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Alamo Ranch | San Antonio TX Investor Presentation September 2016

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Page 1: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Alamo Ranch | San Antonio TX

Investor Presentation

September 2016

Page 2: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Forward-Looking Statements

This presentation includes “forward-looking statements.” These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results, performance, prospects or opportunities, as well as those of the markets we serve or intend to serve, to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these statements. You can identify these statements by the fact that they do not relate to matters of a strictly factual or historical nature and generally discuss or relate to forecasts, estimates or other expectations regarding future events. Generally, the words “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “project,” “may,” “can,” “could,” “might,” “will” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, including statements related to expected operating and performing results, planned transactions, planned objectives of management, future developments or conditions in the industries in which we participate and other trends, developments and uncertainties that may affect our business in the future.

Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, among other things: interest rate changes and the availability of mortgage financing; continued volatility in the debt and equity markets; competition within the industries in which PulteGroup operates; the availability and cost of land and other raw materials used by PulteGroup in its homebuilding operations; the impact of any changes to our strategy in responding to the cyclical nature of the industry, including any changes regarding our land positions; the availability and cost of insurance covering risks associated with PulteGroup's businesses; shortages and the cost of labor; weather related slowdowns; slow growth initiatives and/or local building moratoria; governmental regulation directed at or affecting the housing market, the homebuilding industry or construction activities; uncertainty in the mortgage lending industry, including revisions to underwriting standards and repurchase requirements associated with the sale of mortgage loans; the interpretation of or changes to tax, labor and environmental laws; economic changes nationally or in PulteGroup's local markets, including inflation, deflation, changes in consumer confidence and preferences and the state of the market for homes in general; legal or regulatory proceedings or claims; our ability to generate sufficient cash flow in order to successfully implement our capital allocation priorities; required accounting changes; terrorist acts and other acts of war; and other factors of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business and competitive nature. See PulteGroup's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015, and other public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) for a further discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties applicable to our businesses. PulteGroup undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or changes in PulteGroup's expectations.

Page 3: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

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Presentation Agenda

• PulteGroup

Company Profile and Strategic Focus

• Favorable Operating Conditions

• Defined Land Investment Process

• Unmatched Capacity to Serve

Distinct Buyer Groups

2

Page 4: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

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PulteGroup Overview

• Among the nation’s largest

homebuilders with operations in

approximately 50 major metro

markets

• Delivered over 655,000 homes

since being founded in 1950

• Diversified product offering serving

all major buyer groups

• Unmatched presence in active adult

market through Del Webb brand

3

Page 5: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

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Richard Dugas Chairman & CEO (22 Years)

Ryan Marshall President (15 Years)

Harmon Smith COO (26 Years)

Tony Barbee Midwest Area (17 Years)

John Chadwick West Area (24 Years)

Greg Huff Southeast Area (14 Years)

Peter Keane Florida Area (22 Years)

Steve Schlageter East Area (13 Years)

Steve Teodecki Texas Area (13 Years)

Bob O’Shaughnessy CFO (6 Years)

Experienced Homebuilding Team

4

Page 6: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

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27% 41% 32%

Operating in 50 of the Country’s Top Metro Markets

1H 2016 Revenues

Lots Under Control as of

6/30/2016

Northeast 9% 8%

Southeast 22% 17%

Florida 17% 21%

Midwest 15% 14%

Texas 15% 15%

West 22% 25%

Page 7: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

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Diversified Across Primary Consumer Groups

First Time Move Up Active Adult

29% 43% 28%

6-Month 2016 Closings by Buyer Group

6

Page 8: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Capital Allocation Priorities Aligned with

Value Creation Strategy

• Priority #1: Invest in core business,

including opportunistic M&A, to

maintain or grow relative market share

• Priority #2: Return funds through an

established dividend

• Priority #3: Routinely return excess

capital to shareholders via share

buybacks

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

2013 2014 2015 1H 2016

Share Repurchase ($ millions)

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

2013 2014 2015 1H 2016

% of Float Purchased

7

Page 9: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

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Strong Growth Continues as Reflected in Q2 2016 Financials

Home sale revenues up 41% to $1.8

billion; closings up 27% to 4,772 homes

Year-over-year ASP up 11% with higher

prices across all buyer groups:

First-time up 5% to $270,000

Move-up increased 11% to $438,000

Active-adult up 4% to $357,000

Dollar value of net new orders increased

21% to $2.1 billion

Net new orders higher by 11% to 5,697

homes

Backlog value increased 21% to $3.7

billion; Units up 8% to 9,679 homes $1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$3.0

$3.5

$4.0

2015 2016

Q2 Backlog Value ($ billions)

Page 10: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

As part of Q2 earnings, PulteGroup announced the following actions as

it advances to the next phase of its Value Creation strategy

Company to slow the rate of growth in land spend and use expected strong

cash flows to help fund the repurchase of $1.5 billion of shares over the

subsequent 6 quarters

Company is taking actions to lower SG&A from an expected 10% of home

sale revenues in 2016 to a targeted rate of 9% or lower in 2017

Company added 3 new independent directors to its Board

• John Peshkin: 30 years of direct homebuilding experience including CEO of Taylor

Woodrow Homes

• Joshua Gotbaum: served in senior private and public sector roles

• Scott Powers: over 30 years in financial asset management including having

served as President and CEO of State Street Global Advisors

9

Announced Actions in Support of Value Creation 2.0

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Atwater Ranchers| Naperville, IL

Favorable Operating Conditions

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NEW HOME SALES (000)

Housing Recovery Remains on Track

• 2015 new home sales of

500,000 up 15% over 2014,

but well below historic average

• Factors continue to support

sustained growth in housing

demand

Favorable demographics and pent-up demand

Low inventory of new and existing homes

Historically low interest rates

Rising rental rates

Source: U.S. Census

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015

50 Year

Avg

10

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Unique Housing Opportunities Across Demographic Spectrum

U.S. 2015 Population by Age

*Census.gov – projected population by single age, 2014 – 2060 (2015 Projection)

73.6M 75.3M 65.7M 74.9M 28.0M

11

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Supports for Sustained Growth in Demand

Share of Children Ages 18 - 34

Still Living With Parents U.S. Household Estimates

(millions)

25%

26%

27%

28%

29%

30%

31%

2007 2015

12

Page 15: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

The Aldrege | Atlanta, GA

Defined Land Investment Process

Page 16: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Disciplined Land Investment Process

• Project Feasibility Report

Comprehensive review and

analysis completed for every

transaction

1. Project overview

2. Financial Summary including risk

scoring

3. Market and submarket analysis

4. Marketing assessment and financial

reviews

5. House costs and pricing

6. Sales production and closing

schedules

7. Land analysis including entitlement

and development timelines

8. Contract structure

9. Soils and environment

• Feasibility report completed for every project

• Asset Management Committee reviews and approves every transaction to validate assumptions, stress test financials and identify opportunities to enhance project returns and/or reduce risks

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Page 17: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Consistent Assessment of Project Risk

• Four major categories to determine risk profile

1. Strategic Marketing

Location, marketability, supply & demand

2. Execution Risk

Entitlement, development, product, recent performance

3. Deal structure

Takedown structure, years supply, exit costs

4. Operational metrics

Pace, price and sensitivity

• Process provides common language for assessing

projects across operations

IRR Threshold 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 20% 20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30%

Score 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33

15

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Land Pipeline Supportive of Volume Growth

• Land investment focused on shorter, faster turning positions Project size averaging 125 lots Investment continues to be weighed

toward communities serving move-up buyers

• First-time buyers focus on closer-in and more urban locations likely at the upper end of the price range

• Investing in smaller active adult projects that are less capital intensive Harvesting prior investment in legacy

Del Webb communities

16

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jun-16

Owned Optioned Years Owned

Lots Under Control

Page 19: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Unmatched Capacity to Serve Distinct Buyer Groups

Page 20: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

• Investing in first-time buyer projects that

generate acceptable returns

Focus on closer-in communities; not betting on

outlying, albeit lower cost, land positions

• Ongoing work to lower overall product

costs, but not targeting the lower price

points of the segment

• Growing opportunity serving first-time

buyers looking for a more urban location

Older Millennials seeking closer-in locations

and willing to accept attached product

Better financial profile with greater access to

mortgage market than entry-level buyer

Opportunities to target this buyer in many

markets across the country

First-Time Buyer Strategy

18

Page 21: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Sustained Strength of the

Move-Up Buyer

• Multiyear strength as buyer group realizes

better wage growth and credit availability

• Majority of Company’s land investment

targeted toward move-up buyers

Ongoing mix shift toward the move-up buyer

continues to raise ASP’s

Wieland assets target move-up and luxury

buyers

• Keeping average project size small

Closer-in projects with an expected cycle time

of 36 to 48 months from acquisition to build out

• Continue to develop innovative new floor

plans and product features

19

Page 22: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Expanding Penetration of Active Adult Market

Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle

Communities

New

Opportunity

20

• Changing profile of active adult projects;

500 to 1,500 lots with right-sized amenity

Faster turning and less capital intensive

communities

• Legacy investment in large, highly amenitized

Del Webb communities

Continue to work down investment and redeploy

capital

Highest gross margins, so high pace is important

• Assessing opportunities to expand penetration

of active adult market

Potential to offer small, non-age restricted

communities

Focus on product with “lite” or no amenities

Would not carry the Del Webb brand

Municipalities often more receptive to community

profile given lower impact on local infrastructure

Page 23: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

In Summary

• Among the nation’s largest and most diversified homebuilders

• Articulated strategy focused on long-term success

• Unmatched ability to serve all major buyer groups

• Value Creation strategy goal to deliver better ROIC over the housing cycle and top quartile TSR over time

• Return excess capital to shareholders

21

Page 24: Investor Presentation September 2016s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2016/2016_RBCg… · Interest in Age Restricted Lifestyle Communities New Opportunity 20 •Changing

Corkscrew Shores| Estero, FL