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www.research.hsbc.com // 1 Global Research 2014 ECONOMICS » ASSET ALLOCATION » EM » FX » EQUITIES » FIXED INCOME » CLIMATE CHANGE » QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH Global Banking and Markets // INFORMATION // INSIGHT // IDEAS

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Page 1: Global Research2014 -  · PDF fileGlobal Research2014 ... interviews, report summaries, webcasts and audios of ... We have market-leading coverage of

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Global Research 2014ECONOMICS »ASSET ALLOCATION »EM »fx »EquITIES »fIxED INCOME »CLIMATE CHANGE »quANTITATIVE RESEARCH

Global Banking and Markets

// INfORMATION // INSIGHT // IDEAS

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2 // Global Research 2014

To download this guide and access reports, videos and podcasts, go to the HSBC Global Research website:

www.research.hsbc.com

Our purpose is to generate the best investment opportunities for our clients by providing information, sharing our insights and creatingthought-provoking ideas.”

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Introduction financial markets constantly generate

new investment opportunities, and our highly experienced team of analysts around the world is ideally placed to identify them.

Whether it is spotting the big investment themes, responding to breaking news, or offering our thoughts on specific opportunities, our analysts aim to be topical, relevant and insightful. Part of our task is to join up the dots, which is why we often produce multi-asset reports around key political and economic developments.

We have been expanding both our coverage and the size of our team, most recently building out our presence in Latin America and South Africa.

Our emphasis on emerging markets aligns with the strategic footprint of HSBC as a whole. It differentiates us from other research houses as we have people on the ground in some of the fastest growing markets in the world. This enables us to comment with authority on themes such as the internationalisation of the renminbi, South-South trade and capital flows, and links between the developed and emerging worlds.

We hope this guide highlights our strengths.

Sincerely,

David May, Global Head of Research

INTRODuCTION «

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4 // Global Research 2014

Who are we?» HSBC Global Research is an independent research house focused on Emerging Markets. We have 400 analysts in 21 countries across Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Americas, the Middle East and Africa. They cover 1,775 companies and produce 1,000+ research reports monthly.

What is our purpose?» We aim to generate the best investment opportunities for our clients by providing information, sharing our insights, and creating thought-provoking ideas.

What do we offer?» We offer our clients published and bespoke research, presentations, conferences, seminars, one-on-one meetings, attendance at expert events and corporate access.

Who are our clients?

How can our clients access HSBC Global Research?» Our clients can receive our reports by email subscription, by accessing our website, via third party aggregators, or by using the HSBC Global Research app on their iPad. We offer an extensive library of video interviews, report summaries, webcasts and audios of our events and conference calls.

» OVERVIEW

GoveRnMenT CenTRal BankS

SoveReiGn WealTH FundS HedGe FundS

PenSion FundS aSSeT ManaGeRS

CoRPoRaTeS PRivaTe ClienTS

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Our strengths

06 Our credentials Global Research is highly ranked and rated across a number of geographies and asset classes.

08 Our footprint We cover multiple asset classes including, macro-economics, asset allocation, EM, fx, equities, fixed income, climate change and quantitative research, across a broad geographic platform.

09 Our emerging markets coverage We are known for our strong emerging markets expertise. We have market-leading coverage of geographies and asset classes where we have key competitive advantages and can generate the best opportunities for our clients.

16 Our staff Our analysts are experienced in their sector and a number have worked in the industries they cover. Several of our staff have been recognised as leaders in their field as reflected in client votes.

24 Our multi-asset proposition The synergies between our asset classes, our reactivity to breaking news and our thematic coverage allow us to create impactful multi-asset research materials.

25 Our government and corporate access Effective dialogue between investors, policymakers and corporate management provides greater insight into the macro environment and corporate strategy, facilitating better investment decisions.

CONTENTS «

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6 // Global Research 2014

» CREDENTIALS

Our credentialsGlobal Research is highly ranked and rated across a number of geographies and asset classes.

EXTEL (Graph)» 8th Overall ranking EMEA

Regional Research (9th last year)

» 1st Luxury Goods, Telcos Services, and MENA

» Top 3 Multi-asset, Oil Services, Speciality finances, Business Services (compared to 2 teams last year)

ASIA MOnEy (Graph)» 2nd Overall ranking

Asian Regional Research (excl. Australia & Japan) (2nd last year)

» 1st Banks, Congloms, Energy, Insurance, Materials, Real Estate, Tech Hardware, Transport and utilities (1 team last year)

» Top 3 18 Equities Research teams (18 teams last year)

InSTITuTIOnALInvESTOR (Graph)» 9th Overall ranking

Latin American Regional Research (12th last year)

» 4th Overall Country Research for Mexico (16th last year)

» 13th Overall Country Research for Brazil (16th last year)

Best Overall Broker

Ran

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1

3

5

7

9

11

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2010

2011

2012

2013

8

Best Overall Broker

Ran

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Best Overall Broker

Ran

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2012

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3

5

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9

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2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2

equiTieS

CLIMATE CHAnGE » 2nd in Extel (1st last year) » 2 analysts in Top 3

ELEOnORA SuRvEy » EM Research ranked 3rd

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CREDENTIALS «

FX (Graph)» 1st Euromoney:

EM fx (1st last year) Asia money: Asian fx (2nd last year)

» Offshore RMB survey: Best for Research

» Top 3 Euromoney: fx quant (4th last year)

QuAnT (Graph)» 2nd Asiamoney:

quant Research

» 4th Extel: quant Research

FIXED InCOME» Top 3 Government

bonds: Access to research personnel (9th last year) EM: Local market strategy and access to research personnel

» Top 5 Published EM Sovereign Credit Research Published EM Corporate Research

ECOnOMICS» 1st Pan European

Economics in Extel MENA Economics in Extel, Euromoney and Eleonora

» 2nd Asia Economics in Asiamoney and financeAsia

» 7th LatAm Economics in Institutional Investors

EM fx (Euromoney)

Ran

k

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2

3

2011

2012

2013

1

quant (Extel)

Ran

k

2011

2012

2013

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FX quanT

FT » Top 10 Stock Pickers

WSJ » 1st Europe Master Stock Pickers, overall ranking 1st with 4 analysts ranked 1st

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8 // Global Research 2014

» fOOTPRINT

Our footprintOur award winning research materials offer market leading insight over eight research disciplines, each managed by specialists in their field.

naTuRal ReSouRCeS FiG ReTail/ConSuMeRinduSTRialS TMT

Gold SteelCoalAluminiumCommodities

BanksAsset ManagementOther financials

ConglomsTransportShippingBusiness ServicesInfrastructure

TelecomsTelecoms Equipment MediaInternet

food Retailfood ManufacturingBeveragesCommoditiesConsumer GoodsLuxury GoodsConsumer GamingLeisureSpecialty & General Household / Personal Care

MeTalS & MininG BankS ReTail/ConSuMeRConGloMS & TRanSPoRT

TeleCoM & Media

Cleantechutilities

Oil & GasChemicalsAgChem

Insurers

DevelopersInvestorsREITs

ShipbuildingMachineryPower EquipmentAutoAuto Parts

Engineering &ConstructionBuilding Products

PharmaceuticalsBiotechMedical devicesHealthcareservice providers

Display TechnologySemiconductorsMemory DevicesDownstream HardwareHandset & IC DesignPCBsIT Services

oil, GaS &CHeMiCalS

Real eSTaTe inFRaSTRuCTuRe

CleanTeCH & uTiliTieS

inSuRanCe HealTHCaReCaPiTal GoodS TeCHnoloGy

MaCRo- eConoMiCS

aSSeT alloCaTion

FXFiXed

inCoMeCliMaTe CHanGe equiTieS quanTiTaTive

ReSeaRCHeM

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fOOTPRINT «

KEy – Equities only • Coverage more than

60% of MSCI• Coverage between

30% and 60% of MSCI• Coverage less than

30% of MSCI

Our coveragelaTin aMeRiCa

Argentina • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Brazil • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Chile • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Colombia • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Mexico • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Panama • Macro Economics

fixed income • Rates

Peru • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

uruguay • Macro Economics

• fx

fixed income • Rates

venezuela • Macro Economics

• fx

fixed income • Credit • Rates

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10 // Global Research 2014

» OuR COVERAGE

Our coverageaSia-PaCiFiC

Australia • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates Bangladesh • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Strategy

China • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Hong Kong • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

India • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Indonesia • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Japan • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates

Korea • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Malaysia • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Mongolia • Macro Economics

fixed income • Credit

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OuR COVERAGE «

new Zealand • Macro Economics

• fx

fixed income • Rates

Philippines • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Singapore • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Sri Lanka • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

Taiwan • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates

Thailand • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

vietnam • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

KEy – Equities only • Coverage more than

60% of MSCI• Coverage between

30% and 60% of MSCI• Coverage less than

30% of MSCI

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» OuR COVERAGE

Our coverageMiddle eaST & aFRiCa

Bahrain • Macro Economics

• fx

fixed income • Credit

Egypt • Macro

Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

Ghana • Macro Economics

fixed income • Rates

Iraq • Macro Economics

• fx

Jordan • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

Kenya • Macro Economics

Kuwait • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

Lebanon • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage

Libya • Macro Economics

• fx

Morocco • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

nigeria • Macro Economics

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates

Oman • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage

fixed income • Credit

Qatar • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

Saudi Arabia • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

Tunisia • Macro Economics

• fx

uAE • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

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Our coveragenoRTH aMeRiCa

OuR COVERAGE «

Canada • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates

united States • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income •* Credit • Rates

KEy – Equities only • Coverage more than

60% of MSCI• Coverage between

30% and 60% of MSCI• Coverage less than

30% of MSCI* uS credit is not covered

but we cover EuR/GBP bonds of uS companies.

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Our coverageeuRoPe

KEy – Equities only • Coverage more than 60% of MSCI• Coverage between 30% and 60% of MSCI• Coverage less than 30% of MSCI

Austria • fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Belgium • fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Cyprus • fx

fixed income • Rates

Czech Republic • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates

Denmark • fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Estonia • fx

Finland • fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

France • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Germany • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Greece • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Hungary • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Ireland • fx

Equities • Coverage

fixed income • Rates

Israel • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Rates

Italy • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Kazakhstan • fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

Luxembourg • fx

fixed income • Credit

Malta • fx

» OuR COVERAGE

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OuR COVERAGE «

netherlands • fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

norway • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Poland • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Portugal • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Romania • Macro Economics

• fx

fixed income • Rates

Russian Federation • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Serbia fixed income • Rates

Slovakia • fx

fixed income • Rates

Slovenia • fx

fixed income • Rates

South Africa • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Spain • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Sweden • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Switzerland • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit

ukraine • Macro Economics

fixed income • Credit • Rates

Turkey • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

united Kingdom • Macro Economics

• fx

Equities • Coverage • Strategy

fixed income • Credit • Rates

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16 // Global Research 2014

» ECONOMICS

Stephen King Group Chief economist [email protected]

Economics What are our strengths?» Deep insight and integrated analysis of global economic trends.» Broad geographic footprint covering both developed and

emerging markets.» Leading conference speakers.» Close contact with policy makers.» Stephen King regular columnist for the Times and

financial Times.» Major media profile: TV, radio, frequent comment

in leading newspapers.» Stephen King’s “When the Money Runs Out” (Yale)

one of fT’s “books of the year” 2013.» Expertise on renminbi internationalisation. Key Recent Publications:– Pass the parcel– Tapering tremors, China chill – Consumer in 2050

Coverage: We have more than 40 economists globally.

HSBC’s economics research is wide-ranging, consistent and consistently interesting, always looking to challenge the consensus thinking of the day.”

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fx «

HSBC’s approach to fx strategy differentiates itself from much of the competition by placing the emphasis on a thought-provoking thematic approach to currency analysis. Our research is repeatedly recognised in the top fx polls as market leaders.”

David Bloom Global Head of FX Research [email protected]

FXWhat are our strengths?» In depth discussion of key drivers, both current

and prospective, of the fx market.» A blend of fundamental analysis, rigorous quantitative

studies and technical analysis.» A thematic approach which does not come at the

expense of forecast accuracy.» Bespoke quantitative modelling and risk management

for top-tier clients.» Short-term, medium-term and long-term technical analysis.

Key Recent Publications:– The new fx paradigm– uSD bull on the charge – fed tapering, uSD appreciating

Coverage: We have fx strategists in the three major financial centres, and economists on the ground in developed and emerging markets. In addition, we have a team covering precious metals.

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» EquITIES

HSBC’s ability to view sectors primarily with a regional perspective, as well as within a global framework, is a clear advantage in today’s world where corporate ‘value chains’ are made up of, and impacted by, global events and trends.”

Herald van der Linde interim Head of equity Research aSP, and Head of asia equity Strategy

[email protected]

Xavier GunnerHead of developed europe equity Research

[email protected]

Raj Sinha Head of equity Research CeeMea

[email protected]

Ben LaidlerHead of Research, americas and Global Head of equity Sector Research

[email protected]

EquitiesWhat are our strengths?» Key research house in developed and emerging markets.» Present where the growth is to be found, to connect our clients

to investment opportunities via unparalleled local insights.» Leverage the broad network and reach of HSBC to the benefit

of our clients.» With 80% coverage of the MSCI EM and fM indices; we offer

a compelling competitive advantage in emerging markets.» We also have a strong developed market proposition in numerous

geographies around the globe. » Over 20% of our analysts come from the industries they cover.» Our senior analysts have over 15 years’ experience of the

industries they cover.

Key Recent Publications:– Disruptive technologies– flexible Display– HSBC Nutshell – Global Coverage: We have 226 analysts covering 1,775 companies.

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fIxED INCOME – CREDIT AND RATES «

HSBC’s fixed Income Analysts cover both developed and emerging markets, working from our offices around the globe. The team concentrates on the major themes for the asset class, complemented with actionable ideas.”

Steve Major Global Head of Fixed income Research [email protected]

Fixed Income – Credit and Rates

What are our strengths?» Experienced analysts in a number of specialist areas including

Sovereigns, Agencies, financials, Corporates and High Yield.» Adaptability to an evolving market; eg creditisation of rates

and convergence between emerging and developed markets.» Events-based research providing timely interpretation

of market impact.» Actionable ideas and themes designed for the benefit

of our clients.

Key Recent Publications:– Re-tuning the growth engine– Brace for impact– A drop in the qE ocean

Coverage: We have over 40 fixed income analysts and strategists working in both credit and rates, across the developed and emerging markets.

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20 // Global Research 2014

» ASSET ALLOCATION – GLOBAL

Asset Allocation – Global

What are our strengths?» Our strategic asset allocation is driven by a global scenario-based

analysis with input from all of our strategy and macro teams.» Tactical asset allocation assesses risks and opportunities through

three main factors: economic activity, relative valuations and financial conditions.

» Market leading work on leading economic indicators.» Thematic research on topics such as demographic

trends and impact of rising Treasury yields.» Bespoke qualitative and quantitative modelling for

top-tier clients.» frequent media appearances in TV and press.» Ranked 2nd in the Extel survey for the last two years.

Key Recent Publications:– The Allocator – Risk Rotation – The Allocator – Peripheral Vision– The new HSBC leading indicators ahead of the Pack

Coverage: Multi asset analysis with input from our entire research platform.

HSBC Asset Allocation provides a multi-asset class view of markets and makes specific asset allocation recommendations. Our approach is to see how risks in one asset class impact the wider financial landscape.”

Fredrik nerbrand Global Head of asset allocation [email protected]

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ASSET ALLOCATION – EMERGING MARKETS «

HSBC’s Emerging Markets Research builds on a wide geographical presence to provide the best local knowledge for global investors.”

Murat ulgen Global Head of emerging Markets Research [email protected]

Asset Allocation – Emerging Markets

What are our strengths?» Coverage of Asia, Africa, Latin America, Central and Eastern Europe,

and the Middle East to bring the best ideas to global investors.» Macro analysis combined with strategy and quantitative work

to uncover value, help mitigate risks, and put those with an interest in emerging markets ahead of the curve.

» Research conducted on both a top-down and a bottom-up fashion, moving from data analysis to structural issues, to capture long trends as well as short cycles.

» Research covering thematic topics and executable trade ideas for a wide range of investors in the four asset classes: equities, credit, rates and fx.

Key Recent Publications:– Trading the new investment regime– Less fast, less furious, more tempting– Capital flows into EM

Coverage: Multi asset analysis with input from our emerging market research platform.

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» CLIMATE CHANGE

Climate changeWhat are our strengths?» A focus on both low-carbon opportunities as well as strategic

risks for key sectors and resources such as water, energy and agriculture.

» A macro framework for understanding scientific, policy, technology and market developments, to enable clients to keep on top of fast-moving trends.

» The team works with Economics to identify material macro-economic drivers from the management of natural capital.

» The team works with fixed Income to track the growing ‘green bond’ market.

» The team works with Equities to integrate climate factors into fundamental stock analysis.

» Our product range is comprehensive, including regular in-depth thematic reports, proprietary analysis scoring climate change vulnerability by country and weekly updates on critical issues.

Key Recent Publications:– Natural Capital– Investing in the next climate wave– No water, no power

Coverage: We have uK, Hong Kong and India based analysts covering climate change from a global perspective.

HSBC’s Climate Change Centre of Excellence is one of few global houses offering a dedicated research capability focusing on the investment implications of climate change.”

Zoe Knight Head of Climate Change Centre of excellence [email protected]

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quANT «

The team is a highly experienced resource for our clients, bringing quantitative analysis and data to practical investment issues and investment process challenges.”

Joaquim de Lima Global Head of quantitative Research [email protected]

Quantitative ResearchWhat are our strengths?» Index research and advisory.» Risk modelling, portfolio optimisation and asset allocation.» Relative value and statistical modelling.» Extracting Risk Premium.» Create and manage the family of climate change indices.» Identifying climate change opportunities and risks.» Bespoke services – performance attribution, analysis of

performance drivers and sources of risk premium, back-tests of client defined portfolios and strategies.

» Consultation on portfolio management decisions – benchmark selection.» Portfolio construction and rebalancing – optimal allocation of

new funds to existing portfolios, building tracking portfolios.» Strategic relationships with pensions funds and asset managers

around the globe – assisting in the development and delivery of quantitative solutions for in-house funds.

Key Recent Publications:– Brazil’s Equities Index Revamp– Climate Change Sixth Annual Index Review– Climate Change – June quarterly Index Review

Coverage: Drawing on teams in London, Hong Kong and Bangalore, the group develops a broad range of products for our clients.

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Multi-asset researchCapitalising on our asset-class knowledge directed towards key current themes.

» MuLTI-ASSET RESEARCH

GeneRaTe oPPoRTuniTieS FoR ouR ClienTS

eConoMiCS aSSeT alloCaTion FX FiXed

inCoMeCliMaTe CHanGe equiTieS quanTiTaTive

ReSeaRCHeM

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Government and Corporate Access

GOVERNMENT AND CORPORATE ACCESS «

» Global Research may suggest to a company’s management they undertake a roadshow with HSBC.

» Effective dialogue between investors and corporate management provides greater insight into corporate strategy.

» Dedicated teams in Hong Kong, London, Dusseldorf, Paris and New York.» Global Research analysts use their well-established local relationships to gauge

investor sentiment, and to provide unparalleled access to key markets.

our services include:

» One-on-one meetings with senior HSBC management who provide local knowledge on countries, regions and sectors.

» Over 30 themed conferences a year (by sector and/or region) give insight to corporates.

» One-on-one meetings with corporate management, either in clients’ offices or investors’ home countries.

» Expert events where guest speakers provide insight into topical issues.

executive directorsRegional & Country Heads

Product Specialistsindustry Specialists

Private Companiesquoted Companies

Regulators

Governments

Central Banks

Emerging Economies Incl.

ChinaIndiaBrazil

HSBC inTeRnal neTWoRk

aCCeSS ToFaSTeR GRoWinG MaRkeTS

HSBC eXTeRnal neTWoRk

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26 // Global Research 2014

» RESEARCH

How to access our research

Global Research website» Access reports, videos and podcasts

at www.research.hsbc.com

HSBC Global Research on your iPad

» Access our online research on the move» HSBC Global Research app is available from

the Apple App Store» Search by asset class, region, industry group

or author» View video interviews with our top analysts» Search research for reading offline, or set up

customised alerts» See www.hsbcnet.com/research-ipad-help

HSBC Global Research on Bloomberg

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Further information» Other third party platforms (Reuters Knowledge,

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notes

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