h1 2018 results presentation/media/.../h1-financial-results...5 highlights consolidated results...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Call – 6th September 2018
Neptune Energy – H1 2018 Results
2
General & Disclaimer
Except as the context otherwise indicates, “Neptune” or “Neptune Energy”, “Group”, “we,” “us,” and “our,” refers to the group of companies comprising
Neptune Energy Group Midco Limited (the Company) and its consolidated subsidiaries and equity accounted investments. “EPI” refers to the business of
ENGIE E&P International S.A. (now renamed Neptune Energy International S.A.) and its direct or indirect subsidiaries.
This presentation includes the results of the acquired EPI business consolidated since 15 February 2018, which is the acquisition date as that is when
Neptune acquired control over EPI. Equivalent data for Neptune for the corresponding reporting period ended 30 June 2017, starting when the Company
was incorporated on 22 March 2017, are generally not informative, as the Company had minimal activity at the time, principally comprising only minor
administration expenses. Therefore, in respect of certain measures, including production, EBITDAX and capital expenditure, we have provided additional
approximate pro forma information relating to the acquired EPI business, to enable a comparison of the results for the full six months ended 30 June
2018 (including the period prior to our acquisition on 15 February) with those for the six months ended 30 June 2017.
In this presentation, unless otherwise indicated, our production, reserves and resources figures are presented on a basis including our ownership share
of volumes of companies that we account for under the equity accounting method, in particular, for the interest held in the Touat project in Algeria through
a joint venture company.
The discussion in this presentation includes forward looking statements which, although based on assumptions that we consider reasonable, are subject
to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events or conditions to materially differ from those expressed or implied by the forward looking
statements. While these forward-looking statements are based on our internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs as at the
date of such statements or information, including, among other things, assumptions with respect to production, future capital expenditures and cash flow,
we caution you that the assumptions used in the preparation of such information may prove to be incorrect and no assurance can be given that our
expectations, or the assumptions underlying these expectations, will prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements that we make in this
presentation speak only as of the date of such statement or the date of this presentation.
Unless otherwise indicated, all production figures are presented on a net entitlement basis. Where gross amounts are indicated, they are presented on a
total basis—i.e., the actual interest of the relevant license holder in the relevant fields and license areas without deduction for the economic interest of our
commercial partners, taxes or royalty interests or otherwise. This presentation presents certain production and reserves related information on an
“equivalency” basis. Our conversion of oil and gas data into barrels of oil equivalent may differ from that data used by other companies.
This presentation contains non-GAAP and non-IFRS measures and ratios that are not required by, or presented in accordance with, any generally
accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) or IFRS. These non-IFRS and non-GAAP measures and ratios may not be comparable to other similarly titled
measures of other companies and have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our
operating results as reported under IFRS or GAAP. Non-IFRS and non-GAAP measures and ratios are not measurements of our performance or liquidity
under IFRS or GAAP and should not be considered as alternatives to operating profit or profit from continuing operations or any other performance
measures derived in accordance with IFRS or GAAP or as alternatives to cash flow from operating, investing or financing activities.
3
Outline
Introduction Sam Laidlaw – Executive Chairman
Operations Jim House – CEO
Finance Peter Thomas – CFO
Portfolio & Summary Sam Laidlaw – Executive Chairman
Highlights Jim House – CEO
4
IntroductionStrong start to 2018
Production
Cash Flow
Sustainable
Growth
Organisation
and Systems
First half production above pre-closing expectations
Strong cash flow generation; $487 mm pre-EPI acquisition costs
Development projects proceeding; announced two ‘bolt-on’ transactions
Significant capacity build
Safety Steady improvements
5
HighlightsConsolidated results since acquisition of EPI on 15th Feb 2018
Operations
HSSE culture and performance improving
Strong production performance, averaging 165.6 kboepd production(1)
Progressed developments across portfolio and successfully appraised Sigrun in Norway
Strengthened business through key senior management appointments and improved processes
Finance
Portfolio &
Summary
$0.74 bn EBITDAX for period to 30 June 2018 and $0.94 bn for full H1 2018(2)
$598 mm operating cash flow (post-tax)(3) and operating costs of $10.0 /boe vs. $10.5 /boe in 2017
Successful inaugural $550 mm bond issue and long term issuer credit ratings of BB- and Ba3
0.65x net debt to EBITDAX(4)
VNG Norge – agreement to acquire oil-weighted assets with operated growth and synergies in Norway
Seagull & Isabella – agreement to acquire low-cost, near-term development and high impact exploration in UK
Full year production in line with previous guidance
H2 focus on operational efficiency, further strengthening the organisation, cost reductions, integration of VNG
and driving forward our developments
1. For the post-acquisition period, 15 February 2018 to 30 June 2018, calculated over
136 days in order to provide data comparable with other periods. Production for the
six months to 30 June 2018 for EPI was 166.1 kboepd
1.
2. Pro forma for EPI acquisition, compared with $709 mm for the first 6 months of 2017
3. Adjusted for EPI acquisition-related expenses
4. 12 month pro forma EBITDAX
6
OperationsJim House - CEO
7
80.2 78.7 77.2
33.629.8 30.1
18.820.1 20.6
13.313.0 13.0
7.224.5 24.7
91.6 86.8 87.4
12.233.5 33.5
49.3
45.8 44.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
5.6
7.5 7.6
H12017
H12018
Feb -Jun '18
5.2
7.17.3
H12017
H12018
Feb -Jun '18
51.3
69.4
69.9
H12017
H12018
Feb -Jun '18
ProductionStrong performance since EPI acquisition closed
+8%
1. Production for the six months to 30 June 2018 pro forma for EPI from 01 Jan 2018
2. Production for this period relates to the post acquisition period only, from 15 February 2018 to 30 June 2018. Average daily production is therefore calculated over 136 days, in order
to provide data comparable with other periods. Production of Neptune for 2017 was nil
3. Liquids include oil, condensate and other natural gas liquids
4. Realised other liquids (excluding oil) price of $45.4/bbl in H1 2017, $43.9/bbl in H1 2018 and $43.7/bbl in 15 Feb – 30 June 2018
Realised Gas
Price ($/mmbtu)
Realised LNG
Price ($/mmbtu)
Realised Oil
Price ($/bbl)(4)
Norway
Netherlands
UK
Germany
Outside Europe
2017 H1
Production
(kboepd)
2018 H1
Production
(kboepd)
15 Feb – 30 June
Production
(kboepd)
153.1166.1(1) 165.6(2)
Gas
LNG
Liquids(3)
+34% +37% +35%
8
Fram – 3 wells
Onstream 2019-2021
~1.5 kboepd net per well(1)
Accelerates production from field
Snohvit – Askeladd development
3 wells + option for four future wells
Onstream 2020, ~34 mmscf/d at peak(1)
Maintains Snohvit production plateau
Capital ProgrammeTargeted and disciplined capital deployment
L5a-D Sierra Njord Touat
H1 ‘18 ExplorationCara & P1
Status: Onstream
H1 2018 prod: 3.2 kboepd
Status: 43.6% complete
Onstream 2020, prod: 20.9 kboepd(1)
Status: 90% complete
Onstream H1 2019, prod: 13.9 kboepd(1)
Status: FID expected early 2019
Onstream 2021, prod: 9.6 kboepd(1)
$36.5 mm E&A expenditure(2)
2 small commercial discoveries in Dutch
sector
Successful Sigrun appraisal in Norway
Awarded four licences in Norway
2 preliminary licence awards in UK
Acquired $10.6 mm of seismic across
new acreage
H1 ‘18 Sanctioned Infills
1. Peak full year net production to Neptune
2. H1 2018 of which $13 mm was exploration capex and $10.6 mm incurred on acquisition of new seismic data in areas where we have recently been awarded new licences and to
refresh and revitalise our data library in support of new venture activity
9
OrganisationManagement and organisation progress through H1 2018
Carve out from ENGIE systems almost complete
Implemented safety culture program
Revised management organisation structure with clear accountabilities
Weekly and monthly performance and outlook reviews
Improved investment approval process
New corporate management and treasury capabilities
Name Position Previous Experience
Amanda Chilcott Group HR Director HR Director at Aggreko ; BP ; Ford
Andrea Guerra VP Corporate Reservoir Engineering Corporate Manager of Reserves & Economics Apache
Gro Haatvedt VP Exploration Exploration VP Aker BP ; Equinor
David Hemmings VP Business Development Managing Director at Rothschild & Co
Pete Jones Country Manager UK Managing Director Taqa Europe ; Marathon Oil
Philip Lafeber VP SE Asia / Africa Norway Manager at DONG Energy ; Hess Corp.
Mark Richardson VP Projects Group Projects Manager at Apache ; BP
Julian Regan-Mears Director of Corporate Affairs Group Head of External Communications at De Beers ; Centrica ; Britvic
Andreas Scheck Country Manager Germany Country Manager Wintershall
Bruce Webb VP Operations COO at DNO ; 20 years+ with BP
Strengthened existing EPI Team with additional first class E&P leadership
Transitioning organisation to standalone E&P progressing well
10
FinancePeter Thomas - CFO
11
Income Statement
6 months to June 2018 US$ mm Notes
Revenue 1,033.3165.6 kboepd production with realised oil price of $69.9 /bbl. Realised gas price of $7.6
/mmbtu and LNG price of $7.3 /mmbtu
Operating Costs (245.7) Opex /boe of $10.0 /boe (vs. $10.5 / boe for EPI for FY 2017(1))
Exploration Expense (23.0) High seismic data acquisition costs
G&A (31.1) Includes $7 mm non-recurring expenses
DD&A (276.7) Reflects fair valuation of acquired assets
Equity-accounted investments 7.6 Dutch pipeline
Operating profit / loss 464.4 Operating income, reflecting EPI business for 15 Feb – 30 June 2018
Net financial items (61.0) Net of financial expenses and income, mark-to-market on derivatives, other
Tax (269.6)Effective tax rate of 67% (79% on non-adjusted pre tax profit, reflecting acquisition
expenses)
Adjusted Net Income (adj)(2) 133.8 Reported net profit, unadjusted, $70.4 mm
Over $1 bn of revenue and net income of $134 mm
1. Opex per boe based on operating costs adjusted to exclude charge relating to over -and under-lifted production entitlement and tariff and service revenues (total $21 mm)
2. Adjusted for costs relating to the EPI acquisition of $63.4 mm
12
598 91
20487
--
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Operating CF Investing CF Finance costs Free CF surplus
Cash Flow
1. Pro forma for EPI acquisition, compared with $709 mm for the first 6 months of 2017. Neptune H1 2018 EBITDAX, excluding EPI, was $0.74 bn
Strong CF generation
Update
Operating cash flow $598 mm
• adjusted for acquisition-related costs of $63 mm
• includes abex of $15 mm
• working capital impact of +$137 mm
Cash tax rate: 32%
Cash capex relatively low due to re-phasing and some
slippage
Touat to be reported as equity investment: no new
capital injected to JV since 15 February
$1.98 bn equity raised to cover EPI acquisition, plus
$100 mm subordinated loan. Balance from senior debt
H1 2018 Operating CF
$0.6 bn
Including:
• Development capex $80.9 mm
• E&A capex $10.2 mmUS
$ m
m
H1 2018 EBITDAX
$0.9 bn(1)
Cash Flow Summary
13
583
550
187
100 721,349 375
974
1,207
375 1,582
--
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Drawn RBL Senior Notes TouatProjectFinance
SubordinatedNEGL Loan
DebtIssuance
Costs
Total Debt Cash Net Debt Undrawn RBL Cash Headroom
Financial PositionStrong balance sheet and robust level of liquidity
Net Debt : EBITDAX
0.65x(1)
Leverage
34%
Total Headroom
$1.58 bn
US
$ m
m
Note: Results reflect 15 Feb 2018 – 30 June 2018
1. 12 month pro forma EBITDAX
Corporate Credit Ratings
BB- (Stable) / Ba3 (Stable)
14
Hedging
Hedging update
Weighted Average Swap & Put prices (1,2,3)
1. Oil price hedges include hedges of realisations for gas production sold as LNG and pricing in relation to oil prices
2. Post tax hedge ratios adjust for different tax rates on physical sales and hedge gains and losses, which mean that effective post tax hedges can be achieved through hedging contracts
for volumes which may be significantly less than anticipated sales
3. Caps for hedged volumes under collar structures: $73-$75 / barrel for oil and >$7 /mmbtu for gas
Conservative risk management
Aggregate Post-Tax Hedge Ratios (as of 30 June 2018) (1,2,3)
Novated hedge book from ENGIE at acquisition
(MtM $53.8 mm liability). Historically based on
swaps
Continued to add hedges, using mainly option
collar structures
Hedge book comprises mostly swaps for legacy
2018 hedges and option collars for future years
RBL Facility Agreement minimum commodity
hedging requirement, on 3-year rolling basis of
forward looking post-tax production
• 50% for first year
• 30% for second year
• 15% for third year
Mark-to-market hedge book liability of $231 mm
pre-tax at 30 June reflects rising prices
26%
46%
8%
0%
73%
52%
23%
3%
2H2018 2019 2020 2021
Oil Gas
52.5
58.0
52.9
5.35.9 5.9
2H2018 2019 2020
Brent Oil Price ($/bbl) Gas Price ($/mmbtu)
15
FY Guidance
No change. FY low single-digit growth on 2017: stronger H1 performance offset by seasonal
maintenance in H2
Development capex reduced to approx. $420 mm (incl. Touat) reflecting some re-phasing;
$90 mm E&A; $35 mm abex
Plus acquisitions: $430 mm for VNG Norge and $75 mm for Seagull
Pro forma to 30 June 2018 for VNG Norge and Seagull: net debt $1.48 bn, leverage 44%
Cash flow since EPI acquisition anticipated to cover capex, bolt-on acquisitions and finance
costs, at current commodity prices
In line with previous guidance: cash tax as % of pre-tax operating cash flow reducing to below
40% due to higher Norway capex and Algerian future production
1. Excludes VNG contribution, post-closing
2. VNG transaction considered separately due to (i) short term tax cash flows (ii) debt finance contribution for longer term growth
Production
Capex
FCF
Tax Rate
16
Portfolio & SummarySam Laidlaw – Executive Chairman
17
FENJA
IVAR AASEN
BRAGE
VNG Norge ASStrategic portfolio growth in Norway
SNOHVIT
NJORD
BAUGE
HYME
GJØA
FRAM
VEGA
GUDRUN
Stavanger
Florø
DRAUGEN
Neptune Assets
VNG Assets
Neptune & VNG assets
Neptune Offices
VNG Offices
Oslo
$352 mm firm + $50 mm contingent consideration
Adds oil-weighted Norwegian portfolio with growth & synergies
42 licences, five producing fields, three development projects
Incremental 2P reserves + 2C growth of 50 mmboe net
Net production for 2017 of 4,000 boepd with significant
increase to approx. 14,000 boepd by 2022
Adds operatorship of flagship Fenja subsea project and
consolidates around Njord hub
Respected and skilled local organisation
Closing expected by year-end 2018
Significant tax synergies expected in 2019
Investment Highlights
Delivering on strategy and M&A priorities
Synergistic
bolt-ons
Extends reserve
life (R/P)
Tax synergies
Near-field,
short-payback
developments
Growth from
exploration & 2C
Operational fit
Complementary Asset Portfolio
18
Seagull & IsabellaStrategic portfolio growth in UK
$70 mm firm consideration
Leverages Neptune’s UK operational capability
Incremental 2P reserves growth of 13 mmboe net and
production growth of up to 12,000 boepd by 2022
Seagull provides attractive development economics at
moderate cost with well established export routes
Isabella is a high risk / high reward opportunity with material
upside, enhancing Neptune exploration portfolio
Accretive transaction metrics with potential for tax synergies
with existing strong UK asset base
Closing expected by year-end 2018
Investment Highlights
Delivering on strategy and M&A priorities
Synergistic
bolt-ons
Extends reserve
life (R/P)
Tax synergies
Near-field,
short-payback
developments
Growth from
exploration & 2C
SEAGULL
ISABELLA
Cygnus
Operational fit
Complementary Asset Portfolio
19
2018 H2 PrioritiesContinuing to deliver against plan
Operational Excellence
Further Strengthening
the Organisation
Integrate VNG
Drive Forward
Developments
Cost Reductions
20
Summary and Outlook
H1 production outperformance, safety improving, projects progressing
Strong cash flow generation, robust liquidity, disciplined capital allocation
Delivered two ‘bolt-on’ transactions, rebuilding exploration inventory
Production in-line and disciplined capital programme, sustained cash flow generation
Leading international independent E&P company
Operations
Finance
Portfolio
Outlook
22
Glossary
DD&ADepreciation, depletion and amortisation – reflects uplift in asset carrying values as a result of fair valuation of assets
required for purchase accounting for the EPI business combination
EBITDAX
comprises net income for the period before income tax expense, financial expenses, financial income, non-recurring
acquisition-related expenses, mark-to-market adjustments on commodity contracts exploration expense and depreciation
and amortisation
G&A General & Administrative
HSSE Healthy, Safety, Security and Environment
KboepdThousand barrels of oil equivalent. Neptune applies a scf per barrel conversion factor that varies from field to field ranging
from 4,400 to 21,050 scf per barrel
LNG Liquid Natural Gas
Operating costs
per boe
Operating costs adjusted for under-lifted entitlement to production and to offset income from tariffs and services which
serve to recover costs, divided by production in boe
RBL Reserves Based Lending
Touat Project
Finance Facility
limited recourse loan agreement between Neptune and ENGIE entered into in connection with the EPI acquisition to
finance 50% of future expenses in relation to the Touat Development Project