habitat modelling – methods and examples gdansk 2008-06-10 martin isæus
TRANSCRIPT
Habitat modelling –
Methods and examples
Gdansk2008-06-10
Martin Isæus
www.aquabiota.se
Wave exposure SWM Simplified Wave Model (Isaeus 2004)
16
)*(16
1 i
ii
SWM
WFE
SWM 2007 Wave Exposure
Wave exposure SWM
Wave exposure SWM, recalculated to seafloor
EUNIS, 6 classes
EUNIS, 9 classes
Spatial modelleing
Abundans
Mil
jövari
abel
Statistiskt samband
Modell
GRASP, Maxent
Prediktion
Marine geology
Blue – Till overlays sedimentary rockLight blue – tillOrange – Sand and gravel
Wave exposure STWAVE Storgrunden
STWAVE
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
-40 -30 -20 -10 0
Djup sjökort
Dju
p in
vent
erin
g
R2=0,59
Quality of bathymetry
y = 0.8959x + 3.8023
R2 = 0.9492
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Multi-beam PersgrundenR2 = 0.95
Sjökort MarkallenR2 = 0.59
Resolution of indata visible in output
Fucus at Finngrunden, Bothnian Sea
0 6,400 12,8003,200 Kilometers
4
Vågexponering0 - 590,000
590,001 - 708,224
Djup-129.49 - -22
-21.99 - 0
Stensnultra sannolikhet0 - 0.05
0.06 - 0.25
0.26 - 0.5
0.51 - 0.75
0.76 - 1
Presence of fish StensnultracvROC=0,843ROC=0,889cvCOR=0,63COR=0,682
VindValFiskGIS
Probability of Blue mussel
Foto Vattenkikaren
Cover of Fucus vesiculosus
(Foto H. Kautsky)
Zoarces viviparus CPU
Predator fish, biomass
Forsmark area, Bothnian Sea (SKB)
Probability of Nephrops burrows
(BALANCE)Spearman Corr 0.659
Why EUNIS?
- HELCOM Ministerial Meeting 2007 – BSAP, Baltic marine habitat classification system by 2011
- EUNIS - EU Classification system, which also Russia is interested in
- HELCOM Habitat Red List, BALANCE Marine Landscapes, Natura2000 habitats
- National classifications (Eg. Baltic countries, Germany)
This initiative – to get the process started
- Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA)
- Working group: AquaBiota Water Research (Sweden), Alleco (Finland), Stockholm University (Sweden)
- David Connor, JNCC (UK)- Workshop in Stockholm Mars 2007
with participants from Lithuania, Estonia, UK, Germany, Netherlands, Finland, Sweden
Top-down / Bottom-up
- Biological relevance - Which parameters structure the biota?- Which biological assemblages occur?- Statistical analyses
- System hierarchy - Comparable to other systems?- GIS layers available?- Manageable complexity?- Relevant for management?
- BalMar – classification tool
Analyses aims
- Describe species associations in Baltic phytobenthic communities
- Test which environmental factors are important to explain these associations
Data
- >300 diving transects from Swedish and Finnish coasts, >3200 data points
- Cover of macroalgae, plants and sessile animals (common species)
- Depth, substrate, wave exposure, salinity
Analyses
- Cluster and nMDS (species associations)- CCA (species-environment correlations)
Species associations
Bal_imp
Cer_ten
CharaCho_fil
Cla_glo
Cla_rup
Cordylo
Ele_cru
Fontinalis
Fuc_ser
Fuc_ves
Fur_lum
Myt_edu
Phy_pse
Pil_Ect
Pol_fuc
Pot_pec
Pot_per
Rho_con
Ruppia
Sph_arc
Zos_mar
axis 1
-1 0 1
axis
2
-1
0
1
bal_imp
cer_ten
chara
cho_filcla_glo
cla_rup
cordylo
ele_cru
fontinalis
fuc_ser
fuc_vesfur_lummyt_edu
phy_pse
pil_ect
pol_fuc
pot_pec
pot_per
rho_con
ruppia
sph_arc
zos_mar
axis 1
-1 0 1
axis
3-1
0
1
Species-environment correlation
bal_impcer_ten
chara
cho_fil
cla_glo cla_rup
cordylo
ele_cru
fontinalis
fuc_ser
fuc_ves fur_lum
myt_eduphy_pse
pil_ect
pol_fuc
pot_pec
pot_per
rho_con
ruppia
sph_arc
zos_mar
axis 1
-1 0 1
axis
2
-1
0
1
Depth
”Salinity”
% hard substrate
MVS for identification of categories
Depth<0.6
Depth<1.5 Depth>1.5
Depth>0.6 Depth<7.3 Depth>7.3
n=234
Cla glo
n=274
Fuc vesn=1173
Myt eduFur lumCer ten
n=517
Myt eduSph arcRho con
Multivariate regression tree(MRT)
EUNIS Suggestion on how to include Baltic
LittoralInfralittor
alCircalitto
ral
Offshore circalitto
ral
Bathyal (?sub-zones)
High energy
High energy
High energy
Moderate energy
Moderate energy
Moderate energy
Low energy
Low energy
Low energy
Variable(estuaries
, Kattegat)
30-0.5 (30-18 in
Kattegat)VarLR - -
BiogenicMarine, variable
34-18 LBR IBR CBR OBR BBR
18-7.57.5-44-0.5
Biogenic 18-0.5 RedLBR RedIBR RedCBR - -Marine >30 MarLGr MarIGr MarCGr MarOGr MarBGr
Variable 30-18 VarLGr - -
Reduced 18-0.5 RedLGr
RedIGr - 3 salinity
categories
RedCGv - 3 salinity categorie
s
? -
Marine >30 MarLSa MarISa MarCSa MarOSa MarBSaVariable 30-18 VarLSa - -
Reduced 18-0.5 RedLSa
RedISa - 3
categories
RedCSa - 3
categories
? -
Marine >30 MarLMu MarIMu MarCMu MarOMu MarBMuVariable 30-18 VarLMu - -
Reduced 18-0.5 RedLMu
RedIMu - 3 salinity categorie
s
RedCMu - 3 salinity categorie
s
? -
Marine >30 MarLMx MarIMx MarCMx MarOMx MarBMxVariable 30-18 VarLMx - -
Reduced 18-0.5 RedLMx
RedIMx - 3 salinity categorie
s
RedCMx - 3 salinity categorie
s
? -
Marine >30 MarLMp MarIMp - - -Variable 30-18 VarLMp VarIMp - - -
Reduced 18-0.5 RedLMp
RedIMp - 4
categories
- - -
Vegetated
sediments
Hard(epibiota)
Rock(bedrock, boulder,
stable cobble/p
ebble, other hard
substrata)
Marine(Atlantic, Mediterra
nean)
RockReduced(Baltic, Black,
lagoons)
?
>30 OCR BR
VarSR
Mixed(not
glacial till)
VarSMx
3 energy categorie
s
3 energy categorie
s
3 energy categorie
s-
Soft(infauna + epibiota)
Gravel & coarse sand
VarSGr
Sand
VarSSa
Mud
VarSMu
BalMar
- Classification software using EUNIS criteria- Suggests habitat classes biological field data- Using dominant species for classifications, this
method should be evaluated- When the method is agreed upon, data sets are
classified rapidly
Discussion
- Data not representing the whole Baltic
Conclusions
- All 4 factors relevant, more data for class limits- Only phytobenthic data so far, need for deeper
and more sheltered habitats, sediment- Acceptable EUNIS hierarchy- Need for better GIS layers - sediment, wave
exposure whole Baltic, bathymetry, salinity
Next steps
- Invite all Baltic nations, with data and participation in the process
- A few workshops- Habitat descriptions, harmonisation between
countries, conversion tables- Continuation of small group work- Funding for the continuation- Ready by 2011!
Histogram (A1, Himanthalia elongata)
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
LogSWM
11%
21%
32%
43%
54%
Pe
rce
nt
of
ob
s
Histogram (A1, Ascophyllum nodosum)
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
LogSWM
0102030405060708090
No
of
ob
s
Histogram (A3, Ruppia maritima)
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
LogSWM
02468
1012
No
of o
bs
Examples on species distributions in relation to wave exposure
Sites for Biological exposure index (BEI)
BioEx
R2 = 39.6
STWAVE
R2 = 36.2
SWM
R2 = 55.2
FWM
R2 = 48.9
Wave models vs. Biological exposure index (BEI)
Utsjöbanksinventering 2
2008-09Ca 20 bankar
Kummelbank
Grisbådarna
Hanöbanken
Klippbanken
Märketskallen
Grundskallegrunden
Argos yttergrund
Finngrunden västra banken
Sylen
Eystrasaltbanken
Norra/Södra Långrogrundet
Vernersgrund
Sydostbrotten
Falkens grund
Svenska Björn
Utklippan
Ursulas grund
Campsgrund
Klintgrund