front-end engineering and design: influence over a project's

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Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project’s Outcome J. D. (Jim) Whiteside, II, PE Tyler Humes OWN.02

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Page 1: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Front-End Engineering and Design:Influence Over a Project’s Outcome

J. D. (Jim) Whiteside, II, PETyler Humes

OWN.02

Page 2: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

22

Author Biography• Degree:

– B.S. Civil and Architectural Engineering– Minor and Certificate of Business

• University:– University of Texas at Austin

• Years of Experience:– Less than 1 Year

• Professional Field:– Project Management & Project Controls

with Journeyman Construction

• Something you do not know about me:– I am currently on the project team for a Courthouse Restoration in Amarillo, TX– Hobbies/Interests include:

• Hiking and Mountain Biking the beautiful trails around central Texas• Playing City League Sports• Following my alumni Texas Longhorns sports teams

Page 3: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Author Biography• Degree:

– Bachelor of Science: Mechanical Engineering

• University:– University of Kansas

• Years of Experience:– 32

• Professional Field:– Cost Engineering Consultant: Benchmarking

• Something you do not know about me:

Walk Away

Caught Between Earth and Glory

DeepBlueHarp- Rock/Blues artist: www.youtube.com/user/deepblueharp

Page 4: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Focus on Personnel

• Not Systems• Not Checklists• Not Processes• Not Procedures• And I am NOT going to address:

4

The Holistic Characterization of Project Dynamics and the Affect on Cost and Schedule from a Statistical View after Normalization of Project Variables within the Subset of Applicable Project Management Drivers…

Page 5: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

5

Schedule Gantt Chart

Total Project Cycle Duration

FEED Duration Execution Duration

FEED

EPC

Engineering

Procurement

Construction

Startup

Figure 1

Page 6: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Definitions• PM: Project Management: controls project scope (Owner)• EM: Engineering Management: controls project scope

(contractor)• Engineering Discipline: develops scope into deliverables

– Drawings– Specifications– Procurement– Schedules– Estimates– Engineering Discipline hours do not include EM hours

• Construction: builds the asset• Construction Management: controls construction objective• Total Office Hours: PM, EM, Engineering Discipline hours

6

Page 7: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Critical Success Factors• FEED Duration is where leadership is most important to set

the objectives of the project• FEED is inefficient by non-germane activities

– Piping Isometrics before scope of project is determined– High risk of engineering items that lock down scope pre-maturely– Out-of-sequence work causing rework later in detailed engineering or

construction

• FEED should be staffed by high-end professionals

Is our Project Management System Optimized?Are we accomplishing what we set out to do?

Are we leaders?

7

Page 8: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Definitions: Critical Success Factors

Metric Calculation

FEED Duration Percent of Total Project Cycle

Duration

FEED Duration _____ Total Project Cycle Duration

Percent of Engineering Discipline hours complete at Full

Funding

FEED Detail Eng Hrs__________ FEED Detail Eng Hrs + Execution Detail Eng Hrs

FEED Percent of Office Hours

FEED hrs (PM + Eng Detail + EM) _Total Hrs (PM + Eng Detail + EM)

PM and EM Percent of FEED Office Hours

FEED Hrs (PM + EM) __FEED Hrs (PM +Eng Detail +EM)

Table 1: Critical Success Factors

Page 9: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Key Performance Indicators• Evaluation of cost and schedule compared to industry

average (expressed as an index)• This is not predictability which is growth (accuracy) from

estimate to actual (expressed as a percentage)• A project can have great performance and lousy predictability

– The goal is to get both right on target

• Obviously, you have to have a LARGE DATABASE– Ours has several thousand projects to perform this type of research– We want to roll out a deepwater study at AACE

9

An Indicator is NOT a guarantee of outcome.

Page 10: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Definitions: Key Performance Indicators

Metric Calculation

Project Cost Growth Total Project Cost – Budget at Full Project Funding Budget at Full Project Funding

Project Execution Schedule Growth

Actual Exec. Duration – Predicted Exec. Duration at Full Project Funding Predicted Exec. Duration at Full Project Funding

Total Project Cycle Duration Index

Total Project Cycle Duration_ Industry Average total cycle duration

Execution Duration Index

Execution Duration (EPC Duration) _Industry Average Total EPC Cycle Duration

Cost Index Project Actual $TIC gross _Industry average cost

Percent Eng. Complete during

Construction Phase

(Actual Eng. end date - Actual Constr. start date)(Actual eng. duration)

Table 2: Key Performance Indicators

Rew

ork

Page 11: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Cost vs. Schedule Driven

Execution Duration

Dur

atio

n In

dex

Figure 2 Cost

Cost Index

Schedule Driven Cost Driven

Trade-Off Point

Page 12: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Study Focus Areas

FEED (or FEL)

Project Management

Engineering

Page 13: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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FEEDMetrics

Page 14: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Before I go any further: a Reminder• MY DATA• MY ANALYSIS• MY CONCLUSIONS

14

Page 15: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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FEED Duration % of Total Project Cycle Duration vs. Predictability

-0.40

-0.20

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00%

FEL D ti % f T t l C l D ti

-0.40

-0.20

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

Schedule Growth Cost Growth

Sch

edul

e G

row

th Cost G

rowth

Figure 3

Page 16: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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FEED Duration % of Total Project Cycle Duration vs. Performance

Total Project Cycle Duration Execution Duration

Dur

atio

n In

dex C

ost Index

Figure 4 Cost

Page 17: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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% Total Office Hours in FEED vs. Predictability

Figure 9Schedule Growth Cost Growth

Sch

edul

e G

row

th Cost G

rowth

Page 18: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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% Total Office Hours in FEED vs. Performance

Figure 10 Total Project Cycle Duration Execution Duration

Dur

atio

n In

dex C

ost Index

Cost

A good decision can be made at 10%.

Page 19: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Conclusion

• A good decision can be made with– 30% of the Total Project Duration

devoted to FEED– 10% of the Total Office hours

devoted to FEED HOURS• This is a “leading indicator”

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Page 20: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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% Engineering Detail Hours Complete at Funding vs. Predictability

Figure 5Schedule Growth Cost Growth

Sch

edul

e G

row

th Cost G

rowth

Page 21: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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% Engineering Detail Hours complete at Funding vs. Performance

Figure 6 Total Project Cycle Duration Execution Duration

Dur

atio

n In

dex C

ost Index

Cost

Page 22: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Conclusion

• FEED– Longer FEED = Improved Performance & Lower Eng Hr Growth– More FEED Management = Improved Performance– More FEED Discipline Engineering = Less Competitive

Performance– Better to have more Subject Matter Expert engineers

• A good decision can be made with– 30% of the Total Project Duration devoted to FEED– 10% of the Total Office hours devoted to FEED HOURS

• This is a “leading indicator”

Page 23: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Project ManagementMetrics

Page 24: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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PM and EM % of Total FEED Hours vs. Predictability

Figure 11Schedule Growth Cost Growth

Sch

edul

e G

row

th Cost G

rowth

If you let them continue, they will grow the project.

Page 25: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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PM and EM % of Total FEED Hours vs. Performance

Figure 12 Total Project Cycle Duration Execution Duration

Dur

atio

n In

dex C

ost Index

Cost

Page 26: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Conclusion

• Project Management– Figure 11 indicates that there may be little benefit of having more

than 20% of the PM and EM total hours expended during FEED

– However, Figure 12 indicates that more effective use of high-end professional hours (not hours only) may be driving cost and schedule to better performance

Better scope definition leads toBetter the project performance

Invest in PEOPLE

Page 27: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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EngineeringMetrics

Page 28: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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% Engineering Completed During Construction Phase vs. Predictability

Figure 7Schedule Growth Cost Growth

Sch

edul

e G

row

th Cost G

rowth

Of Course the Predictability is OK, the estimate is still in revision

Page 29: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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% Engineering Completed During Construction Phase vs. Performance

Figure 8 Total Project Cycle Duration Execution Duration

Dur

atio

n In

dex C

ost Index

Cost

For the same cost, a project could have been generating revenue MUCH SOONER than it did.

Page 30: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Conclusion

• Engineering– More Engineering during construction is a large indicator of

REWORK– Rushing engineering, shortening FEED work, and pushing

engineering to the field (fast track projects) makes the projectduration significantly LONGER

– PLAN MORE!

Page 31: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

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Conclusion

• FEED– Is where leadership is most important to set the objectives of the project– Is inefficient by non-germane activities– Should be staffed by high-end professionals

• A good decision can be made with– 30% of the Total Project Duration devoted to FEED– 10% of the Total Office hours devoted to FEED HOURS

• Project Management– More effective use of high-end professional hours (not hours only) may

be driving cost and schedule to better performance

• Engineering– More Engineering during construction is a large indicator of REWORK– Rushing engineering, shortening FEED work, and pushing engineering

to the field (fast-track projects) makes the project duration significantly LONGER

– Freeze the Scope before starting detailed engineering

Page 32: Front-End Engineering and Design: Influence Over a Project's

Final Word and We’re done…

• Up to 7% longer FEED 2/3 Cycle

• 1 to 5% longer FEED 3 Cycle

20%

40%

-5%

-10%

Over Run

Under Run

• 2 months prior to end of FEED 3

• 15% shorter FEED 2/3 Cycle

FEED Index <= 4.25

FEED > 5N = 73

N = 12