goldcorp corporate update-mar 2013
TRANSCRIPT
MARCH 2013 Corporate Update
STRATEGY.
DISCIPLINE.
EXECUTION.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements”, within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities legislation, concerning the business, operations and financial performance and condition of Goldcorp Inc. (“Goldcorp”). Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the future price of gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the realization of mineral reserve estimates, the timing and amount of estimated future production, costs of production, capital expenditures, costs and timing of the development of new deposits, success of exploration activities, permitting time lines, hedging practices, currency exchange rate fluctuations, requirements for additional capital, government regulation of mining operations, environmental risks, unanticipated reclamation expenses, timing and possible outcome of pending litigation, title disputes or claims and limitations on insurance coverage. Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of Goldcorp to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: risks related to the integration of acquisitions; risks related to international operations; risks related to joint venture operations; actual results of current exploration activities; actual results of current reclamation activities; conclusions of economic evaluations; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined; future prices of gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc; possible variations in ore reserves, grade or recovery rates; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes; delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of development or construction activities and other risks of the mining industry, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled “Description of the Business – Risk Factors” in Goldcorp’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2012 available at www.sedar.com. Although Goldcorp has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Goldcorp does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements that are included in this document, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
All amounts are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated.
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CONSISTENT STRATEGIC FOCUS
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Peer-Leading Balance Sheet
Responsible Mining
Practices
Low Political
Risk
TOGETHER CREATING
SUSTAINABLE VALUE
Quality Growth
Cost Management
S T R A T E G Y .
CHALLENGES FACING THE GOLD INDUSTRY
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DELAYED FCF
Missed guidance Revamped planning and forecasting
Lack of growth
Poor capital allocation decisions
Operating cost escalation
Quality growth
Only N.A. senior with YoY growth
Operating for Excellence
A CLEAR PATH TO FCF
Disciplined M&A and divestitures
No writedowns
Goldcorp Industry
D I S C I P L I N E .
ALL- IN SUSTAINING CASH COSTS
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I M P R OV E D C A S H C O S T D I S C LO S U R E
D I S C I P L I N E .
OPERATING COST
$300 SUSTAINING CAPEX
$439
G&A
$105 EXPLORATION
$23
38% 20% 16% Labor Other Consumables
TOTAL $874 per oz
(US$) as at Dec. 31, 2012
Energy
17%
OTHER
$7
9% Maintenance
COMMITMENT TO COST CONTAINMENT
Operating for Excellence A GLOBAL INITIATIVE
6 D I S C I P L I N E .
LOW CAPITAL INTENSITY PROJECTS
(as at Dec. 31, 2012)
SPENT COMMITTED OUTSTANDING
$3.1B
$0.4 B
$2.0B
Capital Spending for Projects Contributing
to 5-Year Growth Profile
LOW CAPITAL COST / OZ OF <$240 * Contributing to 5-year growth: Pueblo Viejo, Cerro Negro, Éléonore, Cochenour and Camino Rojo 7
D I S C I P L I N E .
2013 GUIDANCE
20131
Guidance 2012
Actual
G O L D P R O D U C T I O N ( m o z ) 2.55 - 2.80 2.4
C A S H C O S T S $ / o z A L L - I N S U S TA I N I N G B Y - P R O D U C T C O - P R O D U C T
$1,000 - $1,100
$525 - $575 $700 - $750
$874 $300 $638
C A P I TA L E X P E N D I T U R E S $2.8B $2.6B
E X P L O R AT I O N E X P E N D I T U R E S $225M $207M
C O R P O R AT E A D M I N I S T R AT I O N $180M $163M
D E P R E C I AT I O N / o z $335 $284
TA X R AT E 29% 25%
8 1 2013 price assumptions: Au=$1,600/oz, Ag=$30/oz, Cu=$3.50/lb, Zn=$0.90/lb, Pb=$0.90/lb
D I S C I P L I N E .
5 YEAR PRODUCTION GUIDANCE
2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E
2.4
2.55 - 2.8
3.2 - 3.5
3.5 - 3.8 3.8 - 4.0
4.0 - 4.2
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Gold production (Moz)
Increasing Production ~70%
D I S C I P L I N E .
STRONG CASH FLOW GROWTH (13E – 15E)
10 Source: Bloomberg consensus (as of Mar. 12, 2013) Dollar figures are cash flow per share estimates 2013E – 2015E
D I S C I P L I N E .
-8%
-1% 8%
14% 16%
51%
Kinross Newmont Barrick Yamana Agnico Goldcorp
$3.13
$4.26 $4.73
2013E 2014E 2015E
FINANCIAL POSITION – EXCELLENT LIQUIDITY
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(US$) as at Dec. 31, 2012 with pro-forma reflection of US$1.5B notes
1 Moody’s: Baa2; S&P: BBB+; Fitch: BBB.
INVESTMENT GRADE BALANCE SHEET1
CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS
AVAILABLE DEBT FACILITY - UNDRAWN
CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES – DUE 2014
$918.0 M
$2.0 B
$862.5 M
~$4.4 B LIQUIDITY
Balance Sheet
D I S C I P L I N E .
$1.5 B SENIOR UNSECURED NOTES – DUE 2018 & 2023
RETURNING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
$0.18 $0.21
$0.41
$0.54 $0.60
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E
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Dividend ($ per share) Dividend up 233%
since 2009 Dividend ($ per share)1
1Dividend increases (annual): Oct. 27, 2010 - $0.36/share; Feb. 24, 2011 - $0.40/share; Dec. 5, 2011 - $0.54/share; Jan. 7, 2013 - $0.60/share 2Source: Bloomberg consensus (as of Mar. 12, 2013)
D I S C I P L I N E .
11% 14% 14%
19%
25%
10% 12% 12%
14%
21%
KGC ABX AUY GG NEM2013E 2014E
Dividend as % of Operating Cash Flow2
Significant return of
capital to shareholders
43,400
46,300
48,800
60,060
64,700
67,100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
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(Thousands of ounces)
Ninth Consecutive Year of Reserve Growth
4% on a per share basis
QUALITY RESERVE GROWTH
D I S C I P L I N E .
1 See Appendix D for the 2012 proven and probable gold mineral reserves including tonnage, grade and ounces by property
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FOCUS IN LOW RISK JURISDICTIONS
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Canada 38%
US 6%
Mexico 30%
Argentina 5%
Dominican Republic 14%
Guatemala 7%
2013E GOLD
PRODUCTION
ARGENTINA
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
GUATEMALA
CHILE
Operating Mines Development Projects
MEXICO
USA
CANADA
E X E C U T I O N .
CANADA
Red Lake Musselwhite
Porcupine
Éléonore
Cochenour
RED LAKE
Gold production
2012A: 507,700 oz
2013E: 475,000 - 510,000 oz
Robust, low cost gold production
Single de-stress slot for late-2013 at the 46/47 level 15
Cornerstone Asset
Strong exploration potential
5 drills to test and extend NXT Zone
Focus on newly discovered structure off of 4699 ramp at the High Grade Zone
E X E C U T I O N .
RED LAKE - HIGH GRADE ZONE DRILLING Exploration Success – NXT Zone
16 E X E C U T I O N .
MEXICO
PEÑASQUITO
Gold production
2012A: 411,300 oz
2013E: 360,000 - 400,000 oz
Long term water management study underway – completion expected in 1H’13
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Mexico’s Largest Gold Producer
Focus on efficiencies & cost reductions
Largest cash flow generator in 2012
22-year mine life
District potential opportunities
PEÑASQUITO
Los Filos
El Sauzal
E X E C U T I O N .
PUEBLO VIEJO New Source of Gold Production
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
Pueblo Viejo
1 Goldcorp interest 40%
First gold production achieved
2012A: 44,700 oz1
2013E: 330,000 - 435,000 oz1
Commercial production declared
E X E C U T I O N .
Annual output 415,000 to 450,000 ounces per year1 in first five years
Life of mine +25 years
Power plant to commence operations in 2013
ROBUST DEVELOPMENT PIPEL INE
CAMINO ROJO
(SULPHIDES)
PEÑASQUITO UG
El MORRO U/G
CAMINO ROJO
(OXIDES) (2016)
EL MORRO
AGUA RICA
CERRO BLANCO
CERRO NEGRO (2013)
ÉLÉONORE (2014)
COCHENOUR (2015)
PUEBLO VIEJO (2012)
PEÑASQUITO (2010)
LOS FILOS (2008)
MARLIN (2006)
RED LAKE & OTHER
OPERATING MINES*
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SCOPING
FEASIBILITY
CONSTRUCTION
PRODUCTION
Growth in High Quality Ounces
* PORCUPINE, MUSSELWHITE, EL SAUZAL, ALUMBRERA, MARIGOLD, WHARF
E X E C U T I O N .
CERRO NEGRO
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Developing our Next Cornerstone Mine
ARGENTINA
Alumbrera
El Morro
Cerro Negro
E X E C U T I O N .
Updated economics:
525 koz Au annually (1st 5 years)
<$350/oz cash costs (1st 5 years)
Initial capital expenditure of $1.35B
First production late-2013
High grade vein system
Outstanding reserve growth potential
Development & construction advancing
Eureka decline advanced over 2,200m
Mariana Central and Mariana Norte ramp development progressing
CANADA
ÉLÉONORE
Development plan:
Upper/lower mine concept; 7 ktpd
~ 600,000 oz Au / annually
Initial capital expenditure: $1.75B
First production late-2014
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Pure Gold in a Safe Jurisdiction
Red Lake
Musselwhite
Porcupine
Éléonore
Cochenour
E X E C U T I O N .
Gaumond exploration shaft completed
Exploration ramp extended over 2,500m; 6 drills underway
Production shaft sinking commenced; depth of 140m
CANADA
Red Lake
Musselwhite
Porcupine
Éléonore
COCHENOUR
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Key Growth Driver in Red Lake District
Cochenour
Development plan:
225,000 - 250,000 oz Au / annually
Initial capital expenditure: $540M
First production 1H’15
Shaft widening advancing
E X E C U T I O N .
Haulage drift 70% complete
Exploration advancing
Two u/g drills targeting unexplored potential
Plan to drill ore body at depth by year-end
CHILE
EL MORRO
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Long Term Strategic Asset
Cerro Negro
Alumbrera
El Morro
Goldcorp interest 70%
E X E C U T I O N .
Large, under-explored land position
Construction deferred pending:
Reinstatement of permits
Project optimization
Power solution
WHY GOLD?
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516%
Central bank buying
Flat mine supply
Stable investment
demand
Safe haven/ asset class Inflation
hedge
Currency protection
Growing physical demand
China factor
Continued debasement of international
currencies
increase over 2000
E X E C U T I O N .
Dec. 31, 2000 – Dec. 31, 2012
12 Consecutive Years of Gold Price Growth - Gold price (per ounce)
2000 2012
GOLDCORP ADVANTAGE
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FOCUS ON QUALITY OUNCES
COST MANAGEMENT
PEER-LEADING BALANCE SHEET
RESPONSIBLE MINING PRACTICES
LOW POLITICAL RISK
S U P E R I O R INVESTMENT PROPOSITION
E X E C U T I O N .
APPENDIX A - 2013 MINE BY MINE GUIDANCE
2013 Guidance
2012 Actual
R e d L a k e 475,000 - 510,000 507,700
P e ñ a s q u i t o 360,000 - 400,000 411,300
L o s F i l o s 340,000 - 350,000 340,400
P u e b l o V i e j o ( 4 0 . 0 % ) 330,000 - 435,000 44,700
P o r c u p i n e 270,000 - 280,000 262,800
M u s s e l w h i t e 250,000 - 260,000 239,200
M a r l i n 185,000 - 200,000 207,300
A l u m b r e r a ( 3 7 . 5 % ) 120,000 - 125,000 136,600
M a r i g o l d ( 6 6 . 7 % ) 95,000 - 100,000 96,300
E l S a u z a l 70,000 - 80,000 81,800
W h a r f 55,000 - 60,000 68,100
To t a l 2,550,000 – 2,800,000 2,396,200 26
APPENDIX B - 2013 SENSITIVITIES
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Base Price Change
Increments CFPS
($/share)
By Product Cash Costs
($/oz)
FCF ($mm)
Gold Price ($/oz) $1,600 $100 $0.25 $1 $205
Silver Price ($/oz) $30.00 $3.00 $0.06 $27 $52
Copper Price ($/lb) $3.50 $0.50 $0.04 $17 $32
Zinc Price ($/lb) $0.90 $0.10 $0.03 $11 $21
Lead Price ($/lb) $0.90 $0.10 $0.01 $5 $10
Canadian Dollars 1.00 10% $0.05 $19 $152
Mexican Peso 12.75 10% $0.04 $15 $39
Diesel ($/barrel) $100.00 10% $0.02 $9 $16
Electricity ($/kWh) $0.09 10% $0.02 $11 $20
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22%
16%
8% 11%
9%
15%
2%
5%
5% 7%
Labour Contractors Fuel Costs Power Maintenance Parts Consumables Tires Explosives Site Costs Others
38%
17% 6%
5%
8%
11%
2% 3%
6% 4%
CANADA / USA MEXICO CSA
13%
18%
10%
11% 10%
18%
3%
6%
4% 7%
17%
9%
8%
18% 12%
15%
2%
4%
4%
11%
APPENDIX C - OPERATING COSTS BREAKDOWN CONSOLIDATED
APPENDIX D - GOLD MINERAL RESERVES
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1. Mineral Reserves are estimated using appropriate recovery rates and US$ commodity prices of $1,350 per ounce of gold, $24 per ounce of silver, $3.00 per pound of copper, $0.80 per pound of lead, and $0.85 per pound of zinc, unless otherwise stated below:
1. Alumbrera $1,400/oz gold and $3.20/lb copper 2. Pueblo Viejo, Dee $1,500/oz gold, $28/oz silver, $3.00/lb copper
GOLDCORP MINERAL RESERVES
(as of December 31, 2012) PROVEN PROBABLE PROVEN & PROBABLE
Ownership Tonnage Grade Contained Tonnage Grade Contained Tonnage Grade Contained
GOLD mt g Au/t m oz mt g Au/t m oz mt g Au/t m oz
Alumbrera 37.5% 78.75 0.36 0.91 2.51 0.23 0.02 81.26 0.36 0.93
Camino Rojo 100.0% - - 66.76 0.76 1.63 66.76 0.76 1.63
Cerro Blanco 100.0% - - - - - -
Cerro Negro 100.0% 0.04 11.08 0.01 18.87 9.43 5.72 18.91 9.43 5.74
Cochenour 100.0% - - - - - -
Dee 40.0% - - 20.42 1.44 0.95 20.42 1.44 0.95
El Morro 70.0% 233.95 0.56 4.24 215.56 0.36 2.49 449.51 0.47 6.73
El Sauzal 100.0% 4.42 1.52 0.22
Eleonore 100.0% - - 12.48 7.56 3.03 12.48 7.56 3.03
Los Filos 100.0% 72.61 0.96 2.25 224.10 0.72 5.18 296.71 0.78 7.43
Marigold 66.7% 23.37 0.68 0.51 173.06 0.50 2.77 196.43 0.52 3.28
Marlin 100.0% 3.52 3.37 0.38 3.91 4.91 0.62 7.44 4.18 1.00
Musselwhite 100.0% 5.26 6.79 1.15 5.97 5.94 1.14 11.23 6.34 2.29
Noche Buena 100.0% - - - - - -
Penasquito Heap Leach 100.0% 32.34 0.15 0.16 87.41 0.13 0.36 119.75 0.13 0.52
Penasquito Mill 100.0% 577.90 0.55 10.27 484.71 0.31 4.90 1,062.60 0.44 15.17
Porcupine 100.0% 27.79 1.57 1.40 80.98 1.13 2.94 108.78 1.24 4.35
Pueblo Viejo 40.0% 13.88 3.49 1.56 96.06 2.74 8.45 109.94 2.83 10.01
Red Lake 100.0% 2.00 11.85 0.76 8.49 9.04 2.47 10.48 9.57 3.23
San Nicolas 21.0% - - - - - -
Wharf 100.0% 10.32 0.81 0.27 11.80 0.82 0.31 22.12 0.82 0.58
Totals 23.87 42.99 67.08
Endnotes 1. The Company has included non-GAAP performance measures, performance measures, total cash cost per gold ounce and all-in sustaining cash cost per gold ounce,
throughout this presentation. The Company reports both of these measures on a sales basis.
Total cash cost per gold ounce in the gold mining industry is a common performance measure but does not have any standardized meaning, and is a non-GAAP measure.
The Company follows the recommendations of the Gold Institute standard. All-in sustaining cash costs include by-product cash costs, sustaining capital, corporate
general & administrative expenses and exploration expense.
The Company believes that, in addition to conventional measures, prepared in accordance with GAAP, certain investors use this information to evaluate the Company’s
performance and ability to generate cash flow. Accordingly, they are intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a
substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Production costs in 2013 are allocated to each co-product based on the ratio of actual sales volumes multiplied by budget metals prices of $1,600 per ounce of gold, $30
per ounce of silver, $3.50 per pound of copper, $0.90 per pound of lead and $0.90 per pound of zinc, rather than realized sales prices.
2. All Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources have been estimated as at December 31, 2012 in accordance with the standards of the Canadian Institute of Mining,
Metallurgy and Petroleum and National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”), or the AusIMM JORC equivalent. These estimates, as well as all other scientific and technical
information relating to Goldcorp’s mineral properties contained herein, have been prepared by employees of Goldcorp, its joint venture partners or its joint venture
operating companies, as applicable, and have been reviewed and approved by Maryse Belanger, P. Geo., Senior Vice-President, Technical Services of Goldcorp, a
“qualified person” for the purposes of NI 43-101. These estimates incorporate current and/or expected mine plans and cost levels at each property. Varying cut-off
grades have been used depending on the mine and type of ore. Goldcorp’s normal data verification procedures have been employed in connection with these estimates.
For a breakdown of Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources by category and for a more detailed description of the key assumptions, parameters and methods used in
calculating Goldcorp’s Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources, please refer to Goldcorp’s most recently filed Annual Information Form/ Form 40-F filed with Canadian
provincial securities regulatory authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
3. Cautionary Note to United States Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated and Inferred Resources: United States investors are advised that while such
terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize them. “Inferred Mineral
Resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred
Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or other
economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of Goldcorp’s Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources will ever be converted
into Mineral Reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource exists, or is economically or legally
mineable.
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