investing fundamentals: asset allocation and tax … · 2 . agenda: part ii . types of investment...
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Professional Development Course
Investing Fundamentals: Asset Allocation and Tax Strategy
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DISCLAIMER
This course material deals with complex matters and may not apply to particular facts and circumstances. As well, the course material and references contained therein reflect laws and practices which are subject to change. For these reasons, the course material should not be relied upon as a substitute for specialized professional advice in connection with any particular matter.
Although the course material has been carefully prepared, neither the Chartered Professional Accountants of British Columbia, the course author and/or firm, nor any persons involved in the preparation and/or instruction of the material accepts legal responsibility for its contents or for any consequence arising from its use.
January 2018
1
Member-Canadian Investor Protection Fund
ODLUMBROWN.COM
Welcome CPABC Chadwick Walker | Investment Advisor, Odlum Brown Limited
Michael Erez | Director, Odlum Brown Financial Services Limited
Investing for Generations
Investment Fundamentals
Building a Portfolio
Approach and Examples
Agenda: Part I
2
Agenda: Part II
Types of Investment Accounts
Asset Location
Tax Tips
You are probably wondering…
=
Chadwick D. Walker, BSc, BEd, CIM®
Associate Portfolio Manager, Investment Advisor
Direct: 604 844 5433 [email protected]
3
Limitless
Financially Challenged
Priorities
4
Amplified Focus
Excited to be of service.
Investing (n-vsting)
Assets - Liabilities
5
Car
Debt
Shopping
Kids
Vacations Charity
Savings Account
0%
5%
10%
15%
May-89 May-99 May-09
Source: Statistics Canada
Investments
Property
Annuity
Bonds Start Business
Equities
6
The Power of Compounding
Year 1
Interest
Year 2
Interest
7
Year 1 Year 20 Year 40 Year 60
Currency Risk
$4.00 USD $5.00 CDN
Purchasing Power Parity
8
2016 2017
$10.00
↑5%
$10.50
Inflation
1950 2050
NOW
↑ Money Supply
9
Help Wanted!
Canadian Inflation
12.5%
2%
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%
1967 1977 1987 1997 2007
Source: Statistics Canada
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1967 1977 1987 1997 2007 2017
Core InflationBank of Canada
Source: Statistics Canada
10
Current Lifestyle: $50,000.00
+ Inflation (2% in 30 years)
Future Lifestyle: $90,000.00
What about mortgages?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012
Conventional 5 year mortgage rate
Overnight Bank Rate
Source: Bank of Canada
11
When should I start?
One Diamond
Equals One Year
Average Human Lifetime
12
Average Human Lifetime Each row is one decade Birth
30th Birthday
60th Birthday
Turning 90
Investment Horizons Each row is one decade Birth
25
65
40-year time horizon
Financial Independence Each row is one decade Birth
65
100?
35-year time horizon
13
Price - $50k/year
Retirement Lifestyle Costs
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105
Invest $10k per year from 25-65
5% Net Growth Withdraw $50k/year starting at age 65
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105
5% Net Growth Withdraw $50k/year starting at age 65
Invest $10k per year from 35-65
14
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105
5% Net Growth Withdraw $50k/year starting at age 65
Investing for Generations
Maximize Gains
Risk
15
Other Considerations
Inflation
Fees
Taxes
Debt
Income
Savings
Risk Tolerance
Fit?
16
Modern Portfolio Theory
Security A: Expected Return = 12%, Standard Deviation = 20%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Security B: Expected Return = 20%, Standard Deviation = 40%
Risk
Return
Standard Deviation vs. Expected Return
17
Optimizing Risk and Return
Portfolio A % B % Return Standard Deviation
1 1 0 12% 20%
2 0.9 0.1 13% 18%
3 0.76 0.24 14% 16%
4 0.5 0.5 16% 20%
5 0.25 0.75 18% 29%
6 0 1 20% 40% 0%
10%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Portfolio Combinations Return
Risk
Are humans perfectly rational?
Asset Allocation
18
BONDS 4% 10%
$32,000 $20,000
$800,000 ROI ~5% EQUITIES
$200,000
BONDS 4% 10%
$20,000 $50,000
$500,000 ROI 7% EQUITIES
$500,000
BONDS 4% 10%
$8,000 $90,000
$200,000 ROI ~9% EQUITIES
$800,000
19
More Specific
Shopping for Bonds
2-Year Government Bond %
0.51%
0
5
10
15
Jan-83 Jan-93 Jan-03 Jan-13
Source: Bank of Canada
20
10-Year Government Bond %
1.73%
0
5
10
15
Jan-83 Jan-93 Jan-03 Jan-13Source: Bank of Canada
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Sep-07 Sep-10 Sep-13 Sep-16
High Yield
4.39%
Source: Bank of Canada
Bond Ladder
21
5 Years
2019 Bond @ 1%
2020 Bond @ 2%
2021 Bond @ 3%
2022 Bond @ 4%
2023 Bond @ 5%
$$$$$$ Maturity
2020 Bond @ 2%
2021 Bond @ 3%
2022 Bond @ 4%
2023 Bond @ 5%
$$$$$$ - 2024 Bond @6%, ??
2020 Bond @ 2%
2021 Bond @ 3%
2022 Bond @ 4%
2023 Bond @ 5%
22
After Tax Return Fixed Income $10,000 4% = $400
*Inflation 2% = -$200
*Taxes on $400 *50% = -$200
*Advisory Fees 0.5% = -$50
NET Total = $-50 *Estimated Costs
Why do we need fixed income?
Return of Capital
Oppositely correlated to the markets
Downside protection
Interest income
Equities
Shopping for Equities
23
Index Composition • Index of 6 companies for an exchange
that has 11 companies trading
50
20
20
5
3 1
• Index of 6 companies
• Bigger Company = Bigger Weight
50
20
20
5
3 1
Index Composition
Global Choices
24
Canada S&P/TSX Index
6.4%* Sector Weighting Financials
Real Estate
Materials
Energy
Industrials
Consumer Discretionary
Info Tech
Consumer Staples
Telecom Services
Utilities
Health Care
*annualized over 15 years.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Jan-80 Jan-90 Jan-00 Jan-10
Source: Market-Q
USA S&P 500 Index
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1-Jan-80 1-Jan-90 1-Jan-00 1-Jan-10
7.8%*
14.8 2.9
3
5.8
10.1
12.2 24.1
8.2
2
3 13.9
Sector Weighting (%)
Financials
Real Estate
Materials
Energy
Industrials
Consumer Discretionary
Info Tech
Consumer Staples
Telecom Services
Utilities
Health Care
*annualized over 15 years.
Source: Market-Q
Build it
Build a portfolio like an orchestra
25
Build it Financials Real Estate Materials Energy Industrials Consumer Discretionary Info Tech Consumer Staples Telecom Services Utilities Health Care
Odlum Brown Model Portfolio
The Odlum Brown Model Portfolio was established by the Research Department in December 1994, with a hypothetical investment of $250,000. These are gross figures before fees. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Trades are made using the closing price on the day a change is announced. Data as of Dec. 15, 2017.
After Tax Return Equities*
$10,000 Invested 11% = $1100 Inflation 2% = -$200 Tax on $550 (1/2 gain) 50% = -$225 Advisory Fees 2% = -$200
NET Total = $475 *Estimated costs.
26
BONDS
EQUITIES
TOTAL RETURN
Research Approach
27
High-Quality Companies
28
Putting all the companies together
January 8, 2018 | 83
1
2
3
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Symphony of Returns Symphony of Returns
7x
9x
26x
1 As of December 15, 2017. The Odlum Brown Model Portfolio was established on December 15, 1994 with a hypothetical investment of $250,000. Performance figures do not include any allowance for fees. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Trades are made using the closing price on the day a change is announced. 2 S&P 500 Total Return Index in Canadian dollar terms. 3 S&P/TSX Total Return Index.
1
2
3
$250,000
Personal Risk
Time Horizon
Future Goals & Values
Assets to own
Recap
29
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1
Member-Canadian Investor Protection Fund
ODLUMBROWN.COM
Location, Location, Location!Michael Erez, CPA, CGA, CFP
Director, Odlum Brown Financial Services Limited
Where should your investments go?
$
$
Which investments will optimize tax efficiency?
Which investments to hold in which accounts to optimize tax efficiency?
2
What is Financial Planning?
A framework for decision‐making
Risk Management
Tax Planning
Asset Management
Retirement Planning
Estate Planning
Age 45
Goals
Retire in 15 years
Pay off mortgage by retirement
Help fund kids’ post‐secondary education
Meet Dave & Lisa
Dave & Lisa want to know…How to allocate $45K this year
Invest or pay‐down mortgage?
Which accounts?(RRSP, TFSA, RESP etc.)
Which investments in which accounts?
Spousal RRSP?
What should Lisa do with her locked‐in RRSP?
Hold assets in joint name?
1 4
2 5
3 6
When should they convert their RRSPs to RRIFs? 7
3
INVESTMENTACCOUNTS
Types & Features
FRAMEWORK
How to Allocate Funds
FRAMEWORK
Where to Put Investments
PLANNING TIPS
By Account
Asset Location
Investment Account Types
Non‐Registered(Taxable)
Registered
LIRA
LIF
LRIF
RDSP
TFSA
Estate
Joint
Corporate
RESP
Contributions Non‐registered RRSP/RRIF TFSA
Maximum age ‐ Age 71* No limit
Annual limit (2018) Unlimited $26,230 $5,500
Cumulative limit (2018) ‐ ‐ $57,500
Carry forward room ‐ Yes Yes
Withdrawals added to contribution room
‐ No Yes(Following year)
Penalty on excess ‐ 1% per month 1% per month
Non‐Reg Accounts vs. RRSP & TFSA
4
Taxation Non‐registered RRSP/RRIF TFSA
Contributions ‐ Deductible ‐
Income & growth TaxableDeferred until withdrawn
Tax‐freeExcept: foreign withholding tax
WithdrawalsOnly if disposition triggers capital gain Fully taxable Tax‐free
Upon death Capital gain/lossExcept: spousal rollover
Fully taxableExcept:
spousal rollover Tax‐free
Non‐Reg Accounts vs. RRSP & TFSA
INVESTMENTACCOUNTS
Types & Features
FRAMEWORK
How to Allocate Funds
FRAMEWORK
Where to Put Investments
PLANNING TIPS
By Account
Asset Location
$570K invested
$700K mortgage
Have $45K to allocate this year
Dave & Lisa
5
Start with goals: What’s most important to you?
What are the easy wins?
Framework for allocating funds
RRSP vs. TFSA vs. non‐registered?
Retirement accounts vs. RESP?
Mortgage vs. investments?
Mortgage vs. Investments
Rates on mortgage vs. investments(Mortgage rate is after‐tax)
When do you want to be debt‐free?
Mortgage vs. Investments
What keeps you up at night?
6
Mortgage vs. Investments
Pay down mortgage
in 15 years
Extra payment of $10K/year required
Caution—build in future rate increases!
19.5 years
RESP
Do you want to fund kids’ entire education OR just help out? How much do you currently have saved?How much grant (CESG) room is available?
$2,500 Contribution $500 CESG (up to $50,000) (up to $7,200)
RRSP vs. TFSA:Marginal tax rates – Now vs. Retirement
Now > Retirement RRSP
Now = Retirement RRSP = TFSA
Retirement > Now TFSA
Both, if possible
7
Example:
Smaller balanceLess risk of withdrawing @ higher rate
Longer retirement More time to ‘income smooth’
RRSP
RRSP vs. TFSA:Account Balance & Length of Retirement
Tax & additional information Dave Lisa
Income $250,000 $70,000
Marginal tax rate (MTR) 49.8% 28.2%
RRSP Room $40,000 $64,000
TFSA Room $15,000 $15,000
Lower ratein retirement = RRSP
Investments Dave Lisa Total
RRSP $330,000 $90,000 $420,000
Locked‐RRSP ‐ 30,000 30,000
TFSA 45,000 45,000 90,000
Non‐registered 30,000 ‐ 30,000
Personal investments $405,000 $165,000 $570,000
*Excludes RESP
Current Investment Balances
8
Investments Dave Lisa Total
RRSP $330,000 $120,000 $450,000
Locked‐RRSP ‐ 30,000 30,000
TFSA 45,000 45,000 90,000
Non‐registered 30,000 ‐ 30,000
Personal investments $405,000 $195,000 $600,000
After Spousal RRSP Contribution
Retiring before 65:Spousal RRSP Contribution
Dave claims the deduction
Fund Allocation Summary
$30K
$5K
Based on Dave and Lisa’s goals
Run a financial projection:Is desired retirement spending sustainable?
Pay off mortgage by retirement
Help fund kids’ education with RESP
Retire in 15 years (RRSP)$30K
$5K
$10K
FRAMEWORK
How to Allocate Funds
FRAMEWORK
Where to Put Investments
Asset Location
Tax Treatment of
Investment Income
9
Investment Income Comparison
Interest income
Foreign dividends
Eligible dividends
Capital gains
Non‐registered(taxable) accounts
Tax Treatment
Interest income
Foreign income
Eligible dividends
Capital gains
Fully taxable @ marginal rates
Tax Treatment
Interest income
Foreign income
Eligible dividends
Capital gains
+Foreign
withholding tax‐
Foreign tax credit(?)
Fully taxable @ marginal rates
10
Rates vary based on tax treaty.
Foreign Withholding Tax Rate
15% most accounts (i.e. Non‐reg, TFSA, RESP, RDSP)
0% all accounts
35% all accounts
Exception0% on RRSP/RRIF/Locked
Tax Treatment
Interest income
Foreign dividends
Eligible dividends
Capital gains
Grossed‐up amount taxable @ marginal rates
Enhanced DTC
Top effective rate = 34.2%(vs. 49.8%)
Tax Treatment
Interest income
Foreign dividends
Eligible dividends
Capital gains
50% taxable @ marginal rates
Top effective rate = 24.9%(vs. 49.8%)
11
Tax Rates & After‐Tax Yields
Exam
ple
Interest & Foreign Income
Eligible Dividends
CapitalGains
Top marginal tax rate 49.8% 34.2% 24.9%
Pre‐tax amount to provide $10,000 after‐tax
$19,920 $15,198 $13,316
Tax Rates & After‐Tax Yields
Exam
ple
Take‐home message:
Don’t need to earn as much in capital gains or eligible dividends to get the same after‐tax return on interest or foreign income.
But...
Don’t let the tax tail wag the investment dog!
INVESTMENTACCOUNTS
Types & Features
FRAMEWORK
How to Allocate Funds
FRAMEWORK
Where to Put Investments
PLANNING TIPS
By Account
Asset Location
12
PutInvestments that pay
IntoThese accounts
Interest & foreign income‐Fully taxable
Registered accounts (RRSP/RRIF)‐Withdrawals fully taxable‐Character of income is not retained
Eligible dividends & capital gains‐At lower marginal effective tax rate
Non‐registered accounts‐Character is retained
Large capital gains(High‐growth equity)
TFSA‐Tax‐free
Traditional Rules of Thumb
No one‐size‐fits‐all
General Guidelines Only
Complexity varies w/: • # of accounts • investment type
Real life is messy
Optimal location considerations
1.Tax rate
2.Time
horizon
3.Liquidity
4.Turnover
All interconnected
13
Marginal Tax Rate (MTR)Rate of tax you pay on an additional dollar of income
Marginal Effective Tax Rate (METR)MTR + impact of tax deductions, credits & income‐tested benefits
Tax Rate
ExampleOAS Clawback: $0.15 per $1 of net income >$75K (upto $122K)
Impact on current & future tax rates
Tax Rate
More sensitive to highly taxable investments in taxable accounts(i.e. bonds, foreign dividend‐paying stocks)
Higher Current METR
Lower‐income vs.Higher‐income years
Assess impact of each type of income/gain on METREligible dividends vs. capital gains
< $110K >
Taxable IncomeInterest,
Foreign DivCapitalGains
Eligible Dividends
$40,000 22.7% 11.4% (3.2%)
$60,000 28.2% 14.1% 4.4%
$80,000 31.0% 15.5% 8.3%
$100,000 38.3% 19.2% 18.3%
$110,630 40.7% 20.5% 21.6%
$150,000 45.8% 22.9% 28.7%
$205,000 49.8% 24.9% 34.2%
Combined Federal & BC MTR (2018)
<
>
14
Time Horizon
Accumulation
Withdrawal
Asset allocation & location
How much cash do you need & when do you need it?
If in the short‐term…
• TFSA: No tax, but using up scarce room
• RRSP: Taxable withdrawal Consider if retired or in lower tax bracket
• Non‐reg: No tax on withdrawalsConsider unrealized gains
Liquidity
A measure of how often assets are bought & sold
Higher turnoverMore frequent taxable capital gains
Tax drag (Lower compounded returns)
For securities with expected capital appreciation:
• Buy & hold: Non‐registered account is suitable• Active trader: Tax sheltered account (RRSP/TFSA) preferred
Turnover
15
Dave & Lisa’s Accounts
RRSPs (incl. $30K contribution)TFSAsNon‐registered (Dave’s name)
$480,00090,00030,000
Total $600,000
*RESP excluded
Dave & Lisa’s Investments
CashFixed income
High growth equityDividend‐paying stock:• CDN• Foreign (incl. US)
2.5%
37.5%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
$ 15,000225,000
120,000
120,000120,000
Total $600,000
Investments ($000’s) TFSA Non‐reg RRSP Total
Cash 15
Fixed Income 225
High Growth Equity 120
Dividend Paying Equity‐Canadian 120
‐Foreign (U.S.) 120
Total $90 $30 $480 $600
Dave & Lisa
16
What If . . .
. . . at high rates. . . at high rates
Ongoing taxable capital gainsOngoing taxable capital gains
High turnover in non‐registered account
High turnover in non‐registered account
Dave wasn’t a buy‐and‐hold investor?
RRSP > Non‐registered
Taxable income RRIFEligible
Dividends
$40,000 22.7% (3.2%)
$60,000 28.2% 4.4%
$80,000 31.0% 8.3%
$100,000 38.3% 18.3%
$150,000 45.8% 28.7%
$205,000 49.8% 34.2%
Combined Federal & BC MTR (2018)
What If . . .
Likely < MTR
on future RRIF withdrawals
Likely < MTR
on future RRIF withdrawals
Current MTRon dividendsCurrent MTRon dividends
Dave was in Lisa’s tax bracket ($70K)?
Non‐registered > RRSP
17
Taxable income RRIFEligible
Dividends
$40,000 22.7% (3.2%)
$60,000 28.2% 4.4%
$80,000 31.0% 8.3%
$100,000 38.3% 18.3%
$150,000 45.8% 28.7%
$205,000 49.8% 34.2%
Combined Fed & BC MTR (2018)
Investments ($000’s) TFSA Non‐reg RRSP Total
Cash 10 5 15
Fixed Income 225 225
High Growth Equity 90 20 10 120
Dividend Paying Equity‐Canadian 120 120
‐Foreign (U.S.) 120 120
Total $90 $30 $480 $600
Dave & Lisa Tax Rate
Capital gains inclusion rate increases to 75%?
Interest rates go up?
Dave & Lisa take a year off?
They are now 70 and retired?
They want to help their kids with a down payment?
What If . . .
Tax Rate Time Horizon TurnoverLiquidity
18
INVESTMENTACCOUNTS
Types & Features
FRAMEWORK
How to Allocate Funds
FRAMEWORK
Where to Put Investments
PLANNING TIPS
By Account
Asset Location
Planning Areas Objectives
Income Tax
Estate
Minimize and defer tax Accumulation, retirement and death
Avoid probate Process and fee
Planning Tips (By Account)
• Joint account(s) with spouse
• Impact on income taxation?• No. Don’t forget about attribution!
• Right of survivorship Avoid probate
• Can have multiple joint accounts
Non‐Registered
Dave and Lisa?
19
• Higher‐earning spouse should maximize contributions first
• Regardless of whether contributing to personal or spousal RRSP• Deduction at higher marginal rate = more savings
RRSP
Dave and Lisa?
Pension income splitting for RRIF (& LIF) income: Age 65+
• If considering early retirement (< age 65):Balance both spouses’ RRSPs for future income splitting
RRSP / RRIF
Dave and Lisa?
Withdrawals from Spousal RRSP attributed to contributor to the extent made in:• The year of spousal contribution• 2 years after
Exception: No attribution on RRIF minimums
Spousal RRSP
20
• No change in investments required
• Conversion must be done by age 71 (Dec 31st)
• Possible at any younger age
• Under age 71: Does NOT have to be all or none!
• Mandatory annual minimum withdrawals (next slide)
RRSP RRIF (Conversion)
Age* (%)
60 3.33
65 4.00
70 5.00
71 5.28
75 5.82
80 6.82
85 8.51
90 11.92
95+ 20.00
RRIF Withdrawal Minimums
Min = [RRIF balance x %]
Example at age 71:$100,000 x 5.28% = $5,280
*As of January 1.
• Consider conversion @ age 65 (full or partial)• If already retired & spouse has lower taxable income• RRIF income ≥ age 65: Pension income splitting & tax credit
• Base RRIF on younger spouse’s age • Lower RRIF minimum withdrawals (see table)• More flexibility & control over taxable income/OAS clawback
RRSP RRIF (Conversion)
21
Refresher
• Originate from Defined Contribution (DC) pension plans
• Cannot withdraw from a LIRA • Must first convert to a LIF or LRIF
• Have minimum AND maximum withdrawal limits
Locked‐in RRSPs (LIRA, LIF, LRIF)
• Once income is needed, consider withdrawing maximum
• Tax impact at you METR?
• Use older spouse’s age when converting to a LIF, LRIF
• Establish higher minimum and maximum withdrawal amounts
Locked‐in RRSPs (LIRA, LIF, LRIF)
Dave and Lisa?
• Maximize contributions as long as possible
• Even during retirement (current tax savings + estate preservation)• Can contribute ‘in‐kind’ (gains triggered/losses denied) • Contribution room is cumulative & includes withdrawals
• No attribution on withdrawals (unlike RRSPs)• Fund TFSAs for spouse and adult children
TFSA
22
INVESTMENTACCOUNTS
Types & Features
FRAMEWORK
How to Allocate Funds
FRAMEWORK
Where to Put Investments
PLANNING TIPS
By Account
Asset Location
Dave & Lisa want to know…How to allocate $45K this year
Invest or pay‐down mortgage?
Which accounts?(RRSP, RESP, TFSA, etc.)
Which investments in which accounts?
Spousal RRSP?
What should Lisa do with her locked‐in RRSP?
Hold assets jointly?
1 4
2 5
3 6
When should they convert their RRSPs to RRIFs? 7
“Know what you own and why you own it.”
Peter Lynch
… and where you own it!
23
Questions?The information contained herein is for general information purposes only and is not intended to provide financial, legal, accountingor tax advice and should not be relied upon in that regard. Many factors unknown to Odlum Brown Limited may affect theapplicability of any matter discussed herein to your particular circumstances. You should consult directly with your financial advisorbefore acting on any matter discussed herein. Individual situations may vary.
Thank you!