holistic ship design optimisation: applications to the design

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HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design of Tankers and Passenger Ships by Apostolos Papanikolaou National Technical University of Athens - NTUA Ship Design Laboratory – SDL http://www.naval.ntua.gr/sdl Safety and Energy Efficient Marine Operations TRAINMOS II, 17-19 November 2015, Glasgow

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Page 1: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design of Tankers

and Passenger Ships

by Apostolos Papanikolaou

National Technical University of Athens - NTUA Ship Design Laboratory – SDL

http://www.naval.ntua.gr/sdl

Safety and Energy Efficient Marine Operations TRAINMOS II, 17-19 November 2015, Glasgow

Page 2: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

List of contents

1.  Introduction to Holistic Ship Design Optimisation !  Important Ship Design Optimization Notions ! Holistic Ship Design Optimisation ! Multi-objective Optimisation ! Risk based Ship Design

2.  Multi-objective Optimisation of Tanker Design

3.  Multi-objective Optimisation of Passenger Ships

4.  Conclusions- The Way Ahead

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 2

Page 3: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Important Design Optimization Notions (1)

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 3

!  Holism (philosophical notion, from Greek όλος, meaning entire, total)- adj. holistic

The properties of a system cannot be determined or explained by looking at its component parts alone; instead of, the system as a whole determines the behaviour of the part components, i.e. interactions between the components cannot be neglected. “The whole is more than the sum of the parts” (Aristotle ‘’Metaphysics’’)

!  Reductionism-reduction: is sometimes interpreted as the opposite of holism. ” A complex system can be approached by reduction to its fundamental parts”

!  Holism and reductionism need, for proper account of complex systems, to be regarded as complementary approaches to system analysis.

Page 4: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Important Design Optimization Notions (2)

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 4

!  Risk (from Greek ρίζα , meaning root, later used in Latin for cliff) –  was originally introduced in economic sciences –  Definition of financial risk: “A quantifiable likelihood (probability)

of loss or of less-than-expected returns” – Later introduction in the assessment of safety critical

engineering systems (nuclear power plants) – Much later introduction to the assessment of safety of ships

through the pioneering work of Prof. K. Wendel (Germany) in the probabilistic theory of ship’s damage stability (early 60ties)

!  Risk (general): “A quantifiable likelihood (probability) for the upset

of an acceptable state or of a worse-than-expected state condition”

!  Risk = E (loss) = Σ Pi x Ci = Σ frN(i) x loss (i)

!  Safety: may be defined as “A socially acceptable state of risk”

Page 5: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Important Design Optimization Notions (3)

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 5

!  Optimization: “The identification of the best out of a series of many feasible options”

!  Holistic Ship Design Optimisation is… “The multi-objective optimisation of ship design considering simultaneously all (holistically) design aspects, like

–  Intact and damage stability, –  Resistance and propulsion, –  seakeeping, added resistance in waves, manoeuvrability, –  Structural design, –  Arrangements and outfitting, –  Shipbuilding and operational costs, in- and out cash flow, etc…

–  for the entire ship life cycle”.

Page 6: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Important Design Optimization Notions (4) – Typical assessment criteria-indices for

holistic ship design optimization

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 6

!  Required Freight rate (RFR): The freight rate per ton of transported cargo which covers all expenses, with a remainder sufficient for a reasonable return on the shipbuilding investment. Actual freight rates are set by the market and fluctuate during ship’s life cycle.

!  Net Present Value (NPV): is the sum of the present values of all cash flows (in and out) discounted at a rate consistent with the ship investment's risk. The RFR is the freight rate producing discounted cash flows with zero NPV, i.e. the break even rate.

!  EEDI: Energy Efficiency Design Index !  Building Cost, Yearly Operational Cost. Life Cycle Cost !  Cost for Averting fatalities (CAF): originally estimated 3.0 Mio US$ (1996), updated by project

GOALDS (2012) 7.45 Mio US$ !  Gross Cost for Averting Fatalities (GCAF) =ΔCost of applied Risk Control Options (RCOs)/ ΔRisk of fatalities of human lives

!  Net Cost of Averting Fatalities (NCAF) = ΔCost-ΔBenefit/ΔRisk !  Oil Outflow Index (OOI) = the % of carried oil which is statistically expected to be released to

the marine environment over ship’s life cycle due to collision and grounding damages !  Attained Subdivision Index (A): the probability of ship’s loss (capsize and/or sinking) due to

side collision and flooding !  Required Subdivision Index (R): is set by regulation as a function of ship size and People On-

Board POB (effect of extent of live boats)…..A > R

Page 7: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Holistic Design Optimisation-Generic Problem

Design Optimization

INPUT DATA GIVEN BY OWNER REQUIREMENTS

AND/OR PARENT HULL

•Deadweight, payload •Speed •Maximum Draft •Initial Arrangement •etc..

VARIATION OF DESIGN PARAMETERS •  Hull form •  Arrangement of spaces •  Arrangements of (main) outfitting •  Structural arrangements •  Network arrangements (piping, electrical, etc) •  etc…

Parametric Model of Ship Geometry and Outfitting

OPTIMISATION CRITERIA •Maximization of Performance/Efficiency Indicators •Minimization of Environmental Impact Indicators •Minimization of Building and Operational Costs •Maximization of investment profit •Minimization of investment risk •etc…

CONSTRAINTS

• Regulations set by society • Market demand/supply • Cost for major materials, fuel and workmanship • Other, case dependent constraints

Output

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 7

Page 8: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Important Design Optimization Notions (5)

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 8

–  Major design optimization objectives (…merit functions, criteria, indices…) !  Performance/Efficiency !  Safety !  Cost

–  Major design optimization constraints !  Safety regulations !  State of market (demand, supply, cost of steel, fuel, etc) !  Other, more case specific

!  Considering the risk of an investment in a new shipbuilding, the design of

which should be holistically optimized, we might interpret the Holistic

Ship Design Optimisation also as a generic Risk-based Ship Design

Optimisation, in which the risk of an investment with specific profit

expectation is minimised , or the profit maximised for an acceptable risk.

Page 9: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Fundamentals of Mathematical MULTI-OBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION

!  Ship design is a typical mathematical optimization problem of multiple (in many cases contradicting) objectives and constraints. Typical objectives in ship design (to be minimized within a multi-objective optimization procedure), are:

–  Steel weight, –  Powering and other hydrodynamic criteria (added resistance in waves, seakeeping, maneuvering,

etc..) –  Economic criteria: Shipbuilding and Operational cost, Required Freight Rate, Net Present Value –  Environmental criteria: accidental oil outflow, wave wash-HSC, EEDI

!  The result of a multi-objective optimization is a set of “best designs”, i.e. designs which in order to further improve one design attribute (objective) the Decision Maker (DM =designer) has to sacrifice the performance of another.

!  This set of “best designs” is known as the Pareto Set and its graphical depiction is the Pareto Frontier.

!  One of the most efficient methods for finding the Pareto Frontier is the Multi-objective Genetic Algorithms (MOGA) method.

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 9

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MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION MAKING (MCDM)

!  With the Pareto set of non-dominated designs in hand, the Decision Maker has to select the optimal solution according to his preferences. This can be done in a number of ways: –  Use of the Utility Function technique for ranking the different

designs –  Use of Scatter 2D & 3D diagrams for visually identifying the more

attractive designs, compare them on the basis of his criteria- preferences and intuitively (experience) select the optimum or set- up relevant utility function (see above)

–  Use other visual tools (parallel plots, histograms, frequency plots, Student plots etc.) and decide again according to his experience

!  For the finally selected set of designs, a 2nd stage, local hull form hydrodynamic optimization may be performed leading to the final design

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 10

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Generic Ship Design Optimization Software Platform of NTUA-SDL

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 11

Page 12: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Optimization Flowchart, V.1 Integrated NAPA®-FRONTIER®-POSEIDON® Platform

Create Design Variable Vector NAPA

Read Design Variables Vector

Read Parameter Values

Create Geometric Model

Calculate Capacity

Calculate Oil Outflow

Frontier Calculate Intact & Damage Stability

POSEIDON

Create Structural model

Check Required Scantlings

Calculate Steel weight in cargo space area

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 12

Page 13: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Create  Structural  model  

Check  MARPOL  Requirements  

Create  Objec<ves  

Fron<er  

Create  Design  Variable  Vector  NAPA-­‐1  

Read  Design  Variables  Vector  

Read  Parameter  Values  

Create  Hullform  

Create  Capacity  Plan  

Calculate  Steel  weight  Distribu<on  

POSEIDON  

Check  Required  Scantlings  

NAPA-­‐2  

Calculate  Lightship  &  DWT  

Resistance  Code  (SHIPFLOW,  CFD  etc.)  

Create    calcula<on    

grid  

Calculate    Total    

Resistance  

Optimization Flowchart, V.2 Integrated NAPA-FRONTIER-POSEIDON-SHIPFLOW Platform

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 13

Page 14: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Final Optimization Flowchart BEST+ Integrated FS-NAPA-POSEIDON Platform

Hull Form Generation

Tank Computation

Cargo Hold Mass Computation

Total Mass Computation

Max. Speed Computation

Stability, Trim, Draft Computation

Oil Outflow Index Computation

EEDI Computation

(Economic) Target Evaluation

FFW

NAPA

Optimization Flowchart

Optimization Control (FFW)

hullform IGES file

COT compartmentation file

structural configuration file

poseidon template file

hydrodynamic response

surface file

POSEIDON

generated file

(fix) configuration file

BEST plus – a novel AFRAMAX tanker design concept | last modified: 2011-01-20, PCS | No. 1

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 14

Page 15: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Implementation 1: Parametric Model in NAPA® – GA of Reference Ship

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 15

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Implementation 2: Friendship Framework System® AFRAMAX Tanker GUI

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 16

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Details of parametric models and design parameters: the structural design model

General Arrangement created from FFW ....

... translates into structural CSR model in Poseidon*

including arrangement of

•girders •stiffeners •cutouts •plates

•compartments

* slop tanks not modelled

... and structural template model ...

A. PaHpaOnLikIoSlaToIuC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Page 18: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Structural detail for raised double bottom at COT no 1

A continuous ramp is used to link the inner bottom with varying heights near COT no 1.

A. Papanikolaou 18 HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

Page 19: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Initial Studies of AFRAMAX Tanker Pareto Frontier Designs

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 1919

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Multi-criteria Decision Making by Utility Functions Technique – Equal Weights (1)

Case 6x3 Flat Design ID 1710 (#1) Cargo.Vol 129804 (+2%)

Oil.Outflow 0.00777 (-23%)

Wst.cargo.area 10908 (-2%)

Reference Design Cargo.Vol 126765 Oil.Outflow 0.01006 Wst.cargo.area 11077

Case 6x3 Flat Design ID 2122 (#2) Cargo.Vol 135950 (+7%)

Oil.Outflow 0.00942 (-6%)

Wst.cargo.area 11013 (-1%)

A. Papanikolaou RB OptimHizOaLtIiSoTnICoSfHTIaPnDkEeSrIGDNesOiPgTnIM- IASApTrI0O9N 2020

Page 21: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Multi-criteria Decision Making by Utility Functions Technique – Unequal Weights (2)

Case 6x3 Flat Design ID 2069 Cargo.Vol 137494 (+8%)

Oil.Outflow 0.0111 (+10%)

Wst.cargo.area 10894 (-2%)

Reference Design Cargo.Vol 126765 Oil.Outflow 0.01006 Wst.cargo.area 11077

Case 6x3 Flat Design ID 2122 (#2) Cargo.Vol 135950 (+7%)

Oil.Outflow 0.00942 (-6%)

Wst.cargo.area 11013 (-1%)

A. Papanikolaou RB OptimHizOaLtIiSoTnICoSfHTIaPnDkEeSrIGDNesOiPgTnIM- IASApTrI0O9N 2121

Page 22: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

BEST (Better Economics with a Safer Tanker)® A novel AFRAMAX tanker design

by Germanischer Lloyd and NTUA-SDL

Page 23: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Background !Oil tanker design was lately driven mainly by production aspects. The product has changed little."!A recent analysis(1) for large oil tankers documented that the risk to environment is dominated by collision, grounding and fire."!In response, GL and the National Technical University of Athens (NTUA) teamed up in 2008 and developed a novel AFRAMAX tanker design concept."!The design was called BEST – Better Economics with a Safer Tanker – and it won the Greek Lloyd’s List Shipping Award for technical innovation in 2009. !GL also received feedback from shipyards and operators regarding the desired features of the new design and now focuses on, compared to traditional designs, less extreme layout variations."!The novel BEST+ design enhances the attractiveness of the initial concept by also integrating hydrodynamic optimisation of the hull form."

P o ten tial lo ss o f carg o fro m o il tan kers

24

20

16

12

8

4

0

p e

r s

h ip

yea

r

HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

Page 24: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

Local hull form optimisation: CFD simulation within BEST+

!SHIPFLOW by FLOWTECH –  Well established and

validated –  Robust and relatively fast

!Zonal approach –  Potential flow analysis

!  Free trim and sinkage !  Non-linear free surface

boundary conditions –  Boundary layer computation –  RANSE simulation

!  Overlapping grid technology

A. Papanikolaou 24

Page 25: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

2nd stage hydrodynamic optimisation procedure

!Pre-determine for a large set of variants

–  Wave resistance from non-linear potential flow theory

–  Viscous resistance from RANSE !  Taking into account the

propeller via an actuator disc !  Double-model assumption

(waves ignored) –  Wake quality from RANSE

!  Correlate propulsive efficiency from a criterion that takes into account loading and wake homogeneity

!Use pre-determined hydrodynamics

–  Build response surface models (RSM) via ‘’kriging’’ interpolation approach

!  Total resistance !  Propulsion characteristics,

assuming standard propeller –  Get fast feedback for each

variant from RSM in holistic optimization

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Page 26: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Panels and grids

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Page 27: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Hydrodynamics of final hull at 13, 14, 15 and 16kn

Scantling draft = 14.8m

Design draft = 13.7m

V = 13kn V = 14kn

V = 15kn

V = 16kn

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Page 28: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

Final hull form visualisation

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 28

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Final hull form visualisation

A. Papanikolaou 29 HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Speed-power curves (incl. sensitivities)

Scantling draft = 14.8m

Design draft = 13.7m

30 A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Sample results: Oil outflow index vs. cost of transport

0.959

0.96

0.961

0.962

0.963

0.964

0.965

0.966

0.967

0.0115 0.0125 0.0155 0.0165 0.0135 0.0145

Oil Outflow Index

No

rmal

ized

Co

st o

f Tr

ansp

ort

selected design

MARPOL limit

# An oil outflow index 20% less than the MARPOL limit can be reached for the considered 6x2 layout

# A minimum oil outflow index design has an increased cost of transport of 0.5%

!  Variation of •  angle of hopper plate [30°...60°] •  width of hopper plate [4m...6m] •  distance from inner hull to outer hull [2.1m...3m*]

*5m height of innerbottom in foremost tank HA.OPLaISpTanICikoSlHaIoPu DESIGN OPTIMISATION

31

Page 32: HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design

The BEST plus team

from left to right: Prof. Apostolos Papanikolaou, NTUA; Dr. Stefan Harries, Friendship Systems, Dr. Pierre. C. Sames, GL, Mattia Brenner, Friendship Systems, Prof. George Zaraphonitis, NTUA, Marc Wilken, GL

A. Papanikolaou 32 HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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7

7.2

7.8

8

8.2

8.4

8.6

9.2

9

8.8

9.4

10

9.8

9.6

0.007 0.008 0.009 0.01 0.011 0.014 0.015

Req

uire

d F

reig

ht R

ate

(USD

/ton

ne, 1

000$

/t)

Scatter Diagrams-150 Generations each with 30 Population of 5x3 COT AFRAMAX tanker designs vs. 6x2 COT traditional (ref. ship) and

improved designs (BEST+, 6x2)

Second Optimization (150X30 Designs, Design Speed 15knots) RFR vs. Oil Outflow

5X3 Twin Skeg (4500 variants)

BEST+

I.D 2590 (a)

I.D 2515 (a)

I.D 3210 (b)

I.D 1431 (b)

I.D 4567 (b)

I.D 4416 (b)

I.D 4247 (b)

7.6 I.D 559 (b)

7.4

I.D 2111 (b)

6X2 Reference

Improvement of 34.7% in OOI

BEST OOI

0.012 0.013

BEST RFR Possible compromise

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 33

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Scatter Diagrams-150 Generations each with 30 Population of 5x3 COT tanker designs vs. 6x2 COT traditional and improved

designs (BEST+)

2.9

3

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.9

4

6 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.8 7 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.8 8 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9

EE

DI

(Acc

. IM

O M

EP

C 6

2)

Required Freight Rate (USD/tonne, HFO 1000 $/t)

Second Optimization (150X30 Designs, Design Speed 15 knots) EEDI vs. RFR

5X3 Twin Skeg (4500 variants)

BEST+

ID 2590 (a)

I.D 2515 (a)

I.D 3210 (b)

3.5 I.D 1431 (b)

3.4 I.D 4567 (b)

3.3

I.D 4416 (b)

3.2

I.D 4247 (b) 3.1

I.D 559 (b)

I.D 2111 (b)

BEST OOI BEST RFR BEST EEDI

Frequent Dominant Variants indicated by utility functions

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 34

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Operational Analysis-Optimal Speed $  Investigation of the optimal ship speed (slow steaming of 5x3 design):

$  The ship were the RFR is minimum!

$  Three scenarios for fuel cost: $  500, 750 (current price) and 1000 USD/tonne. $  The 1000 $/t is very likely to come in effect with Ultra Low Sulphur Fuels

$  Speed Curves: 9

8.8

8.6 8.4

8.2 8

7.8 7.6 7.4

7.2 7

6.8 6.6

6.4 6.2

6 5.8

5.6 5.4 5.2

5 6 7 8 9 14 15 16 17

Req

uire

d F

reig

ht R

ate

(USD

/ton

ne)

10 11 12 13

Operating Speed (knots)

Speed-RFR Curves

HFO 1000 $/t

HFO 750$/t

HFO 500$/t

10.75 knots

11.7 knots

13 knots

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 35

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!  The proposed designs can be readily built at slightly higher cost (initial investment) and are economically very attractive to operate (significantly reduced freight rates).

!  The introduction of raised double-bottom height in the forward part of the ship (and possibly raised deck by a linear sheer) is very simple and yet has a great potential as RCO (Risk Control Option); considering the frequency of grounding incidents in the bow region it appears to be an attractive safety measure to be quickly adopted.

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 36

Feasibility Prospects

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Risk-based RoPax Design Optimisation EU project GOALDS

!  The case study focuses on the conceptual/preliminary stage by internal optimising ship’s

compartmentation. main dimensions, hull form and

Details of the present study were presented at STAB2012 by a joint paper of NTUA and FINCANTIERI (Zaraphonitis et al)

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 37

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NTUA-SDL Coordinator

Vienna Model Basin Ltd.

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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State of the market: The problem and the challenges

39

Comparable max. data Titanic capacity (max): pass 2435, crew 892 total 3,327 Allure of the Seas capacity (max): Pass 6,296, crew 2,394 total 8,690

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION

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Conducted Optimization Studies

To investigate the impact of the GOALDS probability of survival formulation on the design and operational characteristics of ROPAX and Cruise ships, a series of sample ships has been selected to be re-designed for:

•  enhanced survivability (minimum risk for Loss of Lives), considering also

•  building cost,

•  efficiency in operation

•  and lifecycle cost

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 40

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Original Design: Medium Size RoPax designed by Fincantieri/Italy

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M ain dimensions, Medium Length between perpendiculars

Size RoPax

162.85 m

Subdivision length 182 m Breadth 27.6 m Subdivision draught 7.10 m Height of bulkhead deck 9.80 m Number of passengers 2080 Number of crew 120 Gross tonnage abt. 36000 Deadweight 5000 t Lane meters 1950m R index (SOLAS2009) 0.79804 A index (SOLAS2009) 0.80305 A index (GOALDS) 0.82666

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 42

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Medium size ROPAX: Developed customized full parametric model in NAPA® for

change of main dimensions, hull form and internal compartmentation: here, change of beam

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 43

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Basic Features of developed Parametric Model in NAPA®

•  Initialization phase (read input variables) •  Definition phase

1.  Create the hullform and internal arrangement 2.  Define loading conditions 3.  Define openings, cross-connections, escape routes

•  Evaluation phase 1.  Evaluate geometric constraints 2.  Calculate lanes length and transport capacity 3.  Estimate resistance and propulsion power 4.  Calculate intact stability 5.  Calculate A-SOLAS 2009 and A-GOALDS 6.  Calculate economic indicators 7.  Calculate Potential Loss of Life (PLL)

•  Print output files

A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 44

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Optimization Variables (range)

Medium size RoPax: formulation of the optimization problem

Objective Functions LREF 157m BREF 27.5m

- 167m - 28.2m

min(PLLG) min(Econ. Impact)

TREF 6.8m - 7.2m DBTHT-AFT 2.3m - 2.8m DBTHT-MID 1.5m - 2.0m Constraints DBTHT-FWD 1.4m - 1.9m • ASOLAS-R>0 DK1HT 2.3m - 2.6m •  PLLG<PLLGINIT

DK2HT 2.1m - 2.3m •  Intact Stability DK3HT 3.0m - 4.2m Requirements DK4HT 5.4m - 5.8m • GM<3.5m Number of Feasible Designs: 423 Number of Unfeasible Designs: 124

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (1)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (3)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (4)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (5)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (6)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (7)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (8)

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Medium size RoPax, Optimization results (9)

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Op#miza#on  of  medium  size  ROPAX  (ship  3)    by  NTUA/FC  

General arrangement of optimised design (V467) A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 54

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e   h  

Op#miza#on  of  m   dium  size  

Original

ROPAX  (s  Design 467

ip  3)  

Diff.

Diff. (%) Length Reference (m) 162.845 167.000 4.155 2.55% Beam (m) 27.600 28.200 0.600 2.17% Draught Subdivision (m) 7.029 6.922 -0.107 -1.52% Height to bulkhead deck (m) 9.800 10.250 0.450 4.59% DWT (t) 5253 5424 170.500 3.25% Lightship (t) 14000 14356 356.100 2.54% Lanes Length (m) 1950 2011 60.870 3.12% CAPEX (m$) 0.000 2.180 2.180 Gross Economic Impact (m$)

0.000

5.900

5.900

GMS (m) 2.123 2.516 0.393 18.51% GMP (m) 1.933 2.455 0.522 27.01% GML (m) 2.768 3.316 0.547 19.77% A SOLAS 0.823 0.882 0.060 7.27% A GOALDS 0.827 0.884 0.057 6.95% PLL (SOLAS) 4.006 2.656 -1.350 -33.69% PLL (GOALDS) 3.914 2.617 -1.298 -33.15% A SOLAS 0.823 0.913 0.090 10.94% A GOALDS 0.827 0.917 0.090 10.88% PLL (SOLAS) 4.006 1.968 -2.038 -50.87% PLL (GOALDS) 3.914 1.883 -2.031 -51.89%

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Op#miza#on  of  Panamax  Cruise  Ship  (ship  5)    by  NTUA-­‐STX-­‐FR  

General arrangement of optimised designs: V636 (left) and V752 (right) A. Papanikolaou HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION 56

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Op#miza#on  o  

f  Panamax  C  

Original

ruise  Ship  (ship  5  

V636

)  

V752

Length Overall 293.80m 293.80m 296.60m

Length between perpendiculars

269.14 m 269.14 m 271.94 m (+2.80)

Subdivision length

288.663 m 288.07 m 291.01 m

Moulded Breadth 32.2 m 32.9 m (+ 0.70m) 33.4 m (+1.20m)

Subdivision draught

7.85 m 7.798 m (-0.05m) 7.684m ( -0.17m)

Roll Period 19.8 18.1 (-8.6%) 16.9 (-14.6%)

Econ. Impact 0 -0.11 14.06

A SOLAS 0.81794 0.90025 (+10.1%) 0.93725 (14.6%)

A GOALDS 0.86527 0.93296 (+7.8%) 0.95906 (10.8%)

PLL SOLAS 2.12008 1.16158 (-45.2%) 0.73072 (-65.5%)

PLL GOALDS 1.56892 0.78068 (-50.2%) 0.47674 (-69.6%)

GCAF SOLAS -0.11413 10.08095

GCAF GOALDS -0.13867 12.8146

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Comparison of Original and Optimized Designs (series of conducted studies for different number of POB)

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Conclusions on passenger ship results (1)

} Results from the optimization of a medium size ROPAX design were presented, including damage stability calculations according to SOLAS 2009 and GOALDS formulations.

and AGOALDS with } There is a close relationship between ASOLAS AGOALDS being slightly greater.

} AGOALDS is based on a new formula for ‘s’. Validation studies demonstrated improved correlation of the new s factor with numerical simulations and experimental data.

} It maybe argued therefore that AGOALDS represents an improved measure of safety of a passenger ship in damaged condition.

} The obtained results indicate that there is room for a significant increase of the Required Subdivision Index in comparison with the requirements of SOLAS 2009.

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Conclusions on passenger ship results (2)

} Ship design is a complex process, and it is difficult to capture all design details within a parametric model.

} The obtained results in terms of stability and economic impact must be treated with some caution.

} Nevertheless, the applied optimization methodology could be a valuable tool to:

% the designer in the exploration of the huge design space,

% administrators/regulators in defining reasonable levels of ship’s survivability that can be achieved cost effectively.

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Four (4) decades after the introduction of the Computer-Aided Ship Design and Optimisation in the 60ties, with the land marking contribution of em. Prof. Horst Nowacki, we can certainly say that today’s state of the art, knowledge and technology in the field allows comprehensive holistic multi- objective optimisation approaches to the design of a ship as a system (and its individual components or for individual objectives/functions) for her entire life cycle, leading to ships of enhanced efficiency, safety, comfort and environmental protection to the benefit of society, world and national economies and of the shipping industry.

It should be noted, however, that the implementation of the required relevant optimisation procedures needs still to be developed for a long list of practical cases by experienced software programmers supported by ship designers (ideally by naval architects), which will be a demanding R&D task for the decade(s) to come.

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Overall Conclusions – The Way Ahead

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HOLISTIC SHIP DESIGN OPTIMISATION: Applications to the Design of Tankers

and Passenger Ships

by Apostolos Papanikolaou

National Technical University of Athens - NTUA Ship Design Laboratory – SDL

http://www.naval.ntua.gr/sdl

Safety and Energy Efficient Marine Operations TRAINMOS II, 17-19 November 2015, Glasgow