good togreat chap 1 3
TRANSCRIPT
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Good to Good to GreatGreatJim Collins
(c) 2001
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Good to Great
First sentence of chapter 1:
“Good is the enemy of great.”
• Why is that true?
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Companies Studied (15-year return compared to general stock market)
• Abbott (3.98)• Circuit City (18.5)• Fannie Mae (7.56)• Gillette (7.39)• Kimberly-Clark (3.42)• Kroger (4.17)• Nucor (5.16)• Philip Morris (7.06)• Pitney Bowes (7.16)• Walgreens (7.34)• Wells Fargo (3.99)
UpjohnUpjohn SiloSilo Great WesternGreat Western Warner-LambertWarner-Lambert Scott PaperScott Paper A&PA&P Bethlehem SteelBethlehem Steel R.J. ReynoldsR.J. Reynolds AddressographAddressograph EckerdEckerd Bank of AmericaBank of America
Unsustained: Burroughs, Chrysler, Harris, Hasbro, Rubbermaid, Teledyne (Kirk Wakefield)
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Overview
• While presenting his first book, Bill Meehan, the managing director of the San Francisco office of McKinsey & Company, told Jim Collins,– “You know, Jim, we love Built to Last around here.
You and your coauthor did a very fine job on the research and writing. Unfortunately, it’s useless.”
• This was the spark of curiosity that began five years of research and resulted in Good to Great.
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Overview
• The five-year research effort yielded many insights, but one conclusion stands out above the others – Most any organization can substantially
improve its stature and performance, perhaps even become great, if it conscientiously applies the framework of ideas we’ve uncovered
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Phase 1: The Search
• First task was to find companies that showed the good-to-great pattern (Table 1)
• Launched a six-month “death march of financial analysis,” looking for companies that showed the following basic pattern:– Fifteen-year cumulative stock returns at or below
the general stock market, punctuated by a transition point, then cumulative returns at least three times the market over the next fifteen years
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Phase 1: The SearchCompany Results from Transition
Point to 15 Years beyond Transition Point*
T Year to T Year + 15
Abbot 3.98 times the market 1974 – 1989
Circuit City 18.50 times the market 1982 – 1997
Fannie Mae 7.56 times the market 1984 - 1999
Gillette 7.39 times the market 1980 - 1995
Kimberly-Clark 3.42 times the market 1972 – 1987
Kroger 4.17 times the market 1973 – 1988
Nucor 5.16 times the market 1975 – 1990
Philip Morris 7.06 times the market 1964 – 1979
Pitney Bowes 7.16 times the market 1973 – 1988
Walgreens 7.34 times the market 1975 – 1990
Wells Fargo 3.99 times the market 1983 – 1998
*Ratio of cumulative stock returns relative to the general stock market
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Phase 1: The Search
• Criteria for Selection as a Good-to-Great Company– Company shows a pattern of “good” performance
punctuated by a transition point, after which it shifts to “great” performance
– Good-to-great shift must be a company shift, not an industry event
– At the transition point, the company must have been an established, ongoing company, not a start-up
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Phase 1: The Search
• Criteria for Selection as a Good-to-Great Company, continued – The transition point had to occur before 1985 so
that there would be enough data to assess the sustainability of the transition
– Whatever the year of transition, the company still had to be a significant, ongoing, stand-alone company at the time of selection
– At the time of selection, the company should still
show an upward trend
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Phase 1: The Search
• The Good-to-Great Screening and Selection Process– Cut 1: From the Universe of Companies to 1,435
Companies • Selected from the Fortune 500, 1965 – 1995
– Cut 2: From 1,435 Companies to 126 Companies• Selected into full CRSP data pattern analysis
– Cut 3: From 126 Companies to 19 Companies • Selected into Industry Analysis
– Cut 4: From 19 Companies to 11 Good-to-Great Companies
• Selected into Good-to-Great Set
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Phase 2: Compared to What?
• Two types of comparison companies– Direct comparisons
• Companies that were in the same industry as the good-to-great opportunities and similar resources at the time of transition, but showed no leap from good to great
– Unsustained comparisons• Companies that made a short-term shift from good to
great but failed to maintain the trajectory• Intended to address the question of sustainability• Comparisons are displayed in Appendix 1.C, page 234
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Phase 2: Compared to What,
• Direct Comparisons – Purpose of direct comparison analysis is to create
as close to a “historical controlled experiment” as possible
– Helped in identifying distinguishing variables that account for the transition from good to great
– Performed a systematic and methodical collection and scoring of all obvious comparison candidates for each good-to-great company
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Phase 2: Compared to What?,
• Direct Comparison Criteria– Business Fit
• At the time of transition, the comparison candidate had similar products and services as the good-to-great company
– Size Fit • At the time of transition, the comparison candidate was
the same basic size as the good-to-great company – Age Fit
• The comparison candidate was founded in the same era as the good-to-great company
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Phase 2: Compared to What?, • Direct Comparison Criteria, continued
– Stock Chart Fit• The cumulative stock returns to market chart of the
comparison candidate roughly tracks the pattern of the good-to-great company until the point of transition
– Conservative Test• At the time of transition, the comparison candidate was more
successful than the good-to-great company – Face Validity
• Takes into account two factors– Comparison candidate is in a similar line of business at the time of
selection– Comparison candidate is less successful than the good-to-great
company at the time of selection
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Phase 2: Compared to What?,
• Direct Comparison Scoring – Scored each comparison candidate on each of
the six criteria on a scale of 1 to 4: • 4 = comparison candidate fits the criteria extremely
well—there are no issues or qualifiers• 3 = comparison candidate fits the criteria reasonably
well—there are minor issues or qualifiers• 2 = comparison candidate fits the criteria poorly—
there are major issues and concerns• 1 = comparison candidate fails the criteria
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Phase 2: Compared to What?, The Entire Study Set
Good-to-Great Companies
Comparison Companies
Abbot Upjohn
Circuit City Silo
Fannie Mae Great Western
Gillette Warner-Lambert
Kimberly-Clark Scott Paper
Kroger A&P
Nucor Bethlehem Steel
Philip Morris R.J. Reynolds
Pitney Bowes Addressograph
Walgreens Eckerd
Wells Fargo Bank of America
Unsustained Companies
Burroughs
Chrysler
Harris
Hasbro
Rubbermaid
Teledyne
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box
• Research Phase– Systematically coded all materials into
categories, conducted interviews, and initiated a wide range of analyses
• Project began with the goal of building a theory from the ground up
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box,
• In the study, what they didn’t find turned out to be some of the best clues to the inner workings of good to great
Good Results
What’s Inside the BLACK BOX?
What’s Inside the BLACK BOX?
Great Results
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box, • Company Coding Documents Collected
– All major articles published on the company over its entire history
– Materials obtained directly from companies – Books written about the industry, company, and/or
its leaders – Business school case studies and industry analyses – Business and industry reference materials – Annual reports, proxy statements, analyst reports,
and any other materials available on the company, especially during the transition era
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box,
• Coding System Categories– Category 1: Organizing Arrangements– Category 2: Social Factors– Category 3: Business Strategy, Strategic
Processes– Category 4: Markets, Competitors, and
Environment– Category 5: Leadership – Category 6: Products and Services
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box, • Coding System Categories, continued
– Category 7: Physical Setting and Location – Category 8: Use of Technology– Category 9: Vision: Core Values, Purpose, and
BHAGs– Category 10
• A: Change/Transition Activities during Transition Era of Corresponding Good-to-Great Company (Direct Comparisons Only)
• B: Attempted Transition Era (Unsustained Comparisons Only)
– Category 11: Posttransition Decline (Unsustained Comparisons Only)
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box, • Other Research Elements
– Financial Spreadsheet Analysis • Examined all financial variables for 980 combined
years of data (35 years on average per company)• Comprised gathering raw income and balance sheet data
and examining variables in both the pre- and posttransition decades
– Executive Interviews• Conducted interviews of senior management and board
members, focusing on those in office during the transition era
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box,• Special Analysis Units
– Acquisitions and Divestitures • Sought to understand the role of acquisitions and divestments
in the transition from good to great
– Industry Performance Analysis • Looked at the performance of the companies versus the
performance of the industries
– Executive Churn Analysis • Looked at the extent to which the executive teams changed
during the crucial points in companies’ histories
– CEO Analysis• Performed a qualitative examination of each set of CEOs
during the transition eras in all three sets of companies
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box, • Special Analysis Units, continued
– Executive Compensation • Examined across the twenty-eight companies studied, from ten
years before the transition point to 1998
– Role of Layoffs• Sought to examine all companies for evidence of layoffs as a
conscious tactic to improve company performance
– Corporate Ownership Analysis• Aimed to determine if there were any significant differences
between companies
– Media Hype Analysis • Looked at the degree of “media hype” surrounding the companies
– Technology Analysis • Examined the role of technology, drawing largely upon executive
interviews and written source materials
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Phase 3: Inside the Black Box,
• Comparative Analysis Frameworks – Performed throughout the research effort– While less detailed than the other portions of
the research effort, all were derived directly from research evidence
– Included topics such as • The use of bold corporate moves• Executive class versus egalitarianism • Three-circle analysis and fit with core values and
purpose
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept
• Every primary concept in the final framework showed up as a change variable in 100 percent of the good-to-great companies and in less than 30 percent of the comparison companies during the pivotal years
• The Flywheel captures the gestalt of the entire process of going from good to great
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept,
DISCIPLINED PEOPLE
DISCIPLINED PEOPLE
DISCIPLINED THOUGHT
DISCIPLINED THOUGHT
DISCIPLINED ACTION
DISCIPLINED ACTION
FIRST WHO.. THEN WHAT
LEVEL 5 LEADERSHIP
TECHNOLOGY ACCELERATOR
S
HEDGEHOG
CONCEPT
BUILDUP…
BREAKTHROU
GH!
FLYWHEEL
CULTURE OF
DISCIPLINE
CONFRONT THE BRUTAL FACTS
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept,
• The Flywheel—Disciplined People – Level 5 Leadership
• Good-to-great leaders are self-effacing, reserved, even shy—a paradoxical blend of personal humility and professional will
– First Who…Then What• Good-to-great leaders first got the right people on the
bus, the wrong people off the bus, and the right people in the right seats
• Then they figured out where to drive it • People are not your most important asset. The right
people are.
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept, (cont.)• The Flywheel—Disciplined Thought
– Confront the Brutal Facts (Yet Never Lose Faith)• Every good-to-great company embraced what came to be
called the Stockdale Paradox– Must maintain unwavering faith that you can and will prevail in
the end, regardless of the difficulties, AND at the same time have the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be
– The Hedgehog Concept (Simplicity within the Three Circles)
• To go from good to great requires transcending the curse of competence
• If you cannot be the best in the world at your core business, then your core business absolutely cannot form the basis of a great company
– It must be replaced with a simple concept that reflects deep understanding of three intersecting circles
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept, (cont.)
• The Flywheel—Disciplined Action– A Culture of Discipline
• When you have disciplined people, you don’t need hierarchy
• When you have disciplined thought, you don’t need bureaucracy
• When you have disciplined action, you don’t need excessive controls
• When you combine a culture of discipline with an ethic of entrepreneurship, you get the alchemy of great performance
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept, (cont.)
• The Flywheel—Disciplined Action, Continued– Technology Accelerators
• Good-to-great companies think differently about the role of technology
– They never use technology as the primary means of igniting a transformation
• Paradoxically, they are pioneers in the application of carefully selected technologies
• Technology by itself is never a primary, root cause of either greatness or decline
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept, (cont.)
• The Flywheel and the Doom Loop– Those who launch revolutions, dramatic change
programs, and wrenching restructurings will almost certainly fail to make the leap from good to great
• Good-to-great transformations never happened in one fell swoop
– Rather, the process resembled relentlessly pushing a giant heavy flywheel in one direction, building momentum until a point of breakthrough
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Phase 4: Chaos to Concept, (cont.)
• From Good to Great to Built to Last– Built to Last is about how you take a company
with great results and turn it into an enduring great company of iconic stature
• To make that shift requires core values and a purpose beyond just making money combined with the key dynamic of preserve the core / stimulate progressGood to
Great Concepts
Sustained Great Results
Built to Last Concepts
Enduring Great Company
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The Timeless “Physics” of Good to Great
• This book is ultimately about one thing:– The timeless principles of good to great
• It’s about how you take a good organization of any type and turn it into one that produces sustained great results, using whatever definition of results best applies to your organization
• That good is the enemy of great is not just a business problem—it is a human problem – If we have cracked the code on the question of
good to great, we should have something of value to any type of organization
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Lesson #1: Leadership
• Humility + Will = Level 5 leadership• Modest, willful, humble, fearless• Ego-driven, genius-types, may produce short-term
positive results, but cannot sustain results• 1=highly capable; 2= contributing team member,
3= competent manager, 4= effective leader, 5=executive that builds enduring greatness thru personal humility & professional
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LeadershipProfessional Will• Creates superb results, a clear
catalyst in the transition from good to great
• Demonstrates an unwavering resolve to do whatever must be done to produce the best long-term results, no matter how difficult
• Sets the standard of building an enduring great company; will settle for nothing less
• Looks in the mirror, not out the window, to apportion responsibility for poor results, never blaming other people, external factors, or bad luck
Personal Humility Demonstrates a compelling
modesty, shunning public adulation; never boastful
Acts with quiet, calm determination; relies principally on inspired standards, not inspiring charisma to motivate
Channels ambition into the company, not the self; sets up successors for even greater success in the next generation
Looks out the window, not in the mirror, to apportion credit for the success of the company—to other people, external factors, and good luck
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Level 5Leadership
First Who…Then What
Confront theBrutal Facts
HedgehogConcept
Culture ofDiscipline
TechnologyAccelerators
Disciplined People Disciplined Thought Disciplined Action
BuildupBreakthrough
Good to Great
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Level 5Leadership
First Who…Then What
Confront theBrutal Facts
HedgehogConcept
Culture ofDiscipline
TechnologyAccelerators
Disciplined People Disciplined Thought Disciplined Action
BuildupBreakthrough
Level 5Leadership
Good to Great
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Level 5 Leadership
5–Level 5 Executive
4–Effective Leader
3–Competent Manager
2–Contributing Team Member
1–Highly Capable Individual
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Level 5 Leadership
Leaders who employ a paradoxical mix of personal humility and professional will
Set up successors for even greater success
Compelling modesty, self-effacing, understated
5–Level 5 Executive
4–Effective Leader
3–Competent Manager
2–Contributing Team Member
1–Highly Capable Individual
Fanatically driven to produce sustainable results
More plow horse than show horse
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Level 5 Leadership
5–Level 5 Executive
4–Effective Leader
3–Competent Manager
2–Contributing Team Member
1–Highly Capable Individual
Look in mirror and take full responsibility for poor decisions
Many people have the potential to evolve into Level 5
Attribute success to other than themselves
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Level 5Leadership
First Who…Then What
Confront theBrutal Facts
HedgehogConcept
Culture ofDiscipline
TechnologyAccelerators
Disciplined People Disciplined Thought Disciplined Action
BuildupBreakthrough
First Who…Then What
Good to Great
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First Who . . . Then What
Leaders began the transformation by first getting the right people on the bus (and the wrong people off the bus).
“Who” questions came before “what” decisions - before vision, strategy, organization structure, and tactics.
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First Who . . . Then What
Three practical disciplines for being rigorous:When in doubt, don’t hireWhen you know you need to make a
people decision, act
Put your best people on your best opportunities, not biggest problems
Leaders were rigorous, not ruthless in people decisions.
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First Who . . . Then What
Management teams debate vigorously to find best answers, yet unify behind decisions.
“Right” person has more to do with character traits and innate capabilities than with knowledge, background, or skills.