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TRANSCRIPT
H1/13 Results Presentation 28th February 2013
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©2013 Vocus Communications Limited 2
Vocus Communications Overview
A leading independent provider of integrated wholesale and corporate
telecommunications services in Australia and New Zealand
From its initial offering of IP Transit and Voice Services, Vocus has transformed
and now delivers high performance, high availability and highly scalable
communications solutions utilising its Fibre, Data Centre, Internet and Voice
infrastructure
Organic growth, strategic acquisitions and an expanded product offering has
resulted in customer growth from 96 in December 2009 to 804 in December 2012
– a 738% increase
Total capital expenditure to peak in FY13, signalling the completion of Vocus’
transformational investment phase with benefits to be realised in FY14 and
beyond
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Strong underlying growth H1/13 revenue growth of 40% over H1/12
H1/13 underlying* EBITDA growth of 29% over H1/12
Fibre and Ethernet growth Services delivered on Vocus fibre up 316% since December 2011
Fibre and Ethernet revenue up 152% over H1/12
Direct/Corporate sales growth Direct/Corporate sales have more than doubled over H1/12
Investments / Expansion Capacity on Southern Cross quadrupled
Build commenced on a 2nd Melbourne CBD Data Centre
Expansion of the existing Auckland Data Centre
178% increase in fibre network kilometres since December 2011
Ipera acquisition Completed the acquisition of Ipera Communications, a Newcastle-based
data centre and fibre operator in January 2013
Maiden dividend declared Interim dividend of 0.4 cents per share declared, fully franked
3
Highlights
* Excludes the effect of foreign exchange
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Source: Half-year accounts
Notes: 1) Underlying EBITDA excludes FX gains and losses 4
Consistent Revenue and EBITDA Growth
7.2
13.9
21.9
30.6
H1/10 H1/11 H1/12 H1/13
40% growth
over H1/12
Revenue ($m)
Underlying EBITDA1 ($m)
2.6
4.6
7.6
9.8
H1/10 H1/11 H1/12 H1/13
29% growth
over H1/12
• Revenue growth of 40%, driven by
Internet, Fibre and Data Centres
• Underlying EBITDA up 29%
Growth
• Number of Fibre services up 316%
over H1/12
• Fibre revenue up 152% over H1/12
• Data Centre revenue up 88% over
H1/12
• Internet revenue up 31% over H1/12
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Source: Half-year accounts
Notes: 1) Underlying NPAT excludes FX gains and losses 5
BAU NPAT strong Underlying Net Profit after Tax1 ($m)
0.9
2.4
4.0
3.7
H1/10 H1/11 H1/12 H1/13
8% decline
over H1/12
• Business As Usual (BAU) NPAT for
H1/13 is $4.5m up 13% over H1/12
• BAU NPAT excludes new expenses in
FY13 which are not accretive until FY14
• Effective tax rate increased to 28% from
19% in H1/12 (not included in BAU)
BAU
4.5
0.6 0.2
3.7 4.5
- 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
H1/13 UnderlyingNPAT
Increased SXAmort
Leases on 'inbuild' DCs
H1/13 BAU NPAT
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4.69 4.62
6.30
4.91
H1/10 H1/11 H1/12 H1/13
22% decline over
H1/12 resulting
mostly from
22% increase in
issued equity
Source: Half-year accounts
Notes: 1) Underlying NPAT excludes FX gains and losses; 2) Diluted EPS calculated on
underlying NPAT 3) H1/10 is approximated using listing share base at FY10 6
Earnings Per Share Diluted Underlying Earnings Per Share1,2,3 (cps) • EPS impacted by
• Capital raising in July 2012 to fund
growth strategies – primarily fibre
network expansion and data centre
builds
• New expenses in FY13 related to the
above growth initiatives not accretive
until FY14
• Increased effective tax rate from 19% to
28%
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Internet
• 31% revenue growth over H1/12
• 61% traffic growth over H1/12
• New Southern Cross IRU increases transit capacity and
potential for new sales
Data
Centres
• 88% revenue growth over H1/12
• New Melbourne DC in build, on former ASX data centre
site
• Auckland DC expansion in build, on adjacent site
Fibre and
Ethernet
• 152% revenue growth over H1/12
• Network expanded 180% in the past 12 months to
262km
• 316% increase in new services over December 2011
Voice
• Voice GM employed August 2012
• Voice volumes and profitability improving over H2/12
• H1/13 result up 6.5% over H2/12
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Growth in Integrated Services
9.7 10.7 12.7
H1/12 H2/12 H1/13
Revenue by Service ($m)
H1/11 revenue figures based on product segmentation performed subsequent to the release of the H1/11 financial report.
5.8 4.0 4.3
H1/12 H2/12 H1/13
35% decline
over H1/12
4.0 5.4
7.5
H1/12 H2/12 H1/13
88% growth
over H1/12
31% growth
over H1/12
2.3 3.1
5.8
H1/12 H2/12 H1/13
152% growth
over H1/12
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• Capital expenditure totalled $8.3m in
H1/13, primarily as a result of
building out the fibre network in
response to customer demand
• Total capital expenditure is expected
to peak in FY13, signalling the
expected completion of Vocus’
transformational investment phase
• Other capex includes incremental
improvements to the core network
and data centre operations
• Maintenance capex estimated to be
$1-2m in FY13
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Capital Expenditure
0.41 1.21
0.76 0.33
0.75 0.50
1.45
0.98 1.56
3.91
1.96
1.31
3.24
5.86 5.99
4.73
4.22
2.81
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
H1/12 H2/12 H1/13 H2/13F H1/14F H2/14F$
Milli
ons
Capex spend by Type
Networks and Other Data Centre Fibre
Forecast capex
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• Weighted average remaining contract
duration is 25.11 months,
representing over two years of
committed revenues, providing
quality earnings and cash flows
• Provides a strong base to fund
ongoing operations and provide
returns to shareholders including the
maiden dividend of 0.4c per share
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Cash Flows
5.03
7.97
H1/12 H1/13
58% growth in
Operating CF
before Working
Capital
31 Dec 2012 31 Dec 2011
EBITDA $10.26m $6.86m
Tax and other payments ($2.29m) ($1.83m)
Operating Cash Flow before Working
Capital $7.97m $5.03m
Working capital movements* ($2.27m) $1.46m
Operating Cash Flow $5.69m $6.49m
* Movements in relation to timing of receipts, payments and prepaid revenue
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• Milestone achieved - a maiden interim dividend declared of 0.4 cents per share,
fully franked
• Represents confidence in underlying operating strength and future cash flow
• Returns to shareholders while still providing a platform for strong growth
• Payable on 26 March 2013 to shareholders registered on 12 March 2013
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Maiden dividend declared F
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• Gearing has increased as part of the
additional vendor financed Southern
Cross capacity taken up in
September 2012
• Excluding Southern Cross vendor
finance, Vocus at 31 December 2012
had net cash of $5.1m
• Gearing reduces quickly as
repayments total $10m annually
• Repaid $7m of bank debt, finance
leases and vendor finance in H1/13
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Gearing and Leverage 31 Dec 2012 31 Dec 2011
Cash $13.3m $4.8m
IRU liability ($54.0m) ($30.5m)
Finance leases ($1.5m) ($1.0m)
Bank debt ($6.7m) nil
Net debt incl. SX vendor finance ($48.9m) ($26.7m)
Net (debt)/cash excl. SX vendor finance $5.1m $3.8m
Interest cover1 24.6x 83.4x
Net leverage2
- incl. SX
- excl. SX
2.66x
(0.29x)
2.01x
(0.29x)
Gearing3
- incl. SX
- excl. SX
42%
(8%)
41%
(11%)
Notes:
1) Underlying EBITDA/Net Interest Expense for the period
2) Annualised Underlying EBITDA/Net Debt
3) Net Debt/Net Debt plus Equity
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• Signed term sheet with bankers in relation to new total financing facilities of
$21.8m, an increase of $15m over its existing facilities, subject to final
documentation
• The new facilities include $13m of acquisition funding facilities
• The new facilities provide flexibility in funding current and future acquisitions and
reduce the requirement for additional equity capital
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New Financing Facilities F
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• Liability in relation to the Southern Cross IRU is $54.0m at December 2012, up
from $26.4m at June 2012 following a quadrupling in transit capacity in
September 2012
• FY13 repayments are hedged in full
• $5.21m of repayments in H1/13 and will be fully paid by August 2018
13
IRU and FX Hedging
78.5m 54.0m 10.2m
$10m $20m $30m $40m $50m $60m $70m $80m $90m
Total original IRU borrowing (AUD)Current IRU borrowing (AUD)Hedged amount at spot (AUD)
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• Strong organic customer growth –
7% in H1/13 and 32% over the past
12 months
• Leads the industry in customer
retention
• Weighted average remaining
contract duration 25.11 months
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Strong Customer Growth Customer Growth
Source: Billing Data, does not include Ipera and Maxnet retail ISP customers
13 28
45 54 67 81
96 103 111 112 133 145
301 309 337
363
755 779
804
Ju
n 0
8
Se
p 0
8
Dec 0
8
Ma
r 09
Ju
n 0
9
Se
p 0
9
Dec 0
9
Ma
r 10
Ju
n 1
0
Se
p 1
0
Dec 1
0
Ma
r 11
Ju
n 1
1
Se
p 1
1
Dec 1
1
Ma
r 12
Ju
n 1
2
Se
p 1
2
Dec 1
2
Perth data centre
and dark fibre
acquisition
E3 data centre
acquisition
Maxnet
acquisition
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32 86
301
600
H1/10 H1/11 H1/12 H1/13
• Strong growth in sales – result of
investment in sales and marketing
teams
• Pipeline is robust and benefits from
new focus on the corporate market
• Realising benefits of Maxnet
acquisition through cross sales of
NZ co-location and data services to
Australian customers and vice versa
15
Sales Order Growth Sales Order Growth
Source: Billing Data
99% Sales order
growth in 12
months
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• New sales predominantly coming
from Fibre/Ethernet
• New / expanded DC facilities in
Auckland and Melbourne along with
Newcastle DCs acquired via Ipera will
contribute to growth in FY14
• Profitability of Fibre and Ethernet
sales increasing as more sales are
on-net and do not require significant
build out costs
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Evolving Sales Mix
Source: Billing Data
89%
36% 29%
2%
30% 60%
9% 16%
8%
H1/11 H1/12 H1/13
Internet Fibre/Ethernet Data Centre
Proportion of new monthly recurring revenue by product
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• Increasing success in bundled sales
to existing customers over the past 12
months
• Bundled services represents a
winning value proposition in the
market
• Significant opportunity to cross sell
services, and existing customers
present a strong source of sales leads
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Cross Sales Potential 47.4%
36.6%
14.2%
1.7%
40.0% 39.3%
17.1%
3.6%
1 Service 2 Services 3 Services 4 Services
Cross Sales Analysis
Dec-11 Dec-12Source: Customer Data, excludes Maxnet customers
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• The business and enterprise data
market represents a significant new
market
• New sales (total contract value) to
corporate customers increased by
116% over H1/12
• Corporate sales are expected to
grow strongly in FY13 following
significant investment in expanding
the direct sales team
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Increased Corporate Sales Focus
2,985 3,164 3,389 3,648 3,960
4,298
FY12 FY13F FY14F FY15F FY16F FY17F
Australian Business and Enterprise Data market, $m
Source: Yankee Global ConnectedView Forecast 2012
3,409
7,376
H1/12 H1/13
Corporate Sales Growth (signed contracts $'000)
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Product Updates
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• Long-term contracts (durations of 12-
36 months, current weighted average
remaining duration ~19 months)
• Significant capacity available following
new IRU arrangements signed in
September 2012 which will drive future
sales growth
• Data usage is forecast to increase
more than 3-fold between 2012 and
2016*, driven mainly by demand from
video.
• Increased data demand leads to
increased requirements for internet
transit which Vocus can supply using
its IRU
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Internet
100
184
295
100
68
47
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12
Vocus Internet Traffic and Yield, indexed (Dec-10 = 100)
SX Traffic SX Yield per Mbps
1,916 2,609
3,479
4,670
6,126
2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Australian Data Usage Forecast*, PB
34% CAGR
2012-2016
* ABS, CISCO Visual Networking Index 2011-2016
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• Operates 7 facilities across 5 sites,
totalling 2,471m2 at December 2012
• New flagship data centre build in
Melbourne on the site of the previous
ASX data centre, with Phase 1
complete in July 2013
• Auckland data centre expansion in
progress, with Phase 1 complete in
July 2013
• Ipera acquisition in January 2013 adds
two data centres in Newcastle
• Cloud computing positioned to be
strong driver of demand for data
centre space
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Data Centres
Location Area Utilisation
Sydney (SYD1, SYD2, SYD3a) 897m2 72%
Melbourne (MEL1) 490m2 100%
Perth (PER1) 536m2 98%
Auckland (AKL1) 420m2 76%
Christchurch (CHC1) 128m2 32%
Total current DCs 2,471m2 79%
Melbourne (MEL2) – in build 685m2 n/a
Auckland (AKL2) – in build 144m2 n/a
Total area incl. in build DCs 3,300m2
Data Centre Summary – December 2012
Does not include Ipera acquisition in January 2013 which adds 370m2 across two data centres in
Newcastle, NSW
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Melbourne (M2) Data Centre Project
• Located on Collins St, Melbourne on the site of
the previous ASX data centre
• Central Melbourne CBD location provides low-
latency solutions for Melbourne customers
• Includes new Sales Office, customer staging
area and breakout room
• Phase 1 will deploy 105 racks and ready for
launch July 2013
Auckland (AKL02) Data Centre Expansion
• Phase 1 expansion of existing Auckland Data
Centre
• Additional 61 high availability racks to be
deployed as existing HA rack inventory is sold
out
• Potential to expand to adjacent unit in Phase 2,
dependent on customer demand
• Ready for launch in July 2013
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Data Centres: Expanding Footprint F
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Fibre and Ethernet
Vocus Dark Fibre Network Key Statistics
Geographic location Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and
Perth CBDs
Fibre length
59km (at acquisition)
94km (at December 2011)
173km (at June 2012)
262km (at December 2012)
On-Net Buildings
50 (at acquisition)
79 (at December 2011)
147 (at June 2012)
219 (at December 2012)
Major Data Centres
connected 59
Cable Capacity
Type 1 – 624 fibre strands
Type 2 – 312 fibre strands
Building Lead-in – 72 fibre strands
Current utilisation 5.6%
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Does not include Ipera acquistion in January 2013 which adds 55km of fibre and 81 on-net buildings in
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• Capex required per new contracted
$revenue to continue to decrease
generating more yield from the
network
• Network utilisation is currently 5.6%
Large potential to extract more
revenue from existing infrastructure
• For example, a 1% increase in
utilisation on the current network
would potentially deliver an additional
$0.54m in annualised EBITDA
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Fibre: Increased efficiency Fibre Capex Growth Efficiency
Notes: 1) Digital River capex efficiency is calculated using the
purchase price of Digital River and contracted revenue arising from
the acquisition
Fibre capex $ for each new $1 of contracted revenue
3.29
1.23 1.04
0.80
DigitalRiver
H1/12 H2/12 H1/13
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• New General Manager - Voice in
August 2012 recruited to provide
renewed focus on this segment and
generating results
• Developing products strategically
positioned to capitalise on NBN voice
opportunities
25
Voice: Revenues and volumes recovering
Voice Revenue ($m)
5.0
5.8
4.0 4.3
H2/11 H1/12 H2/12 H1/13
7% growth
over
H2/12
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• The acquisition provides an increased national footprint with high quality fibre
and data centre assets in Newcastle, NSW
• Complementary to existing fibre and data centre infrastructure
• Minimal contribution to FY13 earnings after transaction costs
Forecast EBITDA contribution of $2.3m - $2.5m in FY14
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Ipera Communications Acquisition
• Ipera acquisition announced in December 2012 and
completed in January 2013
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Contacts
James Spenceley
CEO
Mark de Kock
Executive Director, Strategy
Rick Correll
CFO
Level 1, Vocus House
189 Miller Street
North Sydney
P: +61 2 8999 8999
F: +61 2 9959 4348
www.vocus.com.au
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©2013 Vocus Communications Limited 28
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties.
These forward looking statements are not guarantees of Vocus' future performance and
involve a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ
materially from the results discussed in these statements.
This presentation only contains information required for a preliminary evaluation of the
company and in particular only discloses information by way of summary within the
knowledge of the company and its directors. An investor should seek its own independent
professional advice in relation to the technical, financial, taxation, legal and commercial
matters relating to any investment in Vocus Communications Limited.
Other than to the extent required by law (and only to that extent) the company and its
officers, employees and professional advisors make no representation, guarantee or
warranty (expressed or implied) as to, and assume no responsibility or liability for, the
contents of this presentation.
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