financial benchmarks for...
TRANSCRIPT
Dr. Chris Peterson
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture
Michigan State University
Financial Benchmarks for Cooperatives
2018 Michigan Cooperative Directors & Managers Conference
© Dr. H. Christopher Peterson 2018
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Co-op Benchmarking: The Issues
Does a cooperative have good financial condition?
Are a cooperative’s financial benchmarks consistent with its business strategy?
Is a cooperative financially flexible enough to seize a strategic opportunity?
Are a cooperative’s control and risk management functions equal to the task?
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks Help the Board Know
Board needs to know enough to carry out its duties:
– Safeguard financial condition (fiduciary)
– Evaluate strategic options, returns and risks (current & future)
– Execute policy level review
– Exercise strategic control
– Carry out their “representation” function
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Financial Condition Basics
Good financial condition arises from:
– Operating profitability
• Income statement
– Efficient asset management
• Left hand side of balance sheet
– Efficient capital structure management
• Right hand side of balance sheet
– Appropriate returns to owners
• Where do you find this for a cooperative?
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Financial Condition Basics
A cooperative is in danger if:
– It can not pay its bills.
• Short-run liquidity
• Long-run solvency
– It can not make the “right” investments.
• Access and timing are everything!
– It can not pay members appropriate returns.
• Fair, sustainable, and competitive
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Financial Benchmark: Compared to What?
What are the standards of comparison?
– Trends across time
– Comparison to long-range objectives and strategies:
PLANS!!!!!!
– Comparison to industry averages
– Comparison to “best in class”
• Competitors
• Firms/cooperatives in other industries doing the same function
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Financial Benchmark: Compared to What?
Minimum Wall Street Rules of Thumb:
– Sales Growth 2-4 Times the Rate of Inflation
– Net Income Growth of 10 - 15% and Income Stability
– Annual Return on Equity At Least 12-15%
– Debt To Total Assets of 40-50%
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
TABLE 10—Combined financial ratios, U.S. ag co-ops, by operating type, 2015-2014
2015 2014
Measure Marketing Supply Service Total Total
Ratio
Current ratio 1.45 1.52 1.36 1.48 1.45
Debt-to-assets 0.56 0.52 0.40 0.54 0.57
Long-term-debt-to-equity 0.42 0.30 0.14 0.35 0.37
Times interest earned 10.27 8.79 25.46 9.70 8.11
Fixed asset turnover 8.59 8.20 0.08 8.37 11.2
Equity-to-assets 0.44 0.48 0.60 0.46 0.43
Expenses-to-gross revenue 0.74 0.80 0.80 0.76 0.80
Percent
Gross margin 11.49 8.93 11.30 10.32 8.37
Return on total assets 11.72 6.94 11.23 9.31 9.16
Return on member equity 40.09 19.39 31.55 29.01 28.77
Source:
Agricultural
Cooperative
Statistics 2015,
USDA
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
TABLE 11—Combined financial ratios, U.S. ag co-ops, by operating type, 2015-2014
2015
Measure Dairy Fruit/Veg Grains Sugar
Ratio
Current ratio 1.25 1.94 1.42 1.21
Debt-to-assets 0.68 0.52 0.53 0.53
Long-term-debt-to-equity 0.78 0.46 0.30 0.46
Times interest earned 4.62 11.47 8.64 23.53
Fixed asset turnover 14.06 5.88 7.31 4.78
Equity-to-assets 0.32 0.48 0.47 0.47
Expenses-to-gross revenue 0.93 0.66 0.85 0.68
Percent
Gross margin 7.14 26.02 7.25 27.83
Return on total assets 3.91 14.79 6.20 16.83
Return on member equity 13.35 36.87 26.02 57.27
Source:
Agricultural
Cooperative
Statistics 2015,
USDA
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Other Ratios in USDA Ag Co-op Stats
Common size income statements and balance sheets by type of cooperative (line items as % of total)
– How do you compare in operating income generation
– How do you compare on composition of assets
– How do you compare on composition of liabilities and equity
Top 10 and Top 100 cooperative ratios
Ratios by sales size
– Farm supply has info on 11 classes by sales size running from < 1 million to > $500 million
Cooperative Benchmarking
Top 5 Cooperatives
February 2018
Local Income
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
A B C D E
Local Income
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
Current Ratio
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
A B C D E
Current Ratio
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
LTD to Local Equity
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
A B C D E
LTD to Local Equity
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
Percent of Equity Attached to a Member
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
A B C D E
Percent of Equity Attached to a Member
2015 2016 2017
Agronomy Gross Margin and Service Revenue
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
A B C D E
Gross Margin and Service Revenue
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
Fertilizer Gross Margin
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
A B C D E
Fertilizer Gross Margin
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
Grain Margin and Service Revenue
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
A B C D E
Gross Margin and Service Revenue
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
Personnel Expense/Gross Margin
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
A B C D E
Personnel Expense/Gross Margin
2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3
3 Year Summary ofMidwest Co-op Financial
Results
Local Income
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
0.70%
0.80%
0.90%
1.00%
2015 2016 2017
Local Income • High• 2017 2.48%
• 2016 2.89%
• 2015 2.67%
• Low• 2017 (2.15%)
• 2016 (1.26%)
• 2015 (.86%)
Current Ratio
1.50
1.52
1.54
1.56
1.58
1.60
1.62
1.64
1.66
2015 2016 2017
Current Ratio • High• 2017 2.35
• 2016 2.33
• 2015 2.49
• Low• 2017 1.09
• 2016 1.05
• 2015 0.89
Personnel Expense/Operating Expense
45.40%
45.60%
45.80%
46.00%
46.20%
46.40%
46.60%
46.80%
47.00%
47.20%
47.40%
2015 2016 2017
Personnel Expense/Operating Expense • High• 2017 52.18%
• 2016 52.58%
• 2015 52.21%
• Low• 2017 39.60%
• 2016 39.36%
• 2015 39.70%
Grain Margin & Service Revenue
4.80%
5.00%
5.20%
5.40%
5.60%
5.80%
6.00%
6.20%
6.40%
2015 2016 2017
Gross Margin and Service Revenue • High• 2017 7.97%
• 2016 6.63%
• 2015 10.01%
• Low• 2017 3.81%
• 2016 3.92%
• 2015 4.60%
Agronomy Gross Margin & Service Revenue
• High• 2017 37.85%
• 2016 28.32%
• 2015 28.64%
• Low• 2017 16.12%
• 2016 10.85%
• 2015 14.99%
20.00%
21.00%
22.00%
23.00%
24.00%
25.00%
26.00%
2015 2016 2017
Gross Margin and Service Revenue
Energy Gross Margin & Service Revenue
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
2015 2016 2017
Gross Margin and Service Revenue • High• 2017 35.38%
• 2016 34.27%
• 2015 21.36%
• Low• 2017 6.56%
• 2016 8.67%
• 2015 3.55%
FoodCo-ops
Upper Quartile Median Sales 16,728,554 6,597,928Sales Growth 6.38% 1.73%Gross Margin 38.88% 37.48%Personnel 26.25% 24.40%Gross Wages 19.90% 18.56%Net Income 1.42% 0.20%Days Cash On Hand 39.23 24.51Cash over Accounts Payable 4.04 2.03Inventory Turnover 17.08 13.60Inventory Days 34.02 26.85Turns X Earns 3.59 2.51Total Debt to Equity 1.81 0.84Current Ratio 2.85 1.93Quick Ratio 1.93 1.12Return on Assets 5.08% 0.71%Debt Service Coverage Ratio 11.66 5.15Sales per Labor Hour 95.92 85.07
Rosemary Mahoney
434-962-0897
- or -
Stacey Webster
515-292-2667
For more information on how to participate in Cooperative Benchmarking, contact:
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Additional Benchmarks (Grain/Farm Supply)
Banks– Local savings / total sales = 1.5-2%
– Net profit / total assets = 8%
– Labor expense / gross income = 40%
– Fixed expenses / gross Income = 30
– Net worth (Equity) > 50% of total assets
– Loan covenants often require specific ratio levels
Other common benchmarks– Turns x earns > 1 (10 asset turns x 1.5 profit margin = 1.5)
– Working capital: 1.5% of grain sales; 2.5% of farm supply sales
– Days receivable: 30-45 days
Source: Phil Kenkel, Bill Fitzwater Cooperative Chair, Oklahoma State– Financial ratio calculator: You enter your income statement and balance sheet
data and it calculates rations in a red light, green light or no light format
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks reflecting strategy!
Customer Perceived Benefits
Value =
Relationship Price
And your offer of customer value > the competition’s
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Only two ways to increase customer value
and competitive advantage!
Low Cost Advantage
– Lowering price to increase customer value
– Market a commodity product
– For example, Cargill
Unique Benefits Advantage
– Increasing bundle of unique benefits to increase customer value.
– Market a differentiated product
– For example, John Deere
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
What Are the Returns and Risks?
Low Cost Advantage
– Customer values price more than benefits
– Returns: low margin, high volume
– Risk: Not being lowest cost
Unique Benefits Advantage
– Customer values benefits more than price
– Returns: high margin, captured customer
– Risk: Not being unique
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks should reflect strategy
The DuPont Formula– PM x TAT x EM = ROE
– Profit Margin (PM) =
Net Margin ÷ Total Revenue (Sales) [x100]
– Total Asset Turnover (TAT) =
Total Revenue ÷ Total Assets
– Equity Multiplier (EM) = Total Assets ÷ Equity
– Return on Equity (ROE) =
Net Margin ÷ Equity [x100]
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks should reflect strategy
DuPont Formula: PM x TAT x EM = ROE
– How do you interpret these ratios?• Absolute value
– For PM, TAT, and ROE, it depends on industry
– For EM, the range is 2 to 3 across many industries.
• Trend across time: up, stable, down? Consistency?
– All four keys to good financial condition!• operating profitability (PM)—income statement
• asset management (TAT)—balance sheet left side
• capital structure management (EM)—right side
• ownership profitability (ROE)—composite result
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks should reflect strategy
Three Ways to Generate 20% ROE?
– PM x TAT x EM = ROE
5% x 2 x 2 = 20% (ROI = 10%)
2% x 5 x 2 = 20% (ROI = 10%)
2% x 2 x 5 = 20% (ROI = 4%)
Let’s compare:
– Co-op A: 1% PM x 5.0 TAT x 2.96 EM = 14.8% ROE
– Co-op B: 1% PM x 2.5 TAT x 10.9 EM = 25.0% ROE
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks should reflect strategy
Key Benchmark Area Cost Adv. Benefits Adv.
Operating profitability
• Profit margin
• Key expense ratios
Lower
Lower
Higher
Adds to benefits
Efficient Asset Management
Total Asset Turnover
Key asset ratios (inventory turn, Days Rec)
Return on Investment
Higher
Cash quicker
Same*
Lower
Adds to benefits
Same*
Efficient Capital Structure Management
Equity Multiplier (TA/E)
Key ratios (e.g., Days Pay, D/E, TIER)
Same*
Same*
Same*
Same*
Return on Equity Same* Same*
*UNLESS THERE IS A STRATEGIC REASON WHY IT NEEDS TO BE DIFFERENT
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Benchmarks in Strategic Control
Good control keeps the organization headed in the
“right” direction.
– This is what the board should care about
– Not managing daily operations
Process of correcting for variations from benchmarks.
– Business decisions are risky.
– Human behavior needs monitoring.
– Corrective response becomes essential.
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Control Signals to Watch: Tracking Risk
Changes internal to the co-op
– Excessive changes in credit or inventory
– Excessive changes to benefits
– Exceptions to policy/procedure
– Progress with capital investment projects
– Member exit or level of complaints
– Anything tracking a critical internal function
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Control Signals to Watch: Tracking Risk
Changes external to the co-op
– Interest rate and macroeconomic changes
– Customer profit/income changes
– Market growth rate changes
– Intensity of rivalry--direct or substitute
– Supply chain changes--forward or backward
– Anything tracking critical external changes
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Board’s Role in Managing Risk
Monitor key risks.– Establish benchmarks– Establish triggers for action
Establish policies that empower management to manage risk.– Proper provision of insurance– Proper control of credit, inventory, & short-term liabilities– Proper use of risk management techniques
• Use of derivatives• Use of hedges and other market risk instruments
Monitor effectiveness of risk management policies.
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Control Signals: Tracking Opportunities
Internal potential for profit
– Product/service R&D
– Process improvement R&D
External potential for profit
– Emerging products/markets
– Changing customer preferences
– Supply chain process improvements
Nowlin Chair of Consumer-Responsive Agriculture Michigan State University
Key Takeaway on
Co-op Financial Benchmarks
Benchmarks need to be consistent with:– Good financial condition– Desired business strategy– Needed flexibility to pursue opportunities– Control and risk management functions
Effective benchmarks arise from:– Internal history and strategic plan/goals– Industry averages/standards– “Best in class” comparisons