january – march 2015 conference call and webcast · 2 days ago · (january to march 2015 vs....
TRANSCRIPT
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January – March 2015Conference Call and Webcast
29 April 2015
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Disclaimer
2
The following presentations contain forward-looking statements and information on the business development of the Volkswagen Group. These statements may be spoken or written and can be recognized by terms such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words with similar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions relating to the development of the economies of individual countries, and in particular of the automotive industry, which we have made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realistic at the time of going to press. The estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actual developments may differ from those forecast.
Consequently, any unexpected fall in demand or economic stagnation in our key sales markets, such as in Western Europe (and especially Germany) or in the USA, Brazil or China, will have a corresponding impact on the development of our business. The same applies in the event of a significant shift in current exchange rates relative to the US dollar, sterling, yen, Brazilian real, Chinese renminbi and Czech koruna.
If any of these or other risks occur, or if the assumptions underlying any of these statements prove incorrect, the actual results may significantly differ from those expressed or implied by such statements.
We do not update forward-looking statements retrospectively. Such statements are valid on the date of publication and can be superceded.
This information does not constitute an offer to exchange or sell or an offer to exchange or buy any securities.
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Conference Call: January – March 2015
3
Hans Dieter PötschMember of the Board of Management, Volkswagen AGFinance and Controlling
Christian KlinglerMember of the Board of Management, Volkswagen AGGroup Sales and Marketing
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Highlights January – March 2015
4
Sales revenue increased including a positive influence from exchange rates
Operating result improved within strongly diverging regional market conditions
Profit before tax increased including higher earnings from Chinese joint ventures
Strong net cash flow generation strengthened by a hybrid note facilitates robust automotive net liquidity
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Development World Car Market vs. Volkswagen Group Car Deliveries to Customers1)
(in comparison to previous year)
1) Figures excl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN. The Saveiro model, previously Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, is reported in the Volkswagen Passenger Cars brand retrospectively as of January 1, 2013. 5
5.3%4.7% 4.5%
3.7%
6.0%6.4%
4.9%
2.0%
0%
5%
10% 2014
Q1 H1 Year 2014
2015
Q1
World Car MarketVolkswagen Group (Deliveries to Customers)1)
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bf
Rest of World Asia PacificSouth America
Central & Eastern Europe
World: Car Market: 3.7% Volkswagen Group: 2.0%
Car MarketCars + LCV
VW Group Car Market VW Group Car Market VW Group
Car Market VW Group Car Market VW Group Car Market VW Group
North America Western Europe
1) Figures excl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN
Development World Car Market vs. Volkswagen Group Car Deliveries to Customers1)
(Growth y-o-y in deliveries to customers, January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
6
6.1% 7.2%5.7% 2.2%
8.7% 6.5%
-25.4%-10.1%
-16.7% -14.0%
6.3% 4.0%
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Volkswagen Group – Deliveries to Customers by Brands(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
2,443
1,499
413247
93 39 2.6
2,487
1,479
438265
103 51 2.2
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000´000 units
-13.5%
1)
+10.0%+7.2%
+6.1%
-1.3%
+1.8%January – March 2014January – March 2015
VolkswagenGroup
1) Incl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN; 2.0% excl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN 7
Passenger Cars
+32.2%
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Volkswagen Group – Commercial Vehicles Deliveries to Customers by Brands(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
2,443
103
26 19
2,487
108
22 18
´000 units1)
-7.1%-16.4%
+4.8%
+1.8%January – March 2014January – March 2015
VolkswagenGroup
1) Incl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN; 2.0% excl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN 2) MAN incl. MAN Latin America Trucks and Buses GVW > 5t 8
Commercial Vehicles
2)
2,500
2,000
1,500
150
100
50
0
200
3,000
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Volkswagen Lamando (China) Audi Q7
ŠKODA Fabia CombiSEAT Leon ST Cupra
SEAT Leon ST Cupra – Fuel consumption in l/100 km: combined 6.8; CO2 emissions in g/km: 158 (combined); efficiency class: D.
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1) All figures shown are rounded, so minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between the Automotive and Financial Services divisions.2) Volume data including the unconsolidated Chinese joint ventures. The joint venture companies in China are accounted for using the equity method and recorded an operating profit (proportionate) of €1,598 million (€1,241 million).
thousand vehicles / € million 2015 2014 +/- (%)
Vehicle sales2) 2,607 2,562 +1.8
Sales revenue 52,735 47,831 +10.3
Operating profit 3,328 2,855 +16.6
% of sales revenue 6.3 6.0
Financial result 639 502 +27.4
of which: At-equity result2) 1,146 994 +15.3
of which: Other financial result -506 -492 -2.8
Profit before tax 3,968 3,357 +18.2
% Return on sales before tax 7.5 7.0
Profit after tax 2,932 2,468 +18.8
Volkswagen Group – Key Financial Figures1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
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Volkswagen Group – Analysis of Earnings per Share Development(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
Earnings per share (diluted, in €)1)
Jan – Mar2014
5.805.74
+ 18%
Jan – Mar2015
Increase of Group operating profit
Improved at-equity result, mainly due to continued strong performance of Chinese joint venture companies
Lower minority interest compensating for higher hybrid investors’ interest in net profit reconciliation
Slightly increased average number of shares outstanding following issuance of equity capital in 2014
4.924.86
Key driving factors for EPS
Preferred sharesOrdinary shares
++
–
+
1) Prior-year figures adjusted to reflect application of IAS 33.26.
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Volkswagen Group – Analysis of Operating Profit1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts.
€ billion
Jan – Mar2014
Jan – Mar2015
Volume/ Mix/ Prices
Exchange rates
Productcosts
Fixed costs/start-up costs Commercial
Vehicles /Power
Engineering
FinancialServicesDivision
Passenger Cars
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
2.9
0.3 -0.4 0.0 0.0
0.3
0.2
3.3
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Volkswagen Group – Analysis by Business Line1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. 2) Incl. financial services. 3) Sales revenue and operating profit of the JV’s in China are not included in the Group figures. The Chinese companies are accounted for using the equity method and recorded an operating profit (proportionate) of €1,598 million (€1,241 million). 4) Mainly intragroup items, in particular from elimination of intercompany profits; incl. depreciation and amortization of identifiable assets as part of the PPA for Scania, Porsche Holding Salzburg, MAN and Porsche. 5) Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between Automotive and Financial Services divisions.
Vehicle sales Sales revenue Operating profitthousand vehicles/ € million 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014Volkswagen Passenger Cars 1,117 1,112 26,291 24,153 514 440Audi 389 367 14,651 12,951 1,422 1,314ŠKODA 217 214 3,175 2,986 242 185SEAT 138 120 2,182 1,787 33 -36Bentley 3 3 472 451 49 45Porsche2) 51 42 5,078 3,934 765 698Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles 121 110 2,698 2,356 165 136Scania2) 18 19 2,463 2,467 237 254MAN 22 26 3,088 3,138 34 68VW China3) 963 946 - - - -Other -431 -396 -13,507 -11,514 -536 -602Volkswagen Financial Services - - 6,145 5,123 403 353Volkswagen Group 2,607 2,562 52,735 47,831 3,328 2,855
Automotive Division5) 2,607 2,562 45,806 42,054 2,856 2,425of which: Passenger Cars 2,447 2,407 37,636 34,172 2,634 2,201of which: Commercial Vehicles, Power Engineering 161 155 8,170 7,881 222 224
Financial Services Division - - 6,928 5,777 473 430
4) 4)
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€ billion
0.0
1.5
3.0
4.5
6.0
141) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. 2) Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between Automotive and Financial Services divisions. 3) Capital expenditure for property, plant and equipment in % of Automotive sales revenue.
2014 2.3 -1.6 (3.9%3)) -1.2 0.1 -0.5 0.4 -0.1
4.7
1.5 1.5
-2.1(4.5%3))
-1.1 0.0
Cash flow from operating
activities
Capex Capitalized development costs
Net cash flow before equity investments
Acquisition and disposal
of equity investments
Net cash flowOther
0.1
Automotive Division – Strong Cash Generation1) 2)
(January to March 2015)
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Automotive Division – Analysis of Net Liquidity1)
15
€ billion
31 December2014
31 March2015
Equity capitalincrease
Volkswagen FS
Issuance ofhybrid bond
Net cash flowand other
financing cash flow
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
1.7
-1.12.5
20.8
1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts.
17.6
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Volkswagen Group – Outlook for 2015
We expect …
■ to moderately increase Volkswagen Group deliveries to customers year-on-year in 2015 in a persistently challenging market environment.
■ 2015 sales revenue for the Volkswagen Group and its business areas to increase by up to 4% above the prior-year figure, depending on the economic conditions. However, economic trends in Latin America and Eastern Europe will need to be continuously monitored in the Commercial Vehicles/Power Engineering Business Area.
In terms of operating profit…
■ we anticipate a Group operating return on sales of between 5.5% and 6.5% in 2015 in light of the challenging economic environment.
■ The operating return on sales is expected to be in the 6.0% to 7.0% range in the Passenger Cars Business Area and between 2.0% and 4.0% in the Commercial Vehicles/Power Engineering Business Area.
■ For the Financial Services Division, we are forecasting an operating profit at the prior-year level.
10,1379,731Deliveries to customers(‘000 vehicles)
+ 4.2%
Sales revenue(€ billion)
+ 2.8%
Full Year2013
6.35.9Operating return on sales
(%)
2014
202.5197.0
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Appendix
17
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Volkswagen Group – Headline Figures (January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
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1) Volume data including the unconsolidated Chinese joint ventures. These companies are accounted for using the equity method. All figures shown are rounded, so minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. 2014 deliveries updated on the basis of statistical extrapolations.
2) Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between the Automotive and Financial Services divisions.3) Excluding acquisition and disposal of equity investments: January – March €3,155 million (€2,702 million).
2015 2014 +/- (%)Deliveries to customers1) '000 units 2,487 2,443 +1.8Vehicle sales1) '000 units 2,607 2,562 +1.8Production1) '000 units 2,721 2,565 +6.1
Sales revenue € million 52,735 47,831 +10.3Operating profit € million 3,328 2,855 +16.6Profit before tax € million 3,968 3,357 +18.2Profit after tax € million 2,932 2,468 +18.8
Automotive Division2)
Cash flows from operating activities € million 4,692 2,251 xCash flows from investing activities attributable to operating activities3) € million 3,189 2,302 +38.5
of which investments in property, plant & equipment € million 2,071 1,625 +27.4Net cash flow € million 1,503 -52 xNet liquidity at March 31 € million 20,772 17,714 +17.3
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Volkswagen Group – Analysis by Division1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
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1) All figures shown are rounded, so minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between the Automotive and Financial Services divisions.2) The joint venture companies in China are accounted for using the equity method and recorded an operating profit (proportionate) of €1,598 million (€1,241 million).
Volkswagen Group
Automotive Division
Financial Services Division
thousand vehicles / € million 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014
Vehicle sales 2,607 2,562 2,607 2,562
Sales revenue 52,735 47,831 45,806 42,054 6,928 5,777
Operating profit 3,328 2,855 2,856 2,425 473 430
% of sales revenue 6.3 6.0 6.2 5.8 6.8 7.5
Financial result 639 502 615 465 24 36
of which: At-equity result2) 1,146 994 1,135 984 11 10
of which: Other financial result -506 -492 -520 -519 14 27
Profit before tax 3,968 3,357 3,471 2,890 497 467
% Return on sales before tax 7.5 7.0 7.6 6.9 7.2 8.1
Profit after tax 2,932 2,468 2,554 2,125 378 342
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bf
Volkswagen Group – Analysis by Market1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
201) All figures shown are rounded, so minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts.2) The sales revenue of the joint venture companies in China is not included in the figures for the Group and the Asia-Pacific market.
Vehicle sales Sales revenuethousand vehicles / € million 2015 2014 +/- (%) 2015 2014 +/- (%)
Europe / Remaining markets 1,138 1,113 +2.2 32,855 30,315 +8.4
North America 210 192 +9.4 7,672 5,962 +28.7
South America 143 168 -14.9 2,583 3,082 -16.2
Asia-Pacific2) 1,116 1,088 +2.6 9,625 8,472 +13.6
Volkswagen Group2) 2,607 2,562 +1.8 52,735 47,831 +10.3
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Volkswagen Group – Deliveries to Customers by Markets1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
2,443
814
165 198 185
981
100
2,487
871
148 206 153
1,002
107
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000´000 units
+8.9%
-17.6%+4.1%-10.6%
+7.0%
+1.8%January – March 2014January – March 2015
VolkswagenGroup
+2.1%
WesternEurope
Central & Eastern Europe
North America South America Asia Pacific Rest of World
1)
1) Incl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN; 2.0% excl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN.
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Volkswagen Group – Deliveries to Customers BRIC-Markets1)
(January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
1,110
14268
19
881
1,072
11143 19
898
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
´000 units
+2.0%
+4.0%-36.4%-22.1%
-3.4%January – March 2014January – March 2015
BRIC Brazil Russia India China(incl. Hong Kong)
1)
1) Including Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania and MAN.
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
23
2015€ million
2014
2,684
709
3,166 2,911
730
3,318
1,13734.3%
Total R&D costs
of whichcapitalized
amortization Recognizedin the income
statement
Total R&D costs
of whichcapitalized
amortization Recognizedin the income
statement
37.6%1,191
Automotive Division – Research and development costs (January to March 2015 vs. 2014)
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Volkswagen Touran
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Volkswagen C Coupé GTE
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Audi Prologue Allroad
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ŠKODA Superb
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SEAT Concept 20V20
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Porsche Cayman GT4
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Bentley EXP 10 Speed 6
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31
Lamborghini Aventador P 750-4 SV
![Page 32: January – March 2015 Conference Call and Webcast · 2 days ago · (January to March 2015 vs. 2014) 2,443 103 26 19 2,487 108 22 18 ´000 units 1)-16.4% -7.1% +4.8% +1.8% January](https://reader034.vdocuments.mx/reader034/viewer/2022051908/5ffbf0563cf3200a422e3b0b/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
32
Ducati Diavel Carbon
![Page 33: January – March 2015 Conference Call and Webcast · 2 days ago · (January to March 2015 vs. 2014) 2,443 103 26 19 2,487 108 22 18 ´000 units 1)-16.4% -7.1% +4.8% +1.8% January](https://reader034.vdocuments.mx/reader034/viewer/2022051908/5ffbf0563cf3200a422e3b0b/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
33
Volkswagen Multivan
![Page 34: January – March 2015 Conference Call and Webcast · 2 days ago · (January to March 2015 vs. 2014) 2,443 103 26 19 2,487 108 22 18 ´000 units 1)-16.4% -7.1% +4.8% +1.8% January](https://reader034.vdocuments.mx/reader034/viewer/2022051908/5ffbf0563cf3200a422e3b0b/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
MAN TGX Hybrid
34
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Scania R 730 4x2 Topline
35
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January – March 2015Conference Call and Webcast
29 April 2015