example 3 hec-hms simulation 3 different loss models

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Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

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Page 1: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3

HEC-HMS Simulation

3 Different Loss Models

Page 2: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Purpose

• Illustrate different loss models in a HEC-HMS precipitation-runoff simulation– The example is “minimal” in the sense that

only a small set of HEC-HMS capabilities are employed

– Realistic parameter values are employed from public-domain references, but the example is fabricated for pedagogical simplicity.

Page 3: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Learning Objectives

• Learn how to copy a “project” so can modify without damage to original files. – Reinforce the concepts of “Projects” as a data-storage

paradigm.

• Learn how to import observations.– Use of measured rainfall and discharge. Where

available can use to “calibrate” a watershed model.

• Learn how to parameterize different loss models– Initial loss and constant rate loss model– NRCS CN runoff generation (loss)– Green-Ampt loss model

Page 4: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Problem Statement

• Simulate the response of the Ash Creek watershed at Highland Road for a the XXXX historical conditions.– Use Example 2 as the base “model”, modify

by substitution of the real rainfall time series and the observed runoff time series.

– Treat the entire watershed as a single sub-basin.

Page 5: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

7 1 2 0 0 0 . 0 0 7 1 4 0 0 0 .0 0 7 1 6 0 0 0 .0 0 7 1 8 0 0 0 .0 0 7 2 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 7 2 2 0 0 0 . 0 0

3 6 2 6 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 2 8 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 0 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 2 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 4 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 6 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 8 0 0 0 .0 0

Background and Data• Watershed Outlet

– Highland Road and Ash Creek, Dallas, TX.

– Area is residential subdivisions, light industrial parks, and some open parkland.

– White Rock Lake is water body to the North-West

Page 6: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Physical Properties

• Watershed Properties– AREA=6.92 mi2– MCL=5.416 mi– MCS=0.005595– CN=86– R=0

7 1 2 0 0 0 . 0 0 7 1 4 0 0 0 .0 0 7 1 6 0 0 0 .0 0 7 1 8 0 0 0 .0 0 7 2 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 7 2 2 0 0 0 . 0 0

3 6 2 6 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 2 8 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 0 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 2 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 4 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 6 0 0 0 .0 0

3 6 3 8 0 0 0 .0 0

This was used in IaCl specification-- will examine source of number-- will also need GA values

Page 7: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Historical Data

• Precipitation and Runoff– May 20, 1978– Total depth about

3-inches, close to Example 2 depth (much different time scale)

Page 8: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Historical Data

• Precipitation– Note start time

• Runoff– Note start time

Page 9: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Start Time

• Start time is important– The start time of rainfall time series and runoff time

series should be same– A common error is time mismatch, usually obvious in

the simulation but not always.

Page 10: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Using “Real” Data

• Need to prepare the data– Uniform time steps (no 17 hour gap)– Rainfall and runoff data should have same start

times, use zero-padding to make happen

• Data become “time-series” elements– Rainfall => With a “rain-gage” in HEC-HMS– Runoff => With a “discharge-gage” in HEC-HMS

Page 11: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Building The Model – Create a New Project

• Use Example 2 as the base model– Start Example 2– Select “Save-As”– Save to a new project name and file

Page 12: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Building The Model – Create a New Project

• Use Example 2 as the base model– Start Example 2– Select “Save-As”– Save to a new project name and file

Name

Path

Check these to create duplicate files

Page 13: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Building The ModelVerify the copy

• Run a simulation– Convince self that

have a working copy

Page 14: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation

• Now prepare the external hyetograph from the historical data– Use Excel to prepare the time series– Specify a long enough time window in the

time-series manager– Use HEC-HMS “fill” to fill in the 17 hours

Page 15: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Rainfall

• Use Excel to prepare the time series

• Specify a long enough time window in the time-series manager– 5-20-1978 to 5-22-

1978 should cover the rainfall and allow an entire day for runoff

– Can refine if needed

Page 16: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation:Rainfall

• Specify a long enough time window in the time-series manager– 5-20-1978 to 5-22-

1978 should cover the rainfall and allow an entire day for runoff

Page 17: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Rainfall

• Use Excel to prepare the time series– Identify non-uniform time

step sections– line up with input table in

HEC-HMS– One-time only is easiest to

enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values

– Many storms, worth writing code to interpolate (external to HMS)

Not every 15 minutes here

Page 18: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Rainfall

• Use Excel to prepare the time series– Identify non-uniform time

step sections– line up with input table in

HEC-HMS– One-time only is easiest to

enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values

– Many storms, worth writing code to interpolate (external to HMS)

Page 19: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Rainfall

• One-time only is easiest to enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values– Enter value first line

(not displayed)– Highlight fill block– Right-click block and

select fill method

Page 20: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Rainfall

• One-time only is easiest to enter blocks, then use HMS tools to fill in values– Enter value first line

(not displayed)– Highlight fill block– Right-click block and

select fill method

Completed data fill (zero padding in this case)

Page 21: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Rainfall• Continue for remaining non-uniform spaced blocks.

– When complete, plot the time-series and Excel and HEC-HMS; should look the same (padded the Excel file to start/end same elapsed time)

• This plot is QA/QC only, once data are entered, won’t need further Excel plots.

Page 22: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Loss Model Parameters• IaCl model in TxDOT 0-4193-7

Page 23: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Runoff

• Use Excel to prepare the time series

• Specify a same time window as rainfall

• Copy, paste, fill by same process.

Page 24: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Runoff

• Create discharge gage– Time series manager.

Page 25: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Runoff

• Specify time window

Page 26: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Runoff

• Use same process as for rainfall– Insert blocks– Use fill tool to insert

missing values– Plot results to

compare

Page 27: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Data Preparation: Runoff• Continue for remaining non-uniform spaced blocks.

– When complete, plot the time-series and Excel and HEC-HMS; should look the same (padded the Excel file to start/end same elapsed time)

• This plot is QA/QC only, once data are entered, won’t need further Excel plots.

Page 28: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3: IaCl Loss Model

• Leave remainder of model unchanged– Represents the IaCl model– Represents the NRCS DUH transformation model

• Run the simulation using the real rainfall (in contrast to a hypothetical input)– Compare simulation output with discharge gage– Assess how well the estimation methods worked– Try different loss models (Run 2 and Run 3)

Page 29: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3: IaCl Loss Model

• Instruct the program to plot the observed gage with the simulation gage.– Basin/Options

Page 30: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3: IaCl Loss Model

• Dotted curve is observed runoff, solid is simulation– Timing ~ 70 minutes late– Peak ~ 50% low– Volume ~ 20% high

• One could “calibrate” but that is for a later module.

• Stipulate that simulation is a bit off, and explore different loss models.

Page 31: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B : Green-Ampt

• Requires some added knowledge about the Ash Creek locale– Soil types and tables of values– Prior study (if lucky – in this example

available)

Page 32: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B : Green-Ampt

• Soil Types – Texas available from

TAMU– Nationwide from

NRCS• This example will

download the NRCS map, it is more assessable to hydrologists, the TAMU database is specialized for soil scientists.

Page 33: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B : Green-Ampt

• NRCS Soil Map

Zoom to this area

Read description

Page 34: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B : Green-Ampt

• NRCS Soil Map : Type 2

Page 35: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B : Green-Ampt

• NRCS Soil Map : Type 2– Loamy and clayey soils

Page 36: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B : Green-Ampt

• Compare description with published soil behavior– Use middle

description.– Other arrows

indicate reasonable bounding ranges

Page 37: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Loss Model: Green-Ampt

• Parameter estimation– Initial water content. 0.187– Saturated water content: 0.464– Saturated hydraulic conductivity: 0.04 in/hr– Soil suction: 8.27 inches

Page 38: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3B: Green-Ampt

• Results– Timing ~ 70 minutes

late– Peak ~ 50% low– Volume ~ 9% high

(good!)

Page 39: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model

• Example 3A will substitute the NRCS Loss Model for the IaCl model

• Clone the project again (Save As …) to preserve structure and reduce chance of a data specification error

• Change the loss model specification, enter curve number and re-simulate.

Page 40: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model

• Curve number selection– Determine hydrologic soil classification– Uses same soil map as in Green-Ampt– Soil Group C or D appropriate based on

saturated hydraulic conductivity.

Page 41: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model•Make an assessment of “open space”, residential, and commercial industrial.

•Then decide fraction impervious for a composite number.

•Subjective, but most analysts will be within +/- 10.

Page 42: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model

• Look up CN for the different parts, I choose lowest value in C group soil.– 10% of area is the stream drainage, essentially open

space CN ~ 79, %IC=0– 30% of area is commercial-business (note the general

aviation airport is included) CN ~ 91, %IC ~ 85– 60% of area is some kind of residential, CN ~ 83,

%IC~40

• Composite these to a value of CN=90 for the watershed, IC is already considered.

Page 43: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model

• Clone the project again (Save As …) to preserve structure and reduce chance of a data specification error

• Change the loss model specification, enter curve number and re-simulate.

Page 44: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

Example 3A : NRCS Loss Model

• Results with different loss model.– Timing ~ 70 minutes

late– Peak ~ 50% low– Volume ~ 50% high

Page 45: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

HEC-HMS Example 3

• Learning Points– Copy entire projects to keep different models

organized.– Used Excel to prepare data for import into

Time-Series-Manager; allows use of measured values where available.

– IaCl, Green-Ampt, NRCS CN perform differently but require similar data preparatory effort.

Page 46: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

HEC-HMS Example 3

• Learning Points– Used external data sources

• NRCS soil maps (internet)• Texas A&M Soil Database (didn’t use, but know

available)• Used a Green-Ampt soil property correlation in

SWMM (but from the soils literature)• Used TxDOT hydraulic design manual for CN

estimation. NEH 630 Chapter 9-10 would have produced similar values.

Page 47: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

HEC-HMS Example 3

• Learning Points– Assembly of external data sources is vital to

the hydrologist• Most practicing hydrologist’s offices are a mess of

old reports – that’s where they find the data.• Many useful external data sources are available in

PDF reports from a variety of sources, need to get in the habit of citing the data source should one need to defend input value choices.

Page 48: Example 3 HEC-HMS Simulation 3 Different Loss Models

HEC-HMS Example 3

• Learn more– HEC HMS user manual– FHWA-NHI-02-001 Highway Hydrology

• Next example– Calibration tools