investing in space || james bruegger || future space
TRANSCRIPT
Science : Disrupt – Future Space, 24/10/16
We do things not because they are easy, but because they are hard…
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ABOUT SERAPHIM
• 2006 £30m ‘Super Angel’ Fund
• 2016 £83m Space Tech Fund (tbc)
• Series A investor
• IP-led businesses
• Platform technologies
• B2B > B2C
• Commercial validation
• Product / market fit (momentum)
• Focus on well defined, directly addressable markets
• Patient capital: long exit horizons
[About Me]
• Dyslexic historian (UCL ‘02)
• Involved in London’s innovation / start-up & investment community since 2000
• 2x failed entrepreneur (‘00-’03, ‘12-’13) – learnt a lot of lessons the hard way…
• Started, advised, invested in 40+ companies in UK, Europe, US & India
• VC since ‘06 – a lot has changed since then….
• Anti social media, pro Singularity
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Linear views disguise continual (and exponential) advancement, making future hard to predict
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Law of accelerating returns – continual biological & technical evolution at an ever faster pace
Singularity 101: Learn to G.R.I.N. and bear it (it could be less than 30 years away….)
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…and this relates to Space how? (We’ll get on to this shortly….)
The entrepreneurial challenge: how special are you?
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Understanding a VC’s mindset: success is rare and tends to be binary…
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• Long term VC returns:
• 1 in 2 investments fail
• 1 in 10 are a major success
• ‘Power Law’ - c.10% of investments delivering c.60% of value
• Therefore essential to focus on investing in top 1% of opportunities
• 1 in 10 major success = <1 in 1,000 investment opportunities
Investments
Ret
urn
Mu
ltip
le (
x)
Standing out from the crowd can be tough….
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…especially when VCs have such short attention spans…
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…ok, but seriously, what does all this have to do with Space?
Why a Space Fund? Well, Star Wars is back, and Space is cool again…
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Space is already part of everyday life – we interact with satellites 36 times each day
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Our reliance / use of satellites is set to grow exponentially
A 100x decrease in the economics of space is a once-in-a-generation game changer…
• Economics of space now pro VC
• Catalysing new applications
• 90s = low cost personal computing
• 00s = low cost cloud computing
• ‘10s = low cost access to space
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…and a diverse ecosystem* of ‘New Space’ companies is already developing…
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* And this is ‘just’ the upstream
ecosystem – downstream ecosystem
of space-related companies = many
times larger
Tech billionaires & their companies are leading the charge in a new ‘space race’….
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…with VCs (in the US at least) following their lead, investing in emerging category leaders
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Space tech market attracted 2x as much money in 2015 as in past 3 years combined
• Founders Fund
• Khosla Ventures
• Bessemer Venture Partners
• Sequoia
• Y Combinator
• DFJ
World’s first venture fund to focus on space at a time of radical changes within the sector
• £83m fund - £50m first close end of Oct’16 (fingers crossed…)
• Focus on fusion of terrestrial tech with space applications
• New Space, A.I., robotics, nanotechnology (and more)
• Backed by leading space companies & ESA
• Target IP-led businesses & spin-outs from space corporates
• CTO of Google Earth & Google Maps joining Seraphim team
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• Space enabling tech opportunities
• AI, robotics, drones, nanomaterials,
• Software opportunities
• Navigation, satellite imagery, comms
• Hardware opportunities
• Nanosats, space energy, launch vehicles
Investing in tech already addressing, originally derived from or of potential benefit to space
Fund will focus on investment opportunities that are IP-led, software-centric, or the ‘spades and shovels’ businesses
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Deal flow is already covering a broad array of areas, with earth observation the #1 area
Earth Observation• Video• Data analytics• Agritech• Insurance• Resources
Cubesats• Earth Observation• Satcoms / IoT• Plane tracking
Launch Vehicles• Micro sats• Space tourism
Robotics / Automation• Drones / UAVs• 3D printing
Exploration• Microgravity research• Asteroid Mining
Consumer• 3D mapping• Geodata / LBS
Hardware• Propulsion• Deployable structures• Life extension
New Materials• Composites• Coatings• Energy storage• Energy harvesting
Satcoms• Marine• IoT• Mobile
Size = indicative volume of deal flow
Key
The European venture market is developing rapidly, with London / UK the dominant force
Europe’s start-up ecosystem has come along way…
• 47 EU unicorns ($1bn+ valuations)
• EU unicorns far more capital-efficient than US
• US unicorns raise 2x capital, 5x more venture funding
• EU produces 2x STEM grads than US
UK dominates EU VC Market…
• #1 venture market >35% total market
• #1 unicorns (18/47 in EU)
• c.3x growth in VC funding since ‘11
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London is a thriving tech hub…
• 4 of the world’s top universities
• 60+ Incubators, accelerators and tech hubs
• London >2k business angels (>5x #2 EU hub)
• London 72k s/w developers c/w 83k San Fran
• San Fran = 1.5x higher salaries c/w London
Harwell is Europe’s leading space cluster
• 4,500 researchers, engineers, innovators
• 150+ high tech space companies
• 1 / 14 ESA incubators
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Artificial Intelligence Robotics Nanomaterials New Space Earth Observation
www.seraphimcapital.co.uk
Thank You!