how winds are created the earth’s winds are caused by pressure differences across the earth’s...

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How Winds are Created The earth’s winds are caused by pressure differences across the earth’s surface due to uneven heating Local Winds: During the day the air over the land is heated more than the air over the sea. Opposite during the night Day pattern: Wind blows from sea to land Night pattern: Wind blows from land to sea

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How Winds are Created The earth’s winds are caused by pressure

differences across the earth’s surface due to uneven heating

Local Winds: During the day the air over the land is heated more than the air over the sea. Opposite during the night Day pattern: Wind blows from sea to land Night pattern: Wind blows from land to sea

How Winds are created

Global Winds: Occur due to greater heating of the air near the equator than the poles. Thus wind blows in the direction from the poles to the equator

Large ocean and land masses also affect the wind pattern

It is important to understand these wind patterns for the evaluation of potential wind sites

U.S. Wind Resource Map

Classes of Wind Power Density at 10 m and 50 m(a)

.         10 m (33 ft)         50 m (164 ft)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                

WindPower Class

Wind PowerDensity (W/m2)

Speed(b)

m/s (mph)Wind PowerDensity (W/m2)

Speed(b)

m/s (mph)

1 <100 <4.4 (9.8) <200 <5.6 (12.5)

2 100 - 150 4.4 (9.8)/5.1 (11.5) 200 - 300 5.6 (12.5)/6.4 (14.3)

3 150 - 200 5.1 (11.5)/5.6 (12.5) 300 - 400 6.4 (14.3)/7.0 (15.7)

4 200 - 250 5.6 (12.5)/6.0 (13.4) 400 - 500 7.0 (15.7)/7.5 (16.8)

5 250 - 300 6.0 (13.4)/6.4 (14.3) 500 - 600 7.5 (16.8)/8.0 (17.9)

6 300 - 400 6.4 (14.3)/7.0 (15.7) 600 - 800 8.0 (17.9)/8.8 (19.7)

7 >400 >7.0 (15.7) >800 >8.8 (19.7)

Modern Wind Turbine

Wind power systems are composed of: Tower Rotor with 2 or 3 blades (fiberglass reinforced

plastics, epoxy laminates Yaw Mechanism such as a tail vane Low-speed shaft, high-speed shaft, and gearbox

(Mechanical Drive Train) Electrical generator Speed sensors and controlModern wind power systems also include: Power electronics Control electronics Batteries to improve the load availability when in

stand-alone mode Transmission link connecting to the area grid

Characteristic of Wind Turbines

Variations in wind speed causes fluctuations in the amount of power produced Short Term: Gusts and Turbulence Long Term: Seasonal Changes

WTs have a cut-in, cut-out and a peak power output for a given wind velocity

Power from the wind is proportional to the area swept by the rotors

In practice, the max power efficiency is 45%

Global Picture

Source: GWEC (Global Wind Energy Council) 2008: http://www.gwec.net/fileadmin/documents/PressReleases/PR_stats_annex_table_2nd_feb_final_final.pdf

Wind Power

Source: GWEC (Global Wind Energy Council) 2008: http://www.gwec.net/fileadmin/documents/PressReleases/PR_stats_annex_table_2nd_feb_final_final.pdf

Wind Power

Source: GWEC (Global Wind Energy Council) 2008: http://www.gwec.net/fileadmin/documents/PressReleases/PR_stats_annex_table_2nd_feb_final_final.pdf

Top 10 total installed capacity

Top 10 added capacity (2008)

Total Installed Wind Capacity

Total Installed Wind Capacity

Cost Analysis

Wind energy generation costs have dramatically decreased over the last 25 years from 40 cents/KWh to 4 cents/KWh

20 years from now wind energy is expected to be cheaper than conventional sources of energy

Advantages and Disadvantages of Wind Turbines Advantages

Clean Source of Energy Unlimited Supply Popular with the Public

Disadvantages How do wind plants impact the power system grid

(Not enough data) Very expensive to install and connect to the power

grid

Wind Turbine Power:

P = 0.5 x rho x A x Cp x V3 x Ng x Nb

P = power in watts (746 watts = 1 hp)

rho = air density (about 1.225 kg/m3 at sea level, less higher up)A = rotor swept area, exposed to the wind (m2)Cp = Coefficient of performance (.59 {Betz limit} is the maximum theoretically possible, .35 for a good design) V = wind speed in meters/sec (20 mph = 9 m/s)Ng = generator efficiency (50% for car alternator, 80% or possibly more for a permanent magnet generator or grid-connected induction generator)Nb = gearbox/bearings efficiency (depends, could be as high as 95% if good)

Wind Turbine

Noise Levels

Electricity Demand Varies throughout the Day

Source: ERCOT Reliability/Resource Update 2006

Natural Gas

Nuclear

Coal

Total Coal Capacity

Wind and ERCOT daily load

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

No

rmal

ized

Hour Ending

Normalized wind

Normailized load

Source: Dispatchable Hybrid Wind/Solar Power Plant, Mark Kapner, P.E

ERCOT load duration curve 2007

ERCOT load Duration curve 2007

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000

hours

MW

nuclear

Coal

Wind

Source: Dispatchable Hybrid Wind/Solar Power Plant, Mark Kapner, P.E

Average hourly wind speed Jan.-Nov. 2008

Source: West Texas A &M University http://www.windenergy.org/datasites/1405-olfen/index.html

GOAL FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY

Statutory goal adopted in 1999, revised in 2005

Year Goal ActualNon-Wind

2003 400 990 45

2005 850 1190 45

2007 1400 3100 77

Today 1400 6450 136

2015 5880

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33 mw biomass; 69 mw landfill gas; 33 mw hydro; 1 mw solar

CREZ SCENARIOSCapacity of New CREZ Wind by Scenario

(MW)

Wind ZoneScen.

1Scen.

2Scen.

3Scen.

4

Panhandle A

1,422 3,191 4,960 6,660

Panhandle B

1,067 2,393 3,720 0

McCamey 829 1,859 2,890 3,190

Central 1,358 3,047 4,735 5,615

Central West

474 1,063 1,651 2,051

Total* 12,053 18,456 24,859 24,419

* Assumes 6,903 MW of existing wind capacity

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SCENARIO 2 TRANSMISSION PLAN

•1,705 miles of new 345-kV

double circuits

•453 miles of new 345-kV

single circuit

•371 miles of 345-kV

rebuild & upgrade

$4.9 billion cost, not including interconnection facilities

Octo

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r 15

, 20

08

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WHAT’S AHEAD FOR ERCOT WIND DEVELOPMENT Concern about over-development of West Texas wind

Development beyond CREZ plan could reduce market value of all West Texas wind production

In next few years, congestion between West Texas and population centers will be significant

ERCOT transition to nodal market has been delayed Concerns about reliability with high levels of wind

Forecasting wind, adequate thermal generation to match swings in load and wind generation, cost of load-following services

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