for personal use only - asx · *interna’onal ferliser industry associa’on: outlook 2015-2019...
TRANSCRIPT
Disclaimer
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ForConsidera-on
Thispresenta,onhasbeenpreparedbyPlymouthMineralsLtd“Plymouth”.Thisdocumentcontainsbackgroundinforma,onaboutPlymouthcurrentatthedateofthispresenta,on.Thepresenta,onisinsummaryformanddoesnotpurporttobeallinclusiveorcomplete.Recipientsshouldconducttheirowninves,ga,onsandperformtheirownanalysisinordertosa,sfythemselvesastotheaccuracyandcompletenessoftheinforma,on,statementsandopinionscontainedinthispresenta,on.
This presenta,on is for informa,on purposes only. Neither this presenta,on nor the informa,on contained in it cons,tutes an offer, invita,on, solicita,on orrecommenda,oninrela,ontothepurchaseorsalesofsharesinanyjurisdic,on.
This presenta,on does not cons,tute investment advice and has been prepared without taking into account the recipient’s investment objec,ves, financialcircumstancesorpar,cularneedsandtheopinionsandrecommenda,onsinthispresenta,onarenotintendedtorepresentrecommenda,onsofpar,cularinvestmentstopar,cularpersons.Recipientsshouldseekprofessionaladvicewhendecidingifaninvestmentisappropriate.Allsecuri,esinvolveriskswhichinclude(amongothers)theriskofadverseorunan,cipatedmarket,financialorpoli,caldevelopments.
TothefullestextentpermiKedbylaw,Plymouth,itsofficers,employees,agentsandadvisorsdonotmakeanyrepresenta,onorwarranty,expressorimplied,astothecurrency,accuracy,reliabilityorcompletenessofanyinforma,on,statements,opinions,es,mates,forecastsorotherrepresenta,onscontainedinthispresenta,on.Noresponsibilityforanyerrorsoromissionsfromthispresenta,onarisingoutofnegligenceorotherwiseareaccepted.
Thispresenta,onmay include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statementsareonlypredic,onsandare subject to risks,uncertain,esandassump,onswhichareoutsidethecontrolofPlymouth. Actualvalues,resultsoreventsmaybemateriallydifferenttothoseexpressedorimpliedinthispresenta,on. Giventheseuncertain,es,recipientsarecau,onednottoplacerelianceonforwardlookingstatements. Anyforwardlookingstatementsinthispresenta,onspeakonlyatthedateof issue of this presenta,on. Subject to any con,nuing obliga,ons under applicable law, Plymouth does not undertaken any obliga,on to update or revise anyinforma,onoranyof the forward lookingstatements in thispresenta,onoranychanges inevents,condi,ons,orcircumstancesonwhichanysuch forward lookingstatementisbased.
CompetentPersonsStatement
CompetentPersonStatement:Theinforma,oninthisreportrelatedtoExplora,onResults,MineralResourcesorOreReservesisbasedoninforma,oncompiledbyMrAByass,B.ScHons(Geol),B.Econ,FSEG,MAIGanemployeeofPlymouthMineralsLimited.MrByasshassufficientexperiencerelevanttothestyleofmineralisa,onandtypeofdepositunderconsidera,onandtotheac,vitywhichheisundertakingtoqualifyasaCompetentPersonasdefinedinthe2012Edi,onoftheAustralasianCodeforRepor,ngofExplora,onResults,Explora,onTargets,MineralResourcesandOreReserves.MrByassconsentstotheinclusioninthereportofthemaKersbasedonthisinforma,onintheformandcontextinwhichitappear.
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Corporate Overview
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CapitalStructureASXcode PLH
Shareprice 10.c
Sharesonissue 107million
Op,onsonissue(exercisablebetween14-20cbyQ12017)
4.25million
Marketcapitalisa,on ~$10.7million
Cashbalance $3million
Netdebt Nil
MajorShareholdersBoardandManagement 12%
Top20 ~53%
• Independent ASX listed resource companyfocusedonpotashdevelopmentassetsinGabon
• Drillprovenpotashpoten,al
• Clearlydefinedplanforprojectdevelopment
• Significantin-countryexperienceandexper,se
Plymouth12-monthsharepriceperformance
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0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14 Signedop,ontoacquireGabonesePotashProjects
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Board Post Transaction
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AdrianByassExecu,veChairman(BScGeolHon,B.Econ)
• +20yearsintheminingindustrybothinlistedandunlisteden,,esglobally,Non-Execu,veandExecu,ve Director of various listed and unlisted mining en,,es, which have successfullytransi,onedtoproduc,oninbulk,preciousandspecialtymetalsaroundtheworld
• CurrentlyonBoardsofASXphosphate,zincandnickelcompanies.• Extensiveminingrelatedexperiencethroughequityanddebtfinancing• ASXandAIMBoardexperienceinseveralexplora,onandminingcompaniesthroughacquisi,on
intoproduc,on
DrEricLilfordManagingDirector(B.Eng & PhD MineralsEconomics)
• +25yearsofmining, investmentbankingandbrokingexperiencefocussedonnaturalresourcesectorglobally
• ManagingDirector,ChairmanandNon-Execu,veofvariouslistedandunlistedminingen,,es• Mining experience in bulk commodi,es, precious metals and copper at opera,onal levels in
severalAfricancountries• Strongregionalnetwork• Has directly managed 5 major PFS and DFS Studies and numerous scoping studies, raised >
$500Minminingrelatedprojects
Humphrey Hale(Non-Execu,ve)(BScGeolHon)
• +20 years in the mining industry ini,ally in oil and gas and then in precious and bulkcommodi,es
• FormerManagingDirectorofASX/AIMlistedWolfMineralsLimited2007-2014.LedASXandAIMIPO’s, raised in excess of $250M in debt and equity to advance the project, completed theacquisi,on, feasibility studies, perminng, off-take nego,a,ons and decision to mine for theHemerdontungstenmine–winneroftheEuropeansMetalsandMining“DealoftheYear2013”
Chris-anCordier(Non-Execu,ve)(B.Comm)
• +15yearsofexplora,onandminingexperienceboth in listedandunlisteden,,esthroughoutAfrica
• Extensivebackgroundofsourcing,fundinganddevelopingresourceprojects• Non-Execu,veandExecu,veDirectorofvariouslistedandunlistedminingen,,es
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Agenda
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1. UniquePotashOpportunity2. PotashFundamentals3. GabonataGlance4. WhyPlymouth?5. PlymouthAssets6. Summary
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Potential Company Making Assets
• Plymouth owns 100% of two outstanding potash projects inGabon.Theseareboth:o Drill-tested,provenpotash-bearingassetso Located near exis,ng infrastructure for transport readysolu,on
o Superblylocatedinrela,ontoworldmarkets(i.e.Brazil)o Havedefinedworkprogrammes,budgetandstrategy
• Potashisacri,calandnon-subs,tutablecomponentinfer,liserapplica,ons
• Strongdemandgrowthforpotashcoupledwithresilientpricinginsubduedcommodi,esmarket
• Substan-alupsidepoten-alforPlymouthvalua-on
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• Potashisamajorsourceofpotassium(K)-cri,calforplantgrowth
• Essen,al raw input in fer,l iserapplica,onwithnoknownsubs,tute.
• The majority of potash is consumed as
agriculturalfer,liser
• Maintypesofpotashfer,liser:o MuriateofPotash(MOP)o SulphateofPotash(SOP)
• MOP is the dominant potash product,with most SOP a by-product bytreatmentofMOPfeedstock
• Price has shown minimal fluctua,onsover2years–stablemarket
What is Potash?
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MOP74%
SOP15%
NOP8%
Other3%
PotashFer-liserConsump-on
MOPis,andwillremaindominantformofKsupplyasSOPhasnicheapplica,ons
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• Potash formed through evapora,on ofseawaterinancientinlandoceans
• Aser the water has evaporated, thepotassiumsaltsarecrystallisedintobedsofpotashore
• Potash predominately exploited fromundergrounddeposits
• Approximately 70% of potash supplycomes from conven-onal under-groundmining and treatment of sylvite andcarnalliteoretoproduceMOPforglobalconsump,on
• This means that Plymouth is targe,ng
the deepest markets for product andcontempla,ngthemostcommonminingmethodforextrac,on–lowestrisk.
Potash Formation
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• Globaldemandforfer,liser(N,P,K)forecasttogrow~3%year-on-yearto2019**o Increaseprojectedforpotash
fer,liserinputwithaverageannualgrowthrateof2.4%to2019*
• Potashgrowthunderpinnedbystrongdemanddrivers o Growingpopula,ono Reduc,oninarablelando Changingdietarypreferences
More production from less area = more fertiliser
Potash Demand
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7.0billion
Es,mate9.1
billion
0.4Haper
capita
Es,mate<0.2Ha
2,400kcalperday
Es,mate3,000kcalperday
2015 2050
*Interna'onalFer'liserIndustryAssocia'on:Fer'liserOutlook2015-2019**FoodandAgricultureOrganisa'onoftheUnitedNa'onsK+SCompendium2015
+30%
Popula,on
Dietintake
+25%
Farmland
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• ~ 82% of global potash supplied andconsumedisMOP*
• MOPischeapestsourceofpotasho Carbohydrates (eg. wheat and
rice) beKer suited to MOP thanotherfer,lisertypes
o L i v e s t o c k d e p e n d e n t o ncarbohydrate-basedfeeds
• Approximately a third of the worldseaborne MOP market (~35Mtpa) isimportedandconsumedinBrazilo Brazil imports >90%of its potash
requirementso Southern & Central America
consume approx. quarter ofglobalpotashproduc,on
Global Demand
12*takesintoaccount%ofMOPusedtocreateSOP
Vitalforhighyieldsandcropresilience
Standard“K60”granularfer,liserreadyforapplica,on
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• The final delivered price(including all transport) toconsumers is cri,cal whenlooking at produc,on costcurves and margins toproducers
• It is the all-in-cost toconsumer, not the mine-gate cost that needs to beconsideredwhen assessingviabilityofnewproduc,onsources
Potash Supply
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Significantglobalproduc,on(CanadaandFSU)hastotraveltodisparatemarketsusinglongsupplychains.
ThisisakeyadvantagetotheGabonpotashprojectsheldbyPlymouthastheyenjoystrongadvantagesthroughcloseshippingdistancestoBrazil–thiscouldbeasmuchas
US$55/tadvantageoutof~US$300/tsaleprice
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• S t a b l e , d e v e l o pmen t f o c u s s edgovernment, substan,al resourcesindustryalready
• Miningcode recentlyupdated to furtheraKractinvestors-LowRisk
• 3rdhighestAfricanpercapitaGDP• Extensive rail and inland river transport
system with deep-water export portfacili,es
• Transparentminingindustry,proac,veindiversifica,on from exis,ng mainstay ofoil
• Significant base metal (manganese),energy (uranium) and precious metal(gold)mines
• Governmenthasrighttoearnupto25%in project through purchase of interestpriortodecisiontomine
About Gabon
ELFoilfacility
PlymouthProjects
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• Key factor inbecomingapotash supplier isloca-on, which will determine posi,oningonthecostcurve
• Loca,on – in ground (depth, con,nuity,
seamthickness)• Loca,on – to coast (infrastructure and
accesstoexportroutes)• Loca,on–tomarket(distancefromportto
markets)
• Plymouthenjoysstrongadvantagesinallofthese criteria – rela,vely shallow deposits,welllocatedtoportandmarket.
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TosupplytheBrazilianmarket,exportersneedtoenduresubstan'allogis'calhurdleswhichcancostupto1/3deliveredprice
Plymouthhasaninherentadvantageintheshortestshippingdistances,thiscanbeworthasmuchasUS$55/t
Project to Market – clear advantages
Barriers toentry suchashighCapexdue todeep deposits and highOpex based on hightransport costs are not applicable toPlymouth–MAJORadvantages
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• SIZE: Large tenement holding –granted Feb ’16 – Tenure: 3 years,with3yearrenewal
• HIGHGRADE:Drill-provenhigh-gradepotash
• LOCATION: Along strike from
Elemental (ASX:ELM) and HollePotash Mine – world class basinsenng
• LOCATION: Benefit of being on thecoast,trans-shipopportunity
• LOCATION: SignificantshippingadvantagetoBrazilrela,vetopeers
Banio Overview
SouthernareasofBaniotenementnearproposeddrilling
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• 1,244km2grantedexplora,onlicence
• 20km to the north west of ElementalResources’SintoukolaPermit
• Previousdrillingconfirmsbroadzonesofpotash salts with high grade potashintersec,ons
• Seismicdataavailable
• InfrastructureproximaltoProjectarea
Banio Overview
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Contourlinesshowingtopofsaltforma-oninCongoBasin.SignificantpotashdepositsoccurthroughoutthebasinwhichspanstheGabon/RoCBorder
Holle Potash Minewas a significantproducer for manyyears
ElementalhasrecentlyenteredintodiscussionsforUS$50mfundingand
alsoreceivedacondi-onalEOIvaluingELMat>A$130m
TechnicalHighlights:
• Carnallite zones from554m to 1,315m(offshoretowestoftenure)MBNM-6H
• Potash salts delineated from 528m to1,017m, selec,ve samples reportedupto 48% sylvite and 80% total potashsaltsBO2(inPLHtenure)
• 27% potash/Mg salts from 454m to1,207mBO1(inPLHtenure)
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• ADVANCED: >6,000mdrilling
• HIGHGRADE: Veryhigh-grade
• DEPTH: Shallow(<400m)
• LOCATION: OnOgooueriver,directaccesstoPortGen,l
• ECONOMICS: Ini,alstudiesarecompelling,poten,alforrapidvaluecrea,on
Mamana Overview
Rapid pathway to development
2121Accessviaroadorriver
PortGen,l
PortOwendo
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• 120kmfromcapital,easilyaccessible,roadandriver
• 219km2tenurearea,locatedadjacenttothemajorOgooueRiver
• Successfullydrilledinthe1950’swithhighgrade&shallowpotashfound(e.g.
4.35m@29%K2Ofrom<400mfromsurface)
• Seismic data defines areas ofundeformedpotash
• Drilling in shallow zones on anominal1.5-2.0kmspacing
• Poten,al for rapid resourcedelinea,on inaccordancewithJORC 2012 due to 6,000m ofpreviousdrilling&seismic
• Definedlogis,csstrategyusinge x i s , n g t r a n s p o r tinfrastructuretoport
Mamana Overview
DrillingatMamanahasdelineatedalargeareaofconsistentpotashmineralisa,on
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Activity Timeline
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• Fundsfrom$3millionplacementtobeapplied:• ToaccelerateplanneddrillingatBanioandMamana
Indicative timing
2016 2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 EGM to approve potash acquisition and $3 million placement
Banio Project • On ground preparation • Seismic • Drilling • Initial drilling results • Release of complete drilling results • Scoping Study commences Mamana Project • Seismic • Exploration Target • Drilling
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Plymouth’s competitive advantage
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GRADE
§ Minesaroundtheworldvaryfrom10-30%K2O,typicallywithhighergradesrequiredinCanadaforthedeepestdeposits.Europeaverageof10-15%
§ Mamanahas+18%K2Oandearlyindica,onisthatBaniois+20%K2Obasedondrilling–Advantage:LowerOpex
DEPTH
§ Canadian deposits are predominately +1,000m deep; Russia – 100-600mdeep
§ Mamana&Banio are approximately 200-600mdeep–Advantage: Lowerini-alCapexandlowOpex
MINERALOGY§ Sylviteandcarnalliteorepresentinmostdepositswithsylviteonlyop,ons
available§ Mamana&Baniocontainsylvite–Advantage:LowerOpex
SEAMTHICKNESS § Seamthicknessforminingaroundtheworldaverages~3m§ Plymouth’sprojectaverageis+3m–Advantage:LowerOpex
DISTANCEFROMMINEGATETOPORT
§ Projects either located on the coast (Banio) or nearby to currently in-usewater transport solu,on via river barges – Advantage: Lower TransportCost
DISTANCEFROMPORTTOMARKET
§ Plymouth has shortest shipping distance compared to Canada whereshippingcostsareapprox.US$45-55/t (outof salespriceofUS$285-300/tCIFBrazil)–Advantage:lower‘All-In’cost
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ElementalASX.ELM(alongstrikefromBanio)
HighfieldASX.HFR(m/capA$441M)
Peer Comparison Significantscopeforquantumincreasewhencomparedwithpeervalua,onsoncomparableassetsandgiven,ghtcapitalstructureofPlymouthwhichhasTWOsignificantpotashassetsinonecompany
MarketC
apita
lisa,
on
ASXPotashCompanies SourceASXasat28/04/16
PlymouthASX.PLH(@10cps)
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Summary
ExcellentTechnicalFundamentals
§ Historical explora,on ac,vi,es significantly de-risks Projects andprovidessolidfounda,onforupcomingexplora,oncampaigns
ValueCrea-onStrategy
§ Clearly defined plan to bring Banio and Mamana to developmentpathway
StrongMacroeconomicDemandDrivers
§ Growingglobalpopula,on,decliningarablelandandimproveddietsdrivingdemand
Infrastructure § Inplaceorsolu,onavailablewithinexis,nguse
ProximaltoMajorMarkets
§ Suppor,veGabongovernment,updatedinfrastructureprovideshortshippingdistanceadvantage
NewLeadershipTeam
§ Proven project development and funding capabili,es, and Africanopera,onalexperience
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Thankyou
Plymouth Minerals Limited T: +61 8 6461 6350 (AUS) A: Level 1, 329 Hay Street, Subiaco, WA Australia, 6008 W: www.plymouthminerals.com
INVESTORS: Dr Eric Lilford Managing Director P: +61 424 757 452 E: [email protected]
Adrian Byass Executive Chairman P: +61 410 305 685 E: [email protected]
MEDIA: Rebecca Lawson Media + Capital Partners P: +61 433 216 269 E: [email protected]
or p
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Banio Infrastructure
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RecentlyCompletedHydropowerPlant RoadUpgradeBetweenTchibanga-Mayumba
RecentlycompletedBanioBridge-PartofBroaderInfrastructureDevelopmentProject
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Mamana- Transport Pathway TopLes:Bargecontractorprovidinglogis,csandtransportservicesfromLibrevilleandPortGen,lalongOgooueRiver(AdjacenttoMamanaProject)BoKomLes:OgooueRiverbridgeatLambarene(upriverfromMamana)-presentlyu,lisedbybargestotransportfreightfromLibrevilletoLambarene&transport,mberfrominlandtoPortGen,lBelow:FreightbargeonOgooueRiver
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