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Federal Aviation Administration The Future of Commercial Space Transportation 22 nd Annual Conference on Quality in the Space and Defense Industries February 24, 2015 Dr. George C. Nield Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation

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Federal Aviation Administration The Future of

Commercial Space

Transportation

22nd Annual Conference on Quality

in the Space and Defense Industries

February 24, 2015

Dr. George C. Nield

Associate Administrator for

Commercial Space Transportation

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 1

50 Years of Human Spaceflight

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 2

Suborbital Space Tourism

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 3

WhiteKnightTwo and SpaceShipTwo

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 4

First Powered Flight

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 5

An October Tragedy

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 6

SpaceShipTwo Tail # 2

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 7

Spaceport America in New Mexico

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 8

XCOR Lynx

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 9

Swiss Space Systems

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 10

World View

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 11

Commercial Cargo Missions

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 12

ORB-3 Mishap

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 13

SpaceX F9R

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 14

Autonomous Spaceport Drone Ship

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 15

Commercial Crew Program

SpaceX Dragon

Boeing CST-100

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 16

MOU on Commercial Human

Spaceflight

• Signed by the FAA and NASA

on June 4, 2012.

• Establishes intent for all

operational missions to the ISS

to be licensed for public safety

by the FAA.

• NASA will be responsible for

crew safety and mission

assurance.

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 17

Sierra Nevada Corporation

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 18

Blue Origin

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 19

LauncherOne

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 20

Stratolaunch

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Orion

Flight

Test

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 22

Space Flight Training

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 23

Bigelow Expandable Activity Module

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 24

Bigelow Aerospace: The First Commercial Space Station?

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 25

Bigelow Lunar Base Concept

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Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 27

Space Adventures

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Golden Spike

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Inspiration Mars

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Human Space Flight Accident Statistics

Program Flights Fatal Accidents

• X-15 199 1

• Mercury 6 0

• Gemini 10 0

• Apollo 15 0

• Space Shuttle 135 2

• SpaceShipOne 6 0

• SpaceShipTwo 4 1

Total 375 4

The overall U.S. fatal

accident rate is

approximately

one percent

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 31

• “Space transportation is inherently risky, and the future of the

commercial human space flight industry will depend on its ability to

continually improve its safety performance.”

• “The regulatory standards governing human space flight must

evolve as the industry matures so that regulations neither stifle

technology development nor expose crew or space flight participants

to avoidable risks as the public comes to expect greater safety for

crew and space flight participants from the industry.”

• “The Secretary shall encourage, facilitate, and promote the

continuous improvement of the safety of launch vehicles designed

to carry humans, and the Secretary may, consistent with this chapter,

promulgate regulations* to carry out this subsection.”

*Note: Issuing regulations is currently limited until October 1, 2015,

under the “moratorium”

Congressional Direction

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 32

Mission

Assurance

Public

Safety

Occupant

Safety

Current

FAA Licensing

Future

Licensing

of Human

Spaceflight

FAA

Certification

Routine

Commercial

Space Travel

Time

Public

Safety

Occupant

Safety

Public

Safety

Potential Regulatory Path

Certificates

• Production

• Airworthiness

• Air Carrier

• Pilot

• Instruction

• Mechanic

• Dispatch

• Parts

Moratorium Expires,

Industry Standards

Developed

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 33

Assessment of Current Environment

• Given the technical challenges involved and the limited flight

data that is currently available, it will likely be several decades

before it would be appropriate to certify launch vehicles in the

same way that we now certify aircraft.

• Until that time, it makes sense to retain the "informed consent"

regime for space flight participants.

• In the meantime though, there are several things we can do to

enable safer human space flight operations.

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 34

Recommended Strategy

• Allow the Moratorium on issuing new regulations to expire in September of this year, so that if we were to identify a systemic issue with vehicle designs or operations, we would be able to quickly initiate the development of appropriate regulations to address the issue.

• Facilitate the collection and sharing of commercial space transportation data and analyses, including close calls, lessons learned, and best practices.

• Continue the ongoing dialog between government and industry, and promote the adoption and use of our "Recommended Practices for Human Space Flight Occupant Safety," which was published in August 2014.

• Encourage the development of industry consensus standards.

• Identify potential changes to statute and regulations that would enable and encourage increased training for both flight crew and space flight participants.

Office of Commercial Space Transportation Federal Aviation Administration 35

Conclusions

• With the Space Shuttle having been retired, the next few years

will be a critical time for our nation’s space program.

• During this period, we will be seeing:

• Regular commercial cargo deliveries to the ISS

• Test flights, followed by the start of commercial crew

operations to the ISS

• The beginning of Suborbital Space Tourism operations

• Congress, through the Commercial Space Launch Amendments

Act, has challenged the FAA to “encourage, facilitate, and

promote” this new activity in a way that continuously improves

its safety.

• The Office of Commercial Space Transportation is committed to

doing our part to enable this exciting new industry.