flexible equity euro long-short (market neutral) strategy_end of dec. '17
TRANSCRIPT
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Calculations presented here are derived from Bloomberg data. This portfolio is a carve-out of a strategy employed in an investment fund. Performance presented here for this strategy is gross of fees.
Pag. 1
All data as of December 29, 2017
Flexible Equity Euro Long-Short (Market Neutral) strategy
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE
The strategy seeks long-term capital
appreciation with minimal correlation to
the stock market while trying to keep
volatility about half that of the stock
market in which it is invested.
It generally takes long positions in
securities of European companies that
score high in the proprietary methodology
and at the same time have a short
exposure (via futures) to equity indices like
the Euro STOXX 50.
Investment Style Long-short equity Fund Features
Morningstar CategoryAlt - Market Neutra l -
Equity
Legal Structure UCITS IV SICAV
ISIN Code
Bloomber Code
Share Class Currency EUR
Recommended Investment
Horizon 3-5 years
Risk-Return Profile (1-7) 5
Strategy inception 28/11/14
Strategy size EUR 69.9 mln*
> European equity
s trategy with low
correlation to major
asset classes
> Strategy focused on a
systematic fundamental
based scoring process
> Aims at del ivering high
s ingle digi t performance
over a market cycle
* This stratregy represents on average 30% gross exposure of a Luxembourg SICAV
PERFORMANCE AND RISK MEASURES
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
11/14 05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
Per
form
an
ce (
%)
Au
m (
mln
. €
)
Evolution of aum. & Total Return Performance
Evolution of aum. (mln.€) Total return performance
0
10
20
30
05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
-45
-25
-5
15
35
55
roll
ing
6m
. sta
nd
ard
dev
iati
on
%
roll
ing
6m
. TR
per
form
an
ce %
Rolling Total Return, Stand.Dev (PORT & Index-->SX5E)
sd-SX5E sd-PORT tr-SX5E tr-PORT
3 m. 6 m. 1Y (or YTD) 2Y (ann.) 3Y (a.) s.inc. (a.)
3.77 2.83 7.80 3.98 7.10 7.98
-2.22 2.45 9.95 7.37 7.36 6.08
-0.01 0.72 1.16 -0.59 0.94 0.95
Year to Date YEAR Gen Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
7.80 2017 1.02 2.16 -0.39 2.44 0.45 -0.90 -1.21 -0.37 0.68 0.74 -0.29 3.31
0.19 2016 -1.40 1.90 1.62 -0.64 1.24 -1.20 1.57 0.14 0.98 -2.33 0.54 -2.09
13.49 2015 1.54 0.78 -0.49 1.87 2.06 0.18 -0.33 2.87 1.11 -0.09 0.99 2.27
3.19 2014 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.19
1 Y 2 Y 3 Y Port Date
› Risk Best 1 1.91 09/01/15
St. Deviation (Ann.) 5.30 6.22 6.55 Best 2 1.26 29/06/15
VaR 95% (ex-post) -0.51 -0.59 -0.61 Best 3 1.19 18/09/15
› Risk/Return Worst 1 -1.76 27/06/16
Sharpe Ratio 1.57 0.72 1.15 Worst 2 -1.51 14/01/16
Worst 3 -1.43 22/06/15
-5.57% Up Down
Date of Max Drawd. 15/12/16 n° of days 429 376
Days to recovery 118 % of days 53 47
Recovery date 12/04/17 average 4bps -3bps
Portfolio Statistics (%) Best-Worst days (%)
Maximum drawdown Period Analysis
Performance Analysis (%)** Peers' performance is net of fees and taxes, portfolio's
performance is gross; peer groups returns are calculated by equal
weighting the performance of a group of long-short market
neutral-european or EUR hedged equity funds.
Port
EURO STOXX 50
Peers**
Seasonal Analysis (%)
[-2; -
1.6]
[-1.6;
-1.2]
[-1.2;
-0.8]
[-0.8;
-0.4]
[-0.4;
0]
[0;
0.4]
[0.4;
0.8]
[0.8;
1.2]
[1.2;
1.6]
[1.6;
2]
Observ. 0.001 0.006 0.02 0.111 0.323 0.37 0.149 0.017 0.001 0.001
11.1%
32.3%
37.0%
14.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
FREQ
UEN
CY
(%
)
Histogram showing distribution of daily returns
46% of the days
with returns < 0
54% of the days
with returns > 0
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Calculations presented here are derived from Bloomberg data. This portfolio is a carve-out of a strategy employed in an investment fund. Performance presented here for this strategy is gross of fees.
Pag. 2
All data as of December 29, 2017
Flexible Equity Euro Long-Short (Market Neutral) strategy
PERFORMANCE AND RISK MEASURES
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
185
11/14 05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
Avg
. N
et E
xp. (
%)
Avg
. Gro
ss E
xp. (
%)
Historical Gross and Net Exposure
Avg. Gross Expos. Average Net Exposure
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
CO
RR
ELA
TIO
NSHA
RPE
RA
TIO
Rolling 6m. Sharpe & Correlation (with SX5E)
Sh.R. Corr.
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.2
05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
BET
A
Rolling 6m. Beta vs SX5E
Beta
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
BE
TA
Rolling 6m. Beta (long-only portfolio) vs SX5E
Beta Long-Only
-0.05
0.05
0.15
0.25
05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17
ALP
HA
Rolling 6m. alpha (long-only portfolio) vs SX5E
Alpha Long-Only
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION Asset Class Equity Exposure by:
Exposure Weight (%) Sectors (GICS)*** Long Short Tot.Gr. Tot.Net
› Cash & Margin 13.4 Consumer Discretionary 21.8 -7.4 29.3 14.4
› Long 91.5 Financia ls 4.1 -14.3 18.4 -10.2
› Long (Beta adj.) 86.7 Industria ls 18.6 -8.8 27.4 9.8
› Short -60.9 Materia ls 12.5 -4.1 16.6 8.5
› Gross Exposure 152.4 Health Care 14.6 -6.7 21.3 7.9
› Net Exposure 30.5 Uti l i ties -3.4 3.4 -3.4
› Net Exp. (Beta adj.) 25.7 Telecommunication Services 1.9 -3.0 5.0 -1.1
Energy 4.9 -4.0 8.9 0.9
Information Technology 5.4 -4.6 10.0 0.8
Consumer Staples 7.4 -6.8 14.2 0.6
Real Estate -0.6 0.6 -0.6
Top 10 (long & short*** positions)
Name Weight (%)
Roche Holding Ag 4.4 Equity Exposure by:
Novo Nordisk A/S-B 3.3 Market Cap*** Long Short Tot.Gr. Tot.Net
Renault Sa 3.0 € 50bln. + (Giant) 16.3 -43.0 59.4 -26.7
Total Sa -3.0 € 10-50bln. (Large) 34.9 -20.6 55.4 14.3
Air France-Klm 2.9 € 1-10bln. (Mid) 37.0 37.0 37.0
Burberry Group Plc 2.8 € 250mln-1bln. (Smal l ) 3.1 3.1 3.1
Atlas Copco Ab-A Shs 2.6
Siemens Ag-Reg -2.5
Sap Se -2.4
Sandvik Ab 2.4 *** implied from the short index futures position
Number of stocks 59 50
Weight (%) 1.4 1.7
Mkt Cap (bln.€) 9.0 48.2
Free Cash Flow Yield 6.8 3.8
P/Book 5.1 2.7
Roe (avg.5y) 25.0 12.2
Sales Growth (T12 m.) 9.6 7.6
Dividend Yield 3.0 3.1
Dvd. Payout Ratio 57.2 69.8
Net Debt/Ebit 0.3 1.0
In 2017 the strategy averaged gross long exposure of 91% and gross short exposure of 67%, resulting in 24% net exposure
across the portfolio.
A reasonable benchmark for the fund’s performance is an adjusted Euro Stoxx 50 Index, which takes the fund’s average net
exposure and multiplies it by the Index return, resulting in a 2.8% performance for the year to date period. Hence, while our
7.8% performance is satisfactory, we have to recognize that:
(1) our promise was of a high single digit performance in the long term and so looking at rolling 6m. annualized returns they
were not exactly great in the last 1.5 year;
(2) our calculations of the strategy's total return are missing expenses and taxes;
(3) we have to be careful of a generalized overpriced market where it seems that low volatility high quality stocks are more
overpriced than ever.
We, anyway, remain committed to look for discounted quality stocks and to lower quality stocks with improving
fundamentals and shorting the index trying to maintain a market neutral exposure.
PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS
Long (port.)Short (futures
SX5E)
COMMENTARY