final analysis

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Chapter one-Introduction 1.1 Background of the Study In the world of modern ages importance of banking business is immeasurable. Agricultural and industrial prosperity cannot be imagined without the existence of an expedient banking system in the country. Absence of a fair banking system is identified as a prime cause of backwardness of any country in respect of its commerce and industry. Banks have been playing effective role in the capitalistic as well as socialistic countries of the world in their internal distribution of wealth. The financial sector in Bangladesh is continuously evolving towards a more modern and efficient system of finance which is supportive of greater investment and inclusive economic growth. The financial system of Bangladesh consists of The Bangladesh Bank, scheduled banks, non-bank financial institutions, micro finance institutions, insurance companies, co-operative banks, credit rating agencies and stock exchange. At present Bangladesh has 4 state owned banks, 10 foreign banks, 9 specialized banks, 32 commercial banks and 6 more commercial banks are on their way to commencement. 1

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Page 1: Final analysis

Chapter one-Introduction

1.1 Background of the Study

In the world of modern ages importance of banking business is immeasurable. Agricultural and

industrial prosperity cannot be imagined without the existence of an expedient banking system in

the country. Absence of a fair banking system is identified as a prime cause of backwardness of

any country in respect of its commerce and industry. Banks have been playing effective role in

the capitalistic as well as socialistic countries of the world in their internal distribution of wealth.

The financial sector in Bangladesh is continuously evolving towards a more modern and

efficient system of finance which is supportive of greater investment and inclusive

economic growth. The financial system of Bangladesh consists of The Bangladesh Bank,

scheduled banks, non-bank financial institutions, micro finance institutions, insurance

companies, co-operative banks, credit rating agencies and stock exchange. At present

Bangladesh has 4 state owned banks, 10 foreign banks, 9 specialized banks, 32 commercial

banks and 6 more commercial banks are on their way to commencement.

To get an overview of any company in a very short period, financial analysis is the most

effective way. Financial analysis give the actual probable profitability is a short and convincing

way. It also shows which company is good for general people for their investment. In short we

can say that it gives a clear understanding of the financial position of the company to any person.

While doing the financial analysis it was tough to analyze all the banks. So a sample of five

banks was taken to analyze the whole banking industry. As there are diversified banking

practices in Bangladesh, thinks analysis was done on diversified origin bank. Three commercial

banks are analyzed since there are more commercial banks, one government owned and one

specialized bank are analyzed here. This diversification was done so that we can get a good view

of overall banking sector of Bangladesh.

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Page 2: Final analysis

1.2 Objective:

The general objective of the study is to know how to calculate these ratios and implement them

in real life in banking sector. While doing this term paper our specific objective was on

To calculate financial ratios of five banks.

To analyze the ratios.

1.3 Scope:

Since there are about 55 banks in Bangladesh, it is almost impossible to analyze the financial

data of all these banks in this short time span. So we decided to limit our study to five banks.

Among them three are commercial banks, one specialized bank and one is government owned

bank. All these banks were selected randomly.

1.4 Limitation:

Time span was so short that analyzing all the banks were not possible. So a sample of

five banks was selected

Annual reports of all banks were not available so a sample of five was selected

Since bank is a service rendering organization, it was not possible to calculate some of

the ratios that are applicable for merchandising organization

Chapter Two-Methodology

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Page 3: Final analysis

This paper uses a financial ratio analysis to measure, describe and analyze the performance of

five banks of Bangladesh during the period of 2009-2012. The whole process has been done in

three steps: data collection, analysis and drawing conclusion.

2.1 Data Collection:

The annual report of two years which contain the necessary information such as balance

sheet, income statement etc. of three years (2009, 2010, 2011) have been collected from our

five respective banks.

2.2 Analysis:

Using the required information from the annual report the analysis has been done. In the

analysis part, we have calculated the ratios (the applicable ones) of three years for our five

selected banks. And then we have compared the ratios and their effects on the respective

banks over the three years. The ratios that we calculated in our analysis are given below with

corresponding formulas:

Current Ratio = Current Asset / Current Liability

Net Profit Margin = Net Income / Total Operating Revenue

Asset Utilization = Total Operating Revenue / Total Asset

Return on Asset (ROA) = Net Income After Tax / Average Assets

Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income After Tax / Total Shareholder’s Equity

Earnings Per Share (EPS) = Net Income / Weighted Average Common Shares

Outstanding

Price Earning Ratio = Market Price Per Share of Stock / Earning Per Share

Net Interest Margin = (Invested Returns – Interest Expense)/Avg Earning Assets

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Page 4: Final analysis

Debt to Total Asset Ratio = Total Liability / Total Asset

Times Interest Earned = Income Before Income Tax & Interest Expense / Interest

Expense

2.3 Drawing Conclusion:

Comparing the ratios of three years for the five banks we concluded about the focus,

dependency, degree of profit orientation and some others factors about the five banks. We

also tried to figure out how the shareholders can take decisions regarding buying the shares

seeing the financial ratios of the banks.

Chapter Three: Ratio Analysis and Major Findings

3.1 Ratio Analysis

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Page 5: Final analysis

Ratio Analysis can be very much helpful to understand the condition of a financial institution.

But some of the ratios cannot be calculated for Banking Institutions, like, Receivable Turnover,

Inventory Turnover etc. as Banks do not have Inventories. These ratios are more applicable for

Merchandizing Industry. Profitability and Solvency Ratios are more important measures for

banks. Moreover, some ratios require internal data, which are generally not provided in annual

reports. Considering all these factors the following ratios are calculated to understand the

scenario in Banking industries.

3.1.1 Current Ratio:

Figure3.1: Current Ratio of Banks in 2011 and 2010

In 2011, industry average of current ratio is 1.22 and all the banks have ratios around this value.

Only data of BDBL bank (2.377) shows somewhat of a variation. All other banks have value of

below 1.2. So, it indicates that BDBL holds more cash and other liquid assets than other banks.

BDBL is more focused on investing in development banking than on commercial business and

hence holds more cash than other banks.

Similarly, in 2010 BDBL also had the highest current ratio and its variation with industrial

average was even more prominent. Among the five banks, National bank had the lowest current

ratio in 2011 and UCBL had the lowest ratio in 2010. So these two banks had comparative less

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Page 6: Final analysis

cash than other banks during the respective years. It is also evident that though industrial average

of current ratio decreased from 2010 to 2011 but it increased for most of the banks except for

BDBL.BDBL being the highest data resulted in decrease of industrial average data from 2010 to

2011. This occurred because current liability of BDBL increased in 2011even more than twice as

much of the liability in 2010. So, BDBL holds more cash than other banks and at the same time

has significant amount of current liability. Due to data unavailability current ratio for 2009 could

not be calculated for all the banks and thus could not be included in the analysis.

3.1.2 Times Interest Earned:

Figure 3.2: Times Interest Earned for Banks in 2011,2010 and 2009

In 2011, the industrial average of Times Interest Earned ratio was 2.04. The lowest Times

Interest Earned was of Bank Asia, that was 1.41 and the highest was of BDBL which was

3.77. The rest of the 3 banks had approximately same Times Interest Earned ratio.Form

6

02468

10

Rati

o

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Times Interest Earned 2010

01234

Rati

o

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Times Interest Earned 2011

00.5

11.5

2

Ra

tio

BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBL JanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Times Interest Earned 2009

Page 7: Final analysis

the ratio,we can say that BDBL earned enough during the period to pay its interest

expense almost 4 times over.Bank Asia has a lower ratio than industrial average that

suggests that the bank would default on required interest payments.

3.1.3 Debt to Asset Ratio:

Figure 3.3: Debt to Asset Ratio of Banks in 2011,2010 and 2009

In 2011, the industry average of Debt to Total Asset ratio was 0.817.The highest Debt to Total

Asset ratio was of Janata Bank which was 0.93 and the lowest was of BDBL, which was

0.48.Bank Asia and National Bank have approximately same ratio. So, it is seen that from all the

5 banks, Janata Bank is at highest risk that it may be unable to meet its maturing obligation.

BDBL has the highest ability among all 5 banks to withstand losses without impairing the

interest of creditors. Bank Asia, UCBL and National Bank have their Debt to Total Asset ratio

around industrial average. We can also see that the Debt toTotal Asset ratio of BDBL

significantly decreased from the year 2009 to 2010(from 0.62 to 0.43) and the ratio of Janata

Bank has always been approximately same and the highest of all five banks.

7

00.20.40.60.8

1

Ra

tio

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Debt to Total Asset Ratio 2009

00.20.40.60.8

1

Rati

o

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Debt to Total Asset Ratio 2010

00.20.40.60.8

1

Rati

o

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Debt to Total Asset Ratio 2011

Page 8: Final analysis

3.1.4 Net Profit Margin:

Figure3.4: Net Profit Margin of Banks in 2011, 2010 and 2009

Comparatively the highest profit earning bank both in 2011 and 2010 was National Bank.

Industrial average was around 0.34 there was not much variation in net profit margin among the

banks. Janata Bank being a government bank imposes low interest rate and thus earns less profit

and consequently has the lowest value of net profit margin. BDBL was not incorporated prior to

2009 and so there is no profit margin for BDBL in 2009. Industrial average remained similar in

2010 and 2011.

3.1.5 Asset Utilization:

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Page 9: Final analysis

Figure3.5: Asset Utilization of Banks in 2011, 2010 and 2009

All the banks except National Bank have value around the industrial average in 2011. All banks

are utilizing their assets in a sound manner. National bank utilizes its assets more as it earns more

than other banks. In 2010 and 2009, the pattern was similar. National bank earned even more

profit in 2010 utilizing its assets. In 2010 overall asset utilization of banks was higher i.e. more

operating income was generated. Overall the ratio is lowest for Janata Bank.

3.1.6 Return on Asset (ROA):

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Page 10: Final analysis

Figure3.6: Return of Asset Ratio of Banks in 2011 and 2010

In 2011, industry average of ROA is 0.023 and all the banks have ratios around this value. Only

data of National Bank shows somewhat of a variation. National Bank shows the highest ROA

and also has the highest value in Asset utilization. So, National Bank is using its assets well and

earning more than other banks. So, National Bank is more focused on earning profits than other

banks.In 2010 ROA of banks show a similar pattern. Janata Bank being a government bank has

the lowest ROA ratio in both the years. Overall Industry average of ROA decreased from 2010 to

2011 due to a decrease in ROA of National Bank and Bank Asia.

3.1.7 Return on Equity (ROE):

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Page 11: Final analysis

Figure3.7: Return on Equity of Banks in 2011 and 2010

In 2011, industry average of ROE is 0.193 and National Bank, UCBL and Bank Asia have higher

ROE than industrial average. So there is more scope of investment in these three banks. All the

three banks are commercial banks. Janata Bank has a close enough value of ROE with industrial

average, but there is huge variation in case of ROE ratio of BDBL. BDBL is a specialized bank

and is more development sector oriented. All the shares are under government control and hence

have less scope of investment. The pattern was again similar in 2010 and overall Return on

Equity decreased on an average. The value of industrial average decreased from 0.294 to 0.193

from 2010 to 2011.

3.1.8 Earning per Share (EPS):

11

BDBL

Bank A

sia

National

Bank

UCBLJBL

Industry A

verag

e

020406080

Earning Per Share 2011

Banking Institution

Ratio

BDBL Bank Asia

National Bank

Ucbl JBL Industry Average

010203040506070

Earning Per Share 2010

Page 12: Final analysis

Figure 3.8:Earning per Share of Banks in 2011, 2010 and 2009

In 2011, industry average of EPS is about 18.5. Whereas most of the bank has EPS far lower

than this. Only the data of BDBL (17.15) is close to it, where Janata Bank Ltd (60.45) has far

higher ratio than the industry. So, it indicates that Janata Bank Ltd either has low number of

shares or it shows a huge probable profitability. So as a result more people will be interested to

invest in Janata Bank Ltd.

3.1.9 Price Earning Ratio (P-E Ratio):

12

BDBL

Bank A

sia

National

Bank

UCBLJBL

Industry A

verag

e

020406080

Earning Per Share 2011

Banking Institution

Ratio

BDBL Bank Asia

National Bank

Ucbl JBL Industry Average

010203040506070

Earning Per Share 2010

BDBL Bank Asia National Bank UCBL01234567

Earning Per Share 2009

Banking Institution

Page 13: Final analysis

BDBL Bank Asia

National Bank

UCBL JBL Industry Average

0

5

10

15

20

P-E Ratio 2011

Banking Institution

Ratio

Figure 3.7:Price-Earning Ratio (P-E Ratio)of Banks in 2011, 2010 and 2009

Figure 3.9 :P-E Ratio of Banks in 2011, 2010 and 2009

In 2011, industry average of P-E ratio is 12.143. And we can see that most of the bank’s P-E

ratios are around this point. So, it indicates that all the banks take almost same time to return

people’s investment. And since the time is low enough, investors will be more interested to

invest in the banking sector of Bangladesh.

3.1.10 Net Interest Margin:

13

BDBL

Bank A

sia

National

Bank

UCB

Janata

Bank L

td

Industry A

verag

e0

10203040

P-E Ratio 2010

Banking Institution

Ratio

BDBL Bank Asia National Bank UCBL JBL Industry Average

02468

101214

P-E Ratio 2009

Banking Institution

Ratio

Page 14: Final analysis

00.010.020.030.04

Ratio

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Net Interest Margin 2011

Figure3.10: Net Interest Margin Ratio of Banks in 2011,2010 and 2009

In 2011, the industrial average of net interest margin was 0.02.BDBL, UCBL and National Bank

had the highest net interest margin. Bank Asia and Janata Bank had the lowest net interest

margin. It suggests that Bank Asia and Janata Bank earned lowest interest income out of total

assets.

3.2 Overall Findings from the Data

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0

0.01

0.02

0.03

Rati

o

BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBL JanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Net Interest Margin 2009

00.005

0.010.015

0.020.025

0.03

Ratio

BDBL BankAsia

NationalBank

UCBLJanataBank

IndustryAverage

Banking Institution

Net Interest Margin 2010

Page 15: Final analysis

Overall the ratios show that BDBL has highest amount of liquid assets in comparison with its

current liability. It is not focused on commercial banking and hence does not exchange cash and

other liquid assets like commercial banks and holds more liquid assets. In terms of profitability,

National Bank shows the best performance. It has the highest Net Profit Margin,it utilizes its

assets well and has high Return on Asset and high Return on Equity. Earning per Share for

commercial banks is below 10 and more or less similar. P-E ratio varies from 10 to 15 and banks

do not vary much from industrial average. Among the banks, Janata Bank has lowest interest

income against its assets. None of the bank’s share is undervalued in comparison with industrial

average value. Janata Bank, National Bank and Bank Asia depends more on debt finance and

BDBL is more inclined towards equity finance. Bank Asia had the lowest earningsagainst its

expenses in 2011. BDBL earns higher than other banks against the interest expenses it has to

bear. So, overall in terms of profitability, National Bank performs better.

Chapter Four-Conclusion

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Page 16: Final analysis

4.0 Conclusion:

Ratio Analysis of the banks shows that the commercial banks focus on increasing their

profitability. Majority of the banks depend on debt finance. Whether a bank is running profitably

and fruitfully managing its assets can be understood from Ratio Analysis. Ratio analysis is also

important for shareholders on taking up their investment decision.

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