global climate change

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Chapter 30: Global Climate Change Madrona, A. 1 Chemical compounds naturally present in the Earth’s atmosphere: Water vapor (H20) Carbon dioxide (CO2) Ozone (O3) These compounds absorb thermal radiation emitted by the Earth’s surface and atmosphere Greenhouse effect Average surface air temp of Earth is about 30°C or higher than it would be w/o atmospheric absorption and reradiation of thermal energy. Gases responsible for this effect: greenhouse gases Amount of energy incoming from the sun = amount radiated back into space Industrial period – conc. Of greenhouse gases increased dramatically Major concern is the rise of CO2 levels Atmospheric conc. has risen by >30% over the past 100 years 2008, >70% of total CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels came from developed countries (China = 22% of total emissions) Deforestation A major cause of rising atmospheric CO2 Average annual amount of C released to the atmosphere in 1990 = 8.5Gt Approx. 6.3Gt = fossil fuels 2.2Gt = forest clearing Direct measurements of atm. CO2 is only 3.2Gt 5.3Gt must have flowed from the atmosphere into the main pools I the global carbon cycle: oceans and terrestrial ecosystems Diffusion Controls the uptake of CO2 from the atmosphere into the oceans Net uptake of terrestrial ecosystems (o.7Gt) = Any possible net uptake of carbon by terrestrial ecosystems may result from reforestation in temperate regions of the Northern hemisphere Diffusion gradient Difference in concentrations Rate of diffusion from the atmosphere to the surface waters of the ocean Rise in atmospheric conc. of CO2 = rise in diffusion of CO2 into surface waters Ocean Functions as two layers: 1. Surface waters 2. Deep waters (Thermocline – transition bet. 2 layers) Ave. depth: 2000 m Intercepted solar radiation warms the surface waters Zone of warm water – 75-200 m in depth Ave. temp of surface: 18°C Ave. temp of deep: 3°C Mixing bet. surface and deep depends on deep ocean currents Emissions from Fossil fuels (6.3 Gt) Atmospheric Increase (3.2 Gt) Ocean Uptake (2.4 Gt) - -

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  • Chapter 30: Global Climate Change

    Madrona, A.

    1

    Chemical compounds naturally

    present in the Earths atmosphere:

    Water vapor (H20)

    Carbon dioxide (CO2)

    Ozone (O3)

    These compounds absorb thermal

    radiation emitted by the Earths

    surface and atmosphere

    Greenhouse effect

    Average surface air temp of

    Earth is about 30C or higher

    than it would be w/o

    atmospheric absorption and

    reradiation of thermal

    energy.

    Gases responsible for this

    effect: greenhouse gases

    Amount of energy incoming from

    the sun = amount radiated back

    into space

    Industrial period conc. Of

    greenhouse gases increased

    dramatically

    Major concern is the rise of CO2

    levels

    Atmospheric conc. has risen

    by >30% over the past 100

    years

    2008, >70% of total CO2

    emissions from burning fossil

    fuels came from developed

    countries (China = 22% of

    total emissions)

    Deforestation

    A major cause of rising

    atmospheric CO2

    Average annual amount of C released

    to the atmosphere in 1990 = 8.5Gt

    Approx. 6.3Gt = fossil fuels

    2.2Gt = forest clearing

    Direct measurements of atm.

    CO2 is only 3.2Gt

    5.3Gt must have flowed from

    the atmosphere into the main

    pools I the global carbon

    cycle: oceans and terrestrial

    ecosystems

    Diffusion

    Controls the uptake of CO2

    from the atmosphere into the

    oceans

    Net uptake of terrestrial

    ecosystems (o.7Gt) =

    Any possible net uptake of

    carbon by terrestrial

    ecosystems may result from

    reforestation in temperate

    regions of the Northern

    hemisphere

    Diffusion gradient

    Difference in concentrations

    Rate of diffusion from the

    atmosphere to the surface

    waters of the ocean

    Rise in atmospheric conc. of

    CO2 = rise in diffusion of

    CO2 into surface waters

    Ocean

    Functions as two layers:

    1. Surface waters

    2. Deep waters

    (Thermocline transition bet. 2

    layers)

    Ave. depth: 2000 m

    Intercepted solar radiation

    warms the surface waters

    Zone of warm water 75-200 m in

    depth

    Ave. temp of surface: 18C

    Ave. temp of deep: 3C

    Mixing bet. surface and deep

    depends on deep ocean currents

    Emissions from

    Fossil fuels

    (6.3 Gt)

    Atmospheric

    Increase

    (3.2 Gt)

    Ocean

    Uptake

    (2.4 Gt)

    - -

  • Chapter 30: Global Climate Change

    Madrona, A.

    2

    caused by the sinking of surface

    waters as they move toward the

    poles

    The amount of CO2 that can be

    absorbed by the oceans over the

    short term is limited

    Elevated CO2 conc. has two direct,

    short term effects on plants:

    1. Increase rate of

    photosynthesis

    CO2 fertilization effect

    higher rates of diffusion

    and photosynthesis under

    elevated atmospheric conc.

    of CO2

    2. Causes stomata to partially

    close, reducing water loss

    due to transpiration thus

    increasing plants water

    efficiency

    C3 plants respond

    most strongly to

    elevated CO2, ave.

    increase in biomass of

    47%

    CAM plants 21%

    C4 plants 11%

    In some studies, enhanced effects

    of CO2 in plant growth have been

    short-lived

    Downregulation

    - Some plants produce less

    of rubisco, reducing

    photosynthesis.

    Some plants produce fewer

    stomata on the leaf surface

    to reduce water loss, total

    carbon uptake, and growth

    rate

    Elevated CO2 resulted in

    consistent increase in NPP

    (net primary productivity)

    Over the past 100 years

    Earths ave. surface temp

    increased by approx. 0.74C

    1995-2010 rank among the

    warmest years (actually

    nabasa ko na 2014 warmest

    year yet Pero olds na tong

    book na to so yeah.)

    Greenhouse gasses that

    increase due to human

    activity:

    o CO2

    o Methane CH4

    o CFCs

    o HCFCs

    o Nitrous oxide N2O

    o Ozone O3

    o Sulfur oxide SO2

    General circulation models (GCMs)

    - Used in determining how

    increasing conc. of

    greenhouse gases influence

    large-scale patterns of

    global climate

    - General patterns of an

    increase in average global

    temperature as well as global

    precipitation are observed

    o Consistent qualitative

    predictions of GCMs lead

    scientists to believe that

    rising concentrations of

    atmospheric CO2 will

    significantly affect global

    climate

    Changes in climate will affect

    ecosystems at many levels

    o Self-explanatory na naman

    siguro ito. Puro expt and

    studies lang to

    Changing climate will shift the

    global distribution of ecosystems

    o Migration rates depend on how

    well a species physiology,

    dispersal ability, and

    competitive interactions with

    other tree species let it

  • Chapter 30: Global Climate Change

    Madrona, A.

    3

    respond to changes in climate

    o Deforestation

    - is the single major cause

    of species extinction in

    the tropics

    Climate change would raise sea

    level and affect coastal

    environments

    - Glaciers melted, sea level

    rose

    - Rises at a rate of 1.8mm/year

    - Direct inundation of low-

    lying wetlands and drylands

    - Erosion of shorelines through

    loss of sediments

    - Increased salinity of

    estuaries and aquifers

    - Rising coastal water tables

    - Increased flooding and water

    surges

    Climate change will affect

    agricultural production

    - Most crop species will

    benefit from a rise in CO2

    conc.

    - Negative effects are to some

    extent compensated for by

    increased productivity

    resulting from elevated

    atmospheric concentrations of

    CO2

    Climate change will directly and

    indirectly affect human health

    Direct: increased heat

    stress, asthma, and other

    cardiovascular and

    respiratory ailments

    Indirect: increased incidence

    of communicable diseases,

    increased mortality and

    injury due to increased

    natural disasters, changes in

    diet and nutrition due to

    changed agricultural

    production

    Global ecology

    - Needed to understand the

    effect of rising atmospheric

    concentrations of greenhouse

    gases and global climate

    change

    Tropical rain forests

    - most productive terrestrial

    ecosystems on the planet

    - when shrunk, atmospheric CO2

    rises and thus will increase

    the greenhouse effect