evolution consumer conference presentation
TRANSCRIPT
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Evolution Consumer Conference 2011
10th March 2011
Ralph Edmondson, Head of Investor Relations, & Brian Fleming, Tobacco Utilization Manager
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
15%
15%
12%
5%
7%
+2.1
-2%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15%
DPS
Adj EPS
Operating margin ppts
Adjusted Profit
Revenue
GDBs
Volume
Delivering growth in challenging times
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
76.689.3
98.1108.5
128.8
153.0
175.7
41.9 4755.9
66.2
83.7
99.5114.2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Adj EPS (pence) Div per share (pence)
CAGR 2004 to 2010:Adjusted EPS 15%Dividends per share 18%
Delivering growth in challenging times
Contents
Leaf Supply Chain ScopeLeaf Industry DynamicsLeaf Supply Chain CapabilitiesSustainability AgendaInnovation Agenda
Brian Fleming, Tobacco Utilization Manager
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Research Grow Purchase Pack Deploy
Leaf
+ 200,000 farmers
+ £1.0bn annual spend 1000 containers at seaat any one time
+ 50 source markets
+ 50 ports going to 45 factories
450,000 tons sourced
+ 300 different grades
Leaf supply chain scope
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
17 BAT & 3 Associates Leaf Operation accounting for circa 80% of the Group requirements.
45% Domestic / 55% Exports
Chile
BrazilPeru
Venezuela
Mexico
USA
Zimbabwe
Nigeria
Congo
Kenya
Uganda
BAT Subsidiaries
Associates
Uzbekistan
Fiji
China
VietnamMalaysia
Indonesia
CambodiaSri Lanka
BangladeshIndia
Pakistan
BAT leaf operations
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Vertical integration (% Volume)
BAT PMI JTI
BAT has a higher percentage of vertical integration amongst industry competitorsCompetitors have changed position from 2008 with vertical integration in countries such as BrazilTobacco purchases by type have a direct correlation to the overall portfolio mix of the different competitors
Source: British American Tobacco Estimates, Philip Morris International /Japan Tobacco International investor releases & financial reports
2008 2010 2008 2008 2010
Purchase by Type
0%
100%
BAT PMI JTI
Other
OR
BY
FCV
2010
Leaf: Vertical integration
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
1,7001,7501,8001,8501,9001,9502,0002,0502,1002,1502,2002,2502,300
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010LE 2011 LECrop Year
020406080100120140160180200
Unsold Stocks Supply Est. Demand
Sup
ply
-M
illio
ns o
f Kilo
s gr
een
WU
S -M
illions of Kilos strip
10 yr Av. Supply.
Source: Universal leaf Tobacco Reports & British American Tobacco Estimates
Flue Cured Virginia – Supply Trend Excluding -China
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010LE 2011LE
Crop Year
0102030405060708090100
Unsold Stocks Supply Est. Demand
WU
S -M
illions of Kilos strip
Sup
ply
-M
illion
s of
Kilo
s gr
een
10 yr Av. Supply.
Source: Universal Leaf Tobacco Reports & British American Tobacco Estimates
Burley – Supply Trend Excluding -China
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Supp
ly -
Mill
ions
of K
ilos
gree
n WU
S -Millions of K
ilos strip
10 yr Av. Supply.
Price Index - Food and Tobacco
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
Food Price IndexTobacco Price Index
Food Price Index 100 90 82 78 78 78 78 79 86 91 100 122 155 121 152
Tobacco Price Index 100 95 87 84 78 74 75 76 79 75 82 79 103 108 127
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Food & Agriculture Organisation / British American Tobacco Estimates
Industry dynamics – Food & Tobacco
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Established in 1974 for agronomy research in tobacco, for Souza Cruz's (Brazil) to develop technology packages.
Recognised Centre of Excellence for the BAT Group and established as a global capability in 2010.Linked to Global Research & Development and Blending Innovations Centre
Global Leaf Research and Technology
Leaf Research and Technology
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Global Leaf Research & Technology provide technology platform and seed breeding capability.
Good Agricultural Practices cascaded to farmers utilising dedicated leaf technical staff
Farmer base selected, trained and provided with appropriate inputs to produce the required quality of Tobacco in the most effective and efficient manner.
Seedlings
Harvesting Curing
Seed BreedingInputs
Research andTechnology
Growing Grading
Leaf growing
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Brazil
South Africa
USA
UK
Turkey
Malaysia
Leaf purchasing capability embedded in Global Leaf Pooling organisation
Management of suppliers (internal and external) is essential to ensure effectiveness
Global grading system to ensure consistency
All purchase plans optimised through Global Leaf Pooling planning system
Geographically spread team with experience and specific tobacco expertise
Leaf purchasing
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Blend Demand
Leaf Inventory
TransformDemand
MasterBlend
Review Recommendations & Manage Performance:• Demand Review• Purchase Review• Sales & Inv. Review• Review GLP KPIs
Demand Review
Demand Review
Purchase Review
Purchase Review
Sales &Inventory Review
Sales &Inventory Review
Business Review
Business Review
Local Allocation
Lot Succession
Global Sourcing
Plan Inventory & Deployment
Plan & Manage Logistics
Crop PlansGlobal Allocation
Capabilities
End to End PlanningStock ManagementCost OptimisationLeaf Quality & IntegrityDeployment
Delivering
Improved speed to marketLower durationsComplexity reductionOptimal leaf & blend cost. Guaranteed product quality
S&OP
Global Leaf Pooling
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Regulation Agricultural Landscape
Article 9: Regulation of contents of tobacco products
Article 10: Regulation of tobacco product disclosures
Article 17: Provision of support for economically viable alternative activities
Article 18: Protection of the environment and health of persons
Socio-economic: Social Responsibility in Tobacco Production
Soil & water: Degradation of soil structure and water management-key focus of Good Agricultural Practices
Forest: BAT has influenced the planting of over 400 million trees
Biodiversity: Agricultural impact – Biodiversity Partnership
Leaf sustainability
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Leaf a consumer differentiation opportunity?- 4 different major types of tobacco- 300 different grades of tobacco- +50 different sourcing locations- Decades of experience.
Leaf innovation
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Vertical integration is still a point of difference even though major competitors are adopting a similar model
Core capabilities through the leaf supply chain provide competitive advantage
Decades of operating in the leaf business provides experience and knowledge
Major future challenges as regards pressure on agricultural landscape and regulation
Summary
Evolution Consumer Conference, Edinburgh March 2011
Evolution Consumer Conference 2011
10th March 2011
Ralph Edmondson, Head of Investor Relations, & Brian Fleming, Tobacco Utilization Manager