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MAKING SENSE OF OUR TIMES: Tracking the Economic and Demographic Changes Through 26 Years of Houston Surveys STEPHEN L. KLINEBERG The Latest Findings from the Houston Area Survey March 2007

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Page 1: Houston Area Survey

MAKING SENSE OF OUR TIMES: Tracking the Economic and Demographic Changes

Through 26 Years of Houston Surveys

STEPHEN L. KLINEBERGThe Latest Findings from the Houston Area Survey

March 2007

Page 2: Houston Area Survey

Supported by foundations, corporations, and individuals, the annual surveys have now interviewed 26 scientifically selected representative samples of Harris County residents.

In May 1982, just two months after the first Houston survey was completed, the 80-year oil boom suddenly collapsed.

The region recovered from deep and prolonged recession in the mid 1980s to find itself squarely in the midst of . . .

• a restructured economy and • a demographic revolution.

These are the same transformations that have refashioned American society itself in recent years. For more than a quarter-century, the Houston Area Survey has tracked the public’s changing perspectives on these remarkable trends.

THE HOUSTON AREA SURVEY (1982-2007)

Page 3: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 1: POSITIVE RATINGS OF JOB OPPOR-TUNITIES IN THE HOUSTON AREA (1982-2007)

18

31

6767

52

60

53

50

4039

7372

52

48

4140

2927

4546

11

27

38

47

41

76

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cen

t Giv

ing

Po

sitiv

e R

atin

gs

Percent rating "job opportunities in the Houston area" as either "excellent" or "good."

Page 4: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 2: NEGATIVE RATINGS OF JOB OP-PORTUNITIES IN RELATION TO THE OFFI- CIAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATES (1982-2007)

23

50

71

87

80

65

49

42

46

42

36

5658

43

3025

30

23

5654

70

65

5252

58

56

7.0

5.3

6.6

6.3

5.9

5.5

5.0

4.7

3.7

4.34.4

5.65.7

6.0

7.1

7.8

5.25.2

6.3

8.3

7.8

9.6

10.1

9.8

6.7

4.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

Giv

ing

Ne

ga

tiv

e R

ati

ng

s

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

5.5

6

6.5

7

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

10

10.5

11

11.5

Off

icia

l Un

em

plo

ym

en

t R

ate

s

Percent rating "job opportunities in the Houstonarea" as only "fair" or "poor," in relation to theofficial unemployment rates in Harris County.

negative ratings of job opportunities

unemployment rates

Page 5: Houston Area Survey

THE RESTRUCTURED ECONOMY

The resource-based industrial-era economy has now re- ceded into history. It has been replaced by an increasingly

high-tech, worldwide, knowledge-based economic system.

The traditional “blue collar path” to financial security has largely disappeared. Most good-paying jobs today require high levels of technical skills and educational credentials.

In the 2006 survey, 77% disagreed that “a high school education is enough to get a good job.” In 2007, 61% of area residents agreed that “there are very few good jobs in today’s economy for people without a college education.”

In the new, increasingly unequal, knowledge-based econ- omy, “What you earn depends on what you have learned.”

Page 6: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 3: CONCERNS ABOUT HEALTH CARE, POVERTY, AND INEQUALITY (1997-2007)

63

54

60

76

71

74

71

52

72

6769

67

6264

59

6263

5353

48

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cen

t of R

esp

on

den

ts

For: "federal health insurance to cover the medical expenses of all Americans."

A "very serious problem" for U.S. if the rich-poor gap gets significantly bigger.

We're now spending "too little" money on improving the conditions of the poor.

Willing to pay higher taxes to improve access to quality health care in Houston.

For federal health insur-ance for all Americans.

Spending "too little" on poverty. Growing gap is " very serious."

Willing to pay higher taxes to improve health care access.

Page 7: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 4: CHANGES IN TWO MEASURES OF THE WORK ETHIC (1982-2007)

8078

81

7877

7576

75

78

76

8081

8382

88

85

76

61

5857

6264

6060

55

58

52

57

4948

51

60

46

73

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

"If you work hard in this city,eventually you will succeed."

"People who work hard and live by the rulesare not getting a fair break these days."

Page 8: Houston Area Survey

Houston's prospects will now increasingly depend on the city’s ability to attract and retain the nation’s most skilled and creative “knowledge workers” and high-tech companies.

This will require significant and sustained improvements in . . . the region’s mobility and traffic congestion

• the revitalization and preservation of downtown areas

• the variety of its venues for sports, arts, and culture

• the enhancement of its parks, trees, and bayous

• the richness of its hiking, boating, and birding areas

• the quality of its air and water

THE ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGE

The public’s support for new initiatives along these lines has grown continuously and significantly across the years.

Page 9: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 5: AIR POLLUTION CONCERNS IN THE HOUSTON AREA (1995-2007)

38

36

30 30

44

36

4544

56

46

5249

56

70

79

74

50

49 49

46 47

53

60 61

5355

59

6365

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cen

t o

f R

esp

on

den

ts

Favor requiring emissions tests on all vehicles in Houston.

We're now spending "too little" on protecting the environment.

The efforts to control air and water pollution in Houston area are "poor."

"Very concerned" about health effects of air pollution.

Page 10: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 6: ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS AND TRADEOFFS (THE 2007 SURVEY)

65.7

60.5 59.3

44.5

34.9

24.8

34.336.4

50.8

57.0

9.5

5.2 4.3 4.7

8.1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

Requiring power plantsto reduce their

emissions ofgreenhouse gases,

even if electricity rateswill rise?

Raising taxes to setaside and protect

wetlands, forests, andprairies throughout the

Houston area?

Raising taxes to makemajor improvements inthe area's quality of life,

such as pollutioncontrol and parks?

Raising taxes tolandscape and plant

trees along the majorfreeways into Houston?

Strengthening pollutioncontrols will result in

too many restrictions onindividuals and

businesses.

Per

cen

t o

f R

esp

on

den

ts

For it/Agree Against it/Disagree Don't know/No opinion

Page 11: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 7: “WHAT IS THE BIGGEST PROBLEM IN THE HOUSTON AREA TODAY?” (1982-2007)

28

1113

4037

60

20

24

21

31

1920

11

19

59

45

34

2426 25

8 9 34

3 7 8

12

22 22

34 33 33

4851

4341

37

8

31

10 10 11

89

1310

1815

25

12

1412

42

72

2623

27

12

31

38

1314

6

10 1113

21

35

60

73

49

65

39

54

26

17

13

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cen

t o

f R

esp

on

den

ts

traffic economy crime

"What would you say is the biggest problemfacing people in the Houston area today?"

(traffic)

(economy)

(crime)

(traffic)

(crime)

Page 12: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 8: RATINGS OF THE HOUSTON AREA IN GENERAL AS A PLACE TO LIVE (2005, 2007)

25.2

31.3

53.2 51.8

13.2

7.9

2.5 2.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

2005 2007

"Compared to most other metropolitan areas in the country, would you say that the Houston area is a muchbetter place, a slightly better place, a slightly worse place, or a much worse place in which to live?"

Per

cent

of R

espo

nden

ts

Much better Slightly better Slightly worse Much worse

Page 13: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 9: ASSESSMENTS OF TRAFFIC IN THE HOUSTON AREA AND OF THREE POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS (2003, 2005, 2007)

72

22

7

6260

80

68

23

9

60

65

77

61

22

9

55

64

78

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

Worse Same Better More highways Urbancommunities

Public transit

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

2003 2005 2007

"Over the past three years , has traffic generally gotten better, gotten worse, or has it stayed about the same?"

"Which of these would be the best long-term solution to the traffic problems in the Houston area?"

Page 14: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 10: “HOW WORRIED ARE YOU THAT YOU OR A FAMILY MEMBER WILL BECOME THE VICTIM OF A CRIME?” (1995-2007)

41

31 3232

3737

32

28

27

20

23

21

2627 27

27

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

or

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Not very worried/Not worried at all Very worried

"How worried are you personally that you or a member of your family will become the victim of a crime?"

("very worried.")

("not very worried"/"not worried at all.")

("not worried.")

("very worried.")

Page 15: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 11: SUPPORT FOR ALTERNATIVES TO THE DEATH PENALTY (1999-2007)

61

64

55

60

68

6364

57

5453

61

55

53

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cent

of R

espo

nden

ts

For: "the death penalty for persons convicted of murder."

For: "a true life sentence w ithout the possibility of parole, as an alternative to the death penalty."

The penalty for persons convicted of first-degree murder should generally be life imprisonment w ith no chance for parole or w ith

a chance for parole after 25 years, but not the death penalty.

Page 16: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 12: THE IMPORTANCE OF DOWNTOWN

DEVELOPMENT, BY HOME ZIP CODE (1995-2007)

52

44

49

54

5654

68

55

44

504847

56

55

4443

45 44

49

3838

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007

Per

cen

t Say

ing

, "V

ery

Imp

ort

ant."

Inside Loop Outside Loop Outside City

"How important is it for the future of Housoton to makemajor improvements in the downtown areas of the city?"

Page 17: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 13: PERCENT OF ANGLOS “VERY IN-TERESTED” IN MOVING FROM SUBURBS TO CITY AND FROM CITY TO SUBURBS (1999-2007)

18.3

5.3

7.7

4.9

14.7

13.2

6.36.5

11.611.6

12.8

14.5

17.616.4

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

17.5

20.0

22.5

1999 2000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Suburban Anglos Urban Anglos

"Very interested" in someday moving to the suburbs.

"Very interested" in someday moving to the city.

Page 18: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 14: ASSESSMENTS OF POPULATION GROWTH AND URBAN PLANNING (2007 SURVEY)

48.8

19.7

69.8

47.9

40.1

50.3

22.4

34.9

11.1

30

7.8

17.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

If a million new residentsmove into Harris County,where should most of the

growth occur?

Will an additional millionresidents make living

conditions better, worse, orhave no clear effect?

Need better land-use planningto guide development, orleave people free to build

wherever they want?

Would you favor or opposecreating a General Plan to

guide Houston's futuregrowth?

Per

cen

t o

f R

esp

on

den

ts

In already developed

areas In the open

spaces

No opinion

Better

Worse

No clear

effect/ DK

Better land-use planning

Free to build

where-ever

No opinion

Strongly favor

Some-what favor

Oppose/ No opinion

Page 19: Houston Area Survey

THE DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION

Along with the major immigration capitals of L.A. and N.Y., closely following upon Miami, San Francisco, and Chicago, Houston is at the forefront of the new ethnic diversity that is refashioning the socio-political landscape of urban America. Throughout all of its history . . .

• this was essentially a bi-racial Southern city,

• dominated and controlled, in an automatic, taken- for-granted way, by white men.

Today . . .

• Houston is one of the most culturally diverse metro-politan areas in the country, and

• all of its ethnic communities are now “minorities.”

Page 20: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 15: THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSFOR-MATIONS OF HARRIS COUNTY (1960-2005)

Source: U.S. Census (www.census.gov); classifications based on Texas State Data Center conventions; total populations are given in parentheses; *from the 2005 American Community Study, households only.

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

1960(1,243,258)

1970(1,741,912)

1980(2,409,547)

1990(2,818,199)

2000(3,400,578)

2005, est.*(3,647,656)

Po

pu

lati

on

, in

Mill

ion

s

Anglos Blacks Hispanics Asians/Others

0.3%6.0%

19.8%

73.9%

0.8% 9.9%

20.1%

69.2%

2.1%

15.5%

19.7%

62.7%

4.1%

22.7%

19.1%

54.0%

6.5%

33.0%

18.3%

42.2%

6.6%

37.8%

17.8%

37.9%

Page 21: Houston Area Survey

INTERACTIONS OF ETHNICITY AND AGE

The other demographic revolution: the remarkable “aging,” or “graying,” of the American population.

Today’s seniors are primarily Anglos, as are the 76 million Americans born between 1946 and 1964, now aged 42 to 60. In the next 30 years, the numbers over age 65 will double.

The younger populations who will replace the “baby boom” are disproportionately non-Anglo and far less privileged.

The “aging of America” is thus almost as much a division along economic and ethnic lines as along generational lines.

Nowhere is this ongoing transformation more clearly seen than in the age distributions of the Harris County population.

Page 22: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 16: THE PROPORTIONS IN FOUR AGE GROUPS WHO ARE ANGLO, BLACK, LATINO, AND ASIAN OR OTHER (2002-2006, COMBINED)

62.3

44.8

26.9

15.818.1 18.6

23.0

14.5

31.6

43.6

3.2 5.0 5.1 6.5

71.3

9.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

Ages 60-93 (N=621) Ages 45-59 (N=854) Ages 30-44 (N=938) Ages 18-29 (N=674)

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Anglos Blacks Hispanics Asians/Others

Page 23: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 17: EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT IN FIVE HOUSTON COMMUNITIES (1994-2006)

75

12

19

50

15

18

27

33

25

18

30

37

31

15

36

29

16

7

18

9

42

13

25

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

Asian Immigrants(N=1,029)

US-born Anglos(N=5,353)

US-born Blacks(N=5,210)

US-born Latinos(N=2,462)

Latino Immigrants(N=2,976)

Per

cen

t of R

esp

on

den

ts

Less than H.S. H.S. diploma Some college College degree Post-graduate

Page 24: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 18: POSITIVE RATINGS OVER THE YEARS OF “THE RELATIONS AMONG ETHNIC GROUPS IN THE HOUSTON AREA” (1992-2007)

39

20

44

38

49

49

5250

51

44

48

42

3230

29

23

26

25

31

46

38

35

30

35

28

33

23

20

24

15

19

16

11

47

34

42

48

50

404041

2925

30

25

23

2632

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Anglos Blacks Latinos

Percent rating "the relations amongethnic groups in the Houston area"

as either "excellent" or "good."

Anglos

LatinosBlacks

Page 25: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 19: ATTITUDES TOWARD HOUSTON’S INCREASING ETHNIC DIVERSITY (1994–2007)

69

57

59

64

66

60

54

63 64

62

67

69

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

"The increasing ethnic diversity in Houston brought about by immigration

is a good thing" (vs. "a bad thing").

"The increasing ethnic diversity in Houston will eventually become a source of great strength

for the city" (vs. "a growing problem").

Page 26: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 20: CHANGING PERSPECTIVES ON THE NEW IMMIGRATION (1995–2007)

35

59

4446

4140

48

61

51

57

37

61

54

39

57

52

54

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Disagree that: "We should take action to reduce the number of new

immigrants coming to America."

The new immigration mostly strengthens (vs.

"threatens") Amer. culture.

During next ten years, admitmore or same number of legal

immigrants as in last ten years.

Page 27: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 21: ATTITUDES TOWARD “ILLEGAL” IMMIGRATION (FROM THE 2007 SURVEY)

71.268.1

55.8

43.9

24.826.7

35.1

46.5

4.0 5.2

9.1 9.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

The children of illegal immigrantsshould have the right to attend the

public schools.

Granting illegal immigrants a path tolegal citizenship, if they speak English

and have no criminal record?

Imposing fines and criminal chargesagainst employers in this communtiy

who hire illegal immigrants?

A law that would deny health andwelfare services to illegal immigrants

in Texas?

Per

cen

t o

f R

epo

nd

ents

For it/Agree Against it/Disagree No Opinion/Don't know

Page 28: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 22: PERSPECTIVES ON ABORTION RIGHTS (HOUSTON AREA SURVEY, 1990-2007)

5856

5051

5654

60

56

51

54

57 57

55

4849

46

59

63

66

585859

63

58

56 56

33

28

25

36

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cen

t o

f R

esp

on

den

ts

Against: a law making it moredifficult to obtain an abortion.

Agree: Abortion should be legal for any reason.

Believe abortion is morally wrong.

Against: a law requiring parental con-sent for a minor to have an abortion.

Page 29: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 23: PERSPECTIVES ON HOMOSEXU-ALITY (HOUSTON AREA SURVEY, 1991-2007)

66

60

54

30

48

60

56

19

2927 26

3841

36

59

55

5054

49

55

51

59

52

3737

37

32

34

41

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cent

of R

espo

nden

ts

For: Allowing homosexualsto teach in the public schools.

Believe homosexu-ality is morally wrong.

"Marriages between homosexuals should be given the same legal status as

heterosexual marriages."

"Homosexual couples should be legally permitted to adopt children."

Homosexuality is smth.people cannot change.

Page 30: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 24: ATTITUDES TOWARD OTHER “SOCIAL AGENDA” ISSUES (THE 2007 SURVEY)

78.5

23.8

55.2

23.6

15.4

69.5

34.9

52

6.1 6.79.9

24.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

A woman over the age of 18should be able to buy emergencycontraception over the counter.

A law that would allowpharmacists to refuse to sell any

drugs that run counter to theirreligious beliefs?

Government funding of medicalresearch using stem cells

obtained from human embryos?

What about a person whoundergoes a sex change

operation? Is that morally wrongor morally acceptable?

Per

cen

t of R

esp

on

den

ts

For it/Agree/Acceptable Against it/Disagree/Wrong No Opinion/Depends/Don't know

Page 31: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 25: PERSPECTIVES ON MENTAL ILLNESS (FROM THE 2004 AND 2007 SURVEYS)

55.5

47.4

37.5

43.1

51.4

39.9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

"Most people being treated for mentalillness are able to live a normal life."

Would *not* be concerned ifdiscovered that a mental patient was

living in neighborhood.

"Know of anyone among your friendsor family who has been diagnosed

with a mental illness?"

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

2004 2007

Page 32: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 26: INTERETHNIC DIFFERENCES IN BELIEFS ABOUT EQUALITY OF OPPORTU-NITY IN AMERICAN SOCIETY TODAY (2006)

56 57

52

2622

28

77

68

58

70

52

6163

34

46

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Blacks and other minoritieshave same opportunities as

whites in U.S. today

Blacks are 'very often' or'fairly often' discriminated

against in Houston.

Hispanics are 'very often' or'fairly often' discriminated

against in Houston.

The criminal justice systemin Houston is biased against

blacks.

If Katrina victims had beenwhite, the govt.'s responsewould have been quicker.

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Anglos (N=504) Blacks (N=503) Latinos (N=500)

Page 33: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 27: CHANGING PERSPECTIVES ON THE AMERICAN FUTURE (1988-2007)

44 45

42

51

57

45

39

30

35 34

3134

35

4443

41

37 32

26

48

53

48

61

68

54

47

59

5355

46

5351

595961 6164

67

45

48

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Per

cent

of R

espo

nden

ts

Better times More difficult times

"When you look ahead to the next few years,do you tend to believe the country is headedfor better times or more difficult times?"

["more difficult times."]

["better times."]

Page 34: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 28: PARTY PREFERENCES AMONG HARRIS COUNTY RESIDENTS (1988-2007)

34

40 40

4141

43

40

43424142

44

4948

47

50

44

3332

42

35

48

40 39 40 39

35

41 42

37 3839 40 39 40

41

37

37

43

43

24

21

29

32

23

171919

18

2018

20

22

171516

1314

11

16

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Declared or leaning Republican Declared or leaning Democrat Neither Party/Can't Say

"Would you call yourself a Republican, a Democrat, anIndependent, or something else?" [IF NEITHER MAJORPARTY IS NAMED:] "Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?"

Republicans

Democrats

Neither Party

Page 35: Houston Area Survey

On 29 September 2005, thousands of hurricane evacuees began arriving at the Reliant Complex and the GRB. Some 60,000 Houstonians came out to help, providing unexpected evidence of civic engagement in a city where measures of community connectedness (“social capital”) are generally low.

There were unusually favorable stories in the national media; and in January 2006, The Dallas Morning News, despite time- honored rivalries, named Houston as the “Texan of the Year.”

But by mid October, concerns were already rapidly mounting, primarily with regard to the strain on public services (on area schools, hospitals, and the criminal justice system); and most of the newcomers were showing little interest in going home.

KATRINA IN TWO PHASES: FROM CIVIC PRIDE TO “COMPASSION FATIGUE”?

Page 36: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 29: PERCEPTIONS OF THE EFFECTS ON HOUSTON OF THE EVACUEES (HAS, 2006)

97

74

66

2

2225

14

9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

The Houston community reallycame together to help the evacuees.

Helping the evacuees has put aconsiderable strain on the Houston

community.

A major increase in violent crimehas occurred in Houston because

of the evacuees.

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Agree

Disagree

No opinion

Page 37: Houston Area Survey

FIGURE 30: SUMMARY ASSESSMENTS OF THE KATRINA EXPERIENCE (2006-2007)

36.3

10.7

46.7

64.8

17.0

24.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

2006 2007

Pe

rce

nt

of

Re

sp

on

de

nts

Good thing Bad thing Not clear/Can't say

"On balance would you say that the overall impact of the evacuees on Houston has been a good thing for the city or a bad thing for the city?"

"Would you say that the overall impact of the Katrina evacuees, who came to Houston morethan a year ago, has been a good thing or a bad thing for the city, or has it had no clear effect?"

Page 38: Houston Area Survey

CAN THE CIVIC ENERGY MOBILIZED BY KATRINA BE RECAPTURED TO MEET HOUSTON’S CENTRAL CHALLENGES?

This city and nation will need to nurture a far more educated workforce, and fashion policies that can reduce the growing inequalities and prevent the rise of a new urban underclass.

To attract the most innovative companies and talented indi- viduals, Houston will need to become a more environmen- tally appealing urban destination, and develop the research centers that will fuel the new engines of economic growth.

If the region is to flourish in the 21st century, it will need to grow into a more inclusive multiethnic society, one with true equality of opportunity, where all communities are invited to participate as full partners in shaping the Houston future.

Page 39: Houston Area Survey

Professor Stephen L. KlinebergDepartment of Sociology, MS-28Rice University, P. O. Box 1892Houston, Texas 77251-1892

Telephone: 713-348-3484 or 713-665-2010

email address: [email protected]

Web: www.houstonareasurvey.org

For additional copies of the 2005 report, call Rice University at: 713-348-4225.

CONTACT INFORMATION