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IBBT Tr@ins projectTRAIN IP Network ServicesTRAIN IP Network Services
Jan Van Ooteghem & Daan Pareit
UGent – IBCN
05/11/2008
Railway Interiors Expo, Amsterdam RAI
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IBBT: Demand driven ICT research
Government
Companies
new mediaeHealth
eGovernment
mobility
Government
Non-profit
enabling
technologies
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Tr@ins project
� Apr 2006 – Mar 2008
� Tr@ins = TRAin IP Network Services
� Focus on
� Technical
� Broadband Internet
Research groups
� Broadband Internet
� Onboard mobility support
� Uninterrupted Internet
� Quality of Service
� Economical
� User studies
� Business model
Industrial partners
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IBBT Tr@ins project
ConclusionsTechnical Business model
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NAT
DHCP
AAA
Train management
NOC
Internet
Mobility Management
Local content
Mobility Management
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Onboard network
� Horizontal handover
� From Access Point to Access Point
� Switch in < 50 ms for VoIP
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NAT
DHCP
AAA
Train management
NOC
Internet
Mobility Management
Local content
Mobility Management
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NAT
DHCP
AAA
Train management
NOC
Internet
Mobility Management
Local content
Mobility Management
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Fast Roaming WLAN Switch for Rail Systems
Radius
ServerGateway
Trackside network: WLAN Fast Handover
Fast Roaming
WLAN AP
Fast Roaming
WLAN AP
Fast Roaming
WLAN AP
Fast Roaming
WLAN AP
Fast Roaming
WLAN Client
Data – 802.11a/g
Control – 802.11h
Roaming time
Average 5.64 ms
Std. dev. 0.05 ms
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NAT
DHCP
AAA
Train management
NOC
Internet
Mobility Management
Mobility
Management
Local content
Mobility Management
Mobility
Management
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NAT
DHCP
AAA
Train management
NOC
Internet
Mobility
Management
Local content
Mobility
Management
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…
Mobility Management Central Mobility Management Train
1
…
1
M
1
Da
ta p
lan
e
N…
1
M
GatewayAggregation
unit
GatewayAggregation
unit… N MBuffer
QoS-
scheduler
Data
analysis
QoS management
…
1
M
1
…BufferQoS-
scheduler
Data
analysis
QoS management
Handover protocol
Tunnel management
Monitoring
Handover protocol
Tunnel management
PDF
Monitoring
Co
ntr
ol
pla
ne
5 QoS-classes:
• Background: FTP• Best effort: Surfing, Email• Streaming: Video stream• Interactive: VoIP call• Priority: Crew Comm.
QoS classes are mapped on outgoing links
(Load balancing)
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…
Mobility Management Central Mobility Management Train
QoS management
…
1
N …
1
M
1
M
Da
ta p
lan
e
QoS management
…
1
M
1
N
…
…
1
M
GatewayAggregation
unitBuffer
QoS-
scheduler
Data
analysis
GatewayAggregation
unitBuffer
QoS-
scheduler
Data
analysis
Handover protocol
Tunnel management
Monitoring
Handover protocol
Tunnel management
Monitoring
Co
ntr
ol
pla
ne
PDF
•Decides on interfaces to be used
•Decision based on:
•SNR, packet loss, traffic measurements
•GPS, speed & management info
•IEEE 802.21 MIH events and triggers
•Load balancing, cost
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…
Mobility Management Central Mobility Management Train
QoS management
…
1
N …
1
M
1
M
Da
ta p
lan
e
QoS management
…
1
M
1
N
…
…
1
M
GatewayAggregation
unitBuffer
QoS-
scheduler
Data
analysis
GatewayAggregation
unitBuffer
QoS-
scheduler
Data
analysis
•Two alternatives
•Mobile IP (MIP)
•Mobile SCTP (mSCTP)
•Multihoming
•Reliability
•Packet aggregation
•User devices don’t need to be mSCTP or MIP-aware
Tunnel management
Monitoring
Tunnel management
PDF
Monitoring
Co
ntr
ol
pla
ne Handover protocol Handover protocol
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Handover protocol
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
Throughput(Mbps)
L2 Throughput in a WLAN
IP
SC
TP
CH
UN
K
TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP IP
SC
TP
CH
UN
K
TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP
Effective
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
0 500 1000 1500
(Mbps)
Passenger IP packet size (bytes)
mSCTP
MIP
IP TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP IP TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP
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Handover protocol
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
Throughput(Mbps)
L2 Throughput in a WLAN
IP
SC
TP
CH
UN
K
TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP
CH
UN
K
TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP …
Effective
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
0 500 1000 1500
(Mbps)
Passenger IP packet size (bytes)
mSCTP
MIP
IP TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP IP TC
P/
UD
P Passenger
data
IP
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IBBT Tr@ins project
ConclusionsTechnical Business model
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Forecasting
Determining
rollout scheme
Forecasting the
number of
train passengers
Flowchart business case
Technology
assignment
Cost/benefit
model
Evaluation
Calculating
potential Internet
on train users
Determining
min. technology
requirements
Computing
technical
scenarios
Calculating
cost / benefit
model
Output business
model
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Forecasting
60000
80000
100000
Nu
mb
er
of
pa
ss
en
ge
rs p
er
da
y
Relation
Oostende - Eupen
Passenger forecasting
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
First class adoption
Second class adoption
0
20000
40000
60000
Nu
mb
er
of
pa
ss
en
ge
rs p
er
da
y
Adoption
0%
2%
4%
6%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
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Technology assignment
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Technology mapping
None - UMTS – HSDPA – WiMAX
2008
2009
2010
20112011
2012
UMTS +
WiMAX
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Cost parameters
Wireless
data
networks
Mobile
networks
Satellite
networks
Train equipment � Outdoor antenna
� Indoor network+ + +++
Network equipment � Trackside network
� NOC+++ + +C
ap
Ex
� NOC
General costs � Helpdesk
� Sales (billing)
� Marketing
++ ++ ++
Operations � Maintenance and repair
� Network management
� License costs
+++ + ++
Network connection � Outdoor link + +++ ++
Op
Ex
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Revenue schemes
� Ticket types
� Prepaid cards per hour (e.g. hotspot service)
� Monthly subscriptions
� Ticket price
� Dependent on offered service: €2.9 – €3.9 (5 - 55 kbps)� Dependent on offered service: €2.9 – €3.9 (5 - 55 kbps)
� Service of 30 kbps: Prepaid: €3.4 / Subscription: €18
� Two revenue scenarios
� Both first and second class paying
� First class free Internet, second class paying
���� Modal switch from 1st to 2nd class!!!
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NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)
0
5
10
15
NP
V [
M€
]
UMTS
WIMAX
UMTS + WIMAX
WIMAX + UMTS
-15
-10
-5
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
NP
V [
M
Bandwidth per user [kbps]
WIMAX + UMTS
WiMAX STAT.
SAT 1 WAY
SAT 2 WAY
-5
-10
-15
30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps
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0
5
10
15
NP
V [
M€
]
UMTS
WIMAX
UMTS + WIMAX
WIMAX + UMTS
NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)
-15
-10
-5
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
NP
V [
M
Bandwidth per user [kbps]
WIMAX + UMTS
WiMAX STAT.
SAT 1 WAY
SAT 2 WAY
-5
-10
-15
30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps
-
0
5
10
15
NP
V [
M€
]
UMTS
WIMAX
UMTS + WIMAX
WIMAX + UMTS
NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)
-15
-10
-5
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
NP
V [
M
Bandwidth per user [kbps]
WIMAX + UMTS
WiMAX STAT.
SAT 1 WAY
SAT 2 WAY
-5
-10
-15
30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps
-
0
5
10
15
NP
V [
M€
]
UMTS
WIMAX
UMTS + WIMAX
WIMAX + UMTS
NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)
-15
-10
-5
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
NP
V [
M
Bandwidth per user [kbps]
WIMAX + UMTS
WiMAX STAT.
SAT 1 WAY
SAT 2 WAY
-5
-10
-15
30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps
-
0
5
10
15
NP
V [
M€
]
UMTS
WIMAX
UMTS + WIMAX
WIMAX + UMTS
NPV analysis (10 years, 15% discount rate, 1st class free Internet)
-15
-10
-5
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
NP
V [
M
Bandwidth per user [kbps]
WIMAX + UMTS
WiMAX STAT.
SAT 1 WAY
SAT 2 WAY
-5
-10
-15
30 kbps per individual user ≈ user experience of ± 1 Mbps
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Sensitivity results
-94%
2%
1%
1%
-1%
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100%
Bandwidth per user
Number of SIM cards per train
Second class adoption
Modal switch
Cellular bandwidth cost
CASE 1 Mobile networks
Due to the high bandwidth
cost for UMTS
UMTS
51%
30%
-10%
4%
2%
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100%
Second class adoption
Bandwidth per user
Tariff per hour
Modal switch
Leasing percentage poles
CASE 5
Full WiMAX network
More users + more
bandwidth (less important
with dedicated networks)
= higher revenue
WiMAX
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IBBT Tr@ins project
ConclusionsTechnical Business model
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Summary 1
When more bandwidth is guaranteed to the customer:
� UMTS cases
� Only UMTS: Problems � No QoS
� Combination with WiMAX: QoS can be guaranteed� Combination with WiMAX: QoS can be guaranteed
� Pre-installation WiMAX: more optimized network rollout
� WiMAX case:
� Only interesting for large bandwidth
� Satellite cases:
� UMTS as gap filler: bandwidth problems
� 1Way Satellite: uplink bandwidth problems (UMTS)
� 2Way Satellite: less dependent of bandwidth
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Summary 2
� Combination of technologies required
� Dense railway network: UMTS + WiMAX
� Rural railway network: Satellite solutions
� Business case
� Positive case in Belgium is possible� Positive case in Belgium is possible
� Influenced by many factors
� User forecasting, rollout scheme, offered bandwidth
� Business models
� Role and participation of the partners important
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Thank you!
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