expeditionary training group (etg) etg maritime security operations ready unclassified navy staff...
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Expeditionary Training Group(ETG)
ETG Maritime Security Operations Ready UNCLASSIFIED
Navy Staff PlanningEODGRU TWO
25-28 AUG 14
MissionMissionAnalysisAnalysis
COADevelopment
COACOAAnalysisAnalysis
COACOADecisionDecision
OrdersOrdersDevelopmentDevelopment
TransitionTransition
Navy Staff Planning Model
Use mission analysis data and CDR’s guidance to produce multiple courses of action
Examine each course of action for validity
Consider branch plans
COA ComparisonCOA Comparisonand Decisionand Decision
Courses of Action
A COA is a broadly stated potential solution that results in the accomplishment of the mission developed during mission analysis
COA development should consider all force/unit capabilities necessary to achieve the commander’s objectives
The planning team should attempt to develop at least two (and often more) valid and distinguishable COAs for the commander
Courses of Action
Multiple COAs = Distinct options
– “Collectively exhaustive/mutually exclusive”
– Complete (Who, What, When, Where, Why
...and How)
– Variety (meaningful difference) between COAs
COA Considerations
Factors that impact COA development
• CDR’s planning guidance• Scheme of maneuver• Sequential and simultaneous operations• Sequencing task accomplishment• Requirement for supporting effort(s)• Employment of forces/units• ROE• End State
ABCs of COA Development
A – Focus on “actions on the objective area”
- What do I need/how do I allocate forces to accomplish the mission? (ex. NCHB at APOD, NCHB at SPOD, etc.)
- Movement between/C2/mutual support between APOD, SPOD, HQ
B – How do I accomplish force buildup to support execution at APOD, SPOD, HQ? - immediate buildup
- phased buildup
ABCs of COA Development
C – How do I get my forces there?
- Advance Party (tasks)
- Initial force buildup
- Main Body (increase footprint to intended capacity/capability)
D – How do I sustain the effort?
- How do I account for “BPT” or emergent tasks?
E – Retrograde planning (as required)
Phasing
• Logical, well-defined, sequential events in a complex mission Example: Phase I - Transit to objective area
Phase II – Insert of ground forces
Phase III – Establish waterborne cordon
Phase IV – Extraction of ground forces
Phase V – Return to FOB
COA Sketch
• Brief and tentative – Written for each COA; provides the big picture to the CO
• Essential to each COA Presentation– Forces required (WHO)– Tasks to be accomplished (WHAT)
• main and supporting efforts
– Timeframe (WHEN) • Phasing/sequence of events
– Area of Effort (WHERE)– Scheme of maneuver (HOW)– Intent (WHY)– Advantages/Disadvantages / Pros and Cons
Statement: RR3 conducts a five-phase insert/extract of ground forces to and from the objective area while providing security, water-borne cordon, fire support, CASEVAC, and EOD support to eliminate the MARK threat in the West Point area.
II
II
III
IV
IV
ground force
COA Sketch and Statement
COA Statement: The airborne forced entry COA is an aggressive offensive operation aimed at neutralizing the Redland 23 Guard divisions in order to attack and destroy the terrorist organization in Redland.
COA Sketch and Statement
COA Name:
PH I:
PH II:
PH III:
PH IV:
Pros:
Cons:
SKETCH
COA STATEMENT:
COA Template
COA Testing
Determine validity of the COA
• Primary test – Suitability (Does it accomplish the tasks &
mission and comply with CDR’s guidance?)• Secondary tests (preliminary)
– Feasibility (Can it be done?)– Acceptability (Justifies risk/cost in resources?)– Variety (Differs from other COAs?)– Completeness (Are all tasks included?)
Unresolved Assumptions?
Think Branch Plans!
Branch Plan
An option built into the basic plan or course of action for changing the mission, disposition, orientation, or direction of movement based on anticipated events, opportunities, or disruptions.
Example: What if we discover the harbor/river is mined?
Deliverable:
COA Presentation to planning team- Sketch and Statement- Phases with tasks to be
accomplished in each phase and by whom
- Pros / Cons- Risk (branch plans)- RFFs (Requests for Forces)
Assistance Phase
MissionMissionAnalysisAnalysis
COACOADevelopmentDevelopment
COAAnalysis
COA ComparisonCOA Comparisonand Decisionand Decision
OrdersOrdersDevelopmentDevelopment
TransitionTransition
Navy Staff Planning Model
Assess each COA against enemy COAs
Discard or retain COAs
• Friendly COAs vs Enemy COAs
• Friendly COAs likelihood of success compared to the Enemy Most Likely and Most Dangerous COAs
• Retain or Modify Friendly COA
COA Analysis
General Rules
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1. Remaining objective and not allowing personality or sense of what the commander wants to influence participants. Avoid defending a COA just because the participant(s) personally developed it.
2. Recording advantages and disadvantages of each COA accurately as they emerge.
3. Continuously assessing feasibility, acceptability, and suitability of each COA. If COA fails any of these tests, reject it.
4. Avoid drawing premature conclusions and gathering facts to support such conclusions. Avoid comparing one COA to another during the analysis. (This occurs during COA comparison.)
EC 1 EC 2
Most Likely Most Dangerous
COA 1
COA 2
COA 3
Modifications
COA Analysis
EC 1 EC 2
Most Likely Most Dangerous
COA 1
COA 2
COA 3
Modifications
None
None – acceptable risk
Collapse Scheme of Maneuver to allow
mutual protection, shift OA’s randomly
COA Analysis
Simple Wargaming
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• The simplest form of wargaming is the manual tabletop approach. - Members of the planning team use a map or chart of the operational area (OA) and manually war-game events as outlined in the COAs.
COA # Critical Event:
Sequence #
Action Reaction Counter Action
Assets Remarks
1
2
3
Wargaming Methods
• Essential Tasks Method (Critical Events):– War-games critical events (usually those associated with each phase)
in sequence• Avenue in Depth Method:
– Focuses on one approach at a time, beginning with the main effort executing the decisive action
– Good for COAs that attempt to “seize the initative” • Belts Method
– Divide the operating space into areas that span the width of the OA and conduct sequential analysis of events in each belt
• Box Method– A detailed analysis of a critical area, such as an amphibious objective
area
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Sample Wargaming
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COA # Critical Event: Establish and Maintain Security at the Redland Lake Dam
Sequence # Action Reaction Counter Action
Assets Remarks
1 Forces position in the Redland Lake and adjacent waterways, demonstrate show of force and prepares for future operations.
Insurgent forces position to JTF positioning to deny JTF forces freedom of action (FOA) and protect waterways for continued use.
JTF forces demonstrate FOA through maneuver (SUW, ASW, MIW) and actions within published ROE.
CRG MAST, Riverine vessels, Security vessels
CRG is the supported component.JFMCC requests supplemental ROE to meet emerging threat actions .CCIR: (PIR) Add indications of offensive mining.
2 JTF forces engage Redland maritime forces in OA Lions, Tigers, and Bears as required to demonstrate FOA and maritime superiority.
Insurgents engage JTF forces to deny use of the Redland Lake and adjacent waterways.
JTF forces conduct strikes to destroy CDCM sites affecting JTF FOA, employs OCA, defensive counter-air (DCA), ASW, SUW, to destroy insurgent forces.
No change Consider additional strikes on mine storage facilities, identified command and control nodes, and maritime assets not underway in port.
Deliverable:
COA Analysis
Assistance Phase
MissionMissionAnalysisAnalysis
COACOADevelopmentDevelopment
COACOAAnalysisAnalysis
COA Comparison and Decision
OrdersOrdersDevelopmentDevelopment
TransitionTransition
Navy Staff Planning Model
Retained friendly COAs evaluated against established criteria and each other
Conduct staff supportability estimate
Conduct COA brief
Decision made by the Commander
• Assists staff in refining COAs
• Assists staff in providing recommended COA
• Assists commander in making a sound decision
COA Comparison
• Decision Matrix
• Advantages/Disadvantages Matrix
• Staff Estimates of Supportability for each COA
COA Comparison
Compare COAs Framed by Governing Factors
- Received from Commander’s guidance
Weighted or Non-Weighted?
Decision Matrix
Examples of Governing Factors– Least complicated by ROE– Offers the greatest operational flexibility– Offers least operational risk– Easiest to support C2– Best logistic/sustainability– Offers best use of transportation links– Accomplishes objective in shortest
amount of time– Will best facilitate future ops
Decision Matrix
Decision Matrix
Governing Factors
WeightCOA 1 COA 2 COA 3
C2 2 2 4 2 4 1 2SIMPLICITY 1 3 3 1 1 2 2SUSTAINABILITY 2 3 6 2 4 2 4FLEXIBILITY 1 1 1 3 3 2 2RISK 1 2 2 1 1 3 3 TOTAL 16 13 13
Weighted
Decision Matrix
Governing Factors COA 1 COA 2 COA 3C2 2 2 1SIMPLICITY 3 1 2SUSTAINABILITY 3 2 2FLEXIBILITY 1 3 2RISK 2 1 3 TOTAL 11 9 10
Non-Weighted
• List advantages and disadvantages for each COA
• Modify COA if necessary
• Reevaluate feasibility and acceptability
Advantages/Disadvantages
Advantages/Disadvantages
Staff Estimates
COA 1 COA 2 COA 3 PREFERRED
N2
N3
N4
N6
EOD
LNO
Staff Estimates
COA 1 COA 2 COA 3 PREFERRED
N2 1
N3 1
N4 1
N6 1
EOD 3
LNO 2
Staff Estimates
COA 1 COA 2 COA 3 PREFERRED
N2 1
N3 1
N4 1
N6 1
EOD 3
Det LNO 2
Deliverable:
Decision MatrixAdvantages/Disadvantages Matrix √ Staff Estimates of Supportability
Refine COA decision brief for CO
Assistance Phase
Approved Mission StatementReview of Cmdr’s COA Development GuidanceOrientationUpdate of RFIs/RFFs/IntelCOA Briefs
Sketch/Overview StatementPhases Pros & Cons
Risk AssessmentConvoy Plan Comm Plan / C2 ArrangementsBug Out Plan MEDEVAC PlanAdditional CO Guidance Issues/Concerns(Staff) COA Analysis, Comparison, Estimates…RECOMMENDED COA
Sample COA Brief Format
QQQ
Questions?