john peters, ph.d.: why are we (still) fat?
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Why are we (still) fat?John C. Peters, Ph.D.
Chief Strategy Officer Anschutz Health and Wellness Center
Professor of Medicine
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82 Putative Causes(From the Downey Obesity Report, February 28th, 2013)
1. agricultural policies2. air conditioning3. air pollution4. antibiotic usage at early age5. arcea nut chewing6. assortative mating7. being a single mother8. birth by C-section9. built environment10. chemical toxins
11. child maltreatment12. competitive food sales in schools13. consumption of pastries and chocolate (inBurkina Faso)14. decline in occupational physical activity15. delayed prenatal care16. delayed satiety17. depression18. driving children to school19. eating away from home
20. economic development21. endocrine disruptors22. entering into a romantic relationship23. epigenetic factors24. family conflict25. first-born in family26. food addiction27. food deserts28. food insecurity
29. food marketing to children30. food overproduction31. friends32. genetics33. gestational diabetes34. global food system35. grilled foods36. gut microbioata37. having children, for women38. heavy alcohol consumption
39. home labor saving devices40. hunger-response to food cues41. international trade policies (globalization)42. high fructose corn syrup43. lack of family meals44. lack of nutritional education45. lack of self-control46. large portion sizes47. living in the suburbs48. living in crime-prone areas
49. low levels of physical activity50. low socioeconomic status51. market economy52. marrying in later life53. maternal employment54. maternal obesity55. maternal over-nutrition during pregnancy56. maternal smoking57. meat consumption
58. menopause59. mental disabilities60. no or short term breastfeeding61. non-parental childcare62. overeating63. participation in Supplemental NutritionAssistance Program (formerly Food StampProgram)64. perception of neighborhood safety65. physical disabilities
66. prenatal maternal exposure to naturaldisasters67. poor emotional coping68. sleep deficits69. skipping breakfast70. snacking71. smoking cessation72. stair design73. stress74. sugar-sweetened beverages
75. trans fats76. transportation policies77. television set in bedrooms78. television viewing79. thyroid dysfunction80. vending machines81. virus82. weight gain inducing drugs
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Multi-factoral causesPortion sizeHigh energy densityHigh glycemic indexSoft drinks/
junkfoodIn schoolsAdded sugarEasy food accessLow costVarietyConvenienceGreat tasteAds/marketing
SedentaryworkplacesSedentary schoolsActivity unfriendly
community design
AutomobilesDrive-throughconveniencesElevators/escalatorsRemote controls
SedentaryentertainmentLabor saving devicesTelevision/computer
WEIGHT
GAIN
Energy intake
Energy expenditure
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Obesity: Evolutionary Biology, theEnvironment, Society and You
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The Evolutionary Biology: Why
we are the way we are? Humans are hard wired to like sugar, fat and salt
Humans evolved under conditions in whichphysical activity pulls appetite
Humans are energy misers
The biology is not brokenit is doing exactlywhat it was designed to do
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Put this biology into the currentenvironment:
Energy dense, high calorie food is everywhereand, it is
inexpensive
We no longer need to be physically active to survive
Cultural values and practices developed in a differentsurvival contextthey now contribute to the problem
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Godzilla Meets Bambi
Sugar
Fat
Salt
RestEnjoy
Market more fresh produce
Sidewalks, brighter stairwells
Restrictions on bad food
Reduced health premiums
T-shirts, water bottles
AND?
BIOLOGY
U n
h e a l t h y P r e
f e r e n c e s
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Humans are biased toward action, notthought (thought is expensive)
http://customerinnovations.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/brain-a-b-c1.png -
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The Biology of Choicewe choosefor the moment
NOW
20 Years
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The marketplace plays to the biology
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The Evolutionary Biology: Whywe are the way we are?
Humans are hard wired to like sugar, fat and salt
Humans evolved under conditions in whichphysical activity pulls appetite
Humans are energy misers
The biology is not brokenit is doing exactlywhat it was designed to do
We built the environment toserve the biology
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Eat too much
Our biology applies constantpressure to:
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____________________________________ ______
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And, move too little
Leisure time physical activity has not declined
Physical activity at work has declined
Physical activity at home has declined
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Body Weight
EnergyIntake
Our biology works best at high level ofphysical activity (energy flux)
Physical ActivityThreshold forOptimal WeightRegulation
Unregulated
Zone Regulated
Zone
Adapted from Mayer et. al., 1956
Increase in physical activity
Adapted from Mayer et al, AJCN, 1956
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USA Amishtoday
-603 kcalday
-436 kcalday
Amish Men Amish Women US Men US Women
From Bassett et.al., Med. And Sci. in Sports and Exer., 2004
9%0% 32% 35%Obesity rate
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The Evolving Work Force
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.050.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
%
Service Jobs
Goods ProducingJobs
AgriculturalJobs
Church TS et al. PLoS 2011
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1,150
1,250
1,350
1,450
1,550
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
O c c u p a t i o n
R e
l a t e d D a
i l y
E n e r g y
E x p e n
d i t u r e
( c a
l o r i e s
)
Men
Women
Daily Occupational Caloric Expenditure
Church TS, et al. (2011) PLoS One 6: e19657.
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Trends in Housework EnergyExpenditure (1965-2005)
Archer et al. 45-year Trends in Household Management. In Press. PLOS One
4653
35533324
2769 2877 2806
1013
14521923 1977 2086 2034
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2010
K c a
l s / w e
e k
Women
Men
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 7 February 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 2 | e56620
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Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews ( 2012). Modernization, Time Use
and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0
50
100
150
200
250
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
A v e r a g e
h o u r s p e r w e e k
b e i n g S e
d e n t a r y
A v e r a g e M E T - h
o u r s p e r w e e
k
Year
Active Leisure PA
Travel PA
Domestic PA
Occupational PA
Sedentary Time (hrs/wk)
1965: 235
MET-hr/wk
2009: 160MET-hr/wk
by 2020: 142MET-hr/wk
by 2030: 126MET-hr/wk
US Adults Met-hours Per Week of All Physical Activity, and Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 1965-2009 and Forecasted for 2010-2030
Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.
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Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization, Time
Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe .
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
50
100
150
200
250
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
A v e r a g e
h o u r s p e r w e e k
b e i n g S e
d e n t a r y
A v e r a g e M E T - h
o u r s p e r w e e
k
Year
Active Leisure PA
Travel PA
Domestic PA
Occupational PASedentary Time (hrs/wk)
by 2030: 140MET-hr/week2005: 173
MET-hr/week
by 2020: 153MET-hr/week
1961: 216
MET-hr/week
UK Adults Met-hours per Week of Physical Activity and Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 1961-2005 and Forecasted for 2006-2030
Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030
A v e r a g e
h o u r s p e r w e e
k b r i n g s e
d e n t a r y
A v e r a g e M E T - h o
u r s p e r w e e
k
Year
Active Leisure PA
Travel PA
Domestic PA
Occupational PA
Sedentary Time (hrs/week)
by 2030: 188MET-hr/week
2009: 213 MET-hr/week
by 2020: 200MET-hr/week
1991: 399MET-hr/week
Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization, Time
Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe .
Chinese Adults Met-hours per Week of Physical Activity & Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 1991-2009 and Forecasted for 2010-2030
Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.
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Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization , Time
Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe .
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
100
150
200
250
2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 2030
A v e r a g e
h o u r s p e r w e e k
b e i n g S e
d e n t a r y
A v e r a g e M E T - h
o u r s p e r w e e
k
Year
Active leisure
Travel
Domestic
Occupational
Sedentary time
by 2030: 151MET-hr/week
2008: 214MET-hr/week
by 2020: 180
MET-hr/week
Brazilian Adults Met-hours per Week Of Physical Activity & Hours/Week Of TimeIn Sedentary Behavior: Measured For 2002-2008 And Forecasted For 2009-2030
Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.
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18
19
20
21
100
150
200
250
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
A v e r a g e
h o u r s p e r w e e k
b e i n g S e
d e n t a r y
A v e r a g e M E T - h
o u r s p e r w e e
k
Year
Active Leisure PA
Travel PA
Domestic PA
Occupational PASedentary Time (hrs/week)
by 2030: 212MET-hr/week
2005: 239
MET-hr/week by 2020: 225MET-hr/week
Indian Adults Met-hours per Week of Physical Activity & Hours/Week of Time inSedentary Behavior: Measured for 2000-2005 and Forecasted for 2006-2030
Source: Ng S.W. & Popkin B.M. Obesity Reviews (2012 ). Modernization , Time
Use and Physical Activity: A shift away from movement across the globe . Obes Rev. 2012 August ; 13(8): 659 680.
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We sit too muchand, its lethal Over a lifetime, the unhealthful effects of sitting add up.
Alpa Patel, an epidemiologist at the American CancerSociety, tracked the health of 123,000 Americansbetween 1992 and 2006. The m en in the study whospent six hours or more per day of their leisure timesitting had an overall death rate that w as abo ut 20percent h igher than the men who sat for three hours orless. The death rate for w o m e n who sat for more than
six hours a day was about 40 percent h igher . Patelestimates that on average, people who sit too muchshave a few years off of their lives.
New York Times, April 14, 2011
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Source: Lee, et.al., Lancet, 380: 2012
Inactivity and life expectancy
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So What?What does all of this suggest about
ways we might approach the problemdifferently?
Secondary leverage pointsl
The Environment and YOU
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Framework for determinants of physical activity andeating behavior
entertainmentindustry
health careindustry
transportationsystem
knowledge
cost
time
convenience
safety
accessibility
situation or context
physical and social
social trends
seasonality
homefood stores
health care providers
workplace
restaurants
religious, communityand non-governmentorganizations
vehicle of transport
neighborhood
health club
parks, recreation centers, senior centers
community activity providers
shopping malls
familyfood stores
local government
developers property owners
employer
school board,districts
non-government
organizations
nonprofit providers
community
shopping
mall
restaurants andfood outlets
recreationfacilit ies
architecture & building codes
government
food industryexercise,
physical activity& sports industry
recreationindustry
labor-savingdeviceindustry
informationindustry
education system
political advocacy/lobbying
Primary leverage pointsBehavioral settingsLifestyleEnablers o f choice
values
beliefs
life experience
social roles
educational
attainment
socioeconomicstatus
interpersonalrelationships
life stagehabits
self identities ethnicidentities
SocialCultural
source of information
local school
day care
physiology
pleasure
gene ticshier archyof ne eds
Psycho-biological Core
April 20, 2000Nutrition Reviews, 59, 2001
Behavior Settings
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We need to think about theproblem in a new way
Yes, we will need new policies andenvironmental interventionsbut, we still needpeople to comply
What is the motivational structure that works inthe modern world?
How do healthier behaviors become part of dailylife even if they take cognitive and physicaleffort?
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We need to work WITH thebiology
Our biology is first and foremostconcerned with survival
- What are key elements of survival in the
21 st century?
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Survival in the 21st
century: Food, shelter, safety
Where do the means come from to
acquire these?
What is needed to support these
systems?Economic growthprosperity
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What is the real problem?
Physical activity isnot necessary.
We are too rich.
Food is cheap
Physical activity isnot necessary
We havedisposable income
There is no compellingreason to change
WHY?We dont have a good enough reason to not be fat
Is focusing on health care costs the right
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Is focusing on health care costs the rightway to promote wellness?
(workplace example)
Most incentives for health care come via the health caresysteme.g., premiums, on -line exercises, emanatefrom HR and benefitsnot day to day business conduct.How present are these in your life daily?
Your Life(sleep, work, family, domestic,
travel, shopping, leisure, eating,exercise, etc.)
Health care slice ofdaily life?
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Drive motivation for behavior change by linkingdesired behaviors to meeting basic needs
Physiological
Safety and Security
Belongingness and Love
Esteem
Self-actualization
Transcendence
Need to movethe focus
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Social motivation hierarchy
TranscendenceWell Society
National defense, affordable housing,safe neighborhoods
Collective purpose,American Values,
National Pride
Economic health, jobs, globalcompetitiveness, education
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Strategies for change
Try to
structure
each behavior environment?- e.g., policies, regulations, choice architecture
Continue to focus on individual motivation?- change must come from within
Leverage a collective motivation across society that isconsistent with today
s priorities and values?
- what if healthful behavior was employmentexpectation?
- plant the seeds to create demand for a healthierenvironment?
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We need to think about theproblem in a new way
We need a better reason for people to behealthy that matters to them as individuals andto the nation as a wholewhats in it for ME andwhats in it for US ?
Work with the biologyrewards immediate andpart of daily life
Align individual and collective purpose
Align behavioral purpose and motivationalcontextwork, school
Not opt ineveryone is part of itnewbehavioral expectations become part of thewoodwork
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NEW THINKING SPACE
Demandfor healthychoices(why?)
Opportunitiesfor healthy
choices
Leavepeople
alone andlet themchoose
Regulate,mandate,
tax,control
NEW DOING SPACE
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Its about
creatingdemand
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Catalyzing demand: Where do we start?
Schools & Home
Commerce, the Environment
Workplaces
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We need it all
Individual inspiration, for those who areready to change themselves
Environmental structuring, wherepossible (e.g., schools, workplaces)
Nudge choice architecture, wherepossible
Continued product and serviceinnovation to make healthy behaviorsmore desirable, accessible, affordableand convenient (supply)
A more important WHY for the averagecitizen as a way to build demand
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The Take Away
Why we are the way we aresurvival
We have built the environment to serve the biology
Obesity is a normal response to the environment
To overcome the biology we will have to rely oncognition individual and social
We must find a better why for people and society tochange
The why must be important for survival in themodern world
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We have changed our environmentmore quickly than we know how to
change ourselves
Walter Lippmann (1915)
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Thank You