j mcleod

35
Page 1 05/30/22 Why greenhouse matters, even at the coalface and other lessons in managing money Goldman Sachs JBWere Philanthropic Services Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty Ltd ABN 21 006 797 897 AFSL 243346 13 th October 2006 John McLeod

Upload: jacknickelson

Post on 12-May-2015

372 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: J McLeod

Page 1 04/12/23

Why greenhouse matters, even at the coalface

and other lessons in managing money

Goldman Sachs JBWere Philanthropic Services

Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty LtdABN 21 006 797 897

AFSL 243346

13th October 2006

John McLeod

Page 2: J McLeod

Page 2 04/12/23

Philanthropic Services

Has been established to:

• Promote Philanthropy across our client base

• Provide advice and assistance to Endowments and Foundations, not-for-profit and charitable groups

• Assist corporate clients to establish and manage an appropriate Philanthropic Strategy

Page 3: J McLeod

Page 3 04/12/23

Traditional Foundation Structure

Fund manager

Grantmaker

Philanthropic ATM

Page 4: J McLeod

Page 4 04/12/23

Let’s go back to the start

What is the real purpose of your Trust’s existence?

• To reduce tax• To earn money to make donations• To provide for philanthropy in perpetuity

The real reason is to generate a social return.

Investments are just a tool. You judge your success on the impacts you have, not on the dollars given.

Earning money from sweat shops and giving that to fight poverty might not produce a net positive social return.

Page 5: J McLeod

Page 5 04/12/23

What is the role of private Philanthropy?

Government money has certain boundaries and corporate money should be somehow aligned to the business.

Without these constraints what options are available for private philanthropy?

• Complementary – fill the gaps

• Substitution – take on areas that Government is retreating from

• Redistribution – higher to lower incomes

• Innovation – exploring and promoting new ways of solving long term problems

• The opportunity is to do what others can’t

• This has implications for their investments

Page 6: J McLeod

Page 6 04/12/23

But how do we do it?

It can be as simple or as complex as you choose

Negative “ethical” screening

Positive “ethical” screening

Sub market rate investments/loans to NFPs

Alternative asset classes

Private equity

Small enterprises

Venture philanthropy

Microcredit

Increasing complexity requiring greater measurement of social returns and effects on financial returns (+ve/-ve)

Page 7: J McLeod

Page 7 04/12/23

What is ethical?

Can a company be a bit non ethical, say 5%?

Use of Various Screens in US Ethical Funds

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Animal Welfare

Birth Control/Abortion

Labour

Human Rights

Environment

Weapons

Alcohol

Gambling

Tobacco

Source - The Allen Consulting Group

Page 8: J McLeod

Page 8 04/12/23

Companies aren’t what they used to be

• They have ever increasing global reach and economic force

• They’ve taken over from the Church in terms of assets controlled

• They are a large part of the social environment of many people

• Public and press quick to condemn perceived bad behaviour

• Global information sharing is instantaneous

• Increasing power and effectiveness of NGOs and social movements

This position of power has a requirement to gain and maintain a “licence to operate” which goes beyond just legal requirements.

Remember, the law just evolves from public views, albeit very slowly.

Page 9: J McLeod

Page 9 04/12/23

What is Corporate Social Responsibility anyway?

It is simply about the way a company operates and how it relates to all of it’s stakeholders.

Companies do not operate in isolation from the broader community or society in general.

However, this simple statement has very broad ramifications when you start to consider the real range of stakeholders a company has.

Page 10: J McLeod

Page 10 04/12/23

Who are a company’s stakeholders?

Depending on the company and the industry, the range and importance of each stakeholder will vary.

Shareholders

EmployeesGovernment

Customers

Competition Suppliers

Community

Company

Page 11: J McLeod

Page 11 04/12/23

Economic and social returns are related

• To be competitive you need employees who are safe, educated, motivated etc.

• To generate products you need infrastructure, security, sustainable environment.

• You’ll have a bigger market to sell into if you solve poverty.

Page 12: J McLeod

Page 12 04/12/23

Don’t ignore the social returns

Increasing Economic Return

Increasing Social Return

Unmeasured economic loss of social investments

Net economic return

Net social return

Un

mea

sure

d s

oci

al l

oss

of

eco

no

mic

in

vest

men

ts

Source - GSJBW Philanthropic Research, Blended Value - Jed Emerson

Page 13: J McLeod

Page 13 04/12/23

The perfect corporate world

Is when a company gets the right.

This should result in social change achieved that is so positive for the company that it would strive to achieve it anonymously.

where to give

what to give

how to give

Page 14: J McLeod

Page 14 04/12/23

Does the investment world think this way?

•Q What should the role of Wall Street Banks be in shaping corporate policy. Should they become involved?

•Ans Absolutely not. The cornerstone of free markets is efficient capital markets. It would be inefficient and inappropriate ……………………

•Ans As a fiduciary, I have a moral obligation to my investors to maximise return. I would reduce the opportunity set if………………………..

Page 15: J McLeod

Page 15 04/12/23

Corporate governance – addressing the two key questions

Is there an investment signal?

How do I manage my portfolio obligations?

GSJBW quantitative testing using CGI Corporate

Governance rating database

GSJBW “Conehead” risk analysis tool accessing CGI Corporate

Governance rating data

Indications of a quantitative link to aspects of company

performance

As ESG obligations increase, Conehead provides an easy way to manage portfolio corporate

governance exposures

Page 16: J McLeod

Page 16 04/12/23

Investment link – Share price performance

The analysis below shows the performance of simulated portfolios investing in various “governance investment strategies” using the CGI ratings as a basis. These strategies are

• Overall,

• Board Overall (Skills & Structure)

• Board Skills

• Accounting

• Audit

• Remuneration

CGI ascribes a rating of 0 -5 for each stock for each factor (0 poorer, 5 better)

Portfolios are rebalanced each time CGI reissue their ratings for the entire year (approximately annually)

Equally weighted portfolios have been constructed consisting of stocks ranked 3-5 in the long portfolio and 0-2 in the short portfolio

Page 17: J McLeod

Page 17 04/12/23

Other measures of company performance – ROE

A relationship between ROE levels and corporate governance is evident across most rating categoriesChart below plots median ROE over the last 4 years for each rating level within each governance category

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

15.0

17.0

19.0

Overall Board Audit Accounting Remuneration

5 4 3 2 1 0 Source: GSJBW Research/IRESS

Average Median ROE of Stocks within each Corporate Covernance Criteria

Page 18: J McLeod

Page 18 04/12/23

How do we manage a corpus?

Some of the issues to consider

• Understand the relationship between risk and reward

• Understand the financial requirements of achieving your mission

• Formulate investment objectives and policy to reach these goals

• Determine asset allocation and, if any, ethical investment choices

• Include roles and responsibilities of internal and external managers

Page 19: J McLeod

Page 19 04/12/23

What is an Investment Policy?

Board of the Organisation

Investment Committee

- Spending Policy- Risk - Return - Asset Allocation- Investment Management Structure

Plan

Choose Investment Managers

Review Investment Performance

Investment Policy

Page 20: J McLeod

Page 20 04/12/23

Elements of an Investment Policy

1. Preamble on the organisation and its reliance and expectations from its Investments. Any reliance on its Trust Deed or regulatory requirements for Investments beyond the “Prudent Person Principle”.

2. Fundflow Guidelines on spending out of (liquidity implications) and inflows to the Investment funds (including from variable investment returns and new gifts or bequests etc.) It should also include a statement on the ability of the Fund to borrow or lend.

3. Risk Statement to be set by the Board, defining the acceptable level of risk able to be taken in Investments. This should not only incorporate liquidity requirements and acceptable frequency of negative returns, but also consider reputational consequences of risk to the organisation. It should also recognise the benefits of diversification in reducing risk.

Page 21: J McLeod

Page 21 04/12/23

Elements of an Investment Policy

4. Socially responsible or ethical investment considerations. What (if any) exclusions, limits or voting guidelines are to be placed on investments to ensure the overall maximisation of the organisation’s social mission?

5. Return objectives should define expected long term (5 years +) income and capital returns with reference to outperformance of inflation and net of costs. E.g. Total returns after costs of 4% above CPI and likelihood of a negative return less frequent than 1 in 5 years.

6. Allowed Asset classes and definitions, characteristics, acceptable quality descriptions within each asset class. Which benchmarks to be used for each asset class.

7. Asset Allocation decision including control bands. These should be set as a consequence of the previous risk statement and return objectives.

Page 22: J McLeod

Page 22 04/12/23

Elements of an Investment Policy

8. Investment Management Structure • Will the funds be invested directly and in the name of the organisation, through

various managed funds or a combination of both?• Subject to the boundaries set by the risk statement, return objectives, asset

allocation and ethical considerations, who (external, internal or Board) is to make investment decisions on a day to day basis?

• What guidelines will be set around conflict of interest between Board/Investment Committee and the choice Funds Management organisations?

9. Performance Reporting. What is the desired frequency and format of reporting and the method of consolidation of difference asset class performances?

10. Investment Review. What mechanism is to be used for Investment review, rebalancing and manager changes? Also to highlight the requirement for updates and reviews of this Investment Policy.

Page 23: J McLeod

Page 23 04/12/23

What is your time frame?

Foundations Perspectives on PerpetuitySource: Foundation Growth and Giving Estimates 2004, The Foundation Centre

Will Exist in Perpetuity69%

Undecided22%

Will Not Existin Perpetuity

9%

Page 24: J McLeod

Page 24 04/12/23

Investment environment

CPI CashAust. fixed

interestListed

property Aust. shares Int'l sharesInt'l shares

HedgedAlternative

Assets

1985 6.7% 16.4% 8.1% 5.2% 44.1% 72.2% 30.1% na1986 9.1% 16.7% 19.0% 35.4% 52.2% 46.5% 30.5% na1987 8.5% 15.3% 18.6% 5.7% -7.9% 7.6% 0.6% na1988 7.3% 12.8% 10.1% 16.1% 17.9% 4.7% 27.1% na1989 7.5% 18.4% 18.9% 2.3% 17.4% 26.8% 24.8% na1990 7.3% 16.2% 19.1% 8.7% -17.5% -14.6% -21.1% 17.5%1991 3.2% 11.2% 24.7% 20.1% 34.2% 20.6% 16.6% 14.5%1992 1.0% 6.9% 10.4% 6.6% -2.9% 5.2% -0.7% 12.3%1993 1.8% 5.4% 16.3% 30.7% 40.0% 24.8% 21.3% 26.3%1994 1.9% 5.3% -4.7% -7.1% -8.8% -7.6% -0.2% -3.5%1995 4.6% 8.1% 18.6% 14.3% 21.1% 26.7% 20.1% 11.1%1996 2.6% 7.6% 11.9% 14.2% 14.4% 6.7% 17.3% 14.4%1997 0.3% 5.6% 12.2% 21.9% 12.7% 42.2% 23.1% 16.2%1998 0.9% 5.1% 9.5% 18.4% 9.8% 32.8% 21.2% -5.1%1999 1.5% 5.0% -1.2% -4.7% 18.7% 17.6% 28.3% 26.5%2000 4.5% 6.2% 12.0% 19.7% 6.4% 2.5% -9.8% 4.1%2001 4.4% 5.3% 5.5% 14.6% 10.4% -9.6% -14.2% 2.8%2002 3.0% 4.8% 8.8% 11.8% -8.8% -27.1% -24.0% 1.0%2003 2.8% 4.9% 3.0% 8.8% 14.6% -0.3% 25.8% 11.6%2004 2.3% 5.6% 7.0% 30.7% 28.0% 10.4% 11.5% 6.9%2005 2.7% 5.7% 5.8% 12.5% 22.8% 17.7% 17.5% 7.4%

Source: I ress, Ibboston, Morningstar, Bloomberg.

* 20 years track record for Alternative Assets not available - these numbers relate to the 16 year history.Cash: UBS Warburg Bank Bill I ndex (Australian Cash - Source Ibboston prior to 1988)Fixed int - Aust.: UBS Warburg Composite Bond Index (All Maturities/All Series) (Australian Fixed Interest - Source Ibboston prior to 1990)Fixed int - int'l.: SSB/Citigroup World Govt. Bond Index - Hedged to A$Shares - Aust.: S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index (S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index prior to 1993)Shares - int'l.: MSCI World ex-Aust Accumulation Index Gross Div A$Shares - int'l Hedged.:MSCI World ex-Aust Accumulation Index Gross Div HedgedProperty: S&P/ASX 200 Property Trust Accumulation Index (S&P/ASX Property Trust Accumulation Index prior to 1993)Direct Property: Property Council Investment Performance - Australian Composite Property IndexAlternative Assets: HFRI Fund of Fund Composite Index

Page 25: J McLeod

Page 25 04/12/23

Real and Nominal Asset Class Returns - perpetuity forecast

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

Cash Aust. fixed interest Listed property Australian shares International shares Alternative Assets

Franking credits

Capital growth

Income less CPI

CPI

Source: GSJBW Philanthropic Services; GSJBW Quantitative Research

Investment environment – the future

Long term forecasts show the diversity in size and type of returns

Page 26: J McLeod

Page 26 04/12/23

Why diversify? (continued)

Now let’s have 50% in each asset over the 10 years

Asset performances over time

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

$220

$240

$260

$280

Start 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Years

Sam

ple

To

tal R

etu

rns

Asset A

Asset B

Combined Assets A and B

Source: Philanthropic Services

Page 27: J McLeod

Page 27 04/12/23

Why diversify - the answer

While returns were averaged combining the two assets, risks can be lowered

Risk versus Reward

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

11.0%

12.0%

4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%

Risk (Standard Deviation)

Rew

ard

(cu

mu

lati

ve r

etu

rn)

Asset A

Asset B

Combined Assets A and B

Source: Philanthropic Services

Page 28: J McLeod

Page 28 04/12/23

Number of stocks needed for diversification

ACHI EVABLE TRACKI NG ERROR FOR RI SK OPTI MI SED PORTFOLI OS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

Number of stocks in portfolio

Portfolio Risk (% p.a.) Portfolio tracking error vs portfolio size

RISK.XLS.C2

GSJBWQuantitative Research

Page 29: J McLeod

Page 29 04/12/23

Asset allocation considerations for Foundations

Source: Goldman Sachs JBWere Research

Traditional asset allocations vs. GSJ BW preferredasset allocations for Foundations

25% 10% Alt. 15%

Equities Alt.

50%

Equities

65% 70%

100% 75% Equities Equities

Cash / FI / Cash / FI /

Prop. Prop.

50%

Cash / FI / 25%

Prop. Cash / FI / 15%

Prop. Cash/FI /Prp

Traditional Asset Allocation GSJ BWere Preferred AssetRanges for Foundations Allocation Ranges for Foundations

Page 30: J McLeod

Page 30 04/12/23

For a donor - Two ways of giving

First option• Make a $2,000 grant from income

Second Option• Lend the same organisation $100,000 at a low interest rate• (say at 3% compared to a market rate of 5%)

Result• Both options see $2,000 of income used/foregone• But the second option also sees $100,000 used in the community• If just 2% of assets were invested this way, it would effectively be adding

40% to philanthropic support

Page 31: J McLeod

Page 31 04/12/23

What and how to give?

What:• Broad analysis of assets and skills of an organisation

• Use all of Grant, Intellectual, Human, Political and Financial Assets

How:• Select the best not-for-profit partners• Signal, advertise the cause or solution to get others involved• Improve the activities of your selected partner• Advance the knowledge in the area

Source: Jed Emerson, Porter/Kramer

Page 32: J McLeod

Page 32 04/12/23

Summary

Being a not for profit offers unique opportunities and challenges.

Where you invest:• huge advantages in investing for perpetuity • no tax environment offers different end returns and opportunities• asset allocation is the key• inflation not volatility is the enemy• consider alternative asset classes

How you invest: • consider your overall mission• think about the social impact of your assets• think laterally about your assets

Page 33: J McLeod

Page 33 04/12/23

Important Notice:

Goldman Sachs is a registered trademark of Goldman, Sachs & Co.

Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty Ltd ("Goldman Sachs JBWere") does not give, or purport to give, taxation advice. This document does not contain, and should not be construed to contain, any securities recommendations. You should consult with your professional taxation adviser before using the information or data contained in this document or contact your Goldman Sachs JBWere adviser if you require further assistance. This document was compiled from information provided by persons other than Goldman Sachs JBWere and accordingly no representation, warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information contained in this document. Goldman Sachs JBWere and its related entities distributing this document and each of their respective directors, officers and agents disclaim, to the maximum extent permitted by law, all liability and responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage which may be suffered by any recipient through relying on anything contained in or omitted from this document. This document contains general financial products advice only. In preparing this document, Goldman Sachs JBWere did not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs ('financial circumstances') of any particular person. Accordingly, before acting on any advice contained in this document, you should assess whether the advice is appropriate in light of your own financial circumstances or contact your Goldman Sachs JBWere adviser. If you were referred to Goldman Sachs JBWere by an investment adviser, that adviser may receive a financial benefit from Goldman Sachs JBWere for dealing in financial products on your behalf. Your Goldman Sachs JBWere adviser will give you precise details of any benefit payable to the investment adviser who referred you to Goldman Sachs JBWere.

Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty Ltd and its related entities distributing this document and each of their respective directors, officers and agents ("Goldman Sachs JBWere Group") believe that the information contained in this document is correct and that any estimates, opinions, conclusions or recommendations contained in this document are reasonably held or made as at the time of compilation. However, no warranty is made as to the accuracy or reliability of any estimates, opinions, conclusions, recommendations (which may change without notice) or other information contained in this document and, to the maximum extent permitted by law, Goldman Sachs JBWere Group disclaims all liability and responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage which may be suffered by any recipient through relying on anything contained in or omitted from this document. This document is for the intended recipient only and is provided on the condition that you keep it confidential and do not copy or circulate it in whole or in part. No part of this document may be reproduced without the permission of Goldman Sachs JBWere Group. Copyright in this document is owned by Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty Ltd. The Goldman Sachs JBWere Group does not represent or warrant that any attached files are free from computer viruses or other defects. Any files provided may only be used on the basis that the user assumes all responsibility for any loss, damage or consequence resulting directly or indirectly from their use. The liability of the Goldman Sachs JBWere Group is limited in any event to either the resupply of the attached files or the cost of having the attached files resupplied. All reasonable efforts are made to prevent dissemination of viruses through the electronic portal. c 2006 Goldman Sachs JBWere Pty Ltd ABN 21 006 797 897, AFSL 243346 All rights reserved.

Page 34: J McLeod

Page 34 04/12/23

Goldman Sachs JBWere Offices

Melbourne101 Collins Street,Melbourne, Victoria, 3000Tel: +61 3 9679 1111Fax: +61 3 9679 1493

SydneyLevel 42,Governor Phillip Tower,1 Farrer Place,Sydney, NSW, 2000Tel: +61 2 9321 8777Fax: +61 2 9321 8500

Brisbane37th Floor, Riverside Centre,123 Eagle Street,Brisbane, Queensland, 4000Tel: +61 7 3258 1111Fax: +61 7 3258 1112

Gold Coast65-67 Thomas Drive,Chevron Island,Gold Coast, Queensland, 4217Tel: +61 7 5582 2444Fax: +61 7 5582 2400

Adelaide45 Pirie Street,Adelaide, South Australia, 5000Tel: +61 8 8407 1111Fax: +61 8 8407 1112

FrankfurtGoldman Sachs JBWere (UK) LimitedNiederlassung Frankfurt am Main Level 4Taunusanlage 2160325 Frankfurt am MainGermanyTel: +49 69 7953 8810Fax: +49 69 7953 8888

TokyoRepresentative OfficeLevel 28, New Otani Garden Court,4-1 Kioi-cho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 102-0094, JapanTel: +81 3 5214 0938Fax: +81 3 5214 0935

SingaporeGoldman Sachs JBWere Pty Ltd 9 Raffles Place,#49-01 Republic Plaza,Singapore 048619Tel: +65 6415 6111Fax: +65 6415 6112

AucklandGoldman Sachs JBWere (NZ) LimitedLevel 38,Royal & Sun Alliance Centre,48 Shortland Street,Auckland, New Zealand, 1001Tel: +64 9 357 3200Fax: +64 9 357 3248

ChristchurchGoldman Sachs JBWere (NZ) LimitedLevel 1, HSBC House,141 Cambridge Terrace,Christchurch, New Zealand, 8001Tel: +64 3 364 5610Fax: + 64 3 364 5611

WellingtonGoldman Sachs JBWere (NZ) LimitedLevel 8, BNZ Centre, 1 Willis Street,Wellington, New Zealand, 6001Tel: +64 4 471 6260Fax: +64 4 471 6261

PerthLevel 44, BankWest Tower,108 St George’s Terrace,Perth, Western Australia, 6000Tel: +61 8 9422 3333Fax: +61 8 9422 3399

Canberra60 Marcus Clarke Street,Canberra, ACT, 2600Tel: +61 2 6218 2000Fax: +61 2 6218 2001

New York Goldman Sachs JBWere Inc34th Floor, 101 East 52nd St,New York, NY, 10022Tel: +1 212 824 4500Fax: +1 212 824 4501

London Goldman Sachs JBWere (UK) LimitedKing's House,36 King Street,London, EC2V 8BBTel: +44 20 7367 8400Fax: +44 20 7367 8452Member of the S.F.A. Ltd.

Page 35: J McLeod

Page 35 04/12/23