global commercial uas market assessment

Commercial Unmanned Aerial Systems at the Commercial Unmanned Aerial Systems at the Horizon of the AirspaceHorizon of the Airspace::

How this Game Changer will Impact Multiple IndustriesHow this Game Changer will Impact Multiple Industries

February 4, 2014February 4, 2014

Overview

• Provide information on current UAS manufacturing and marketing capabilities of countries around the

world to include:

o Regional UAS production capabilities by region

o Regional assessment of receptiveness to commercial UASs flying in national airspace

• Provide a competitive assessment of global companies that are well-positioned to take advantage of

the commercial UAS market. Topics will include:

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o Competitive advantages for top companies in each region

o Developmental achievements and/or innovations that signal a company’s advanced technological

capabilities

o Accomplishments that add to company’s viability as a commercial competitor

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Commercial Uses for UASs

Fish and gamemonitoring/research

Aerial video/photographyRadiation measuring/atmosphericsampling

Oil pipeline inspection Traffic/crowd monitoring Search and rescue

Electrical wire monitoring Small package delivery Tunnel detection

Infrastructure inspection Terrain mapping/surveyingProtection from MANPADS at large airports (Project Chloe)

Searching for natural resourcesConstruction site survey/monitoring

Charging wireless devices

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Wildfire detection/suppressionEnvironmental monitoring/protection

Airborne wi-fi

Storm/natural disaster damage assessment

ArcheologyCommunications relays and temporary communications during outages

Man-made disaster damage assessment (i.e., oil spills)

Volcanology Coastal/beach monitoring

Environmental change detection (floods, ice flows, erosion, etc.)

Atmospheric monitoring and measuring

Mineral detection

Flood potential monitoring Hurricane monitoring/prediction Avalanche monitoring/rescue

Meteorological study Environmental rule compliance Mining applications

Commercial UAS Demand

• Missions will drive the need for the types and requirements for UAS platforms and sensors.

Gas-powered VTOL

• Carries more payload and more payload types than electric VTOL

• Can have additional endurance but usually utilized for the additional payload capability in a hover

Gas-powered Fixed Wing

• Allow for high endurance and multiple payloads

• Generally the most expensive UAS platform type

• In the future, solar powered

Paylo

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Electric VTOL

• Usually the cheapest option

• These platforms will be preferred by recreational users and small business owners

Electric Fixed Wing

• Utilized when mission drives increased endurance but low cost still required

• Examples:

oSearch and rescue

oExtended surveillance

• In the future, solar powered atmospheric UASs will be included

Endurance

Paylo

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North America

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North American UAS–Indigenous Capabilities

Demonstrated capability to manufacture

Growing manufacturers/sellers

Established manufacturers/sellers

Key

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Canada Mexico US

Military UAS M M H

Commercial UAS H L H

UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: North America, 2013

UAS integration impacts: H = Highly restrictive, M = Medium, or some restrictions, L = Low, or unrestricted

Top North American Companies for Commercial UASs

Honorable Mentions:

• Adaptive Flight (US) – company has provided small UASs to the US’s Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco,

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• Adaptive Flight (US) – company has provided small UASs to the US’s Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives (ATF)

• Altavian (US) – received nearly $1 million in contracts from the Army as part of a small UAS program worth up to $248 million

• Brock Technologies (US) – Sinclair Community College in Dayton, Ohio has an FAA COA to fly the company’s Spear UAS

• ING Robotic Aviation (Canada) – recently sold its Responder UAS to an undisclosed East African nation

• PrecisionHawk (Canada) – recently secured an Angel investment from the co-founder of open source software company, Red Hat

• UTC Aerospace Systems (US) – Sinclair Community College has an FAA COA to fly the company’s Vireo UAS


Africa

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African UAS–Indigenous Capabilities




Key

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Egypt Ethiopia Kenya Libya NigeriaSouth Africa

Military UAS H L L M L H

Commercial

UASL L L L L M


UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: Africa, 2013

Top African Companies for Commercial UASs

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APAC

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APAC UAS–Indigenous Capabilities




Key

Turkmenistan

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Australia China India JapanNew

ZealandRussia

Military UAS M H M H M H

Commercial

UASM H M M M M


UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: APAC, 2013

Top APAC Companies for Commercial UASs

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Europe

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European UAS–Indigenous Capabilities

Demonstrated ability to manufacture



Key

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

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No flight restriction assessment table is provided because Europe is considered one continuous airspace and rates the area’s restrictions for operating military UAS as high and for operating commercial UASs as medium.

Lithuania

Belarus

Ukraine

Top European Companies for Commercial UASs

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Honorable Mentions

• Aermatica (Italy)

• Schiebel (Austria)

• Quest UAV (UK)

• Survey Copter (French company acquired by Airbus’s Cassidian business unit)

• Lehmann Aviation (France)


Middle East

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Middle Eastern UAS–Indigenous Capabilities

Limited capability



Key

Azerbaijan

Armenia

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Armenia Israel Jordan OmanSaudi

ArabiaTurkey UAE

Military UAS H H H H H H H

Commercial UAS H M M M H M M


UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: Middle East, 2013

Top Middle Eastern Companies for Commercial UASs

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South America

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South American UAS–Indigenous Capabilities

Limited capability



Key

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Argentina Brazil Chile Columbia Ecuador Peru Venezuela Uruguay

Military

UASL H M M M L H M

Commercial

UASL M M M M L M L


UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: South America, 2013

Top South American Companies for Commercial UASs

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Conclusions

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Thoughts & Conclusions

• The US lags behind several other countries in Europe and APAC when it comes to permitting

commercial, for profit, UAS operations.

• Africa has many poor nations, but there are still significant opportunities for commercial UAS use in the

areas of border patrol, wildlife conservation, and agriculture.

• The APAC region has the largest number of commercial UASs in operation mainly because of the large

number RMAX helicopters being used for crop spraying in Japan.

• Europe has a very structured approach to integrating UASs into commercial airspace. UAS services

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• Europe has a very structured approach to integrating UASs into commercial airspace. UAS services

companies in the region are gaining valuable experience while companies hoping to profit from

commercial UAS operations in the US remain at the mercy of the FAA rules making process.

• The Middle East region is transitioning from purchasing most of their UAS capabilities to developing a

UAS industry base of its own.

• South American countries are very receptive to commercial UAS operations and very progressive in the

area of precision agriculture.

• Overall, the commercial UAS market will be limited by regulations and detractors rather than their

potential as money saving devices in a plethora of business areas.Source: Frost & Sullivan

Thoughts & Conclusions (continued)

• North America, Europe, and APAC currently have the most companies well-positioned for the

commercial UAS market.

• Many countries, especially in Europe, APAC, and South America have been much more progressive

than the US in allowing commercial operation of UAS.

• Commercial UASs are most widely used for precision agriculture applications. However, SUASs are

quickly gaining popularity in the oil & gas, mining, construction, and local law enforcement markets.

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• Many of the small UAS manufacturers that exist today will not survive into the next decade.

• Manufacturers will stand a greater chance of survival if they also offer a fee-for-service or lease option

for UAS services.

• Larger communications and defense companies will seek out the best SUAS companies for mergers

and acquisitions (M&A).

• Atmospheric, solar-powered UASs will take over some missions of communications satellites.


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For Additional Information

Jennifer Carson

Corporate Communications

Aerospace, Defence & Security

210-247-2450

[email protected]

Michael Blades

Research Analyst


210-247-3833

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Wayne Plucker

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