integrated infrastructure for sustainable cities (create-iisc) · the create-iisc would benefit by...
TRANSCRIPT
Integrated Infrastructure for Sustainable Cities
(CREATE-IISC)
September 4-5, 2018 Workshop
Vision / Concept behind the CREATE-IISC
David Layzell, CESAR
PERSONAL MOBILITYFREIGHT TRANSPORT BUILT SPACES
WASTE MGMTCLIMATE CHANGE
Cities (& their residents) have sustainability problems…
…that need to be addressed
AccidentsCongestion High LDV cost
($13+K/family)
Parking
Public Transit Costs
Truck Driver Shortage
Low Load Factors
Underutilized Assets
GHGsAir pollution
Urban sprawlInefficient buildings
Home prices
MSW
Low LDV use4% of time
Biodiversity
Crime
Isolation & depression
FloodsDrought
ObesitySummer Electricity Demand
GHGsBiosolids
Brownfield sites
Severe weather
Grid Greening
Toxins
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS MODEL POLICY SOCIALDISR
UPTIVE
INNO
VATIONS
Autonomous VehiclesCar sharing
Battery Technologies Hydrogen Fuel Cells
Big DataSensor Technologies
Carbon Pricing
Regulations
Incentives
Generational changes
Cultural Shifts
Behavioural ‘norms’
Mobility-as-a-Service
Modular or 3D printing of buildings
Physical Internet DronesRobotics
Google Sidewalk LabsInternet of things
Vegetarianism
Solar PVmicrogrids
Prosumers
How disruptive innovations are deployed will determine whether the problems:
Ø Will be addressed,
Ø Made worse, or
Ø Generate new, more challenging problems.
The ‘devil’ is in the details…EXAMPLE:
Autonomous, personally-owned vehicles
Autonomous, connected shared, electric vehicles in MaaS business model (with good policy)
- Accidents+ Urban sprawl+ Congestion+ Air pollution+ GHG Emissions+ Cost
- Accidents- Parking demand- Urban sprawl- Congestion- Air pollution- GHG Emissions- Cost+ Job losses
PROJECTED IMPACTS:
Decision makers in government & industry would benefit an understanding of:
1. How best to respond to / prepare for disruptive forces;
Examples:• Adaptation to climate change impacts• Unwanted technology, business model,
policy or social innovations
2. How to ‘Direct Disruption’ to achieve societal objectives.
Examples:• Reduce GHG emissions & air pollution• Improve health outcomes• Promote economic prosperity• Enhance quality of life• Maintain / improve urban infrastructure &
services
What is the role for the ‘Academy’/ CREATE-IISC?
A. Understand and assess existing systems, including strengths & weaknesses
B1. Identify & understand ‘disruptive’ innovations (technology, business model, policy, social)Ø Includes TEES Assessment
Research Approach
B2. Identify & develop Innovations to address the problems of our cities today, or innovations for tomorrow.
C. Create Credible, Compelling Visions for a better future
D. Define Transition Pathway(s) Capableof realizing Vision
Responding to and Directing Disruption
Disruptive Forces
TRANSITION PATHWAYS should be:
1. CREDIBLE (Technically, economically, socially)
2. COMPELLING (Desirable by key stakeholders)
3. CAPABLE of achieving the objective.
Alternative Pathway
‘False’ Objective
Ultimate Objective
Dead endpathway
Interim Objective
We are here
Defining Transition Pathway(s)
EXISTINGSYSTEM
NEWSYSTEM
TRAN
SITI
ONPA
THW
AYS
A. Understand and assess existing systems, including strengths & weaknesses
B1. Identify & understand ‘disruptive’ innovations (technology, business model, policy, social)Ø Includes TEES Assessment
Research Approach
B2. Innovate to better address the problems and develop the tools needed to assess the model
C. Create Credible, Compelling Visions for a better future
D. Define Transition Pathway(s) Capableof realizing Vision
Responding to and Directing Disruption
Disruptive Forces
E. Scenario modeling of the Pathway to assess status as credible, compelling and capable
Repeat as necessary
F. Engage and provide insights and advice to decision makers & the public.
Final Thought…
“We cannot predict the future, but we can invent it.”Dennis Gabor, Nobel Prize (Physics) (1971)
The CREATE-IISC would benefit by organizing all of the research projects around a limited number (1-3) of “collective integrated vision(s)” for what a sustainable Canadian city could look like in 2050.
Ø Rethink transportation (personal mobility and goods movement);Ø Rethink urban design and building constructionØ Rethink space heating, electricity generation, distribution and useØ Rethink waste production and managementØ Rethink resiliency to climate change impacts