internal scan india-pb
TRANSCRIPT
7/28/2019 Internal Scan India-PB
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GEO
SPATIAL GEO
MATERIAL
GEO
DEMOGRAPHIC
ECONOMY
MILITARY
ENERGY
TECHNOLOGY
POLITICAL
SOCIAL
POLITICAL
PSYCHOLOGICAL
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3214 KM
2993 KM
8° 4’ N
37° 6’ N
68° 7’ E
97° 25’ E
• HIMALAYAS IN NORTH• INDIAN OCEAN IN SOUTH• ARABIAN SEA TO THE WEST• BAY OF BENGAL TO EAST
BOUNDED BY
• A SUBCONTINENT• NATURAL LAND AND OCEAN
BARRIERS• ALSO A VULNERABILITY
UNIQUE LOC INEURASIA
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- 32,87,263 sq km
- 15200 km land
frontier - 7,517 km coastline
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Ability to control the Indian Ocean
SLOCs. About 90% of the world trade
passes through the Indian Ocean
Vast maritime, economic and energyresources.
STRATEGIC LOC
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NEIGHBOURS
PAKISTAN
• LC• SIR
CREEK• SIACHEN
CHINA
• AKSAI CHIN• ARUNACHAL• SIKKIM
BANGLADESH
• ENCLAVES• UNDEMARCATED
BORDER
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• India occupies 2.4% of world’s land area, supportsover 17.5% of world’s population
• India has more arable landarea than any countryexcept United States
Arable land - 48.83%.
Irrigated land - 20%(622,860 sq km)
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NATURAL RESOURCES
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ENERGY RESOURCES
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ENERGY NEEDS
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TOTAL POPULATION -1,210,193,422
GROWTH RATE -1.41%
LIFE EXPECTANCY –
69.2 YRS
GEODEMOGRAPHY
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Linguistic Break up
Religious Break up
DEMOGRAPHY
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DEMOGRAPHY
YOUTH BULGE
• Quarter of the projected increase in the
global population aged 15 –64 years between2010 and 2040 will occur in India
• In 2020, the average Indian will be only 29years old
LOW BIRTH RATES
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STRENGTHS
• STRATEGIC LOC• CONTROL OF SLOC• NATURAL BARRIERS• RICH IN FERROUS AND
NON FERROUS MINERALS• LARGE ARABLE LAND• FAVOURABLE BULGE IN
POPULATION – DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND
• VAST MARITIMERESOURCES
WEAKNESSES
• VULNERABILITY OFFRONTIERS ESPECIALLY
COASTLINE• LACK OF ENERGY
RESOURCES• MONSOON
DEPENDENCY• LOW HDI• BORDER DISPUTES
WITH NEIGHBOURS
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11TH LARGEST(NOMINAL)/
3RD(PPP)
GDP – $1.676TRILLION
GROWTHRATE – 4.9 %
(0CT 12)
UNEMP – 9.8%EXPORTS –
$299.4 BN
IMPORTS –
$461.4 BN
FOREX RES – $288.92 BN
GROSSEXTERNAL
DEBT - $ 289.7BN
ECONOMY
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INDUSTRY
28% OF GDP
LIBERALISED FDI
POORINFRASTRUCTURE
TRADE
49% SHARE INECONOMY
20 TH RANK IN
WORLD TRADE
GROWING TRADEDEFICIT
AGRICULTURALSECTOR
52% WORKFORCE,ONLY 16% OF GDP
OUTPUT / UNITAREA IS 50% OF
AVERAGE WORLDYIELD
LARGE SUBSIDIES
SERVICESSECTOR
STRONGESTPERFORMER
34% WORKFORCE,
55% OF GDP
OVERALL HIGHGROWTH IN SUB
SECTORS
ECONOMY
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STRENGTHS
• STRONG ANDVIBRANT
• CONSISTENT HIGHGROWTH
•
SERVICES SECTOR• DOMESTIC
CONSUMPTION• HUGE MARKET• FDI
WEAKNESSES
• MANUFACTURINGSECTOR
• INCLUSIVE GROWTH• SUBSIDIES•
FISCAL DEFICIT• TRADE DEFICIT
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• Maintains third-largest military force with roughly1.32 million active standing army and about 2.14million reserve forces.
• Indian defence budget US$38 billion during FY2012-13, at about 1.9% of GDP, with additional spending oninfrastructure in border areas and for paramilitaryorganizations
• Military expenditure ranks tenth in world
MILITARY
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THIRD LARGEST STANDING ARMY
• RICH COMBAT EXPERIENCE• HIGH INVOLVMENT IN IS DUTIES• MODERNIZATION UNDERWAY BUT PACE IS SLOW
WORLD'S FIFTH LARGEST NAVY
• TWO AIRCRAFT CARRIERS UNDER INDUCTION• CURRENTLY OPERATES AROUND 170 SHIPS• EXPANDING ITS INFLUENCE IN IOR
FOURTH LARGEST AIR FORCE IN WORLD.
• ONLY 35 SQNS AGAINST AUTH OF 42• RAPID MODERNIZATION• INDIGENOUS CAPABILITIES
MILITARY
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NUCLEAR TRIAD
ADVANCED MSL TECHNOLOGY
CREDIBLE MINIMUM DETERRENCE
NO FIRST USE
NUCLEAR CAPABILITY
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EDUCATION
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EDUCATION
25% IndiansIlliterate
Only 15%reach highschool
Just 7%graduate
25%teachingpositions
vacant
57% College
professorslack
qualifications
EDUCATION
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ElementaryEducation
Child labour, infra,teacher absenteeism, high
dropout rate…
Right toEducation Act,
2009
SARVA SIKSHAABHIYAN
Higher Education
Lack of growthof institutes with
faculty andinfrastructure
Gross
Enrolment Ratioabout half of world’s average
China has shotpast by 10%
Educatio
n –
Means
Geo-Demogra
phy -Base
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India Census 2011 - Literacy Rateof Population in Percent(%)
Sr.No.
State/UnionTerritory
LiteracyRate
0 INDIA 74.04
1 Kerala 93.91
2 Lakshadweep 92.28
3 Mizoram 91.58
4 Tripura 87.75
5 Goa 87.40
31 Andhra Pradesh 67.66
32 Jharkhand 67.63
33 Rajasthan 67.06
34 Arunachal Pradesh 66.95
35 Bihar 63.82
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“Governance is the weakest link in our
quest for prosperity and equity”
- Second Administrative Reforms Commission
LEGISLATURE
PARLIAMENTARYDEMOCRACY –
SECULAR & STABLE
COALITION POLITICS
FREE AND FAIRELECTIONS
CONSTITUTIONALBODIES
EXECUTIVE
COLONIAL
LEGACY
LACK OFACCOUNTABILITY
RAMPANTCORRUPTION
JUDICIARY
INDEPENDENT ANDEFFECTIVE
HIGHER JUDICIALSYSTEM FUNCTIONSWELL
LOWER JUDICIARY – SLOW AND HUGE
BACKLOGS
POLITICAL SYSTEM
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SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
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TRAINEDMANPOWER
ONE OF THELARGEST IN
THE WORLD
VAST ENGLISHSPEAKING
POPULATION
TECHNICALLYCOMPETENT
ENTREPRENEURS
INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY
CONTRIBUTES5.19% OF GDP
CORECOMPETENCY
FOR INDIA
LACKING INHARDWARE
TECH
SPACE TECH
GEARED TOWARDS
NATIONALDEVELOPMENT
PSLV ANDGSLV
CAPABILITY
OTHER TECH
AUTOMOBILE
ANCILLARIES
MOLECULARMEDICINE AND
BIOTECH
NUCLEARTECH
TECHNOLOGY
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FREE AND FAIR MEDIA
INTERNET AND SOCIAL NETWORKING
TENDENCY TO SENSATIONALISE
VERNACULAR MEDIA – DOUBLE EDGED
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STRENGTHS
• A strong and vibrant economy.
• Strong services sector and IT industry.
• Sustained high growth rates
• A strong and apolitical military.
• Nuclear capability and advanced missile
technology.
• Functional and secular democracy.
• Functional and independent higher judiciary
• Space, medicine, IT, nuclear research,
biotechnology and other basic sciences
• Technical and skilled human resource
• Free and fair media
WEAKNESSES
• Rising inflation• Subsidies draining the economy.• Energy demand – supply ratio poor • Distribution of wealth & regional
disparity• Slow pace of infrastructure
development• Heavily dependent on imports for
defence acquisitions• Coalition politics• Rampant corruption• The quality of education is significantly
poor as compared with major developing nations.
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CAPACITY
POLITICO-
SOCIAL
RELIGION, ETHNICITY &CASTE DIVERSITY
COMMUNALISM –ATHREAT
ECONOMIC DISPARITY
GENDER EQUALITY
PSYCHOLOGICAL
CULTURE AND VALUESYSTEM
SOFT POWER
INDIAN ENTERPRISE &INNOVATIVENESS
SPIRITUALITY
CAPACITY
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34
SOME UNIQUE INDIAN VALUES
Tolerance
Contentment
Purity
Search for
knowledge &
wisdom
Adherence to duty
Poetry, Written
Classics & EpicTreatises (viz Gita,TenCommandments)
Also get enshrinedin writtenconstitution
India’s core values are democracy, secularismand peaceful co-existence
Indian Soft Power
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Indian Soft Power