health it: hope, hype, and how to avoid the road to hell · 2019. 9. 23. · health it: hope, hype,...

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Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO, CHCF American Medical Informatics Association Annual Symposium November 15, 2009

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Page 1: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

Health IT: Hope, Hype, andHow to Avoid the Road to Hell

Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A.

President and CEO, CHCF

American Medical Informatics Association

Annual Symposium

November 15, 2009

Page 2: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Outline

The Hope

The Hype

How to Avoid the Road: Three Suggestions

A Final Admonition …

A Disclaimer

Page 3: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 4: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 5: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 6: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 7: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 8: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 9: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

My favorite workshop title:

“How to Capture Every Single Dollar

of Available Stimulus Money”

Page 10: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 11: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 12: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 13: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 14: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 15: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 16: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Simple, Clear Questions

Page 17: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Use of Graphics/Pictures

Page 18: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Data from Follow-up Surveys

Opinion of the Kiosk Experience

Easy to use 98%

Would recommend to family/friends 91%

Would recommend development of modules

for other uses95%

Page 19: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Data from Follow-up SurveysPercent rating “good” or “excellent”

Control Kiosk

Overall satisfaction 17% 68%

Satisfaction with treatment

explanation50% 71%

Satisfaction with time spent

in ED0% 45%

Satisfaction with time spent

with doctor17% 60%

Page 20: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

DiabetesMine Design Challenge

Page 21: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 22: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Gartner Hype CycleWe are here

Peak of Inflated Expectations

Plateau of Productivity

Slope of Enlightenment

Trough of Disillusionment

Technology Trigger

Page 23: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

LA Times - February 22

This year or next, Congress will almost certainly enact a

comprehensive medical insurance plan to provide coverage

for almost everyone in the country, along with supporting

programs for improving the nation's health care system

The President will submit his proposals for reorganization,

Sen. Edward M. Kennedy and others have offered theirs.

There is not argument about the need for reforms; everyone

agrees our present system is unsatisfactory. Rather the

debate will be on the scope and methods of change

-- 1971

Page 24: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

LA Times - February 22 -- 1971

President Nixon has submitted

This year or next, Congress will almost certainly enact a

comprehensive medical insurance plan to provide coverage

for almost everyone in the country, along with supporting

programs for improving the nation's health care system

his proposals for reorganization,

Sen. Edward M. Kennedy and others have offered theirs.

There is not argument about the need for reforms; everyone

agrees our present system is unsatisfactory. Rather the

debate will be on the scope and methods of change

Page 25: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Individual Physician Use of Electronic Health RecordsCalifornia vs. U. S., 2007

40%

28%

34%

37%

Don't use/don't plan to implement EHRs within the next year

Use EHRs

California

U.S.

Source: Health Perspectives in California. 2007 Survey of Primary Care Physicians. Harris Interactive. June 2007.

Page 26: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Physician Use of EHRs, by Practice SizeCalifornia, 2007

56%

13%

47%

25%

14%

57%

2%

79%

Don't use/don't plan to implement EHRs within the next year

Use EHRs

Kaiser

Large Practice

Small/Medium Practice

Solo Practitioner

Notes: Large practice is 10 or more physicians; small/medium practice is 2 to 9 physicians (excluding Kaiser).

Source: Health Perspectives in California. 2007 Survey of Primary Care Physicians. Harris Interactive. June 2007.

Page 27: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Hell

Page 28: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 29: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Three Modest Suggestions

1. Pay attention to policy

2. Pay attention to key technology issues

3. Gird your loins to fight the forces of inertia

and incumbency

Page 30: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Critical Policy Areas

Reimbursement

Comparative effectiveness

Regulations obstructing New Things

in health care

Page 31: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

New Things . . .

Page 32: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Critical Technology Areas

Embrace affordability

Focus attention on the consumer

Simplicity

Elegance

Invite new disciplines

End analog limbo

Page 33: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Help Lead the Way

Substitute lesser-trained for more highly

trained people

Substitute lay people for professionals

Substitute machines (i.e., computers) for people

Page 34: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 35: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Whac-a-Mole: The Health Care Edition

Page 36: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Outline

The Hope

The Hype

How to Avoid the Road – Three Suggestions

A Final Admonition …

Page 37: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Page 38: Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell · 2019. 9. 23. · Health IT: Hope, Hype, and How to Avoid the Road to Hell Mark D. Smith, M.D., M.B.A. President and CEO,

CALIFORNIA HEALTHCARE FOUNDATION

www.chcf.org

Questions from the Audience