Gauteng in 20556

overview

Rationale for long-term planning1

A Call to Dream2

Past, Present & Future3

The Drivers of Change4

The Levers of Change5

Social Inclusivity & Cohesion 5.1

Equitable Growth5.2

Sustainable Development & Infrastructure5.3

Good Governance5.4

Presentation overview

Rationale for Gauteng Vision 2055: Why long-term regional planning?

“With widespread inequality and poverty, why expend effort on long-term planning? Why, in the context of

scarce resources, should the focus be beyond addressing the needs faced by the people of the GCR

now?”

1. This requires a shared dream, careful planning, and focused implementation of this plan

2. Countries and regions that have focused on long-term plans and their rigorous implementation have seen the benefits

3. Gauteng Vision 2055 takes a balanced and integrated approach to devising a development vision over a long-term horizon

Rationale for Gauteng Vision 2055: Integrated government planning

Focus point for Gauteng Vision 2055

Rationale for Gauteng Vision 2055 : Why target 2055?

1. Plans recently established across the 3 spheres of government have set their sights on different end points –

– NDP targets 2030; the Tshwane Vision 2055; the City of Johannesburg’s GDS emphasizes 2040

– While variations in planning timeframes complicate efforts to drive alignment, these timeframes have been identified for specific reasons

Why target 2055?• 2055 marks the 100 year anniversary of the Freedom Charter. While it may not be

possible to plan for every aspect of the path to 2055, the ideals defined in the Freedom Charter serve as a valuable compass by which to navigate.

• We acknowledge that only some aspects of the future can be mapped and targeted. Others may only reflect as aspirations, providing direction, but with less precision.

• Locating 2055 as the focal point sets our imagination free, in the context of priorities, certain specifics and the democratic changes defined in the Freedom Charter itself:

– The People Shall Govern!– All National Groups Shall have Equal Rights!– The People Shall Share in the Country's Wealth!– The Land Shall be Shared Among Those Who Work It!– All Shall be Equal Before the Law!– All Shall Enjoy Equal Human Rights!– There Shall be Work and Security!– The Doors of Learning and Culture Shall be Opened!– There Shall be Houses, Security and Comfort!– There Shall be Peace and Friendship!

1. The Current reality is known to change rapidly and present extreme challenges with limited control

– The global financial crisis– Radical climate change across the continent, and the globe– Significant unemployment and poverty– Illness and disease– Political instability

Why target 2055?

2. Planning for 2055 provides a unique occasion for fundamental change. It is the opportunity of a lifetime:

We could build a new educational system, and generations of skilled South Africans

We could change the urban landscape: shifting the GCR’s borders; changing the housing form; removing social barriers

We could move to renewable energy – and eradicate waste

We could eliminate poverty, and reduce inequality

The journey to “Gauteng Vision 2055”

1. ‘Gauteng 2055 Vision’, the long-term development plan for the Gauteng City-Region (GCR), represents a synthesis of many thinkers

2. In 2005, a plan to build “an integrated, globally competitive city region” was announced, and called for: a “common vision and strategy”; ‘regional thinking’ by all delivery partners; enhanced cooperation and coordination; improved urban management and governance; and a focus on acting together in a global arena

3. Learnings had been drawn from other city regions, which, like Gauteng, “have large urban populations, a clustering of cities and are dynamic economic engines driving not only national and regional growth but…the global economy”

4. Since this announcement, much has been done to build a vision and strategy for the GCR…

The journey to “Gauteng Vision 2055”

From a time perspective, 2055 is not far away. 1970

was only 43 years ago

Gauteng in the ‘70s

2013

1970’s

So 2055 is not so far into the future and we need to prepare for it now.

The Story of the Gauteng City Region

Urban land use in Gauteng, 1973 -

Spatial change in Gauteng City Region

A Call to DreamOn 24 May 2012, the Premier of Gauteng, Ms Nomvula

Mokonyane, launched the Gauteng 2055 Discussion Document and called on all stakeholders to voice their vision

for Gauteng in 2055.

1. Robust engagements were held with women, youth, people with disabilities, academia, researchers, faith based organisations, business groupings, labour and ordinary citizens to mould a collective vision for the province.

2. A campaign was rolled out in 2,745 schools across Gauteng to ensure that the future custodians of 2055 could be heard on their dreams for the future.

3. Thought leaders in the area of city-region planning and long-term development were called upon to give comment on the discussion document and lively debates took place on radio and on social media platforms.

Gauteng Vision 2055 is a “People’s Vision” - jointly owned by the province’s residents as a legacy that we

leave for future generations.

Past, Present and Future: Population

• Urban population projections made in the 1970 up to 2000 for the Southern Transvaal, Witwatersrand Metropolitan and constituent metro zones with good accuracy.

• From 630 519 people in 1911 to 3 965 716 in 1970.

Population projections made in the 1970

Past, Present and Future: Population

Population Growth in South Africa and Gauteng: 1960-2055

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Mill

ions

South Africa Gauteng

South Africa57,5 Million

Gauteng24,6 Million

South Africa50,8 Million

Gauteng12,8 Million

Present

Past, Present and Future: The Economy

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World GDP BRICS GDP World GDP growth rate

World Economic Growth 1960-2055

• GDP growth of the world, from $ 10.5 billion (1960) to $69 billion (2010) and an estimated $ 227.2 billion by 2055

World GDP

BRICS GDP

Past, Present and Future: The Economy

FDI as percentage of GDP for BRICS countries: 1980-2055

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055

FD

I a

s %

of

GD

P

Brazil China India South Africa Russia

1. According to the World Economic Outlook Report (IMF, 2013) emerging markets are set to receive increased capital flows from the developed world

2. FDI was at an average level of 1.5% of South Africa’s GDP during 2003-2013 and is estimated to reach 2.5% by 2055.

3. China has the largest FDI/GDP ratio at 3.5% currently and will stay in the same range at 3.7% until 2055

China: 3,7% of GDP

in 2055

South Africa: 2,5% of GDP

in 2055

Past, Present and Future: The Economy

GDP per capita at PPP (2005 prices): 1960-2055

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$ 5,00

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World Africa BRICS (5) Africa SADC South Africa Gauteng

In 2055:Gauteng is expected to have much higher GDP per capita than the average GDP per capita of SA and the world

Currently:South Africa’s GDP per capita is very close to that of the world

Gauteng

South Africa

World

Past, Present and Future: Good Governance

1. The functional expansion of local government authority has arguably been the most significant institutional change in South African society since 1994

2. Intergovernmental collaboration is an imperative as government units in South Africa approach these challenges.

3. South Africa’s 1996 Constitution invoked a system that requires all three spheres of government to play a role in most of the core functions pertaining to urban and regional development

Gauteng 2055 Drivers of Change

Sustainable development & infrastructure

Equitable growth

Social inclusivity &

cohesion

Good governance

2055

Drivers of Change: Alignment with the NDP

Social Cohesion & Inclusivity

Good Governance

Equitable Growth

Sustainable Development & Infrastructure

Quality basic educationAll people in South Africa are and feel

s safe

9. Social protection

Vibrant, equitable, sustainable rural communi communities contributing to food security for all

A long and healthy life for all

An efficient, competitive and responsive economic infrastructure network

Create a better South Africa, a better Africa and a better world

Decent employment through inclusive economic growth

Skilled and capable workforce to supp support an inclusive growth path

Protect and enhance our environmental assets and natural resources

Sustainable human settlements and improved quality of household life

Responsive, accountable, effective and efficient local government system

An efficient, effective and development oriented public service

Nation building and social cohesion

Levers of Change

Sustainable development & infrastructure

Equitable growth

Social inclusivity &

cohesion

Good governance

2055

Gauteng Vision 2055

.

A liveable, equitable, prosperous and united GCR,

established through the combined efforts of

a developmental state, an engaged civil society and an active citizenry –

together targeting the objectives of

equitable growth,

sustainable development and infrastructure,

social inclusivity and cohesion,

and the necessary condition of good governance.

Social Inclusivity and Cohesion

Outcome 1: Quality basic education

• Growing skills gap

• Lack of education resources

• Youth Unemployment

• Literacy, numeracy and science inadequacies

• Provide access for children with disabilities

• Limited Access in Early Childhood Development

• Improve literacy, numeracy and science outcomes

• Improve resources in basic education

• Expanded inclusivity through the development of full service schools

• Integrate and universalise Grade R

 

• ECD nutrition programme

• Electronic/online textbooks

• Tax incentives to all that sponsor a students education 

• Computer facilities in all schools

• Free tertiary education to all

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Social Inclusivity and CohesionOutcome 2: A long and healthy life for all South Africans

• Unequal Healthcare System

• Quadruple Burden of Disease

• High rates of violence

• Underdeveloped Health ICT

• Low life expectancy

• National Quality Assurance Standards underutilised

• Encourage meaningful Public Private Partnerships

• Finance Universal Healthcare Coverage

• Prioritise the development and management of effective data systems

• Increase life expectancy

 

• Improve access to HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment services

• Requisite for more access to primary healthcare facilities in peri-urban areas

• Improved accessibility to health facilities

• Life orientation includes establishment and maintenance of food gardens in schools

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Social Inclusivity and Cohesion

Social Inclusivity and CohesionOutcome 3: All people in South Africa are and feel safe

• High Crime Rate

• Poverty and Unemployment

• Lack of training of police

• Culture of Violence

• Focus on reactive Measures, rather than prevention

• Prevalence of social crime

• Social Crime Prevention

• Develop crime prevention through environmental design strategies

• Strengthen the criminal justice system

 • Rehabilitation of

prisoners and reducing recidivism

 

• Develop crime prevention through environmental design strategies

• Consider building “half-way” houses to assist in the reintegration of offenders

• Establishment of a real-time data and information tracking

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Social Inclusivity and Cohesion

Social Inclusivity and CohesionOutcome 7: Vibrant, equitable, sustainable rural communities contributing towards food security for all

• Spatial distortions in the spread of economic opportunity

• High levels of poverty and unemployment

• Poor access to Services

• Underutilised Agricultural land

• Inadequate delivery of Education

• Food Security at Risk

• Access to Municipal Services

• Extend the Expanded Public Works Programme

• Conditional jobseekers allowance

• Institute clear state/civil society partnership

 

• Develop agro-processing clusters

• Peri-urban Development Strategy

• Community food gardens

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Social Inclusivity and Cohesion

Social Inclusivity and CohesionOutcome 13: An Inclusive and responsive social protection system

Historic, social and economic divisions

High levels of Poverty & Unemployment

Lack of Community Participation

High incidence of Social Pathologies

Lack of a defined Social Floor

Fragmented Education Services

• Build a transformative social protection floor

• Remove social pathologies as blockages to education

• Close the gaps in social benefits

 

• Provision of social welfare services

• Close the gaps in social benefits

• Track & trace beneficiaries of EPWP

• Build a transformative social protection floor

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Social Inclusivity and Cohesion

Social Inclusivity and CohesionOutcome 14: Nation building and social cohesion

• Lack of community participation

• Organisational instability

• Gaps in social benefits

• Shortages in Social welfare services

• Youth Unemployment

• Social Protection Floor

• Engage with civil society

 

• Find a ‘Uniquely Gauteng’ identity that will speak to the GCR’s unique and best attributes

• Application of innovative devices and tools to build real-time, proactive state-society dialogue

• Exercises/ initiatives/ opportunities for civil society to contribute creatively to planning and place

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Social Inclusivity and Cohesion

Equitable Growth

Outcome 4: Decent Employment through inclusive economic growth

• Insufficient Industrial Regional Growth

• Poverty & Unemployment

• Inadequate levels of foreign trade and investment

• Crucial development in the Knowledge economy

• Skills mismatch between secondary and Tertiary training institutions and labour market

• Working in partnership with business to create green industries,

• Regulate and implement significant incentives for resource efficiency

• Regulate emission standards; encourage new resource efficient and waste-minimising infrastructure

• Holistically plan for, build, invest in and grow an integrated regional innovation system

• Knowledge Economy: establishing a regulatory and economic environment that incentivises knowledge to flow

• Green Economy – allowing long term sustainability and diversified economy to create new job opportunities across economic sectors

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Equitable Growth

Equitable GrowthOutcome 5: Skilled and capable workforce to support an inclusive growth path

• Education System not able to Produce number of Graduates needed

• Poor quality of Education puts those at University at a Disadvantage

• Lack of experience learning opportunities: Internships and skills development

• Inadequate training facilities to produce highly skilled individuals

• Build partnerships with the private and public sector to match education

• he strategy implemented to provide the province with a sustainable pool of economically

• Build partnerships with the private and public sector to match education outputs with sector needs Master Skills Plan

• Improving the quality of education from the primary level through to secondary and tertiary level

• Improving accessibility of graduates to opportunities for higher education and skill development

• Provision of bursaries for graduates in specific skills that is needed as set out in the Master Skills Plan

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Equitable Growth

Equitable GrowthOutcome 6: An efficient, competitive and responsive economic infrastructure network

• Spatial Distortions in Housing and Transport

• Transportation model reform needed

• Infrastructure inadequately supporting the GCR's role as economic driver

• Lack of Innovative transport connections

• Urban sprawl putting pressure on boundaries

• Addressing the GCR’s spatial and infrastructure form, and the role of innovation

• Pressurised regional boundaries

• Development of powerful economic clusters and new growth sectors

• Establish a regional Transport Authority and an urban planning entity for the GCR

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Equitable Growth

Equitable GrowthOutcome 11: Creating a better South Africa and contributing to a better and safer Africa in a better world

• Historic, social and economic divisions

• Lack of Infrastructure for strategic logistical and freight operations

• Lack of partnership with private business in tourism infrastructure

• Need for opportunities to progress GCR with the based industries

• Participating effectively in the Financial Centre for Africa

• Promulgating the advantages of city-region collaboration

• Investing, together with private business, in tourism infrastructure

• Marketing the GCR as the gateway to not only the rest of South Africa but also to the rest of Africa

• Improving the GCR infrastructure to attract domestic business to the region and strengthen regional trade through the SIP’s

• Focussing on interventions that depend less on imported goods but more on producing the same products

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Equitable Growth

Sustainable Development and InfrastructureOutcome 8: Sustainable human settlements and improved quality of household life

• Spatial mismatch between places of work and housing settlements

• Inadequate transport capacity

• Inadequate housing

• Unequal access to Municipal services

• Rapid urbanization and population growth

• Insufficient• use of Resources • Insufficient Energy

Capacityc

• Final date for the delivery of the last RDP house in Gauteng

• Implement a GCR-aligned Spatial Development Framework

• Reducing the housing backlog by a further 20% with targeted interventions in housing delivery

• A GCR-wide Transport Authority

• Final date for the delivery of the last RDP house in Gauteng

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Sustainable Development and Infrastructure

Sustainable Development and InfrastructureOutcome 10: Protect and enhance our environment assets and natural resources

• Scarce Water resources

• Little land under protection

• Alternative cleaner energy sources have not been explored

• High levels of Pollution

• Unsustainable resource use

• Environmental degradation

• Enhanced quality and quantity of water resources

• Reduced greenhouse gas emissions,

• Promote sustainable land use management

• Protect Biodiversity

• Implementation and policing of policies that help with the protection of environmental assets and natural resources

• Initialize public transport framework that reduces the dependency upon cars through improving and focussing on the public transport infrastructure

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Sustainable Development and Infrastructure

Good GovernanceOutcome 9: Responsive, accountable, effective and efficient local government system

• High levels of Corruption

• Broken communication & pervasive mistrust between communities & local government

• Hampered mechanism of accountability due to Discrimination based on gender, age, disability

• The Municipal Infrastructure Programme

• The Municipal Support Programme

• Support and training initiatives for Ward Committees

• Review of the Municipal Property Rates Act

• The salient need for a new governance model for the GCR

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Good Governance

Good GovernanceOutcome 12: An efficient, effective and development orientated public service

• Lack of intergovernmental cooperation

• Absence of common governance arrangement

• Government officials’ lack of skills

• A Human Resources Development Strategy;

• Policies that fight corruption;

• The implementation of an Integrated Service Delivery model

• The review and simplification of governance structures;

•  

• The establishment of a GCR Association, constituted of state, civil society and expert role-players

• The creation of Multi-Area Agreements (MAAs) between local authorities

• Devolving powers and functions to metropolitan municipalities

Key Insights Developmental Interventions

Game Changers

Good Governance

Gauteng Vision 2055

Delivery against the vision for a liveable, equitable, prosperous and united Gauteng city-region demands that all

sectors of society work in partnership with government to create inclusive, cohesive, integrated and connected spaces for people to live, work and play, thereby contributing toward equitable, sustainable development and economic growth of the GCR through collaborative, accountable and transparent

governance practices

By 2055 all residents enjoy an adequate standard

of living

By 2055 all residents enjoy

equal economic and social opportunities

World class education system catering for the needs of the local

and the regional economy.

GCR in 2055 will offer a

comprehensive and well

integrated healthcare system

The GCR will be the gateway to continental

trade

The future starts here