hawsgoodwin investment process
TRANSCRIPT
This and/or the accompanying information was prepared by or obtained from sources that Wachovia Securities Financial Network believes to be reliable, but Wachovia Securities Financial Network does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Any market prices are only indications of market values and are subject to change. The material has been prepared or is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request.
HawsGoodwin Investment Management and Wachovia Securities are not tax or legal advisors.
Investments in securities and insurance products are:
NOT FDIC-INSURED/NOT BANK-GUARANTEED/MAY LOSE VALUE
Investment products and services are offered through Wachovia Securities Financial Network (WSFN). Wachovia Securities is the trade name used by two separate, registered broker-dealers and nonbank affiliates of Wachovia Corporation providing certain retail securities brokerage services: Wachovia Securities, LLC, member NYSE/SIPC, and Wachovia Securities Financial Network, LLC, member NASD/SIPC.
HawsGoodwin Investment Management, LLC is a separate entity from WSFN. CAR #1008-101386
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Our Firm
Our VisionTo provide families and individuals with the comfort of a
professional, personalized approach to managing their wealth which will give them the highest probability of success of meeting their goals and aspirations.
Why should you consider professional wealth management? In any wealth management plan, there are emotional as well as
financial aspects to the decisions you must make. With that in mind, our disciplined process is designed to help our clients: Preserve their lifestyles even in challenging market environments Avoid unnecessary taxes, risks, losses, common mistakes, and
themselves
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HawsGoodwinInvestment Management You
We will work with your other professional advisors, including:1
AttorneysResponsible for preparing wills, powers of attorney and trust documents, and providing estate planning and tax advice
AccountantsResponsible for preparing individual and corporate annual tax returns, as well as providing audit specialization and tax planning advice
Business insurance professionalsResponsible for assisting business owners with insuring their largest single asset, as well as acquiring life, health and disability coverage
We will form a strategic relationship with your other advisors
Our Team
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C. Arthur Haws, CFP®
Managing Partner
Certified Financial Planner™ professional
More than 17 years of experience providing financial advice and wealth management services to individuals and institutions
Holds a M.B.A in Finance from Vanderbilt University’s Owen Graduate School of Management and a B.S. in Business Administration from Murray State University
Serves as Board Vice President for Historic Carnton Plantation, and board member of the Cool Springs YMCA
Resides in Franklin, TN with his wife, Susan, and three children; Chase, McLean, and Hendley
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W. Cam Goodwin, CFP®
Managing Partner
Certified Financial Planner™ professional
Has had many equity strategy reports and commentary published by The Motley Fool, an Alexandria, VA based financial media company
Holds a B.S. in Finance from The University of Mississippi in Oxford, MS and a Certificate in Financial Planning from Belmont University in Nashville, TN
Serves as a board member for Historic Carnton Plantation, a member of the Franklin Rotary Club at Breakfast, and an active member of Harpeth Community Church
Resides in Franklin, TN with his wife, Beth, and daughter, Gracey
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Our Process Designed to help families protect, maintain, and possibly enhance their lifestyle
Wealth Management:
Ongoing Process and Discipline
Wealth Planning
Estate Planning
Investment Planning
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Wealth Planning
We consider:Short and long-term goalsCurrent assets and liabilitiesCash flow situationRisk exposure
Then perform:Analysis to determine your likelihood of success.
In order to:Recommend strategies to help achieve your goals.
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Cash Flow MattersHow important is spending and cash flow?
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
($)
Mill
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Compound Annual Return
Return Path 1 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Return Path 2 38% 23% 33% 29% 21% -9% -12% -22% 10%
Return Path 3 -22% -12% -9% 21% 29% 33% 23% 38% 10%
When it comes to your long-term plan, spending can make a big difference
Year
Portfolio Values (Spending 5%)
Path 2 $1.8
Path 1 $1.6
Path 3 $1.2
Differential
50%
The solutions discussed may not be suitable for your personal situation, even if it is similar to the example presented. Investors should make their own decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial circumstances. It should not be assumed that the recommendations made in this situation achieved any goals mentioned. This example is hypothetical and does not represent any specific investments or strategies.
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Estate Planning
Why consider estate planning? Helps preserve the assets you've spent a lifetime building Helps protect your spouse, children or other heirs Helps ensure your assets are distributed how and when you want
them to be Can help reduce the amount of estate taxes that will be due
Our process Identify your current needs and objectivesExamine current circumstances and family issuesEvaluate existing estate planWork with an estate planning attorney to:
Make sure proper documents are in place Update existing plan, if necessary
HawsGoodwin Investment Management and Wachovia Securities Financial Network are not a legal
or tax advisor. However, we will be glad to work with you, your accountant, tax advisor and or lawyer
to help you meet your financial goals.
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Investment PlanningIndividual Investors Have On Average Underperformed
11.9%
3.0%3.9%
9.7%
1.8%
Lehman Aggregate
BondIndex
AverageBondFund
Investor
AverageStockFund
Investor
InflationS&P 500
Annualized Returns
1986–2005
© 2006 Dalbar, Inc. This information is for illustrative purposes and seeks to demonstrate the virtues of a buy and hold strategy rather than trying to time the market.
•The Indices are presented to provide you with an understanding of their historic long-term performance and are not presented to illustrate the performance of any security. Investors cannot directly purchase any index.• The S&P 500 (a registered trademark of the McGraw Hill Companies) is an unmanaged, index of common stock.• The Lehman Brothers Aggregate Index is composed of securities from Government/Credit Index, Mortgage-Backed Securities Index, and the Asset-Backed Securities Index.
Asset Allocation does not eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns.
What Is the Most Detrimental Mistake Investors Make?
Source: AllianceBernstein Investments. 2005 Survey of Financial Advisors on Asset Allocation
Not paying enough attention to asset allocation
33%
Trying to time the market
31%
Having too much money in one
investment16%
Buying overvalued investments
8%
Other1%
Holding on to investments
too long11%
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Investment DisciplineUnderstanding How Human Emotions are Usually Wrong
Source: Davis Advisors “The Successful Investor”
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Loss Gain
Pleasure
Pain
SmallPleasure
BigPain
Bad Investment Decisions Can Result from Loss Aversion
Source: Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, 1992 “Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
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Data Frequency Can Distort Our Perceptions
Source: Standard & Poor’s
2006 S&P 500 Index Returns
FullYear
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
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Loss Aversion Can Distort Our Asset Allocations
AnnualReturns
MonthlyReturns
Frequency of Negative Reports 39% 14%
Equity Fund Allocation 41% 70%
Investors Receiving
Source: Thaler, Tversky, Kahneman and Schwartz, 1997 “The Effect of Myopia and Loss Aversion on Risk-Taking: An Experimental Test” Quarterly Journal of Economics
Asset Allocation can not eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns.
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Overcoming Loss Aversion
Know the Enemy We fear the pain of a loss more than we feel attracted to possible gain,
generally causing us to overreact and make impulsive decisions
Solution Understand that loss aversion is a natural emotion
Define your goals and objectives and a long-term strategy to help reach them
Implement a rules-based approach to the “buy low, sell high” axiom that can keep you on track
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The HawsGoodwin Group Strategy
Step 1: Diversify Across Asset Classes Step 2: Diversify Within Asset Classes Step 3: Globalize the Portfolio Step 4: Rebalance Step 5: Maximize After-Tax Returns
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Step 1: Diversify Across Asset Classes We Believe Asset Allocation is More Important Than Security Selection
Asset Allocation is the mix between cash, bonds, stocks, and alternative investments of your investment portfolio.
We believe it is the primary factor determining portfolio performance and volatility; it also keeps you invested during tougher markets which can potentially increases your returns over time.
(Source: Brinson, Singer, Beebouwer/1990-Financial Analysis Journal May/June 1991)
Asset allocation can not eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns.
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Correlation with the stock market is a measure of the standard deviation of various benchmarks to the Russell 3000, a common measure of the performance of the broad US stock market. Source: Russell Investment Group, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, MSCI, NAREIT and AllianceBernstein
What is Correlation?
US Growth
International
US Value
Short-Term Bonds
REITs
No Correlation 0
High Correlation 1.0
1984–2006
US Small-Cap
Intermediate-Term Bonds
High Yield
Cash
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US Stocks
(29.2)%
(42.7)
(14.2)
(17.2)
(29.6)
(14.7)
(13.4)
(40.9)
(25.2)%
2.2%
4.6
1.5
21.7
2.3
5.2
4.7
36.5
9.8%
Dec 68–Jun 70
Jan 73–Sep 74
Jan 77–Feb 78
Dec 80–Jul 82
Sep 87–Nov 87
Jun 90–Oct 90
May 98–Aug 98
Apr 00–Mar 03
Average
Source: Center for Research in Securities Prices and Standard & Poor’s
US Bonds
The Potential Benefit of Low Correlation
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The Power of Diversification
Investment A 50% (26)% 12%
Investment B (10) 30 10
AverageYear 1 Year 2 Annual Return
The solutions discussed may not be suitable for your personal situation, even if it is similar to the example presented,Investors should make their own decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial circumstances. It should not be assumed that the recommendations made in this situation achieved any of the goals mentioned. This example is hypothetical and does not represent any specific, investments or strategies.
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The Power of Diversification
A
B
A and B
12%
10
11
Average Annual Return
(26)%
30
2
50%
(10)
20
Year 2Year 1
$100
Year 1 Year 2
$111
A $117
B
$122
A and B
Source: Bernstein
The solutions discussed may not be suitable for your personal situation, even if it is similar to the example presented, Investors should make their own decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial circumstances. It should not be assumed that the recommendations made in this situation achieved any of the goals mentioned. This example is hypothetical and does not represent any specific, investments or strategies.
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Step 2: Diversify Within Asset Classes
ValueOpportunities
Long-TermEarningsPower
Growth Investing
Value Investing
Growth Opportunities
Goal: Find underestimated growth potential
Goal:Buy bargains
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Growth and Value Trade Leadership Historically
Source: Russell Investment Group and Alliance Bernstein
ValueStocks
GrowthStocks
Annualized Returns
80 81–88 89–91 92–93 94–99 00–06
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Source: Fama/French and AllianceBernstein
Trying to “Time” the Style Cycle Is Futile Hypothetical Average Annual Return
1970–2006
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Step 3: Globalize the Portfolio
HSBC (UK)
Mitsubishi (Japan)
UBS (Switzerland)
Toyota (Japan)
DaimlerChrysler (Germany)
Honda (Japan)
Sony (Japan)
Matsushita (Japan)
Electrolux (Sweden)
Industry Share by Market Value
As of December 31, 2005Source: MSCI
63%
37%
Banking
88%
12%
Autos
80%
20%
Household Durables
United States Non-US
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13
14
15
16
17
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
1970−2006
% in International Stocks
Source: MSCI, Standard & Poor’s and AllianceBernstein
Lower Volatility
Diversifying with International Stocks Has the Potential to Help Lower Risk
Volatility (%)
Investing in foreign securities presents certain risks not associated with domestic investments such as currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards.This may result in greater share price volatility.
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Buy
Underperform
Strategic target
Outperform
Sell
As an asset class/style outperforms, trim investment
As an asset class/style underperforms, add to investment
Step 4: Rebalance
Our Rebalancing Discipline Helps to Buy Low, Sell High
Upper trigger
Lower trigger
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Step 5: Maximize After-Tax Returns
Basic Consider owning Municipal Bonds, generally not taxable
Reconsider holding REITs, the income is generally tax inefficient
Keep turnover low
Avoid short-term gains
Harvest losses to offset gains on stocks and bonds
Advanced Track holdings by tax lot
Sell individual tax lots with the least tax cost
Avoid wash sales
Tax-Management Techniques
HawsGoodwin Investment Management does not provide tax advice. In considering this message, you should discuss your individual circumstances with your tax advisor before making any decisions.
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Potential Added Return from Tax Management
Avoiding short-term gains
Delaying long-term
gains
+0.77%
+0.55%
+0.22%
Total potential added return from tax-savvy
investing
The Potential Benefit of Tax Management
This illustration is an example of the potential added return from tax management, not actual investment results.Source: AllianceBernstein
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International
StocksBonds
US
Style BlendBalanced Wealth Asset Allocation
The above is a hypothetical illustration only and is not intended to represent any particular investment. The asset allocation that is right for each individual will vary.
Geographic Mix
Multiple Levels of Diversification
It’s the Overall Results of a Portfolio that Matter
30% Int'l
70% US
50%Growth
50%Value
50%Growth
50%Value
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What can you expect from us? Always fully disclose our fees
Work with your other experts to insure a sound financial plan
Coordinate and organize financial documents
Service Portfolio monitoring, rebalancing, and performance reporting
Monthly in-house reviews Quarterly client reviews
At least one face-to-face
We will always perform to the best of our abilities such that each of our clients would be proud to recommend us to their friends and family.