hazard analysis and risk assessments for industrial

13
Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Islam H. Afefy* Industrial Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Fayoum University, Fayoum, Egypt (Received: July 23, 2015 / Revised: October 19, 2015 / Accepted: November 2, 2015) ABSTRACT Several risk assessment techniques have been presented and investigated in previous research, focusing mainly on the failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA). FMEA can be employed to determine where failures can occur within in- dustrial systems and to assess the impact of such failures. This research proposes a novel methodology for hazard analysis and risk assessments that integrates FMEA with the bow-tie model. The proposed method has been applied and evaluated in a real industrial process, illustrating the effectiveness of the proposed method. Specifically, the bow- tie diagram of the critical equipment in the adopted plant in the case study was built. Safety critical barriers are identi- fied and each of these is assigned to industrial process with an individual responsible. The detection rating to the fail- ure mode and the values of risk priority number (RPN) are calculated. The analysis shows the high values of RPN are 500 and 490 in this process. A global corrective actions are suggested to improve the RPN measure. Further manage- rial insights have been provided. Keywords: Safety, FMEA, RPN, Bow-tie * Corresponding Author, E-mail: [email protected] 1. INTRODUCTION For any industry processes to be successful, it has become essential to identify and analysis of the hazards types and sources, to assess the associated risks and to bring the risks to an acceptable level. The bow-tie model was applied to large scale industries, for the probabilis- tic assessment of risks of major industrial accidents. Many researches on FMEA have been carried out but still some applied research in the industrial processes field is required so, about explore the successful utiliza- tion of the FMEA technique in the area of manufactur- ing and design in large industrial process scale. Liu et al. (2011) discussed traditional FMEA Using fuzzy eviden- tial reasoning approach and grey theory. A Novel ap- proach for prioritization of failure modes in FMEA us- ing multi criteria decision making techniques (MCDMT) is discussed by Maheswaran and Logan (Maheswaran and Logan, 2013). Bow-tie diagram combines fault tree (FT) and event tree (ET) analyses to explore the primary causes and consequences of a critical event (Kahn et al., 2014). The bow-tie diagram has widely been used in risk analysis, reliability engineering and safety assessment presented by Aneziris et al. (2008). Bellamy et al. (2013) intro- duced an application of bow-tie in industrial practice, the “Storybuilder” method, to identify the dominant pat- terns of safety barrier failures, barrier task failures, and underlying management flaws. An evaluation of barrier performance can be achieved with this approach. An im- portant and useful feature is that this barrier analysis helps to identify missing or ill-designed barriers that is a key- Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391 http://dx.doi.org/10.7232/iems.2015.14.4.379 ISSN 1598-7248EISSN 2234-6473© 2015 KIIE

Upload: others

Post on 16-Jan-2022

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA

and Bow-Tie Methodologies

Islam H. Afefy* Industrial Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Fayoum University, Fayoum, Egypt

(Received: July 23, 2015 / Revised: October 19, 2015 / Accepted: November 2, 2015)

ABSTRACT

Several risk assessment techniques have been presented and investigated in previous research, focusing mainly on the failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA). FMEA can be employed to determine where failures can occur within in-dustrial systems and to assess the impact of such failures. This research proposes a novel methodology for hazard analysis and risk assessments that integrates FMEA with the bow-tie model. The proposed method has been applied and evaluated in a real industrial process, illustrating the effectiveness of the proposed method. Specifically, the bow-tie diagram of the critical equipment in the adopted plant in the case study was built. Safety critical barriers are identi-fied and each of these is assigned to industrial process with an individual responsible. The detection rating to the fail-ure mode and the values of risk priority number (RPN) are calculated. The analysis shows the high values of RPN are 500 and 490 in this process. A global corrective actions are suggested to improve the RPN measure. Further manage-rial insights have been provided. Keywords: Safety, FMEA, RPN, Bow-tie * Corresponding Author, E-mail: [email protected]

1. INTRODUCTION

For any industry processes to be successful, it has become essential to identify and analysis of the hazards types and sources, to assess the associated risks and to bring the risks to an acceptable level. The bow-tie model was applied to large scale industries, for the probabilis-tic assessment of risks of major industrial accidents. Many researches on FMEA have been carried out but still some applied research in the industrial processes field is required so, about explore the successful utiliza-tion of the FMEA technique in the area of manufactur-ing and design in large industrial process scale. Liu et al. (2011) discussed traditional FMEA Using fuzzy eviden-tial reasoning approach and grey theory. A Novel ap-proach for prioritization of failure modes in FMEA us-

ing multi criteria decision making techniques (MCDMT) is discussed by Maheswaran and Logan (Maheswaran and Logan, 2013).

Bow-tie diagram combines fault tree (FT) and event tree (ET) analyses to explore the primary causes and consequences of a critical event (Kahn et al., 2014). The bow-tie diagram has widely been used in risk analysis, reliability engineering and safety assessment presented by Aneziris et al. (2008). Bellamy et al. (2013) intro-duced an application of bow-tie in industrial practice, the “Storybuilder” method, to identify the dominant pat-terns of safety barrier failures, barrier task failures, and underlying management flaws. An evaluation of barrier performance can be achieved with this approach. An im-portant and useful feature is that this barrier analysis helps to identify missing or ill-designed barriers that is a key-

Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391 http://dx.doi.org/10.7232/iems.2015.14.4.379ISSN 1598-7248│EISSN 2234-6473│ © 2015 KIIE

Afefy: Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 380

issue in risk assessment. Kurowicka et al. (2006) gives a detailed account of bow-tie diagram and the barrier func-tions associated with it. A semi-quantitative assessment of occupational risks using bow-tie representation is pre-sented by Celeste and Cristina (2010). They presented and discussed a specific case study, in the shipyard’s technological area of surface treatment and protection, to demonstrate the method’s applicability and usefulness. Techniques to identify and evaluate risks in the process and to decide how to act on them in order to eliminate or reduce them to protect the population and the environ-ment are often mistaken. Summarizing these two cate-gories of techniques, they can distinguish the following general components (Catalin et al., 2013): (1) to identify risks: is the intrinsic presence, observation of what hap-pens. Hazard and operability analysis (HAZOP) method is a method for identifying operational problems associ-ated with the design, maintenance or operation of the safety system. It is an objective process to evaluate the different parts of a given system that provides a system-atic and well-documented potential hazard and (2) risk assessment: their intrinsic presence, previous experience, codes of practice use the method hazard analysis (HAZAN) estimation method used to assess hazards to decide how to take action to eliminate or reduce the risk.

From all the above, it is apparent that bow-tie me-thodology represents a step forward in the current state of the art concerning the management of risks, including those associated with occupational safety. This is the context in which the authors equated the use of the qualitative bow-tie diagram in combination with a ma-trix approach, based on accident statistics of the activity under analysis. To demonstrate the proposed methodol-ogy for hazard and risk assessments analyses, this paper describes an application case in a large industrial scale, called Emisal company which located in Fayoum city, Egypt, whose main activity is to produce anhydrous So-dium Sulphate and Sodium Chloride refined salt), Mag-nesium sulphate Heptahydrate (Epsom salt), Sodium chloride Pure.

Hence, the main objective of this paper, though, is twofold: (1) to explore FMEA methodology for identify-ing potential failure modes for process, assess the risk associated with those failure modes and prioritize issues for corrective action and identify and carry out correc-tive actions to address the most serious concerns and (2) to as certain to what extent the bow-tie diagram would

be successfully applied to occupational risks, in individ-ual firms, by their own people.

3. METHODOLOGY

There are several techniques developed to perform the risk assessment to mitigate the suffering. FMEA is one of the most widely used risk assessment tool. Re-cently, FMEA has been adopted in wide spectrum of fields such as the chemical, aerospace, military, auto-mobile, electrical, mechanical and large scale industries. The FMEA provides reliability and safety of a plant and helps to identify the potential process failures existing in a plant (Arun et al., 2013). Bow-tie model is one of the best tools developed for this communication. Barriers may be strong against a specific accident sequence and hence have smaller holes or weak which contribute to reduction of human error routes and which would permit larger holes (Celeste and Cristina, 2010).

3.1 Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA)

The basic FMEA process is presented in Figure 1. The FMEA process evaluates the overall impact of each and every component failure mode. The FMEA objec-tive is to determine the effect on system reliability from component failures, but the technique can be extended to determine the effect on safety. FMEA input data in-cludes detailed hardware/function design information. Design data may be in the form of the design concept, the operational concept, and major components planned for use in the system and major system functions. FMEA output information includes identification of failure modes in the system under analysis, evaluation of the failure effects, identification of hazards, and identification of system critical items in the form of a critical items list (AIAG, 2002).

Actually, the FMEA methodology is designed to identify potential failure modes for process, assess the risk associated with these failure modes and prioritize issues for corrective action and identify and carry out corrective actions to address the most serious concerns (Virtanen and Hagmark, 2007). In FMEA, failures are prioritized according to how serious their consequences are, how frequently they occur and how easily they can

FMEA Process

1. Evaluate design2. Identify potential failure

modes3. Evaluate effect of each

identified failure mode.4. Document process.

Output

• Failure mode• Consequences• Reliability predication• Hazards & risk• Critical Item List (CIL)

Input

• Design knowledge• Failure knowledge• Failure mode types• Failure rates

Figure 1. FMEA overview.

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 381

be detected. Ideally, FMEA begins during the earliest conceptual stages of design and continues throughout the life of the product or service. Results are used to identify high-vulnerability elements to guide resource deployment.

An FMEA can be done any time in the system. RPN is simply calculated by the following equation:

RPN = Severity (S)×Occurrence (O)

×Detection (D) (1) The total RPN is calculated by adding all of the

risk priority numbers. The small RPN is always better than the high RPN. It could be computed for the entire process and/or for the design process only. Once it is calculated, it is easy to determine the areas of greatest concern. There could be less severe failures, but which occur more often and are less detectable. These actions can include specific inspection, testing or quality proce-dures, redesign (such as selection of new components), adding more redundancy and limiting environmental stresses or operating range. Once the actions have been implemented in the design/process, the new RPN should be checked, to confirm the improvements (Janarthanan, 2013; Abdel-Aziz and Helal, 2012).

3.2 Bow-Tie Methodology

It is used for risk assessment, risk management and risk communication. This methodology is designed to give a better overview of the situation in which certain risks. In addition, bow-tie methodology helps people un-derstand the relationship between the risks and organiza-tional events. It is a graphical tool to illustrate an acci-dent scenario, starting from accident causes and ending with its consequences. While centered on a critical event, bow-tie is composed of FT on the left-hand side identi-fying the possible events causing the critical event (or top event), and ET on the right-hand side showing the possible consequences of the critical event based on the failure or success of safety barriers (Zuijderduijn, 2000; Nicola et al., 2013). Figure 2 identifies the main threats on the left hand-side and demonstrates in a “bow-tie” shape how barriers prevent the escalation of the initial threats to one of several final outcomes. Safety critical barriers are identified and each of these is assigned to a business group with an individual responsible. Outline of bow-tie construction is introduced in Figure 3. Risk in bow-tie methodology is elaborated by the relationship between hazards, top events, threats and consequences (see Figure 4). Barriers are used to display what meas-

Figure 2. Bow-tie modeling.

Figure 3. Bow-tie construction (Ramzan, 2006).

Afefy: Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 382

ures an organization has in place to control the risk. The process involves the systematic identification of hazards and effects, assessment of the associated risks and the

specification of the control and recovery measures which must be in place and maintained in place. Bow-tie dia-grams of industrial processes critical components will be

High High

High High

High

High

CONSEQUENCES LIKELIHOOD

Figure 4. Risk assessment matrix.

Table 1. The bow-tie steps

Steps Model Step 1. Identify the bow-tie hazard

Step 2. Assess the Threats

Step 3. Assess the Consequences

Step 4. Control

Step 5. Recover

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 383

built using risk analysis software (bowtiexp-6.03). From bowtiexp-6.03 software, bow-tie steps are listed in Table 1.

4. CASE STUDY

In this paper, the FMEA and bow-tie methodology areapplied to a particular type of accident in the anhydrous Sodium Sulphate factory, The critical equipment in fac-toryconsists of (melter, boiler, crystallizer, thickener, eva-porators, packing machines, centrifugal pump, plate heat exchanger and screw pumps). This equipment was selec-ted based on analysis of historical data of the factory and interviews with key personnel involved in the safety, maintenance and operation.

5. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS

In this section, results and discussions of real case study analyses are presented. First, the results for hazard analysis through FMEA in case study are discussed. Second, the results associated to the risk analysis thro-ugh the bow-tie diagram are carried out.

5.1 Hazard Analysis Through FMEA

There are nine subsystems identified, at which po-tential failure mode (FM) can occur, as shown in Table 2. In this table, FMEA punctuation form is presented. It shows the form of FMEA for S, O and D. The calculated RPN values and criticality for the failure modes are pre-sented. There are several FM with high values of RPN. It can be observed that the values of RPN for packing

and sewing machines are 500, 490 respectively. Packing machines are the highest criticality values of failure modes. In Figure 4 and Figure 5, comparison between current and new values of RPN for potential failure mode is pre-sented. These figures show that the difference (∆d = RPN Current-RPN New) and difference percentage (∆d% = (∆d/RPN Current)×100) values of RPN for potential fail-ure modes. It is found that there are improvements of these FM which reflect the reducing values of RPN for potential failure modes. Also, it is noticed that the value of RPN for packing machines decreases from 500 in the current conditions to 36 in the new conditions and value of RPN for sewing machine decreases from 490 in the current conditions to 48 in the new conditions. Based on these results, global corrective actions were suggested to improve the RPN.

5.2 Risk Analysis Through the Bow-Tie Diagram

As shown in Figure 7 to Figure 14, the main threats on the left hand-side and demonstrates in a “Bow-tie diagram” shape how barriers prevent the escalation of the initial threats to one of several final outcomes are introduced. As can be seen from these figures, safety critical barriers are identified and each of these is as-si-gned to industrial process with an individual respon-sible. Some shell sites use a feature called matrix of permitted operations which defines in matrix format what activities may or may not be done if the relevant barrier is not functional. This is a form of risk based operations, but it focuses on forbidden operations and it is under-stood the approach has not found favor in ope-rating sites as it is too restrictive on operations. Figure 9 shows bow-tie diagram of packing worker injury. The main

Step 6. Identify threats to the

controls

Step 7. Identify the controls for the

threats to the controls

Afefy: Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 384

Tab

le 2

. FM

EA S

heet

for f

acto

ry

Risk

Fac

tors

(or)

Crite

ria

Subs

yste

m

FM

Pote

ntia

l Fai

lure

Effe

cts

S Po

tent

ial C

ause

s O

Cu

rrent

Con

trols

D

RPN

Curre

ntCo

rrect

ive A

ctio

ns

Reco

mm

ende

d RP

NN

ew

FM 1

: Bu

rst o

f pip

e

due

to p

ipe

bl

ocka

ge

fact

ory

trip

4 D

epos

its in

side p

ipes

3

Non

e 8

96

1. M

aint

enan

ce an

d cl

ean-

ing

the h

eat E

xcha

nger

2. P

reca

utio

n sig

ns.

24

H

eat

ex

chan

ger

FM 2

: Bu

rnin

g

skin

of

op

erat

or

Burn

ing

and

scal

ds

to o

pera

tor.

6 Ba

d in

sula

tion

5 Is

olat

ion

3 90

1. Is

olat

ion

by g

uard

rail.

2.

Pre

vent

ive m

aint

e-na

nce.

3.

War

ning

sign

s. 4.

Wea

ring

PPE

at al

l tim

e.

16

FM 3

: D

raw

bo

dies

Cut a

nd o

ther

inju

ries

and

may

lead

to d

eath

du

e to

the h

igh

kine

tic

ener

gy

invo

lved

in c

entri

fuge

6 O

pera

tor c

onta

ct w

ith

rota

ting

parts

4

Non

e 5

120

1. Is

olat

ion

by g

uard

rail.

2.

War

ning

sign

s. 3.

Tra

inin

g of

wor

kers

to

incr

ease

aw

aren

ess.

40

Cont

inue

s an

d di

scon

tinue

s ce

ntrif

ugal

FM 4

:

Mec

hani

cal

failu

re.

Tota

l des

truct

ion

to th

e m

achi

ne

8 - O

ver l

oad

- No

prev

entiv

e - m

aint

enan

ce

1 N

one

1080

1. P

reve

ntiv

e mai

nte-

nanc

e.

2. W

earin

g PP

E at

all

time.

3.

Fol

low

ing

Ope

ratio

n

man

ual c

orre

ctly

.

20

Pu

mps

FM 5

: M

echa

nica

l fa

ilure

(o

pera

tiona

l pr

oble

m)

Pu

mps

out

of s

ervi

ce

6 In

crea

se so

dium

su

lfate

crys

tals

conc

entra

tions

7

Prev

entiv

e mai

n-te

nanc

e 4

168

No

reco

mm

enda

tion

8

FM

6:

Elec

trici

ty

supp

ly fa

ils

6

- Int

erru

ptio

n in

seco

n-da

ry e

lect

ric li

ne.

- Die

sel g

ener

ator

out

of

serv

ice.

7 D

iese

l gen

erat

or

stand

by

5 21

0 Ch

ecki

ng tw

o el

ectri

cal

line a

nd in

spec

tion

gene

ra-

tors

con

tinuo

usly

6

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 385

Tabl

e 2. (

Cont

.)

Risk

Fac

tors

(or)

Crite

ria

Subs

yste

m

FM

Pote

ntia

l Fai

lure

Ef

fect

s S

Pote

ntia

l Cau

ses

O

Curre

nt C

ontro

lsD

RP

N

Curre

ntCo

rrect

ive A

ctio

ns

Reco

mm

ende

d

RP

NN

ew

7

Ove

rload

and

spee

d in

dica

tor n

ot

oper

atin

g

3 O

verlo

ad an

d sp

eed

indi

cato

r 5

105

14

Belt

conv

eyor

tra

nspo

rting

th

e sal

t fro

m

Dry

er to

sto

rage

FM 7

: Be

lt da

mag

e

Fact

oryt

rip.

7 A

lignm

ent

sens

or n

ot

oper

atin

g3

Alig

nmen

t se

nsor

5

105

1. T

rain

ing

to o

pera

tors

2.

Fol

low

ing

Ope

ratio

n

man

uals

corre

ctly

3.

Reg

ular

pre

vent

ive

m

aint

enan

ce an

d

insp

ectio

n.

14

Sew

ing

mac

hine

(c

lose

up

the

salt

bag)

FM 8

: In

jury

of t

he

hand

of t

he

oper

ator

Inju

ry to

wor

ker

7

Ope

rato

r not

fo

cuse

d w

hile

pe

rform

ing

the

wor

k.

7 N

one

10

490

Pers

onne

l pro

tect

ive

eq

uipm

ent.

Insta

lling

m

echa

nica

l gua

rd.

48

FM 9

: Fe

ed p

umps

tri

p 7

Mec

hani

cal f

ailu

re

elec

trici

ty fa

ils

4

Usin

g an

othe

r en

ergy

sour

ce

corre

ctiv

e

mai

nten

ance

7 19

6 U

se th

ree s

ourc

e of

en

ergy

app

lyin

g

prev

entiv

e mai

nten

ance

30

FM 1

0:

No

heat

ing

steam

8

Val

ve F

CV 1

5 fa

ils to

ope

n.

Stea

m p

ipe

defe

ct.

V

alve

FCV

158

fails

to o

pen.

3

Chec

king

pip

es

and

valv

es

8 19

2 A

pply

ing

prev

entiv

e

mai

nten

ance

of v

alve

FC

V 1

58 a

nd p

ipel

ine

36

FM 1

1:

Incr

ease

stea

m

pres

sure

9

Sens

or T

I144

fail

to d

etec

t pr

essu

re in

crea

se st

eam

flow

4 Ch

ecki

ng se

nsor

an

d va

lve

7 25

2 In

spec

tion

sens

or

cont

inuo

usly

use

pre

ssur

e sa

fety

and

relie

f val

ves

48

Ev

apor

ator

FM

12:

In

crea

se st

eam

te

mpe

ratu

re

Ev

apor

ator

fail

to

oper

ate

8

Sens

or P

I115

fail

to d

etec

t

tem

pera

ture

incr

ease

stea

m

flow

5

Chec

king

sens

or

and

valv

e 4

160

Insp

ectio

n se

nsor

co

ntin

uous

ly u

se p

ress

ure

safe

ty a

nd re

lief v

alve

s 18

FM

13:

Fl

ippi

ng

pum

p P1

334A

fail

7

Mec

hani

cal f

ailu

re

elec

trici

ty fa

ils

4

Usin

g an

othe

r en

ergy

sour

ce

corre

ctiv

e

mai

nten

ance

3 84

U

se th

ree s

ourc

e of

en

ergy

app

lyin

g

prev

entiv

e mai

nten

ance

6

Afefy: Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 386

Tabl

e 2. (

Cont

.)

Risk

Fac

tors

(or)

Crite

ria

Subs

yste

m

FM

Pote

ntia

l Fai

lure

Ef

fect

s S

Pote

ntia

l Cau

ses

O

Curre

nt C

ontro

lsD

RP

N

Curre

ntCo

rrect

ive A

ctio

ns

Reco

mm

ende

d

RP

NN

ewFM

14:

D

rum

safe

ty

valv

e 7

- Val

ve d

efec

ts

- con

trol f

ails

8 In

spec

tion

of

safe

ty v

alve

4

224

Val

ve p

reve

ntiv

e

mai

nten

ance

8

FM 1

5:

Low

leve

l dru

m

7 Fe

ed-w

ater

pum

p

failu

re

7 Ch

ecki

ng o

f pu

mp

5

245

- Con

tinuo

us c

heck

ing

of

saf

ety

valv

e

- Pre

vent

ive

mai

nten

ance

of

safe

ty v

alve

20

FM 1

6:

Flam

e fa

ilure

Boile

r fai

lure

(o

pera

te-e

xplo

sion)

6 Co

ntro

l fa

ilure

8

Corre

ctiv

e

mai

nten

ance

4

192

Prev

entiv

e mai

nten

ance

12

6 In

corre

ct b

urne

r se

quen

ce

8 Te

mpe

ratu

re

sens

or c

heck

ing

6 28

8 Ch

ecki

ng te

mpe

ratu

re

Use

aut

omat

ic in

terlo

ck

of te

mpe

ratu

re

27

FM 1

7:

Exce

ssiv

e hig

h

supe

rhea

ted

outle

t te

mpe

ratu

re

6 To

o m

uch

fuel

be

ing

fired

6

Tem

pera

ture

se

nsor

che

ckin

g 6

216

Fuel

val

ve c

heck

ing

Use

au

tom

atic

inte

rlock

of

sa

fety

val

ve

18

FM 1

8:

Low

stea

m

pres

sure

6

Low

wat

er

7 Ch

ecki

ng w

ater

fe

ed p

ump

7 29

4 In

spec

tion

and

chec

king

w

ater

feed

pum

p 12

4 Pu

mp

rota

tion

inc

orre

ct

7 Ch

ecki

ng /

ins

pect

ion

of

pum

p

6 16

8

Cont

inuo

us c

heck

ing

of

pum

p Pr

even

tive m

aint

enan

ce

of p

ump

6

Bo

iler

FM 1

9:

Low

disc

harg

e

pres

sure

- B

oile

r trip

- C

o-ge

nera

tion

plan

t Tr

ip

- Sod

ium

Sul

phat

e fa

ctor

y Sh

utdo

wn

4

Impe

ller d

amag

ed o

r lo

ose

on sh

aft

8 Ch

ecki

ng a

nd in

-sp

ectio

n of

pum

p sh

aft

6 19

2

Cont

inuo

us c

heck

ing

of

pum

p Pr

even

tive m

aint

enan

ce

of p

ump

18

Pa

ckin

g m

achi

nes.

FM 2

0:

Mac

hine

trap

ping

w

orke

r han

ds w

hile

he

is fe

edin

g th

e ba

gs.

In

jury

to w

orke

r 5

Ope

rato

r not

fo

cuse

d w

hile

pe

rform

ing

the w

ork.

10

N

one

10

500

1. P

erso

nnel

pro

tect

ive

eq

uipm

ent.

2. M

anua

l act

ivat

ion

of

mac

hine

cla

mps

. 3.

Tra

inin

g.

36

FM

21:

B

ack

ach

of th

e op

erat

or.

6

Wor

ker l

iftin

g th

e sa

lt ba

gs th

e wro

ng w

ay.

7

8 33

6 Pe

rson

nel p

rote

ctiv

e

equi

pmen

t. 36

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 387

Tabl

e 2. (

Cont

.)

Risk

Fac

tors

(or)

Crite

ria

Subs

yste

m

FM

Po

tent

ial F

ailu

re

Effe

cts

S Po

tent

ial C

ause

s O

Cu

rrent

Con

trols

D

RPN

Cu

rrent

Corre

ctiv

e Act

ions

Re

com

men

ded

RPN

New

FM 2

2:

Cool

ing

pum

p fa

ils

7 M

echa

nica

l fai

lure

el

ectri

city

fails

3

Usin

g an

othe

r ene

rgy

sour

ce c

orre

ctiv

e

mai

nten

ance

4

84

Use

thre

e sou

rce o

f ene

rgy

appl

ying

pre

vent

ive

m

aint

enan

ce

27

FM 2

3:

Brin

e

pum

p fa

ils

8 M

echa

nica

l fai

lure

el

ectri

city

fails

4

Usin

g an

othe

r ene

rgy

sour

ce c

orre

ctiv

e m

aint

enan

ce

3 96

U

se th

ree s

ourc

e of e

nerg

y ap

plyi

ng p

reve

ntiv

e

mai

nten

ance

45

FM 2

4:

No

cool

ing

in

crys

talli

zer s

hell

7 Fe

edin

g pu

mps

trip

Def

ects

in c

oolin

g

mat

eria

l pip

elin

e 4

Chec

king

pip

elin

e a

nd p

ump

4 11

2 In

spec

tion

of p

ipel

ine a

nd

appl

ying

pre

vent

ive

m

aint

enan

ce in

syste

m p

ies

64

Cr

ysta

llize

r

FM 2

5:

No

brin

e in

cr

ysta

llize

r

Cr

ysta

llize

r fai

l to

ope

rate

8 Pu

mps

trip

3

Usin

g an

othe

r ene

rgy

sour

ce c

orre

ctiv

e

mai

nten

ance

3

72

Use

thre

e sou

rce o

f ene

rgy

appl

ying

pre

vent

ive

m

aint

enan

ce

48

FM2

6:

Sens

ors

(to d

etec

t te

mpe

ratu

re)

trip

6

Sens

or fa

ilure

and

not

ca

libra

ted

4 Ca

libra

ting

se

nsor

s 5

120

Insp

ectio

n an

d ca

libra

ting

sens

ors c

ontin

uous

ly

appl

ying

pre

vent

ive

m

aint

enan

ce in

sens

or

60

Afefy: Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 388

threats of the working injury are safety working mon-toring, install, and regular inspection.The main con-sequence of corrective action of packing worker injury is application of OSHA. Figure 11 shows bow-tie diagram of noise injury. In Figure 15, bow-tie risk assessment is plotted. As can be seen from this figure, risk categories in factory for people, asset, environment and reputation. From this figure, the values in red and brown are con-sidered critical. The subsystem on each zone found to have RPN highest value were studied further to mini-mize the S, reduce the O of the failure mode, and im-prove the D. Based on these results, the main conse-

quence of the corrective action should be applied in critical equipment for factory.

6. CONCLUSION

In this paper, bow-tie and FMEA methodologies are suggested to hazard analysis and risk assessments for the industrial processes. FMEA is a systematic tool for identifying the effects or consequences of FM and is used to eliminate or reduce the chance of failure. Bow-tie is considered as an approach that has both proactive

500450400350300250200150100

500

RPN

RPN New

RPN Current

FM

1FM

2FM

3FM

4FM

5FM

6FM

7FM

8FM

9FM

10FM

11FM

12FM

13FM

14FM

15FM

16FM

17FM

18FM

19FM

20FM

21FM

22FM

23FM

24FM

25FM

26FM

Figure 5. Comparison between current and new RPN values for FM.

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Diff

eren

ce %

Δd = RPN Current-RPN NewDifference %(Δd%) = (Δd/RPN Current)*100

FM

FM1

FM2

FM3

FM4

FM5

FM6

FM7

FM8

FM9

FM10

FM11

FM12

FM13

FM14

FM15

FM16

FM17

FM18

FM19

FM20

FM21

FM22

FM23

FM24

FM25

FM26

Figure 6. Shows the RPN difference for FM.

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 389

and reactive elements and that systematically works through the hazard and its management. Moreover, bow-tie is particularly useful to represent the influence of

safety systems on the progression of accident scenarios. Safety systems, either technical or organizational ele-ments, are placed in two main branches of the diagram.

Figure 7. Bow-tie diagram of condenser.

Figure 8. Bow-tie diagram of boiler.

Figure 9. Bow-tie diagram of crystallizer.

Figure 10. Bow-tie diagram of packing worker injury.

Figure 11. Bow-tie diagram of noise injury.

Figure 12. Bow-tie diagram of crystallizer damage.

Afefy: Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 390

Bow-tie model is essentially a probabilistic technique, but in time it has developed in different versions, de-pending on the system under analysis.

This paper has introduced a new methodology that

integrates FMEA and bow-tie, presenting the proper way for application in process industry. This paper has thus described an application case in a large industrial scale, called Emisal company which located in Fayoum

Figure 13. Bow-tie diagram of screw pump Failure.

Figure 14. Bow-tie diagram of piping subsystem.

A5 B5 C5 D5 E5

B4 C4 D4 E4

C3 D3 E3

D2 E2

Intolerable

Incarporterisk reduction

measures

Manage forcontinuous

Improvement

No impact

Risk Categories:

Never Heard ofIncident inIndustry

HappensSeveral Times

per Year inLocation

Incident hasOccurred in

Industry

Incident hasOccurred in Our

Company

HappensSeveral Times

per Year in OurCompany

A B C D E

People

0

1

2

3

4

5

No Injury

Slight Injury

Minor Injury

Multiple Fatality

Major Injury

Single Fatality A4

A3

A2

A1

A0 B0 C0 D0 E0

B1 C1 D1 E1

B3 C3

B3

A5 B5 C5 D5 E5

B4 C4 D4 E4

C3 D3 E3

D2 E2

Intolerable

Incarporterisk reduction

measures

Manage forcontinuous

Improvement

No impact

Risk Categories:

Never Heard ofIncident inIndustry

HappensSeveral Times

per Year inLocation

Incident hasOccurred in

Industry

Incident hasOccurred in Our

Company

HappensSeveral Times

per Year in OurCompany

A B C D E

Assets

0

1

2

3

4

5 Extensive Damage

Major Damage A4

A3

A2

A1

A0 B0 C0 D0 E0

B1 C1 D1 E1

B3 C3

B3

No Damage

Slight Damage

Minor Damage

Localised Damage

A5 B5 C5 D5 E5

B4 C4 D4 E4

C3 D3 E3

D2 E2

Intolerable

Incarporterisk reduction

measures

Manage forcontinuous

Improvement

No impact

Risk Categories:

Never Heard ofIncident inIndustry

HappensSeveral Times

per Year inLocation

Incident hasOccurred in

Industry

Incident hasOccurred in Our

Company

HappensSeveral Times

per Year in OurCompany

A B C D E

Environment

0

1

2

3

4

5 Massive Effect

A4

A3

A2

A1

A0 B0 C0 D0 E0

B1 C1 D1 E1

B3 C3

B3

No Effect

Localised Effect

Major Effect

Minor Effect

Slight Effect

A5 B5 C5 D5 E5

B4 C4 D4 E4

C3 D3 E3

D2 E2

Intolerable

Incarporterisk reduction

measures

Manage forcontinuous

Improvement

No impact

Risk Categories:

Never Heard ofIncident inIndustry

HappensSeveral Times

per Year inLocation

Incident hasOccurred in

Industry

Incident hasOccurred in Our

Company

HappensSeveral Times

per Year in OurCompany

A B C D E

Reputation

0

1

2

3

4

5

A4

A3

A2

A1

A0 B0 C0 D0 E0

B1 C1 D1 E1

B3 C3

B3

InternationalImpact

National Impact

ConsiderableImpact

No Impact

Limited Impact

Slight Impact

Figure 15. Bow-tie risk assessment.

Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessments for Industrial Processes Using FMEA and Bow-Tie Methodologies Vol 14, No 4, December 2015, pp.379-391, © 2015 KIIE 391

city, Egypt. As a result of this methodology, the detec-tion rating to the failure mode, the values of RPN are calculated based on FMEA analysis. A set of corrective actions are suggested to improve the values of RPN. As a result of the subsequent bow-tie analysis, safety criti-cal barriers are identified and each of these is assigned to industrial process with an individual responsible. The results show the effectiveness of the proposed method-ology in process industry.

The current research can be further extended in fu-ture research work through various directions. The first direction can be the integration of the proposed method-ology with other risk assessment techniques. Further-more, the proposed method can be applied to other indu-strial and risk environments.

REFERENCES

Abdel-Aziz, I. H. and Helal, M. (2012), Application of FMEA-FTA in Reliability-Centered Maintenance Planning, 15th International Conference on Applied Mechanics and Mechanical Engineering, Military Technical College Kobry El-Kobbah, Cairo, Egypt.

AIAG (2002), FMEA-3 Potential Failure Mode and Ef-fects Analysis, 3rd ed., Automotive Industry Action Group (AIAG), (equivalent of SAE J-1739).

Aneziris, O. N., Papazoglou, I. A., Baksteen, H., Mud, M., Ale, B. J., Bellamy, L. J., Hale, A. R., Bloem-hoff, A., Post, J., and Oh, J. (2008), Quantified Risk Assessment for fall from Height, Safety Science, 46(2), 198-220.

Arun, J., Pravin, K., Venkatesh, M., and Giridharan, A. (2013), Reliability Study on Spark Plugs Using Pro-cess Failure Mode and Effect Analysis, Internatio-nal Journal of Engineering Research and Devel-opment, 9, 13-21.

Bellamy, L. J., Mud, M., Manuel, H. J., and Oh, J. (2013), Analysis of Underlying Causes of Investigated Loss of Containment Incidents in Dutch Seveso plants Using the Story builder method, J. Loss Prev. Pro-cess Ind..

Catalin, D., Neddef. V., and Panainte. M. (2013), Analy-sis of Technological Risk Assessment Methods in

Order to Identify Definitory Elements for A New Combined/Complete Risk Assessment Method, Jour-nal of Engineering Studies and Research, 19, 33-43.

Celeste, J. and Cristina, S. (2010), A semi-quantitative Assessment of Occupational Risks Using Bow-tie Representation, Safety Science, 48, 973-979.

Janarthanan, V. and Kumar, D. R. (2013), Root Cause Analysis and Process Failure Mode and Effect Ana-lysis of TIG Welding on SS 3041 Material, Pro-ceeding of NC MISAA.

Kahn, F., Yang, M., Veitch, B., Ehlers, S., and Chai (2014), Transportation Risk Analysis Framework for Arctic Waters, OMAE 2014, San Francisco, Cali-fornia, USA.

Kurowicka, D., Cooke, R., Goossens, L., and Ale, B. (2006), Expert Judgment Study for Placement Lad-der Bow-tie, In: Guedes Soares, Zio (Eds.), Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk, Balkema, Tay-lor and Francis Group, London, 1, 21-27.

Liu, H.-C., Liu, L., Bian, Q.-H., Lin, Q.-L., Dong, N., and Xu, P.-C. (2001), Failure Mode and Effects Analysis Using Fuzzy Evidential Reasoning Ap-proach and Grey Theory, Experts Systems with ap-plications, 38, 4403-4415.

Maheswaran, K. and Logan, T. (2013), A Novel Appro-ach for Prioritization of Failure modes in FMEA using MCDM, International Journal of Engineer-ing Research and applications, 3, 733-739.

Nicola, P., Nicolas, D., Ernesto, S., Mike, W., and Va-lerio, C. (2013), Towards a new approach for the identification of atypical accidents cenarios, Jour-nal of Risk Research, 16, 337-354.

Ramzan, A. (2006), The Application of Thesis Bow-Ties in Nuclear Risk Management, Journal of Safety and Reliability, 26, 1-11.

Virtanen, S. and Hagmark, P. E. (2007), Simulation and Calculation of Reliability Performance and Main-tenance Costs, IEEE, Proceeding: Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Orlando, FL, USA, 34-40.

Zuijderduijn (2000), Risk Management by Shell Refin-ery/Chemicals at Pernis, the Netherlands. Seveso 2000 European Conference, Athens (Ed. G Papadakis).