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IBBT Tr@ins project TRAIN IP Network Services TRAIN IP Network Services Jan Van Ooteghem & Daan Pareit UGent – IBCN 05/11/2008 Railway Interiors Expo, Amsterdam RAI

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  • IBBT Tr@ins projectTRAIN IP Network ServicesTRAIN IP Network Services

    Jan Van Ooteghem & Daan Pareit

    UGent – IBCN

    05/11/2008

    Railway Interiors Expo, Amsterdam RAI

  • IBBT: Demand driven ICT research

    Government

    Companies

    new mediaeHealth

    eGovernment

    mobility

    Government

    Non-profit

    enabling

    technologies

  • Tr@ins project

    � Apr 2006 – Mar 2008

    � Tr@ins = TRAin IP Network Services

    � Focus on

    � Technical

    � Broadband Internet

    Research groups

    � Broadband Internet

    � Onboard mobility support

    � Uninterrupted Internet

    � Quality of Service

    � Economical

    � User studies

    � Business model

    Industrial partners

  • IBBT Tr@ins project

    ConclusionsTechnical Business model

  • NAT

    DHCP

    AAA

    Train management

    NOC

    Internet

    Mobility Management

    Local content

    Mobility Management

  • Onboard network

    � Horizontal handover

    � From Access Point to Access Point

    � Switch in < 50 ms for VoIP

  • NAT

    DHCP

    AAA

    Train management

    NOC

    Internet

    Mobility Management

    Local content

    Mobility Management

  • NAT

    DHCP

    AAA

    Train management

    NOC

    Internet

    Mobility Management

    Local content

    Mobility Management

  • Fast Roaming WLAN Switch for Rail Systems

    Radius

    ServerGateway

    Trackside network: WLAN Fast Handover

    Fast Roaming

    WLAN AP

    Fast Roaming

    WLAN AP

    Fast Roaming

    WLAN AP

    Fast Roaming

    WLAN AP

    Fast Roaming

    WLAN Client

    Data – 802.11a/g

    Control – 802.11h

    Roaming time

    Average 5.64 ms

    Std. dev. 0.05 ms

  • NAT

    DHCP

    AAA

    Train management

    NOC

    Internet

    Mobility Management

    Mobility

    Management

    Local content

    Mobility Management

    Mobility

    Management

  • NAT

    DHCP

    AAA

    Train management

    NOC

    Internet

    Mobility

    Management

    Local content

    Mobility

    Management

  • Mobility Management Central Mobility Management Train

    1

    1

    M

    1

    Da

    ta p

    lan

    e

    N…

    1

    M

    GatewayAggregation

    unit

    GatewayAggregation

    unit… N MBuffer

    QoS-

    scheduler

    Data

    analysis

    QoS management

    1

    M

    1

    …BufferQoS-

    scheduler

    Data

    analysis

    QoS management

    Handover protocol

    Tunnel management

    Monitoring

    Handover protocol

    Tunnel management

    PDF

    Monitoring

    Co

    ntr

    ol

    pla

    ne

    5 QoS-classes:

    • Background: FTP• Best effort: Surfing, Email• Streaming: Video stream• Interactive: VoIP call• Priority: Crew Comm.

    QoS classes are mapped on outgoing links

    (Load balancing)

  • Mobility Management Central Mobility Management Train

    QoS management

    1

    N …

    1

    M

    1

    M

    Da

    ta p

    lan

    e

    QoS management

    1

    M

    1

    N

    1

    M

    GatewayAggregation

    unitBuffer

    QoS-

    scheduler

    Data

    analysis

    GatewayAggregation

    unitBuffer

    QoS-

    scheduler

    Data

    analysis

    Handover protocol

    Tunnel management

    Monitoring

    Handover protocol

    Tunnel management

    Monitoring

    Co

    ntr

    ol

    pla

    ne

    PDF

    •Decides on interfaces to be used

    •Decision based on:

    •SNR, packet loss, traffic measurements

    •GPS, speed & management info

    •IEEE 802.21 MIH events and triggers

    •Load balancing, cost

  • Mobility Management Central Mobility Management Train

    QoS management

    1

    N …

    1

    M

    1

    M

    Da

    ta p

    lan

    e

    QoS management

    1

    M

    1

    N

    1

    M

    GatewayAggregation

    unitBuffer

    QoS-

    scheduler

    Data

    analysis

    GatewayAggregation

    unitBuffer

    QoS-

    scheduler

    Data

    analysis

    •Two alternatives

    •Mobile IP (MIP)

    •Mobile SCTP (mSCTP)

    •Multihoming

    •Reliability

    •Packet aggregation

    •User devices don’t need to be mSCTP or MIP-aware

    Tunnel management

    Monitoring

    Tunnel management

    PDF

    Monitoring

    Co

    ntr

    ol

    pla

    ne Handover protocol Handover protocol

  • Handover protocol

    20,0

    25,0

    30,0

    35,0

    40,0

    Throughput(Mbps)

    L2 Throughput in a WLAN

    IP

    SC

    TP

    CH

    UN

    K

    TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP IP

    SC

    TP

    CH

    UN

    K

    TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP

    Effective

    0,0

    5,0

    10,0

    15,0

    20,0

    0 500 1000 1500

    (Mbps)

    Passenger IP packet size (bytes)

    mSCTP

    MIP

    IP TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP IP TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP

  • Handover protocol

    20,0

    25,0

    30,0

    35,0

    40,0

    Throughput(Mbps)

    L2 Throughput in a WLAN

    IP

    SC

    TP

    CH

    UN

    K

    TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP

    CH

    UN

    K

    TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP …

    Effective

    0,0

    5,0

    10,0

    15,0

    20,0

    0 500 1000 1500

    (Mbps)

    Passenger IP packet size (bytes)

    mSCTP

    MIP

    IP TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP IP TC

    P/

    UD

    P Passenger

    data

    IP

  • IBBT Tr@ins project

    ConclusionsTechnical Business model

  • Forecasting

    Determining

    rollout scheme

    Forecasting the

    number of

    train passengers

    Flowchart business case

    Technology

    assignment

    Cost/benefit

    model

    Evaluation

    Calculating

    potential Internet

    on train users

    Determining

    min. technology

    requirements

    Computing

    technical

    scenarios

    Calculating

    cost / benefit

    model

    Output business

    model

  • Forecasting

    60000

    80000

    100000

    Nu

    mb

    er

    of

    pa

    ss

    en

    ge

    rs p

    er

    da

    y

    Relation

    Oostende - Eupen

    Passenger forecasting

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    18%

    20%

    First class adoption

    Second class adoption

    0

    20000

    40000

    60000

    Nu

    mb

    er

    of

    pa

    ss

    en

    ge

    rs p

    er

    da

    y

    Adoption

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

  • Technology assignment

  • Technology mapping

    None - UMTS – HSDPA – WiMAX

    2008

    2009

    2010

    20112011

    2012

    UMTS +

    WiMAX

  • Cost parameters

    Wireless

    data

    networks

    Mobile

    networks

    Satellite

    networks

    Train equipment � Outdoor antenna

    � Indoor network+ + +++

    Network equipment � Trackside network

    � NOC+++ + +C

    ap

    Ex

    � NOC

    General costs � Helpdesk

    � Sales (billing)

    � Marketing

    ++ ++ ++

    Operations � Maintenance and repair

    � Network management

    � License costs

    +++ + ++

    Network connection � Outdoor link + +++ ++

    Op

    Ex

  • Revenue schemes

    � Ticket types

    � Prepaid cards per hour (e.g. hotspot service)

    � Monthly subscriptions

    � Ticket price

    � Dependent on offered service: €2.9 – €3.9 (5 - 55 kbps)� Dependent on offered service: €2.9 – €3.9 (5 - 55 kbps)

    � Service of 30 kbps: Prepaid: €3.4 / Subscription: €18

    � Two revenue scenarios

    � Both first and second class paying

    � First class free Internet, second class paying

    ���� Modal switch from 1st to 2nd class!!!

  • NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    NP

    V [

    M€

    ]

    UMTS

    WIMAX

    UMTS + WIMAX

    WIMAX + UMTS

    -15

    -10

    -5

    5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55

    NP

    V [

    M

    Bandwidth per user [kbps]

    WIMAX + UMTS

    WiMAX STAT.

    SAT 1 WAY

    SAT 2 WAY

    -5

    -10

    -15

    30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    NP

    V [

    M€

    ]

    UMTS

    WIMAX

    UMTS + WIMAX

    WIMAX + UMTS

    NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)

    -15

    -10

    -5

    5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55

    NP

    V [

    M

    Bandwidth per user [kbps]

    WIMAX + UMTS

    WiMAX STAT.

    SAT 1 WAY

    SAT 2 WAY

    -5

    -10

    -15

    30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    NP

    V [

    M€

    ]

    UMTS

    WIMAX

    UMTS + WIMAX

    WIMAX + UMTS

    NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)

    -15

    -10

    -5

    5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55

    NP

    V [

    M

    Bandwidth per user [kbps]

    WIMAX + UMTS

    WiMAX STAT.

    SAT 1 WAY

    SAT 2 WAY

    -5

    -10

    -15

    30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    NP

    V [

    M€

    ]

    UMTS

    WIMAX

    UMTS + WIMAX

    WIMAX + UMTS

    NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)

    -15

    -10

    -5

    5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55

    NP

    V [

    M

    Bandwidth per user [kbps]

    WIMAX + UMTS

    WiMAX STAT.

    SAT 1 WAY

    SAT 2 WAY

    -5

    -10

    -15

    30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    NP

    V [

    M€

    ]

    UMTS

    WIMAX

    UMTS + WIMAX

    WIMAX + UMTS

    NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)

    -15

    -10

    -5

    5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55

    NP

    V [

    M

    Bandwidth per user [kbps]

    WIMAX + UMTS

    WiMAX STAT.

    SAT 1 WAY

    SAT 2 WAY

    -5

    -10

    -15

    30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps

  • Sensitivity results

    -94%

    2%

    1%

    1%

    -1%

    -100% -50% 0% 50% 100%

    Bandwidth per user

    Number of SIM cards per train

    Second class adoption

    Modal switch

    Cellular bandwidth cost

    CASE 1 Mobile networks

    Due to the high bandwidth

    cost for UMTS

    UMTS

    51%

    30%

    -10%

    4%

    2%

    -100% -50% 0% 50% 100%

    Second class adoption

    Bandwidth per user

    Tariff per hour

    Modal switch

    Leasing percentage poles

    CASE 5

    Full WiMAX network

    More users + more

    bandwidth (less important

    with dedicated networks)

    = higher revenue

    WiMAX

  • IBBT Tr@ins project

    ConclusionsTechnical Business model

  • Summary 1

    When more bandwidth is guaranteed to the customer:

    � UMTS cases

    � Only UMTS: Problems � No QoS

    � Combination with WiMAX: QoS can be guaranteed� Combination with WiMAX: QoS can be guaranteed

    � Pre-installation WiMAX: more optimized network rollout

    � WiMAX case:

    � Only interesting for large bandwidth

    � Satellite cases:

    � UMTS as gap filler: bandwidth problems

    � 1Way Satellite: uplink bandwidth problems (UMTS)

    � 2Way Satellite: less dependent of bandwidth

  • Summary 2

    � Combination of technologies required

    � Dense railway network: UMTS + WiMAX

    � Rural railway network: Satellite solutions

    � Business case

    � Positive case in Belgium is possible� Positive case in Belgium is possible

    � Influenced by many factors

    � User forecasting, rollout scheme, offered bandwidth

    � Business models

    � Role and participation of the partners important

  • Thank you!

    Contacts:

    [email protected]

    [email protected]