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MPOAC Revenue Study Update Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

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Page 1: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

MPOAC Revenue Study Update

Florida Transportation CommissionTEAMFL

January 21, 2011Stephen Reich,

Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

Page 2: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

A statewide transportation planning and policy organization created by the Florida Legislature pursuant to Section 339.175(11), Florida Statutes, to augment the role of individual MPOs in the cooperative transportation planning process

Governing Board is 26 local elected officials from each of the MPOs

The MPOAC

Page 3: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

• To develop legislative approaches to implement a set of revenue measures that address transportation funding needs in Florida

• Recommendations will focus on the identification of sustainable, innovative and politically acceptable measures to assist in meeting the mobility needs for Floridians

Study Purpose

Page 4: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

2008

• Florida Senate Bill – 1688• Recommend funding mechanism• 13 members- 3 governor’s, 3 Senate, 3 House, FDOT, MPOAC, FL Association of Counties,

League of Cities• $400,000 in non-recurring general funds to finance the study effort

2009

• Florida Senate Bill – 582• Report due January 1, 2011 – 18 months +/-• 13 members in SB 1688 plus labor• $450,000 in federal metropolitan planning funds

2010

• Fall 2009 MPOAC Policy & Technical Subcommittee recommended proceeding w/o legislation

• Subcommittee discussed and reviewed draft scope – December 2009• Final Scope of Work reviewed and approved by Staff Directors and MPOAC Board – Orlando,

January 28, 2010• Work commenced – June 2010, RSAC established, met in September and December

Study History

Page 5: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

Florida Airports Council Florida Transportation

Builders Association Florida Chamber of

Commerce Florida League of Cities Floridians for Better

Transportation Florida Association of

Counties The Nature Conservancy

in Florida Florida Trucking

Association

MPOAC Staff Directors Representative - Chair

Florida Ports Council Chair MPOAC

Governing Board Florida Transportation

Commission American Public Works

Association, Florida Chapter

Public Transportation Association

Revenue Study Advisory Committee

Page 6: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

MPOAC Selects

Economic Analysis

RSAC Recommend

s

Matrix of Options

Revenue Forecasts

Revenue Study Process

Collect Needs Data

Analyze Trends

White PaperFrame

Current ConditionTa

sk 2

Assess Stability/ Barriers

Inventory State

Sources

New Sources i.e. VMT

“Laundry List”

MPOAC Narrows Options

Project Revenue

Task 3

Task 4

Draft Legislation

Prepare Report/

Presentations

MPOAC Review/ Approve

Final Report Publication

Presentations/ Education

Tasks 5

&

6

Page 7: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

1956

1959

1962

1965

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Federal Motor Fuel Tax History Actual and Adjusted Rates

Gasoline ActualGasoline 2009 $'sDiesel ActualDiesel 2009 $'s

Cents

per

Gallon

Page 8: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

1980

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency Standards

1980 - 2016

Passenger CarsLight Trucks

Miles p

er

Gallon

Page 9: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

42%

24%

2%

20%

4%

3%3%

2%

State Transportation Trust Revenue Sources - FY 2010 -11

Highway Fuels Sales Tax SCETS Fuels Tax Aviation Fuels Tax Motor Vehicle License Fees Rental Car Surcharge Initial Registration Fee Title Fees Fuel Use Taxes and Fees Local Option Fuel Tax

Page 10: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-200

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Revenue Estimating Conference Forecast - August 2010

Highway Fuels Sales TaxSCETS Fuels Tax (inc. alt. fuels)Aviation Fuels TaxMotor Vehicle License FeesRental Car SurchargeInitial Registration FeeTitle FeesLocal Option Fuel TaxTOTAL TAX REVENUES

Fore

cast

Annual P

erc

ent

Change

Page 11: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

2005 $'s 2010 $'s0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

29.8

35.4

42.7

50.8

62.5

74.3

Florida Metro Area Transportation Funding Shortfall Estimates

1997 Review2002 Review2008 Review

$ B

illions

Page 12: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

Unfunded NeedsMode (billions)Highways $45.1Aviation $3.1Seaports $2.8Rail $1.9Spaceport $0.3Subtotal $53.2Transit Needs in Support of SIS $4.5Total $57.7

Florida Strategic Intermodal System Unfunded Needs, May 2006

Page 13: Florida Transportation Commission TEAMFL January 21, 2011 Stephen Reich, Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida

Study ScheduleTASK MONTH

  6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10 1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12

Task 1: Project Management

Task 2: Inventory of Transportation Needs and Review of Recent Trends 

Task 3: Revenue Option Identification

Task 4: Data Analysis and Impacts Estimation

Task 5: Recommendation Development and Legislation Preparation

 Task 6: Final Report and Presentations 

Indicates meeting of the Revenue Study Advisory Committee