Introduction to the presentation• Objective:

To provide a framework to analyse yourforesight exercise and compare it to possible foresight methods.

• ConceptA foresight exercise can be characterized by specific indicators and this profile can be compared with the profiles of foresight methods. Two main categories are used: The objectives of the foresight and the context in which the foresight takes place. Indicators are used for further specification.

• PresentationThis presentation includes the profiles of several foresight methods and a template to create the profile of your foresight exercise (slide 4). In slides 2 and three, the indicators used are discussed.

Foresight methods included

Technology roadmapping

Essays

Backcasting

Consultation

Delphi survey

Scenario analysis

Panel discussions

Desk research

Objectives

Dimension DescriptionObjects Science & Technology (SNT) The extent view on main scientific and technological developments are the objective

Institutional aspects The extent the institutional dimensions are perceived important objectives

Social-economic aspects The extent social and economic aspects are percieved important objectives

Content Level of Specificity The level of specificity about the object of foresight needed as input in the policy process

Level of Analysis The level of strategic analysis needed as input in the policy process

Level of Normativity The level of normative values by which policy is driven and a desired future is already set.

Time Horizon Time horizons of the policy central to the exercise

Process Development of Support The importance of development of policy support among the main stakeholders?

Network development How important is the development of new interactions and networks?

Role in Policy process How will the results be used in the policy process? Information, Strategic intelligence, Decision making

Context

Dimension Description Stakeholders Management

involvementThe level of management involved in the policy processes (and will be in the foresight exercise).

Level of expertise The level of expertise involved in the policy processes (and will be involved in the foresight exercise).

Commitment of Stakeholders

The extent involvement of external actors/stakeholders is required.

Geographical Distribution

The geographical distribution of the stakeholders.

Resources Involvement of External Actors

The extent external actors/stakeholders are able/ willing to invest time in the foresight exercise.

Internal Human Resources

The amount of internal human resources available for the foresight exercise.

Budget The available budget for the foresight exercise.

Time Scheme The time available for the foresight exercise.

Specificity

Analysis

Socio-economic

Institutional

SNT

Function

Network

Support

Normative

Time horizon

Budget

Expertise

Management

Internal HR

Distribution

Usergroup

Time

External HR

Own foresight exercise

1. Activate the shaded areas by clicking on them

2. Go in editing mode by right mouse click and select [edit points]

3. Change the area by dragging a point to the specific level

4. Copy the shaded area by ctrl-c

5. Go to the relevant Spider diagram and paste (ctrl-v)

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Technology roadmapping

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