january-march 2015 april 22, 2015...kone’s interim report for january-march 2015 april 22, 2015...
TRANSCRIPT
KONE’s Interim Report for
January-March 2015
April 22, 2015
Henrik Ehrnrooth, President & CEO
In retail, experience is
everything.
Keeping visitors and shop owners
happy is about delivering the best
possible shopping experience.
When people can move effortlessly,
they are more likely to stay and
shop for longer. KONE’s people flow
expertise, combined with preventive
maintenance solutions, helps
business run smoothly year after
year.
Q1 2015: A good start to the year
Q1/2015 Q1/2014 Historical
change Comparable
change
Orders received MEUR 2,053.8 1,729.7 18.7% 5.5%
Order book MEUR 8,529.6 6,175.4 38.1% 15.6%
Sales MEUR 1,690.9 1,441.8 17.3% 7.1%
Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 211.9 179.6 18.0%
Operating income (EBIT) % 12.5 12.5
Cash flow from operations
(before financing
items and taxes)
MEUR 212.2 325.4
Basic earnings per share EUR 0.29 0.28
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 2
Q1 2015 Orders received: Good growth driven
by strong development in North America
MEUR
1,800
1,600
2,000
1,400
2,200
400
1,200
1,000
800
600
200
0
Q4
2,054
Q3 Q2 Q1
18.7%
2009 2015
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 3 Growth in historical exchange rates.
Q1 2015 Sales: Growth in all geographic
regions
MEUR
2,200
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Q1
1,691
Q4
17.3%
Q3 Q2 2009 2015
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 4 Growth in historical exchange rates.
Q1 2015 Operating income: Growth driven by good
development across businesses and favorable
translation exchange rates
Operating income excluding one-time items.
MEUR
212
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1
18.0%
2009 2015
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 5
Growth in historical exchange rates.
1-3/2015: The share of new equipment as well as Asia-
Pacific out of total sales continued to grow
Modernization
Maintenance
New equipment
11%
(13%)
38%
(39%)
51%
(48%)
41%
(38%)
17%
(15%)
42%
(47%)
Asia-Pacific
Americas
EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa)
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 6
Sales by business Sales by market
(1-3/2014 figures in brackets)
Figures in charts are rounded and in historical exchange rates.
The global new equipment market was rather stable;
KONE’s development was solid in key markets
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 7
Orders received grew strongly in North America and
slightly in Asia-Pacific.
In China, KONE continued faster than market
growth.
Markets declined slightly in Central and North
Europe, remained weak in South Europe and stable
at a good level in the Middle East.
In North America, the market continued to grow.
In Asia-Pacific, the new equipment market was
rather stable, with market volumes in China
approximately at the previous year’s level.
KONE’s Q1 in new equipment
Development of the new equipment market
New equipment
Maintenance sales developed positively in all
geographic regions.
Sales growth was the fastest in Asia-Pacific.
The global maintenance market continued to
grow
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 8
KONE’s Q1 in maintenance
In Europe and North America, the maintenance
markets grew, but the pricing environment remained
competitive in many markets.
The market in Asia-Pacific continued to develop
positively.
Development of the maintenance market
Maintenance
The modernization market grew in North
America, more stable development in Europe
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 9
Orders received grew clearly, with strong growth in
North America and some growth in the EMEA
region.
Modernization sales grew clearly in North America,
but declined clearly in the EMEA region.
Clear market growth continued in North America.
In Central and North Europe the market grew, but in
South Europe it remained weak.
KONE’s Q1 in modernization
Development of the modernization market
Modernization
10
Elevator and escalator market in 2014 (2013 FIGURES IN BRACKETS)
New equipment market:
815,000 (750,000) units Maintenance base: >12.5M units (~12M)
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation
KONE’s estimated market share
globally (in new equipment units) 19%
EMEA = Europe, Middle East and Africa.
APAC = Asia-Pacific
Based on KONE’s estimate. All estimates are rounded figures.
45%
(47%)
7%
(6%)
4%
(4%)
26%
(23%)
9%
(10%)
9%
(10%)
69%
(67%)
8%
(8%)
3%
(4%)
2%
(3%)
3%
(3%)
15%
(15%)
Rest of APAC
China
Japan & Korea
South America
North America
EMEA
Our Development Programs are delivering
results
Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 11
First in Customer Loyalty
A Winning Team of True
Professionals
The Most Competitive People
Flow® Solutions
Preferred Maintenance Partner
Top Modernization Provider
April 22, 2015
KONE’s annual
employee survey was
conducted in Q1 2015
Record-high response
rate of 93%
Survey results showed
a broad-based
improvement in
employee engagement
globally
The modernization market is expected to remain rather stable in Europe, but
to continue to grow in North America and Asia-Pacific. This is expected to
result in a rather stable or slightly growing market globally.
Modernization markets
Market outlook 2015
Asia-Pacific: the market is expected to grow slightly in 2015, with the
expectation that the market in China will remain at the good level of 2014 or
grow slightly.
Europe, Middle East and Africa: the market is expected to be rather stable.
In Central and North Europe, a stable market or slight growth is expected,
while South Europe is expected to remain weaker. In the Middle East, the
market is expected to be stable at the previous year’s level.
North America: the market is expected to continue to grow.
The maintenance markets are expected to develop rather well in most
countries.
Maintenance markets
New equipment markets
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 12
Business outlook 2015 (specified)
KONE’s net sales is estimated to grow by 6–9%
at comparable exchange rates as compared to
2014.
The operating income (EBIT) is expected to be in
the range of EUR 1,140–1,230 million, assuming
that translation exchange rates would remain at
approximately the average level of January–
March 2015.
Sales
Operating income
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 13
KONE’s Capital Markets Day 2015
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 14
KONE’s Capital Markets Day will
be held on September 25, 2015
The event will be held in
Shanghai and Kunshan, China
More information to follow soon
E&E market and KONE’s performance
in China in Q1/2015
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation
New equipment growth China’s share of total OR and sales
New equipment orders received in units
Share
of sales
Share of
orders
received
FY2014
Share
of sales
<35%
Share of
orders
received
<45%
Q1/2015
In monetary value
Q1/2015
>5%
2014
~10%
>15%
2013
15+%
~23%
CAGR
2006-2012
~20%
~44%
Market
KONE
Based on KONE estimate
>30% ~40%
16
Market in
China was
rather stable
in Q1 /2015
Q1 2015: Balance Sheet - Assets Employed
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation
MEUR Mar 31, 2015 Mar 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2014
Assets employed
Goodwill 1,306.8 1,099.9 1,208.9
Other intangible assets 274.7 222.7 261.8
Tangible assets 339.2 271.4 317.1
Investments 126.2 114.2 112.5
Net working capital -880.2 -756.0 -749.7
Assets employed total 1,166.8 952.3 1,150.5
Financed by
Equity 1,751.2 1,323.6 2,062.4
Net debt -584.4 -371.3 -911.8
Equity and net debt total 1,166.8 952.3 1,150.5
17
Q1 2015: Net working capital
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation
MEUR Mar 31, 2015 Mar 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2014
Net working capital
Inventories 1,438.7 1,203.8 1,211.8
Advance payments received -1,955.5 -1,578.1 -1,628.7
Accounts receivable 1,472.1 1,195.5 1,368.3
Other non IB assets 469.5 323.3 331.9
Net deferred tax assets / liabilities 165.1 117.0 152.2
Provisions -141.3 -135.7 -137.4
Accounts payable -610.3 -507.5 -597.1
Other non IB liabilities -1,718.6 -1,374.3 -1,450.6
Net working capital total -880.2 -756.0 -749.7
18
Q1 2015: Cash flow
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation
MEUR 1-3/2015 1-3/2014 1-12/2014
Operating income 211.9 179.6 1,035.7
Change in working capital before financing items and taxes -24.2 125.3 225.5
Depreciation and amortization 24.4 20.4 84.2
Cash flow from operations before financial items and taxes 212.2 325.4 1 345.4
Cash flow from financing items and taxes 35.2 -31.0 -221.1
Cash flow from operating activities 247.4 294.4 1 124.3
Cash flow from investing activities -31.8 -24.6 -145.9
Purchase of own shares - - -32.8
Increase in equity (option rights) - - 21.8
Profit distribution -563.7 -495.7 -537.5
Changes in non-controlling interests - -0.4 -12.3
Free cash flow -348.1 -226.2 417.6
19
As approximately 70% of KONE’s revenues are in
other currencies than the euro, currency fluctuations
have a translation impact
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 20
EUR
RMB
USD/CAD
Others
Sales by currency 1–12/2014
A substantial part of KONE operations are
denominated in local functional currencies
and do not therefore give rise to
transaction risk. In addition, KONE’s policy
is to hedge the foreign exchange exposure
of the order book.
As approximately 70% of KONE’s
revenues occur in functional currencies
other than the euro, the translation risk is
significant for KONE. In 2014, KONE’s
biggest geographical market areas outside
the eurozone in terms of net sales included
China, United States, Great Britain,
Australia, and Sweden.
Translation risk
Transaction risk
Sales by market 2005–2014 (MEUR)
49%
2011
5,225
27%
18%
55%
2010
4,987
21%
21%
58%
2009
4,744
17%
21%
62%
2008
4,603
16%
19%
65%
2007
4,079
14%
21%
65%
2006
3,601
13%
22%
65%
2005*
3,242
12%
22%
66%
2013
6,933
38%
16%
46%
2012
6,277
35%
16%
2014
15%
7,334
44%
41%
Asia-Pacific Americas EMEA
CAGR,%
9.5%
4.5%
5.2%
25.4%
April 22, 2015 21
13.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.9% 14.0% 12.7% 12.1% 11.6% 10.0% 8.4% EBIT margin
(%)¹
*) 2005 figures are pro forma
¹ excluding one-time items Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation
Sales by business 2005–2014 (MEUR)
6,933
32%
14%
54%
2012
6,277
34%
16%
50%
2011
5,225
37%
17%
33%
19%
48%
2007
4,079
36%
19%
45%
2006
3,601
40%
19%
41%
2013
46%
2010
4,987
37%
17%
46%
2009
4,744
34%
19%
47%
2008
4,603
2005*
3,242
41%
19%
40%
2014
7,334
55%
13%
32%
New equipment Modernization Maintenance
CAGR,%
9.5%
5.7%
6.4%
13.3%
*) 2005 figures are pro forma
April 22, 2015 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation 22
13.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.9% 14.0% 12.7% 12.1% 11.6% 10.0% 8.4% EBIT margin
(%)¹
¹ excluding one-time items
Our absolute EBIT has continued to
grow faster than sales
Note: Excluding one-time items.
12 months quarterly rolling absolute EBIT & margin progression, Q2/2009-Q1/2015
MEUR
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
14%
16%
12%
10%
0%
Q2/2011 Q2/2010 Q2/2009
12.1
Q1/2015
14.1
Q2/2014 Q2/2013 Q2/2012
EBIT EBIT-%
Improvement in both absolute EBIT and EBIT margin
23 Interim report January-March 2015 | © KONE Corporation April 22, 2015