    school board,districts

    non-government

    organizations

    nonprofit providers

    community

    shopping

    mall

    restaurants andfood outlets

    recreationfacilit ies

    architecture & building codes

    government

    food industryexercise,

    physical activity& sports industry

    recreationindustry

    labor-savingdeviceindustry

    informationindustry

    education system

    political advocacy/lobbying

    Primary leverage pointsBehavioral settingsLifestyleEnablers o f choice

    values

    beliefs

    life experience

    social roles

    educational

    attainment

    socioeconomicstatus

    interpersonalrelationships

    life stagehabits

    self identities ethnicidentities

    SocialCultural

    source of information

    local school

    day care

    physiology

    pleasure

    gene ticshier archyof ne eds

    Psycho-biological Core

    April 20, 2000Nutrition Reviews, 59, 2001

    Behavior Settings

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    We need to think about theproblem in a new way

    Yes, we will need new policies andenvironmental interventionsbut, we still needpeople to comply

    What is the motivational structure that works inthe modern world?

    How do healthier behaviors become part of dailylife even if they take cognitive and physicaleffort?

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    We need to work WITH thebiology

    Our biology is first and foremostconcerned with survival

    - What are key elements of survival in the

    21 st century?

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    Survival in the 21st

    century: Food, shelter, safety

    Where do the means come from to

    acquire these?

    What is needed to support these

    systems?Economic growthprosperity

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    What is the real problem?

    Physical activity isnot necessary.

    We are too rich.

    Food is cheap

    Physical activity isnot necessary

    We havedisposable income

    There is no compellingreason to change

    WHY?We dont have a good enough reason to not be fat

    Is focusing on health care costs the right

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    Is focusing on health care costs the rightway to promote wellness?

    (workplace example)

    Most incentives for health care come via the health caresysteme.g., premiums, on -line exercises, emanatefrom HR and benefitsnot day to day business conduct.How present are these in your life daily?

    Your Life(sleep, work, family, domestic,

    travel, shopping, leisure, eating,exercise, etc.)

    Health care slice ofdaily life?

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    Drive motivation for behavior change by linkingdesired behaviors to meeting basic needs

    Physiological

    Safety and Security

    Belongingness and Love

    Esteem

    Self-actualization

    Transcendence

    Need to movethe focus

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    Social motivation hierarchy

    TranscendenceWell Society

    National defense, affordable housing,safe neighborhoods

    Collective purpose,American Values,

    National Pride

    Economic health, jobs, globalcompetitiveness, education

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    Strategies for change

    Try to

    structure

    each behavior environment?- e.g., policies, regulations, choice architecture

    Continue to focus on individual motivation?- change must come from within

    Leverage a collective motivation across society that isconsistent with today

    s priorities and values?

    - what if healthful behavior was employmentexpectation?

    - plant the seeds to create demand for a healthierenvironment?

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    We need to think about theproblem in a new way

    We need a better reason for people to behealthy that matters to them as individuals andto the nation as a wholewhats in it for ME andwhats in it for US ?

    Work with the biologyrewards immediate andpart of daily life

    Align individual and collective purpose

    Align behavioral purpose and motivationalcontextwork, school

    Not opt ineveryone is part of itnewbehavioral expectations become part of thewoodwork

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    NEW THINKING SPACE

    Demandfor healthychoices(why?)

    Opportunitiesfor healthy

    choices

    Leavepeople

    alone andlet themchoose

    Regulate,mandate,

    tax,control

    NEW DOING SPACE

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    Its about

    creatingdemand

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    Catalyzing demand: Where do we start?

    Schools & Home

    Commerce, the Environment

    Workplaces

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    We need it all

    Individual inspiration, for those who areready to change themselves

    Environmental structuring, wherepossible (e.g., schools, workplaces)

    Nudge choice architecture, wherepossible

    Continued product and serviceinnovation to make healthy behaviorsmore desirable, accessible, affordableand convenient (supply)

    A more important WHY for the averagecitizen as a way to build demand

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    The Take Away

    Why we are the way we aresurvival

    We have built the environment to serve the biology

    Obesity is a normal response to the environment

    To overcome the biology we will have to rely oncognition individual and social

    We must find a better why for people and society tochange

    The why must be important for survival in themodern world

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    We have changed our environmentmore quickly than we know how to

    change ourselves

    Walter Lippmann (1915)

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    Thank You