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JP Morgan Presentation Building a More Balanced Builder May 2020

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Page 1: Investor Presentation JP Morgan May 2020s22.q4cdn.com/957797852/files/doc_presentations/2020/05/JPM... · •7\SLFDOO\ XQGHUZULWLQJ GHDOV ZLWK H[SHFWHG ,55 LQ WKH ORZ WR PLG UDQJH

JP Morgan PresentationBuilding a More Balanced Builder

May 2020

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Forward-Looking Statements

This release includes "forward-looking statements." These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results, performance, prospects or opportunities, as well as those of the markets we serve or intend to serve, to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these statements. You can identify these statements by the fact that they do not relate to matters of a strictly factual or historical nature and generally discuss or relate to forecasts, estimates or other expectations regarding future events. Generally, the words “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “project,” “may,” “can,” “could,” “might,” "should", “will” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, including statements related to any potential impairment charges and the impacts or effects thereof, expected operating and performing results, planned transactions, planned objectives of management, future developments or conditions in the industries in which we participate and other trends, developments and uncertainties that may affect our business in the future.

Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, among other things: interest rate changes and the availability of mortgage financing; competition within the industries in which we operate; the availability and cost of land and other raw materials used by us in our homebuilding operations; the impact of any changes to our strategy in responding to the cyclical nature of the industry, including any changes regarding our land positions and the levels of our land spend; the availability and cost of insurance covering risks associated with our businesses; shortages and the cost of labor; weather related slowdowns; slow growth initiatives and/or local building moratoria; governmental regulation directed at or affecting the housing market, the homebuilding industry or construction activities; uncertainty in the mortgage lending industry, including revisions to underwriting standards and repurchase requirements associated with the sale of mortgage loans; the interpretation of or changes to tax, labor and environmental laws which could have a greater impact on our effective tax rate or the value of our deferred tax assets than we anticipate; economic changes nationally or in our local markets, including inflation, deflation, changes in consumer confidence and preferences and the state of the market for homes in general; legal or regulatory proceedings or claims; our ability to generate sufficient cash flow in order to successfully implement our capital allocation priorities; required accounting changes; terrorist acts and other acts of war; the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our financial position and ability to continue our Homebuilding or Financial Services activities at normal levels or at all in impacted areas; the duration, effect and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic; the measures that governmental authorities take to address the COVID-19 pandemic which may precipitate or exacerbate one or more of the above-mentioned and/or other risks and significantly disrupt or prevent us from operating our business in the ordinary course for an extended period of time; and other factors of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business and competitive nature. See PulteGroup's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2019, and other public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") for a further discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties applicable to our businesses. PulteGroup undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or changes in PulteGroup's expectations.

2©2020 PulteGroup

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3

AGENDA

Appendix: Foundation for Success

Constructing a Different Type of Homebuilder

COVID-19 Impacts & Responses

Summary

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COVID-19 Impacts & Response

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Efforts to battle COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant industry-wide slow down in housing demand beginning in mid-March Company implemented a series of operational changes in response Protecting the health and safety of our customers and employees o Employees working remote, as most customer interactions including sales,

design, construction updates and closings become virtualo Implemented enhanced cleaning and personal-hygiene practiceso Refined our building practices to help ensure our trades can operate safely

and with appropriate distancing within our homes

4

Company Comments on COVID-19

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Focused on managing cashflows and overall liquidity Minimizing future cash outflows associated with home construction,

land development, land acquisition and general operating costs Working to maximize cash inflows through home closings Ended Q1 with $1.9 billion of cash including $700 million drawn on

Company’s revolving bank facility in March Given extent of business disruptions, Company suspended stock

repurchase program and withdrew guidance for 2020 operating and financial results

Company Comments on COVID-19 (cont’d)

6

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May 11, 2020 Update After an initial significant contraction in housing demand, recent sales

trends were more encouraging as weekly net new orders went from approximately 140 homes in the last week of March to almost 400 homes in the final full week of April that ended May 3

In May 2020, Company took actions to reduce annual overhead expenditures by approximately $100 milliono Company expects to realize approximately $65 million of savings in 2020

Company Comments on COVID-19 (cont’d)

7

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Constructing a DifferentType of Homebuilder

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Our Strategic Playbook

9

•Current PHM Model •Typical Industry Model

Financial Metrics

Risk-adjusted: higher risk requires higher return

Land Investment

Single hurdle rate regardless of project profile

Select cities and work to build local market scale

Geographic Strategy

Be everywhere

Commonly managed plans: better designs, more efficient to construct

Efficient Production

Each market controls its own plan library

Strategic pricing = base house + lot premium + options

Go-to-Market Strategy

Single package pricing

ROIC over the cyclePretax growth

Focus on volume growthRevenue growth

©2020 PulteGroup

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NEW MODEL 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total

Cash Flow from Ops -$338M $68M $663M $1.4B $1.1B $3.2B

Total Land Spend $2.3B $2.8B $2.6B $2.6B $3.0B $13.3B

Dividend $116M $125M $113M $104M $122M $580M

Share Repurchase $434M $600M $910M $295M $274M $2.5B

OLD MODEL 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total

Cash Flow from Ops $149M -$302M -$692M $19M -$268M -$1.1B

Total Land Spend $2.1B $3.3B $4.7B $4.9B $4.9B $19.8B

Dividend $10M $14M $25M $34M $41M $124M

Share Repurchase $4M $18M $15M $143M $122M $302M

Capital Allocation Aligns with Return Focus

10©2020 PulteGroup

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Aligning Land Investment with Go-to Market Strategy

• Land investments creating a more balanced business – Land pipeline points to coming

expansion among affordable/ first-time buyers

– Core of business remains serving move-up buyers

• All projects measured against the same return criteria and IRR hurdle rates

11

•Lots Under Control by Buyer Group

29%

32% 33% 33%35%

33% 32%

35%36% 35% 35%

32%

2016 2017 2018 2019

First Time Move Up Active Adult

©2020 PulteGroup

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Becoming Land Light(er) and More Efficient

• Controlled growth of land investment

• Focus on shorter duration projects–Over the past 3 years, average project

size of ~140 lots

• Increasing use of options– Enhance returns while helping to

reduce market risk– 2019 American West deal totaled

3,500 lots in Las Vegas with 66% controlled via option

69% 63% 60% 59%

•Lots Under Control

99,279 89,253 89,530 93,319 92,725

43,979 52,158 60,047 64,903 67,116

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020

Owned Optioned

12©2020 PulteGroup

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IRR Threshold

18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 20% 20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30%

Score 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33

Through a Disciplined Land Investment Process

• Land investments sourced by divisions but require corporate approval

• Consistent underwriting of all deals against defined risk criteria– Four categories of risk: Strategic Marketing, Execution, Deal Structure, Operational

Metrics– Underwritten against return, not gross margin– Review process provides common language for assessing projects across operations

• Typically underwriting deals with expected IRR in the low to mid 20% range

13©2020 PulteGroup

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Leveraging Common Plan Platform

• Commonly managed plans– Consumer validated– Optimized for material

content and ease of build– Built across multiple

communities and/or markets – Frequency of construction

can drive production efficiency and lower costs

14

•% of Deliveries from Commonly Managed Plans

58%

67%

77%

81% 81%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Target Range

©2020 PulteGroup

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Next Step in Common Plan Strategy

• 2020 acquisition of Jacksonville-based Innovative Construction Group– Provides comprehensive framing solutions

including design services, manufactured wall panels, roof trusses and floor systems, and on-site installation

– Expect ICG to benefit Jacksonville operations through faster cycle times, precision structural components and savings on lumber and other materials

– Can also serve as a model to intelligently integrate the use of off-site production with existing trade partners

• ICG remains a stand-alone operation and continues to serve its existing customers

15©2020 PulteGroup

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SummaryWorking to Deliver High

Returns Over the Housing Cycle

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FOCUS on the customer: deliver superior build quality and home buying experience

INVEST in high-returning, shorter duration land positions

MAINTAIN disciplined business practices

IMPROVE asset efficiency to increase inventory turns and enhance cash flow

ALLOCATE cash flow appropriately, consistent with stated priorities: invest in the business, dividends, share repurchase, and debt reduction

Implementing a Different Business to Create Long-term Shareholder Value

17©2020 PulteGroup

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AppendixFoundation for Success

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Broad and Balanced Geographic Footprint

19

SEATTLE

SAN FRANCISCO

FRESNO

SAN DIEGO

LOS ANGELES

SAN JOSE

PHOENIX

LAS VEGAS

TUCSON

ALBUQUERQUE

DALLAS

HOUSTONSAN ANTONIO

AUSTIN

KILLEEN

MIAMI

JACKSONVILLE

NAPLES

ORLANDO

FORT MYERS

OCALA

FORT LAUDERDALE

LAKELANDTAMPA

NASHVILLE

ATLANTA

SAVANNAHHILTON HEAD

CHARLESTON

MYRTLE BEACH

WILMINGTON

RALEIGHCHARLOTTE

LOUISVILLE

CLEVELANDCHICAGO

INDIANAPOLIS

COLUMBUS

DETROIT

MINNEAPOLIS

PHILADELPHIA

BOSTON

WASHINGTON D.C.

% of Company

Closings 6%

Revenue 8%

Lots 5%

% of Company

Closings 17%

Revenue 17%

Lots 17%

% of Company

Closings 22%

Revenue 21%

Lots 22%

% of Company

Closings 19%

Revenue 14%

Lots 17%

% of Company

Closings 21%

Revenue 25%

Lots 28%

% of Company

Closings 15%

Revenue 15%

Lots 11%

©2020 PulteGroup

% for FY 2019

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Industry Leading Brand Names

20©2020 PulteGroup

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18%

37%20%

25%

Percentage of 2019 Closings by Price Point

Under $275K

$275K–$399K$400K–$499K

$500K and Above

Serving a Variety of Price Points

21©2020 PulteGroup

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• Closings

Generating Superior Business and Financial Results

©2020 PulteGroup 22

• Homes Sale Revenues ($B)

• EPS • Share Repurchases & Dividends ($M)

17,12719,951 21,052

23,107 23,232

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

$5.8$7.5 $8.3

$9.8 $9.9

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

$1.36 $1.75 $1.44

$3.55 $3.66

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

$550$725

$1,023

$399 $397

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

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Guided by a Strong Corporate Ethic…

23

Certified as a Great Place to Work® company

Proven commitment to construction quality and buyer experience

PHM stock a component of the Dow Jones Sustainability Index

Built to Honor: serving our nation’s wounded veterans• Over 50 mortgage-free homes donated to

veterans and their families

©2020 PulteGroup

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…And an Independent, Experienced & Diverse Board

24

Brian Anderson*Former CFO, OfficeMax (2005)

Richard Dreiling*Former Chairman and CEO, Dollar General (2015)

Bryce Blair*Chairman, Invitation Homes, former Chairman and CEO, AvalonBay Communities (2011)

Thomas Folliard* Non-Executive Chairman, former President and CEO, CarMax (2012)

Cheryl Grise*Former EVP, Northeast Utilities (2008)

Ryan MarshallPresident & CEO, PulteGroup (2016)

Andre Hawaux*Former EVP & COO, Dick’s Sporting Goods (2013)

John Peshkin* Founder & Managing Partner, Vanguard Land, former North American CEO & Pres., Taylor Woodrow plc. (2016)

Scott Powers*Former President & CEO, State Street Global Advisors (2016)

Lila Snyder*EVP & President, Commerce Services, Pitney Bowes (2018)

*Independent Director

©2020 PulteGroup

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Strong Capital Structure Provides Flexibility

• Q1 2020 net debt-to-cap 22%; debt-to-cap 38%– In response to COVID-19

uncertainties, Company drew $700M on its revolver in Q1

• Early tender for $274 million of 2021 notes completed in 2019 using available cash

69%

63%

60%

61%

•Debt Maturities ($M)

$426

$700

$600

$1,000

2020 2021* 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 &beyond

*Remaining notes outstanding after early tender

25©2020 PulteGroup